Peoria, Illinois to Anchorage, Alaska

Sure, you may note the extraordinary length of this trip, but I would like to note that we are driving away from a major winter storm by headed through Canada to Alaska. It will be a 3,620 mile journey, lasting 7 1/2 days. The amount of time spent rolling over 2 lane highways in Canada and Alaska will set the pace at only about 60mph, and our days will be through after about 482 miles. To the land of the Midnight Sun!

DAY ONE (Monday)

Peoria, Illinois

The toughest part of the day on Monday will be digging out of Peoria. Even that won’t be terrible, as the heaviest snow is falling south of Peoria, though that is a razor thin distance, meteorologically speaking. Peoria has about an inch at this point, and Springfield is closing in on 8. Snow or no snow on the ground now, there will be a few persistent flakes through the morning that plows will be working at scraping off the roads. The threat for fresh snow will end around Davenport, and the threat for driving through any areas that will have seen snow today will be done when we turn north at Iowa City. Unadulterated roads will be our pathway through Iowa, up to the Twin Cities. We’ll stop northwest of Minneapolis, in Albertville, Minnesota on Monday night.

DAY TWO (Tuesday)
The good news, as I sort of spoiled with the intro to this post, is that we will fully be into high pressure behind the major winter storm in the middle of the country. Bad news is it will be very cold in our drive from Minnesota into North Dakota. The day will end near Minot, in the town of Burlington, where temperatures will almost certainly be subzero when we hit the road on Wednesday.

DAY THREE (Wednesday)
We won’t be under high pressure on Wednesday, but I don’t think we will see any precipitation either. We’ll enter Saskatchewan, and pass Regina and Saskatoon, eventually reaching North Battleford, northwest of Saskatoon for the night. Low pressure will be skirting the southern border of the Northwest Territories on Wednesday, but it won’t be able to tap into any moisture, so all we will see is energy. It will be blustery on the Canadian prairies, but I think we will be hard pressed to find any fresh falling snow. The best chance will be a stray flurry as the night ends.

DAY FOUR (Thursday)
We will travel west bound through Canada, passing Edmonton on our way to Crooked Creek, Alberta. There is a patch of civilization around Crooked Creek that will offer some places to stay and eat, surrounded by oil fields and oil workers. Low pressure is looming over the Gulf of Alaska, but the Rocky Mountains will keep us in good shape for the time being. On the lee of the Rockies, it should even be warmer than it was at our previous stops.

DAY FIVE (Friday)
Don’t be surprised by a damp start to our Friday, with moisture clearing the Canadian Rockies and settling into Crooked Creek in the early hours. Snow will be a possibility for only a short while as we get moving, and head even further north into Alberta, and finally British Columbia. We’ll turn west at Fort Nelson, stopping at Summit Lake in northeastern BC. It will be clear and cold, and we still have 2 1/2 more days to go.

DAY SIX (Saturday)
Low pressure and storms buffeting southwestern Alaska, sending a cold front into the Panhandle will not bother us at all on Saturday, as we trek through northern British Columbia and southern Yukon. Our route closes at night, so it is key to make this drive during the day time hours. We’ll pull into Canyon City, just before Whitehorse, and call it a night. Maybe the Northern Lights will be out.

DAY SEVEN (Sunday)
Back in the USA! We’ll cross into Alaska shortly after midday, and will continue to be grateful the roadways mostly hug the valleys, because precipitation will first and foremost be on the coast, thanks to low pressure over the Alaska Peninsula, but also in the high terrain, where snow will fall on the peaks of Denali. We will stay dry, and it will be cloudy, ensuring that the already dark days will be grimmer than normal. We’ll pull in for the night near Chistochina, about an hour and a half south of Tok.

DAY EIGHT (Monday… again)
A resurgent round of snow fall will slam the Alaskan shores on Monday morning, and some of that will bleed north into the valley of the Chistochina River. We will face increasing snow for the half day of driving down toward the Cook Inlet. It will be snowy and a bit blustery in Anchorage as we arrive, though that seems to be the standard this time of year. Wow, 8 days. Maybe consider flying back.

Anchorage, Alaska

Leave it in 2024

We had one last forecast in 2024 and it…. sucked. We forecast for the first two days of 2025, with a weak feature moving into town, ultimately becoming the behemoth that is going to cut a swath through middle America this weekend. It wasn’t much in days 1 and 2 of 2025 though, at least not in Logan, Utah. Flurries popped in on both Wednesday and Thursday, which weren’t nearly as much as anticipated, but the big surprise was the warm temperatures on Thursday, with highs climbing all the way up to 47. So much for the anticipated snow storm! Creating the top forecast was The Weather Channel, who wrapped up a very good year.
Actuals: Wednesday – .02″ of precipitation in snow, High 33, Low 19
Thursday – .01″ of precipitation in snow, High 47, Low 30

Grade: C-F

Lafayette, Indiana to Peoria, Illinois

Before we get to our massive road trips coming up in the next few days, we will start with a short, 179 mile journey. The trip will consume only about 3 hours, on a pace of about 63mph. The weather is taking a turn for the worse in this part of the country, so despite the length, it will be interesting.

Lafayette, Indiana

Man, that is an old picture of Lafayette. When was Bank One still around? It’s the image I remember, though, having lived my college years just across the Wabash River in West Lafayette. Speaking of west, that’s the direction we are headed. Leaving on Saturday is a fantastic idea, as the weather is going to take a severe turn for the worse in the middle of the country this weekend. While this stretch of real estate is likely to see several inches of snow on Sunday and Monday, the drive will be under high pressure for Saturday morning. It may be a bit on the cool side, but it’s not like we are walking to Peoria, right?

Peoria, Illinois

Post holiday fireworks

In the forecast for Monroe, I described a fairly rainy scenario for Northern Louisiana on Christmas and Boxing Day, including a break in the action, at least for a short time. Well, that pause was used to prime the atmosphere for heavy thunderstorms, which dumped over an inch and a half of rain on the city. Fortunately for Monroe, while there were severe reports out of this system, they stopped before they reached the area, and when severe weather picked up again on the next day, it was all the way into Alabama. In the spirit of camaraderie around Christmas, we had a three way tie atop the leaderboard, with Victoria-Weather, The Weather Channel and WeatherBug coming together for a draw.
Actuals: Christmas – .13″ of rain, High 63, Low 58
Boxing Day – 1.51″ of rain, High 66, Low 55

Grade: B-C

Coming soon…

Well, here we are, 2025. We’re going to start the year off with a bit of a strange week. Only one site forecast (Congratulations, Gulfport!) but two very long road trips.

Road Trip from Peoria, Illinois to Anchorage, Alaska

Road Trip from Atlantic City, New Jersey to Santa Rosa, California

Gulfport, Mississippi

Dangerous cold ready to envelope the Eastern 2/3rds of the country

It was another warm year, with another warm winter already started. We’ve just stepped into 2025, but already, this year feels different. Specifically, it feels cold.

As the year begins, the Northern Plains are experiencing the first tastes of below normal temperatures, but the cold is only going to intensify this week. A few ripples along the jet stream are going to drive the mean jet southward, which will allow for low temperatures to look like this by next Tuesday.

That is below freezing as far south as the Mexican border. There may be frost at Disney World. Areas that typically don’t see air this cold are the ones most impacted by these kinds of readings. The cold is less remarkable because of the magnitude of the temperatures, but rather where they are found.

The broad trough hosting this cold air is going to have a stubborn streak, and will remain in place for a while. I’ve just included the day 6-10 outlook, but every outlook from the Climate Prediction Center paints a similar picture through 1 month!

Welcome to 2025, and more to the point, welcome to January.

Logan, Utah

It’s the grand finale of 2024, which means our forecast will provide a first look at 2025. What do we have in store for northern Utah?

At 951AM, MT, Logan was reporting overcast skies with a temperature of 25 degrees. Snow was falling in the higher terrain, and near the northern part of the Great Salt Lake. The persistent, wind driven snow has lead to an increased threat for avalanches in the higher, steeper terrain, and could make for treacherous travel, particularly east of Logan. A sharp jet trough will shift out of Utah today and help tamp down some of the winds, but this disturbance is being chased out by a strong jet, albeit laminar. This will lead to more moisture, if less gusty wind.
The threat for snow in the northernmost reaches of the Beehive State will return around midday on New Years Day. Not much is expected at the lower terrain of Logan, but more accumulation will be coming for the peaks of the Wasatch. The strong jet will ultimately be translating perpendicular to the flow within the jet, which means an upper ridge is coming for Thursday evening, finally ending the snow for the moment.
Tomorrow – Starting calm, with snow possible in the afternoon, High 31, Low 14
Thursday – Snow early, clearing late, High 37, Low 25

TWC: Tomorrow – Variable clouds with snow showers. High 33, Low 18
Thursday – Cloudy with snow showers mainly during the morning. High 39, Low 29

AW: Tomorrow – Considerable cloudiness with a bit of snow in the afternoon with little or no accumulation High 32, Low 19
Thursday – Times of clouds and sun with a rain or snow shower in spots High 39, Low 27

NWS: Tomorrow – Snow likely, mainly after 8am. Cloudy, High 32, Low 15
Thursday – A chance of snow before 2pm, then a chance of rain and snow. Cloudy, High 38, Low 23

WB: Tomorrow – A chance of snow in the in the morning then snow in the afternoon. Mostly cloudy, High 24, Low 15
Thursday – Mostly cloudy with snow likely, High 32, Low 25

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with light snow, High 32, Low 16
Thursday – Mostly cloudy with chance of a light wintry mix, High 37, Low 25

CLI: Tomorrow – Heavy snow showers. High 33, Low 13
Thursday – Light sleet High 39, Low 25

The last forecast of the year calls for light sleet?! I’ll be. There is a splash of precipitation on radar as of this morning.

Updates 12/31

10:51AM We’ve almost made it through 2024. The first day of 2025 promises to be an interesting one, particularly in the northeastern US. The real show, however, looks like it will be in Canada on New Years Day, avoiding the major commuter hubs on the Eastern Seaboard. Godspeed if you need to travel through Montreal, Toronto or Ottawa, though.

New Orleans, Louisiana to Monroe, Louisiana

A product of having a state shaped like a boot, or, given the season, a stocking, is that if you are traveling from one part of the state to another, you are liable to end up spending a chunk of that drive in another state. This 4 hour drive that begins and ends in Louisiana will be spent mostly in Mississippi. It’s a 282 mile drive, likely fairly smooth sailing on Christmas Day, but plan for a pace of 66.9mph.

New Orleans, Louisiana

There may be some lingering showers as we get out of town to head over the (Mississippi) River and through the woods for grandmother’s house on Christmas Day. Momentum for the storm presently raging in east Texas will be gone by the time we drive in the morning, so heavy rain isn’t anticipated, and we may see clear skies for bits and pieces in southwestern Mississippi. It won’t last the whole time, though. We will reach Jackson with the looming specter of more, and potentially stronger rain showers redeveloping, and impeding us the rest of the way back to the Louisiana border. Rain will begin lightening up again as we cross back into our original state, but light rain will still be possible in Monroe.

Monroe, Louisiana

Monroe, Louisiana

Merry Christmas, one and all! The kids are in bed and I’m up waiting for St. Nick, so might as well forecast.

At 853PM, CT, Monroe was reporting a temperature of 64 degrees, with overcast skies. A line of strong storms was sweeping through east Texas, with severe weather even ongoing around Bryan and College Station, but further to the north, a shield of regular old Christmas rain was approaching.
This severe weather is burning bright, but will do so briefly. This area of wet weather is part of a short waved trough butting against a large ridge in the east. Organized strong storms won’t last into Christmas, however the region will still be disturbed. and on the back side of a ridge, keeping a return flow and the threat of showers in the forecast for Christmas Day. An even shorter wave on Boxing Day will draw moisture away from Monroe, leading to a clear afternoon on Thursday, ahead of the next batch of wet weather.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, with scattered showers, especially early. High 66, Low 55
Thursday – Isolated showers in the morning, then clearing, followed by a late chance for rain, High 68, Low 56

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy with occasional rain showers High 64, Low 55
Thursday – Cloudy in the morning with scattered thunderstorms developing later in the day. High 69, Low 57

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with a couple of showers and a thunderstorm; wet roads and lower visibility may lead to travel disruptions High 66, Low 54
Thursday – Low clouds, then perhaps some sun and mild High 67, Low 59

NWS: Tomorrow – A chance of showers before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between noon and 3pm, then showers likely after 3pm. Mostly cloudy High 66, Low 56
Thursday – A 40 percent chance of showers, mainly after noon. High 70, Low 57

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the morning and a chance of showers with a thunderstorm in the afternoon. High 65, Low 58
Thursday – Cloudy. A slight chance of showers in the morning, a chance of showers in the afternoon, High 68, Low 60

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with light showers and isolated thunderstorms, High 66, Low 54
Thursday – Mostly cloudy with showers and Isolated thunderstorms, High 69, Low 58

CLI: Tomorrow – Rain showers, High 66, Low 55
Thursday – Thunderstorm, High 69, Low 57

Hey, Clime’s back! And the radar from the ArkLaTex is full of festive greens and reds.