1:06PM: The SPC is definitely promising an outlook that is very late summer. There are slight risk blobs coving vast tracts of the northern Rockies and Northern High Plains. There is also a marginal risk across New York. I can confidently say that I expect more severe reports from New York.
Updates 8/16
8:07PM: Hey! I’ve been on vacation and am now returned to hear about flooding in Indiana and a hurricane in Hawai’i. In the near future, Tuesday looks like the most interesting day on the immediate horizon:

Updates 8/12
3:39PM: This is too hot.

10:20PM On the other side of the picture, this gentle rain in Minnesota is helping keep temperatures cool, and if you are the type that enjoys white noise as you sleep, this should be just about right.

Updates 8/4
9:33AM: Last night, I posted a blurb about hot hot and humid it was in Houston overnight. This morning, I come with better news, but for the Ohio Valley. Pittsburgh is sunny and seeing dew points in the low 60s this morning, promising a comfortable day. Good luck trying to work!
Updates 8/3
11:55PM: Good night, and good luck sleeping, Houston. Temperatures may stay in the 80s alllll night.
Updates 8/1
8:25PM: Happy August! We don’t tend to see a lot of the severe weather in the Plains that we can see during the spring and early summer. Late summer and the beginning of fall is typically the province of tropical season. The cold front, steady rain and cool temperatures moving through Michigan tonight are way too early!
Updates 7/29
9:44PM The threat for thunderstorms in the dog days of summer are more generalized and far reaching. Severe storms, organized convection and outbreaks are just not common. This is reflected by a pretty green SPC outlook for tomorrow.

Updates 7/26
4:55PM: If you hadn’t guessed, I was in Hawaii for the last week and half. Looks like Fausto wants to invade where I just left.

1054PM: Still waiting patiently for things to get going in the western Great Lakes

Updated 7/25
4:06PM: An interesting dynamic here, with three different clusters of sever storms in South Dakota and Nebraska. A couple of low precip, gusty storms, and one big monster hail producer in the middle of the state. This system will organize and turn into a good old fashioned squall, with an enhanced risk downstream in South Dakota.

Updates 7/23
2:57AM: Yes, I am in a different time zone, and yes, I’ve been on vacation. So let’s check in with the HRRR.

It appears there has been some sort of a cold front?