Salinas, California to Vineland, New Jersey

This is going to be an extended journey. It will take 6 days to cross the country and cover 3006.47miles. This is a classic cross country trip though, taking us right through Chicago. Most of the drive will be through the stark wilderness of the western United States, though. As a result, we will anticipate a speed of 66.4mph on I-80, which means the first 5 days will see the odometer tick off 531 miles. Can we expect anything to spoil the view of those purple mountains’ majesty or amber waves of grain.

DAY ONE (Friday)
Salinas
You should see the satellite and radar imagery across the Great Basin. The Sierras and northern Nevada are simply lit up with lightning strikes. The disturbed weather doesn’t look like it will be so far to the west tomorrow, and our passage over the Sierras should be pretty uneventful. We should be all right in western Nevada as well, I think, but showers and storms will erupt east of Winnemucca. There will be plenty of clearing between the storms, which will be great for a light show in the heavens. We will stop east of Battle Mountain in the colorfully named Mosquito Canyon.

DAY TWO (Saturday)
It will take until the mid afternoon for thunderstorms to fire up on Saturday, which will mean a few good hours of driving before we might see some convection. The threat will be greatest during our jaunt through Utah, with a shower or storm in Salt Lake City not out of the question. The threat will end abruptly as we cross into southwestern Wyoming, though, after we descend out of the Wasatch, and our arrival in Red Desert, about halfway between Rock Springs and Rawlins, will be dry. Enjoy it for the night.

DAY THREE (Sunday)
We should dodge the showers on Sunday during the day, save for a few developing showers around Cheyenne. An area of low pressure will be developing in the lee of the Colorado Rockies, and interacting with a system centered over western Ontario. The heavy showers and thunderstorms will be erupting along the Nebraska border, but we will be to at least Big Springs by the time things really start popping. It will be quite warm in Nebraska, primed for those thunderstorms out in the western part of the state. When we stop in Shelton, Nebraska, between Kearny and Grand Island, we better find some air conditioning.

DAY FOUR (Monday)
Monday will be a noisy day. It will start from the time we get up, when leftover convection from the night before will still be raging in Shelton. A now fully realized and active cold front moving through Iowa will bring the threat for showers and thunderstorms throughout our day. Most likely, there will be a squall at the leading edge of the boundary, which will race quickly to the east, keeping us in the rain shield behind it. Assuming we can navigate any traffic tie ups caused by the storm ,we wil likely breach the leading edge of the storm around Moline and get about an hour of drier driving until we stop in Princeton, Illinois.

DAY FIVE (Tuesday)
While the stretch from Angola, Indiana to Toledo, Ohio will be fairly stormy, the rest of the journey looks much better on Tuesday than it did on Monday. Expect mostly clear skies in the wake of the front through Chicago, but after we catch up with the boundary, the threat for rain will remain with us through the rest of the drive. That rain wouldn’t otherwise be there, but as we approach the higher terrain of western Pennsylvania, it’s what we must deal with. the day will end north of Pittsburgh, with a little bit of overcast and some drizzle, in Cranberry Township.

DAY SIX (Wednesday)
The boundary will be fairly broken down and diffuse upon its arrival in Pennsylvania, however with the mountains through the state, it will still be an efficient rain producer. Expect rain and thunder to accompany us through the Keystone State, though not much of it will be severe.That activity will have a tough time sustaining itself in south Jersey, which means a potential for drier conditions when we arrive in Vineland.
vineland

Vineland, New Jersey

Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 80, Low 65
Independence Day – Isolated storms late, High 80, Low 66

TWC: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 85, Low 64
Independence Day – Shwoers, High 82,63

AW: Tomorrow – Times of clouds and sun High 78, Low 66
Independence Day – Mostly cloudy and humid with a shower or thunderstorm around High 78, Low 65

NWS: Tomorrow – Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, High 78, Low 64
Independence Day – A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 9am. Mostly cloudy, w High 79, Low 65

WB: Tomorrow – Partly sunny. A chance of showers…With thunderstorms possible in the afternoon. High 78, Low 64
Independence Day – Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. High 79, Low 65

WB: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy with Scattered Showers High 79, Low 64
Independence Day – Mostly Cloudy with Scattered Showers High 79, Low 64

FIO – Drizzle in the evening.High 79, Low 63
Independence DAy – Light rain starting in the afternoon, continuing until evening. High 81, Low 65

The Weather Channel really thinks there will be some warm conditions. The GFS has an 84% chance of rain on the 4th, while the Nam has a 3% chance.

Salinas, California

Apologies for the late forecast. You know when your family says one then then does another, like dinner is at 6 but really isn’t until 8? Yeah… so go ahead and blame my family for their tardy cooking if you’ve been up all night waiting for this post. In their defense, it was pretty tasty.

At 753pm PDT, the temperature at Salinas, CA was 64 degrees under fair skies. A large ridge of high pressure continues to persist over the western US, with temperatures roasting from Idaho to Indio. Luckily, the brunt of this heat dome is staying further inland and sparing most of the coastal areas. If anything, Salinas could be subjected to some marine layer-inspired fog in the morning before trailing off to some rather pleasant afternoon conditions. There’s a chance a shower could stray from the activity expected inland on Thursday, but they’re scattered enough for me to keep Salinas dry during the day. Salinas has a better chance at seeing precip the next couple of days from any drizzle that rings out of the morning fog if it’s dense enough. Otherwise, looks like a great jump to the holiday weekend!

Thursday: Morning fog/clouds, giving way to afternoon sun. High 76, Low 58.
Friday: More of the same, with clouds burning off by late morning. High 74, Low 60.

TWC: Thursday: Morning clouds give way to afternoon sun. High 74, Low 58.
Friday: Patchy morning fog, then mostly sunny. High 72, Low 59.

AW: Thursday: Intervals of clouds and sun. High 73, Low 60
Friday: Partly sunny and pleasant. High 72, Low 60.

NWS: Thursday: Slight chance of thunderstorms. High 69, Low 57.
Friday: Patchy fog, then partly cloudy. High 68, Low 57.

WB: Thursday: ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Friday: ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

WN: Thursday: Partly cloudy with isolated storms. High 72, Low 57.
Friday: Partly cloudy with patchy fog. High 72, Low 57.

FIO: Thursday: Some morning drizzle, then partly cloudy. High 78, Low 60.
Friday: Partly cloudy until afternoon. High 74, Low 58.

Apparently Weatherbug decided to kickoff the holiday weekend a bit early and didn’t want to display any forecasts. Here we see some high clouds over the CA coastal area, with storms remaining further to the east over the Great Basin.

SNSsat

Tempered by Thunderstorms

As per usual in the Deep South, thunderstorms were a plenty around the Gulfport area over the last couple of days. Both days clocked in with measureable precip, however Tuesday only got a brushing glance by one, allowing temperatures to reach their expected values before the storm cooled them off. Convection hit Gulfport earlier on Monday, keeping temperatures lower than projected and never allowed them to recover. Accuweather nosed out a narrow victory because of that, and nailing the low temp both nights.

Monday: 0.26″ of rain in a thunderstorm. High 84, Low 73.
Tuesday: 0.03″ of rain in a thunderstorm. High 90, Low 75.
Forecast Grade: B

Atlanta, Georgia

Things are getting active in the southeast, and that’s just where we are going today.

At 552PM, ET, Atlanta was reporting a temperature of 86 degrees with mostly sunny skies. There was an isolated thunderstorm lurking between Kennesaw and Cartersville underscoring the still relevant threat for storms this evening, though the better threat for inclement weather was to the east, where there was a line of thunderstorms moving into South Carolina and the Georgia Coast.
The storms today were enhanced and severe out east by a surface wave over the eastern Great Lakes, which was producing a boundary in the Appalachians. This low will wind up and move northeast towards the Maritimes, but the general instability of north Georgia will remain. A wave moving through the central Plains, resulting from some lee troughing will move into the Tennessee Valley late on Thursday, likely enhancing thunderstorms again across the area.
Tomorrow – Isolated showers and storms, High – 87, Low 71
Thursday – Isolated showers and storms, becoming stronger and more widespread late, High 86, Low 71

TWC: Tomorrow – PM Thunderstorms High 87, Low 68
Thursday – P

AW: Tomorrow - Times of sun and clouds with a shower or thunderstorm around; humid High 83, Low 68
Thursday - Showers and a heavier t-storm; clouds and sun, humid; storms can bring flooding and damaging winds High 84, Low 68

NWS: Tomorrow = A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 10am. Mostly sunny, High 86, Low 70
Thursday - Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, High 85, Low 70

WB: Tomorrow - Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. High 86, Low 60
Thursday - Showers and thunderstorms likely. High 85, Low 70

WN: Tomorrow - Partly Cloudy with Isolated Storms High 86, Low 70
Thursday - Mostly Cloudy with Scattered Storms High 84, Low 70

FIO: Tomorrow - Light rain until evening, starting again overnight. High 85, Low 68
Thursday - Light rain until afternoon, starting again overnight. High 85, Low 71

Storms aplenty in the Peach State this week. Same goes for the capital city. Take a look at the radar, with a collapsing cell just to the north of town.
Atlanta

The worst of both worlds

summerheat

After what was a particularly long winter with a lot of snow battering the Eastern Seaboard, it was a legitimate question as to whether or not places like Boston saw the worst winter ever. I’m not going to answer that question, but I will note that things have flipped completely upside down. Kind of.
The winter brought the most extreme of the winter like conditions with extra snowy conditions for the winter, but as the outlook shows above, the East Coast is looking at the threat for a warm summer as well. If the summer is like the winter, in that the seasonal extremes are exasperated, then we can look to some serious scorchers along the coast. Fortunately, this pattern doesn’t look as amplified, albeit in the opposite direction, as the one in the winter, so this won’t be an epic heat wave, but it will be rather toasty this summer.

Forecast.io wins by a trace

Temperature forecasting didn’t work out perfectly for our winner in Joplin. They ended up behind 4 other competitors based solely on temperature forecasting alone. They ended up nosing ahed of everyone else, however, when Joplin saw a few drops of rain, that launched Forecast.io to the top spot, thanks to being one of only 2 outlets to correctly foresee rain. It was only a little bit, but the spritz of shower activity was perfect for FIO.
Actuals: Sunday – High 82, Low 63
Monday – Trace of rain, High 87, Low 62

Grade: A=C

Gulfport, Mississippi

As we kick off another work week, probably shortened due to the impending holiday, we head off to the Gulf Coast. No doubt a lot of people will be heading there for the holiday weekend, but let’s take a look at how the week starts off!

At 1053pm CDT, the temperature at Gulfport, MS is 77 degrees under fair skies. A dissipating frontal system kicked off plentiful storms around the region which died off pretty quickly around sunset. More of the same is expected for Monday, which activity generally popping off in the early afternoon and lingering through sunset. The boundary should dissipate for Tuesday, but with plentiful moisture still persisting along the coast, and temperatures pushing around 90, that should be plenty of fuel to kick off another round of thunderstorms for this coastal city. This pattern is pretty much par for the course in the summer months, so onward with the status quo!

Monday: Scattered thunderstorms. High 90, Low 74.
Tuesday: Scattered thunderstorms. High 91, Low 75.

TWC: Monday: Afternoon thunderstorms. High 88, Low 74.
Tuesday: Morning thunderstorms. High 89, Low 76.

AW: Monday: Heavy T-storms, rather cloudy. High 89, Low 73.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with a thunderstorm. High 91, Low 75.

NWS: Monday: Chance of thunderstorms. High 88, Low 75.
Tuesday: Slight chance of thunderstorms. High 88, Low 78.

WB: Monday: Scattered thunderstorms. High 88, Low 74.
Tuesday: Scattered thunderstorms. High 89, Low 76.

WN: Monday: Partly cloudy with scattered storms. High 90, Low 72.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy with scattered storms. High 90, Low 75.

FIO: Monday: Light rain until afternoon. High 88, Low 73.
Tuesday: Scattered light rain. High 88, Low 77.

We see some high clouds traversing LA and MS this evening, wispy remnants of today’s earlier activity. Tomorrow looks to be some more of the same storms dancing around the area!

GPTsat

Gold Medal Weekend

The rain showers lingered a bit longer than most people expected in Cedar Rapids for Friday, with some activity lasting into the mid-afternoon hours. After that, however, conditions cleared out and Saturday was just as nice as anticipated with temps pushing to 80. Victoria-Weather claims the gold medal by not missing a single period by more than 1 degree!

Friday: 0.03″ in off and on rain showers. High 72, Low 61.
Saturday: High 80, Low 57.
Forecast Grade: A

Cedar Rapids, Iowa to Joplin, Missouri

Today we have a short road trip between neighboring Midwestern states. There shouldn’t be many weather delays on this 1-day trip, right?

Cedar Rapids

There could be some clouds lingering over eastern Iowa as low pressure pushes into the Ohio Valley, but rain showers should be long gone and the clouds should dissipate not long into the day. With high pressure moving over the region, conditions should be sunny and dry for the duration of the trip as we cruise through Des Moines and head south on I-35 past Kansas City and then on I-49 the rest of the way. Easy peasy!

Joplin

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