Happy Sunday, everyone, shall we start the week off with a little knowledge about the week ahead?
At 354PM, ET, Lynchburg was reporting a temperature of 42 degrees with overcast skies and light rain, Radar was awash with light rain throughout the region, and it appears as though Lynchburg will be unable to break out of the much for a while. Interestingly, and despite the rain seen regionwide, model guidance doesn’t have much inkling of the precipitation ingested into the forecast, however the vorticity maximum attributable for the rain in the area looks to dampen out by Monday morning, suggesting that rain will lighten up by that time as well.
The jet structure that allowed the development of the wave bringing rain to the region today will level off over the next 48 hours, producing a laminar, west to east flow across the region. This should suspend any threat for rain in Lynchburg, however it will keep some mid to high level overcast in the region throughout the forecast period. The good news is that sustained westerlies will help maintain slightly warmer temperatures than is usually expected this time of year.
Tomorrow – Overcast with some early rain, High 56, Low 36
Tuesday – Overcast, but even warmer, High 61, Low 41
TWC: Intervals of clouds and sunshine, High 59,, Low 33
Tuesday – Partly cloudy. High 64, Low 41
AW: Tomorrow – Not as cool with intervals of clouds and sun High 60, Low 34
Tuesday – Some sun, then turning cloudy and warm High 63, Low 39
NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 58, Low 34
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, High 63, Low 40
WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 57, Low 38
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, High 60, Low 43
WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 58, Low 34
Tuesday – Partly cloudy, High 63, Low 40
FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 61, Low 38
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 62, Low 42
Clearly, I am less optimistic, perhaps because the model guidance doesn’t give me a lot of confidence that the rain is being well handled. I mean, look at this radar!