Fond du Loc, Wisconsin

Off to Fond du Loc, WI today, site of the first ever $100M Powerball winner! Let’s see how the rest of their weekend will shake out.

At 1153pm CDT, the temperature at Fond du Lac, WI was 66 degrees with some light fog being reported. High pressure is shifting over the Upper Midwest today and will push over the Great Lakes over the next couple of days. Quiet weather is expected today under it as it traverses the region. A cold front starts to push down over ND/MN early Monday morning and an accompanying warm front looks to move over northern WI during the day. A few rain showers and maybe an isolated thunderstorm look to develop ahead of it as the afternoon progresses, but the worst should remain to the north.

Sunday: Morning fog then sunny. High 80, Low 62.
Monday: Isolated afternoon showers. High 82, Low 61.

TWC: Sunday: Partly cloudy. High 82, Low 61.
Monday: Sunny. High 82, Low 65.

AW: Sunday: Warmer with clouds and sun. High 82, Low 61.
Monday: Partly sunny and very warm. High 86, Low 63.

NWS: Sunday: Areas of fog then mostly sunny. High 81, Low 63.
Monday: Patchy fog then slight chance of thunderstorms. High 82, Low 62.

WB: Sunday: Foggy then clearing. High 79, Low 61.
Monday: Partly sunny. High 83, Low 63.

WN: Sunday: Partly cloudy with areas of fog. High 82, Low 63.
Monday: Partly cloudy with isolated storms. High 82, Low 63.

FIO: Sunday: Foggy in the morning. High 81, Low 63.
Monday: Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 82, Low 63.

Not much on the radar in the area, just a small cluster of storms over Lower Michigan. The radar is expected to be quiet until Monday.

FDLrad

Columbia, Missouri

Good evening, everyone. Who is excited for a forecast?

At 1254AM, CT, Columbia was reporting a temperature of 74 degrees with overcast skies and light rain. There were rain and heavier thunderstorms extending northeast towards Hannibal and Quincy, Illinois, but Columbia as at hte western tail of the activity for the evening, and clearing skies were seen just west of Columbia.
A pair of features will conspire to make Columbia a fairly stormy area this weekend. There is a weak trough attempting to skirt the northern Great Lakes, and is the feature responsible for this evening’s rain, and a fairly significant dome of high pressure over the southeastern US.  as the low continues towards eastern Canada, it will leave a weak boundary that will stall across Missouri. Meanwhile, the anticyclonic flow around the surface ridge will provide a rich southerly flow into that remnant boundary. By Sunday, the boundary will be much weaker, and thunderstorm activity more diffuse, but there will still be a chance of rain in the forecast.
Tomorrow – Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, High 86, Low 71
Sunday – Showers and storms becoming more isolated, High 89, Low 71

TWC: Tomorrow – A mix of clouds and sun early, then becoming cloudy later in the day. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible. High 87, Low 70
Sunday – Partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms in the morning.High 87, Low 70

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy and humid with a shower or thunderstorm in spots High 86, Low 69
Sunday – Intervals of clouds and sun with a shower or thunderstorm around; humid High 87, Low 70

NWS: Tomorrow – A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Partly sunny High 86, Low 69
Sunday – A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunn High 87, Low 70

WB: Tomorrow –  Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. High 86, Low, 70
Sunday – Mostly cloudy in the morning and early afternoon, then becoming partly sunny. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms High 87, Low 71

WN: Tomorrow – Partly clouy with isolated storms, High 86, Low 70
Sunday – Partly cloudy with scattered storms, High 88, Low 70

FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 88, Low 70
Sunday – Light rain in the morning and evening. High 90, Low 69

Isolated showers for central Missouri. They will be spare enough that they will really drive you nuts if you get caught under one, because not everyone will be clipped by a shower this weekend in the Columbia area.
Columbia

Hotter than normal, with too much in relief

Back at the beginning of the month, Anthony took a look at Shreveport, Louisiana. The area around Shreveport was further north than those that really were battered by the horrible flooding wrought by persistent coastal troughing in the area, but they would eventually see their share of rain this month as well. Before all that got there, there was hot air across the region, which helped induce some of that thermal troughing that only later exasperated the floods around Baton Rouge. For our forecasting purposes, we can officially state that Weathernation was our most accurate outlet on our Shreveport forecast.
Actuals: Aug 3rd: High 100, Low 79
Aug 4th: High 100, Low 80

Grade A – B

“Fair”ly Nice Weather In Minnesota

Ah, the final few days of August. That means a few things around these parts: kids are heading back to school, families getting in some cabin time as summer winds down, and also, the Minnesota State Fair! A 12-day, everything-on-a-stick laden get-together in the Twin Cities got underway yesterday to very favorable weather! A high in the mid-70s with plenty of sunshine surely got fair-goers out in good spirits. Today was more of the same, with a high of 72 and a decent amount of sunshine. Plenty of mid and high-level clouds filtered in as the afternoon progressed as a weak area of low pressure is approaching the region. Some light rain showers could move into the area tomorrow morning, but should just be a brief nuisance as opposed to a washout. Not too bad of a start to what is commonly called the “Great Minnesota ‘Sweat’-together”!

Tropics Wake Up

Over the last few weeks I’ve published a couple of articles about how the Atlantic Tropical Season had been fairly quiet, with mainly just weak systems spinning up. However, as Ryan mentioned a few days ago, Gaston (along with all of the Disney-related memes) has formed over the open waters of the Atlantic and continues churning towards the northwest, slowly intensifying into a moderate tropical storm. Models have it continuing out over the middle of nowhere before turning towards the northeast in a few days, perhaps intensifying into a hurricane but only annoying shipping lanes and schools of fish.

The main topic of interest has been a disturbance dubbed “Invest 99L”. Invest just means it’s an area of concern that warrants investigation to see if it will become a tropical depression or stronger. It has developed an area of low pressure, however, low-level shear has kept most of the convection found significantly far away from it, making the system look rather ragged. This Invest has been in the news for the last couple of days since computer models have been projecting it to make its way through the Bahamas and over the FL Peninsula by the end of the weekend. The big issue is… the models have been all over the place when trying to forecast the intensity of the system at that point. If anything, residents of Florida should keep an eye on what forecasts are for this system, but I wouldn’t wildly change my plans for this weekend just yet. Stay vigilant Florida!

ATLoutlook

San Jose, California to Gulfport, Mississippi

We’re embarking on quite a trip today, from one giant body of water to another. This trip from San Jose to Gulfport, MS will cover 2,288 over 4 long days. Hope you have your car games stocked up, we’ll be going through them all!

SanJose

DAY ONE

We leave San Jose early in the morning with perhaps a hint of a marine layer sticking around, but we’ll soon be rid of that as we make our way southward through the Central Valley. Conditions should be pretty pleasant as we continue by my old stomping grounds in the Santa Clarita Valley and eventually bypass Los Angeles to the north. Continued dry weather anticipated as we push by Palm Springs and eventually end our long day in Blythe, CA, right on the CA/AZ border.

DAY TWO

Another long day in store as we continue our trek through the Desert Southwest. Some partly cloudy skies are expected as we head eastward towards Phoenix and dry weather looks to continue as we push towards Tucson. The afternoon hours look to be a little dicey as we continue along I-10 towards southwest NM, as the monsoon season is still in full effect. We could encounter some activity as we traverse the passes around San Simon, AZ and Lordsburg, NM. Some late evening activity will keep us on our toes as we head by Las Cruces and eventually into our stop for the night, El Paso.

DAY THREE

Today we start our “Texas Day”, meaning we’ll drive almost 600 miles and STILL be in Texas when we finish. It’s a gigantic state. There might be some isolated showers lingering in the area when we leave in the morning, but shouldn’t be too bad really. Much of the day will be spent enjoying dry weather and just a few clouds as we fly though western Texas (yay for 80mph speed limits!). It won’t be until we pass by Junction that some scattered activity might pop up, but the majority of activity today should remain to the north/east of our route. A lingering shower is possible around San Antonio, but the trip should remain dry as we pull into Seguin, TX, not far east of San Antonio.

DAY FOUR

Finally! Our last day! It’s still a long one though, over 550 miles covering 3 states. A weak disturbance lingers along the TX/LA border, so a few late-morning showers could be already greeting us as we push through Houston. There’s going to be hit-or-miss showers/thunderstorms over much of far eastern Texas/western LA as we pass by Beaumont and Lake Charles, but should be able to dodge any clusters that would pop up as they’d probably be further inland. The big question at this point, isn’t if the weather will slow our trip through LA down to our final destination, but if the interstate will be in good enough shape to get through in a timely manner. The area experienced horrific flooding the last fortnight, and honestly still is, but the worst of it should have passed south of our route and allowed for the crews to clean up the main thoroughfares. If so, we should have a fairly smooth finish to the trip, albeit a tiring one, into Gulfport.

Gulfport

Shreveport, Louisiana to Kalamazoo, Michigan

I think the biggest lesson of road tripping that I have learned that you have to really experience to grasp is just how big Illinois is from south to north. We are taking a two day trip from Shreveport to Kalamazoo, and much of the 973 mile trek will be spent in Illinois. We will pace ourselves at 67.6mph. We will cover 541 miles on that first day which will undoubtedly stop in Illinois.

http://m.mlb.com/video/v1086897583/detmin-maybin-plates-a-pair-with-a-single-to-center/?game_pk=448736

DAY ONE (Wednesday)
Shreveport
It’s a little surprising, given how rough things have been in the south central United State, but we are actually going to enjoy a dry drive through Arkansas on Wednesday morning. It will be warm and humid, certainly, but roads should be clear and we shouldn’t have a problem on our northeasterly trek. A developing laminar trough axis northwest of our route, but a little parallel to it will emerge through the day from northern Illinois and Missouri to the Panhandle region. Don’t be surprised to see a few clouds to develop over our last hour on I-57 into Marion, Illinois. Of course we finish in Illinois, after that intro.

DAY TWO (Thursday)
There will be a mostly stationary boundary as a result of all that activity in the Great Lakes and northern Plains, and the few showers drifting south towards the Marion area will diminish. While that is good, the rain will consolidate further north, and we will be intersecting the first bands of rain starting around Gilman, Illinois, and it will be at it’s heaviest as we negotiate I-80/I-90 thorugh the southern Chicago suburbs and work to find our exit to I-94. That’s fine, there is rarely any traffic here and it’s pretty easy to figure out (sarcasm). The rain will diminish as we continue north, and if it isn’t over by the time we reach Lalamazoo, it will be fairly soon thereafter.
Kalamazoo

Kalamazoo, Michigan

Coming soon…

We have a lot of forecasts coming up in the next few days. Hopefully you can handle all of this weather info.

map

Columbia, Missouri

Toledo, Ohio

Billings, Montana
Road Trip from Moble, Alabama to Billings

Road Trip from Billings to Hartford, Connecticut

Gaston forms in the Atlantic

Gaston

Yesterday, we looked at the global picture, with a pair of storms moving towards Japan,, and set of waves moving through the Atlantic. The lesson was how active this time of year can be, thanks to tropical waters being at their warmest for the year.

Well, the lesson today is how quickly things can go from tropical wave to full fledged tropical feature, as was the case with Tropical Storm Gaston, which will likely become a hurricane before it spirals off into the north Atlantic. It isn’t likely to cause any problems for really anyone, but it should be a wake up call.

This will be the last lesson on the tropics, but the action you should take is still the same. Stay up to date with the latest happenings of the tropics, and check frequently, as they are active and constantly changing this time of year.  (thanks to Wunderground for that imagery)

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