Here we go, headed down to the Tar Heel State. They have 3 teams left in the Big Dance, so they may want to spend a couple days outside before spending the rest of the week watching their teams.
At 1253PM, ET, Rocky Mount was reporting a temperature of 58 degrees with clear skies. There is a fairly complicated pattern at the surface, with a remnant trough through southern Georgia, and a very strong warm front that has developed through southern Kentucky, but is failing to clear the Appalachians.
Surface high pressure will suppress the advance of warm air through the day tomorrow, which runs counter to the GFS solution, which calls for quite a bit of rain tomorrow morning. Instead, it will take a break in the ridge with the development of deeper low pressure in the Plains. This low will begin lifting to the northeast with the ridge being forced out to sea. Flow will become aggressive out of the southeast tomorrow evening and continue through the day on Thursday. By Thursday morning, temperatures will be soaring, but at the same time flow will be laden with moisture, and there will be a chance for showers and thunderstorms through most of the day. The cold front will hang west of the Appalachians until fter the forecast period has expired.
Tomorrow – Scattered afternoon showers, otherwise partly cloudy, High 68, Low 43
Thursday – Scattered showers and storms, warm, High 76, Low 58
TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy, High 72, low 42
Thursday – Thunderstorms, High 78, Low 60
AW: Tomorrow – Some sun High 69, Low 43
Thursday – Breezy with a thunderstorm; cloudy in the morning, then clouds and sun in the afternoon High 78, Low 59
NWS: Tomorrow – A slight chance of rain or drizzle before 10am. Mostly cloudy High 67, Low 42
Thursday – A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, High 79, Low 57
WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain and drizzle in the morning. High 67, Low 42
Thursday – Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the morning… Then a chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 79, Low 57
WN: Tomorrow – Mostly Cloudy with Isolated Showers High 66, Low 41
Thursday – Mostly Cloudy with Scattered Showers High 79, Low 57
FIO: Tomorrow – Drizzle overnight. High 69, Low 44
Thursday – Light rain until evening. High 74, Low 60
We are looking at some rain for the eastern Carolinas. You can tell who is riding the GFS hardest though, by how much rain they have tomorrow. Here is the satellite imagery. The warm front is generating higher topped clouds, north of the Carolinas.