The worst of both worlds

summerheat

After what was a particularly long winter with a lot of snow battering the Eastern Seaboard, it was a legitimate question as to whether or not places like Boston saw the worst winter ever. I’m not going to answer that question, but I will note that things have flipped completely upside down. Kind of.
The winter brought the most extreme of the winter like conditions with extra snowy conditions for the winter, but as the outlook shows above, the East Coast is looking at the threat for a warm summer as well. If the summer is like the winter, in that the seasonal extremes are exasperated, then we can look to some serious scorchers along the coast. Fortunately, this pattern doesn’t look as amplified, albeit in the opposite direction, as the one in the winter, so this won’t be an epic heat wave, but it will be rather toasty this summer.

Forecast.io wins by a trace

Temperature forecasting didn’t work out perfectly for our winner in Joplin. They ended up behind 4 other competitors based solely on temperature forecasting alone. They ended up nosing ahed of everyone else, however, when Joplin saw a few drops of rain, that launched Forecast.io to the top spot, thanks to being one of only 2 outlets to correctly foresee rain. It was only a little bit, but the spritz of shower activity was perfect for FIO.
Actuals: Sunday – High 82, Low 63
Monday – Trace of rain, High 87, Low 62

Grade: A=C

Gulfport, Mississippi

As we kick off another work week, probably shortened due to the impending holiday, we head off to the Gulf Coast. No doubt a lot of people will be heading there for the holiday weekend, but let’s take a look at how the week starts off!

At 1053pm CDT, the temperature at Gulfport, MS is 77 degrees under fair skies. A dissipating frontal system kicked off plentiful storms around the region which died off pretty quickly around sunset. More of the same is expected for Monday, which activity generally popping off in the early afternoon and lingering through sunset. The boundary should dissipate for Tuesday, but with plentiful moisture still persisting along the coast, and temperatures pushing around 90, that should be plenty of fuel to kick off another round of thunderstorms for this coastal city. This pattern is pretty much par for the course in the summer months, so onward with the status quo!

Monday: Scattered thunderstorms. High 90, Low 74.
Tuesday: Scattered thunderstorms. High 91, Low 75.

TWC: Monday: Afternoon thunderstorms. High 88, Low 74.
Tuesday: Morning thunderstorms. High 89, Low 76.

AW: Monday: Heavy T-storms, rather cloudy. High 89, Low 73.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with a thunderstorm. High 91, Low 75.

NWS: Monday: Chance of thunderstorms. High 88, Low 75.
Tuesday: Slight chance of thunderstorms. High 88, Low 78.

WB: Monday: Scattered thunderstorms. High 88, Low 74.
Tuesday: Scattered thunderstorms. High 89, Low 76.

WN: Monday: Partly cloudy with scattered storms. High 90, Low 72.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy with scattered storms. High 90, Low 75.

FIO: Monday: Light rain until afternoon. High 88, Low 73.
Tuesday: Scattered light rain. High 88, Low 77.

We see some high clouds traversing LA and MS this evening, wispy remnants of today’s earlier activity. Tomorrow looks to be some more of the same storms dancing around the area!

GPTsat

Gold Medal Weekend

The rain showers lingered a bit longer than most people expected in Cedar Rapids for Friday, with some activity lasting into the mid-afternoon hours. After that, however, conditions cleared out and Saturday was just as nice as anticipated with temps pushing to 80. Victoria-Weather claims the gold medal by not missing a single period by more than 1 degree!

Friday: 0.03″ in off and on rain showers. High 72, Low 61.
Saturday: High 80, Low 57.
Forecast Grade: A

Cedar Rapids, Iowa to Joplin, Missouri

Today we have a short road trip between neighboring Midwestern states. There shouldn’t be many weather delays on this 1-day trip, right?

Cedar Rapids

There could be some clouds lingering over eastern Iowa as low pressure pushes into the Ohio Valley, but rain showers should be long gone and the clouds should dissipate not long into the day. With high pressure moving over the region, conditions should be sunny and dry for the duration of the trip as we cruise through Des Moines and head south on I-35 past Kansas City and then on I-49 the rest of the way. Easy peasy!

Joplin

Joplin, Missouri

Tonight we head off to Joplin, I can only imagine the weather for this coming weekend is better than what we all think about when we hear their name.

At 1153pm CDT, the temperature at Joplin, MO was 67 degrees under fair skies. An area of low pressure is shifting out of the Mid-Mississippi River Valley and through the Ohio Valley on its’ way into the Northeast. Behind it, a weak area of high pressure is shifting over western Missouri which should clear things out for Saturday. Sunday should start off pretty nice as well as the high shifts south. Clouds will increase in the evening, however, as a summertime Alberta Clipper drops down into the Upper Midwest, spreading some showers and storms. This system will continue southward into IL Sunday evening, extending the threat of a few rain showers all the way into the Joplin area. Odds are the activity should stay north until early Monday morning, but can’t completely rule out the chance of a rain shower impacting the area.

Saturday: Morning clouds, sunny for afternoon. High 81, Low 64.
Sunday: Mostly sunny, chance of a late evening rain shower. High 85, Low 60.

TWC: Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 82, Low 64.
Sunday: Sunny. High 87, Low 61.

AW: Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 81, Low 63.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. High 86, Low 61.

NWS: Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 80, Low 63.
Sunday: Sunny. High 85, Low 62.

WB: Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 80, Low 63.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. High 85, Low 62.

WN: Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 81, Low 64.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. High 84, Low 63.

FIO: Saturday: Partly cloudy until afternoon. High 80, Low 64.
Sunday: Evening rain shower possible. High 86, Low 63.

A couple light showers were in the area earlier this evening, but have since dissipated. Meanwhile, clusters of thunderstorms continue rolling through AR and TX.

southplainsRAD

Dodging Showers

There were a few storms popping off around Madison on Wednesday, but luckily avoided the area and made for a fairly decent day. They weren’t so lucky on Thursday as they had a couple light showers move through the area. Overall, VW and the NWS tied for the top spot.

Wednesday: High 80, Low 56.
Thursday: 0.01″ in late-morning shower. High 77, Low 64.
Forecast Grade: B

The week ahead 6/28/15 – 7/4/15

Boy, if we are calling July 4th the middle of summer, it goes a lot quicker than I would want it to! It’s coming up on Saturday, and we have some forecasts to get to before that time.

map

Sunday – Gulfport, Mississippi
Tuesday – Atlanta, Georgia
Wednesday – Salinas, California
Thursday – Vineland, New Jersey; Road Trip from Salinas to Vineland
Friday – Road Trip from Vineland to Dallas, Texas

Cedar Rapids, Iowa

Today we visit the Midwest, where storms have been aplenty the last few days. Will Cedar Rapids see more of this activity as we head into the weekend?

At 252pm CDT, the temperature at Cedar Rapids, IA was 76 degrees under overcast skies. While the skies are overcast, more significant cloud cover is found off to the north and west as some shower activity has been trying to get going. A disturbance shifting through SD/NE will push through IA overnight tonight, kicking off another round of showers and storms but looks like the worst will be off over the southern half of the state and over northern Missouri. There might be a few lingering showers as we push into the afternoon, but most of the activity should have shifted off to the east by then. The disturbance then moves on and becomes a fully-formed low pressure system over the Ohio Valley, but a ridge of high pressure looks to move over the Midwest in the wake of the low. This should clear out things on Saturday and allow temperatures to make a run at 80. Looks like a good start to the weekend!

Friday: Morning showers/thunderstorms, drying out in afternoon/evening. High 73, Low 61.
Saturday: Mostly sunny, a bit warmer. High 79, Low 56.

TWC: Friday: Early morning showers, then cloudy. High 75, Low 64.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 81, Low 57.

AW: Friday: Cooler with showers around. High 72, Low 62.
Saturday: Pleasant with clouds and sun. High 78, Low 56.

NWS: Friday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mostly cloudy. High 74, Low 62.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 78, Low 57.

WB: Friday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. High 75, Low 62.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 78, Low 58.

WN: Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. High 73, Low 63.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 79, Low 57.

FIO: Friday: Rain in the morning and afternoon. High 73, Low 63.
Saturday: Few afternoon clouds. High 78, Low 59.

Here we see some high clouds moving over Eastern Iowa, with some of the cooler cloud tops off to the northwest housing some light rain showers.

CIDsat

Picture Perfect

The forecasts for Abilene were for bright sunshine and fairly consistent temperatures, and they were pretty much spot on. There were a few more clouds than expected on Wednesday, but that didn’t keep temperatures lower than anticipated. Victoria Weather had about a perfect a forecast you can get, missing a score of zero by only a single degree!

Tuesday: High 91, Low 71.
Wednesday: High 91, Low 70.
Forecast Grade: A

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