Toledo, Ohio to Baltimore, Maryland

It’s interesting to think, but because of layovers and proximities to airports, it would take only 4 hours longer to drive from Toledo to Baltimore than fly, and that doesn’t even account for the wait at the airport. Yes, the drive is going to be just short of 8 hours, covering 488 miles at a pace of 62.8mph, which isn’t terribly fast, but accounts for sluggish traffic, especially in and around the Nation’s Capitol.

 

DAY ONE

Hurricane Maria, if you haven’t forgotten about her, continues to linger just off the east coast, and will be moving towards the Outer Banks as a Category 2 storm. Still strong, but not the monster that has devastated Puerto Rico,and she is expected to turn away from the coast before really doing any damage inland, though surf will be up on the beaches. For our route, though? From northwest Ohio to Baltimore? Nothing. Maria will help a very strong ridge in the east scour the atmosphere, and will allow us to drive through the Appalachians, perhaps without seeing a single cloud until we get to the Charm City.

Despite hot summer, Western US sees first snows of 2017-18 season

This summer was almost unbearable for residents of the western US. While folks east of the Rockies saw a relatively comfortable August (before hurricane season, that is to say), everything was an excessive heat advisory with temperatures reaching record levels all along the Pacific Coast. Well, the script, as they say, has flipped.

While it’s been in the 90s as far north as the Twin Cities this weekend, but out west, especially in the Grand Tetons and Sierras, a sharp upper level trough has brought an early season bout of cold air to the western US. How Cold? Cold enough for snow. Around Lake Tahoe, some locations saw a foot of the white stuff on the last day of summer.

The upper trough continues to remain parked over the central Rockies, and a lee trough is helping with the production of a great deal of rain in the Great Plains, but also leading to the forecast for more snow from Yellowstone through the Utah Wasatch.

Obviously, with 90s still occurring north of the Mason Dixon Line, we aren’t into the winter time forecast pattern quite yet, the possibility is certainly right around the corner, even to us flatlanders.

 

Hurricane Maria continues destructive 2017 hurricane season

The major weather headline for 2017 will undoubtedly go to the devastating hurricane season, which featured three major hurricanes making impactful landfall, and another rolling out to sea with a much lesser imprint on the Caribbean.

Maria is the latest in this litany of destruction, impacting Dominica and Puerto Rico the hardest, while also smacking the Turks and Caicos and Bahamas once again. Dominica, like Barbuda before it, as well as St Barts, St. Martin and the Virgin Islands have been laid waste, while Puerto Rico is said to be entirely out of power. Given this destruction, the fact that there have been only about 200 storm deaths to date with the entire season is nothing less than miraculous.

While Maria’s course took it directly over Dominica and Puerto Rico, which will be very costly in the end,  those islands are  arguably some of the most well prepared to contend for a storm of this magnitude. The joint weather monitoring service for the Lesser Antilles is headquartered in Dominica, while San Juan is home to a NWS office.  Another factor that helped save lives is Maria’s striking terrain of Puerto Rico, which will lead to some flash flooding, but also worked to corrode Maria’s strength and make her weaker in the Turks and Caicos, Dominican Republic and Bahamas. The zealous preparation saved lives.

Maria looks to be done with major land masses, as she has grazed the Dominican Republic and is sliding through the Bahamas towards the open Atlantic. Fortunately, after Maria has shifted into the Atlantic, there looks to be ample time to recover. For the first time in a while, the Atlantic Basin will be quiet.

Everyone is on the same page

If you follow along with our forecasts closely, you likely noted that the forecasts in Anderson, South Carolina were very tightly bunched. This is because without synoptic scale features, or the benefit of variable cloud cover, everyone rightfully relied closely on model guidance, which is highly reliable in these situations. The Weather Channel got a very, very slight victory, and nearly everyone else tied just one degree behind them.
Actuals: Monday – High 84, Low 63
Tuesday – High 72, Low 63

Grade: B

Dothan, Alabama to Orlando, Florida

The Southeastern portion of our great nation has been beaten and abused by the weather through the late summer. Fortunately, while Maria has ravaged the Caribbean for the second time this season, she has no designs on Florida, and the Sunshine State is opening back up for business. Why not a trip down to Disney World? This is going to be a short trip, covering only 358 miles and lasting just over 5 hours. We should be able to reach an average speed of 66.9mph, dspite he brief length of the trip.



Maria will be sliding through the Bahamas tomorrow, which will be quite dangerous for that nation, but is quite fortunate for Florida. Her easterly turn will be even better news for the East Coast this weekend. the northeasterly, counter-clockwise flow around Maria will be directed at our route, however. This won’t be a catastrophic wind, or torrential rain, but there will be a few isolated showers and storms over interior Florida, which we may bump into between Tallahassee and Orlando, but personally, I think the models are getting over eager with the rain threats. Orlando will not be perfect when we get there, but it won’t be bad either.

Salt Lake City, Utah

Today we head off to Salt Lake City. I’ve been there once, as a kid, during the summer. Maybe I’d appreciate it more these days. Let’s take a look at how Salt Lake will welcome in Fall, which starts on Friday at 402pm EDT!

At 1015pm MDT, the temperature at Salt Lake City, UT was 64 degrees under overcast skies. There’s a cold front working its’ way throughout the Western US currently, from the Western Daktoas down into the Intermountain West and even down into the Southern CA. Throughout the day Thursday, this cold front is going to shift through northern Utah, bringing some shower activity with it. Cooler temperatures are expected to move through with it as well, which is why a Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for higher elevations in the region. As far as the city proper goes, don’t worry, it’ll just be rain. Most of the activity will shift north and east out of the area during the day Friday, but not before a few light showers linger in the area, mainly during the early morning hours. Temperatures will be pretty chilly the next couple of mornings, so be sure to grab that jacket. Fall is here!

Thursday: Showers late in the day. High 61, Low 46.
Friday: Few early morning showers possible, cooler. High 57, Low 41.

TWC: Thursday: Mostly cloudy, isolated showers. High 57, Low 47.
Friday: Showers expected. High 55, Low 40.

AW: Thursday: Cooler with a passing shower. High 57, Low 46.
Friday: Mainly cloudy, showers around. High 55, Low 42.

NWS: Thursday: Rain likely. High 61, Low 44.
Friday: Chance of showers. High 55, Low 40.

WB: Thursday: Chance of rain. High 56, Low 44.
Friday: Chance of rain showers. High 51, Low 42.

WN: Thursday: Mostly cloudy with rain. High 61, Low 44.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. High 55, Low 40.

FIO: Thursday: Rain in the morning and evening. High 62, Low 46.
Friday: Light rain until afternoon. High 53, Low 43.

Here we see Salt Lake City on the leading edge of a frontal boundary starting to slide through the Western US. Better get those umbrellas!

Jose brings a chill

Warm weather had arrived in New England last weekend as a warm front lifted north through Canada. It hit the mid 80s on Sunday, which is unusual , as you might guess, for this time of year in Manchester, New Hampshire, but it was a hurricane that nicked the temperature. Jose redirected a cooler easterly flow off the north Atlantic, and high temperatures dropped by 12 degrees on Monday, which was fine, because it was the work week. There was no rain, which prevented Forecast.io from earning the victory, instead, giving it to Accuweather.
Actuals: Sunday – High 84, Low 63
Monday – High 72, Low 63

Grade: B-C

Prescott, Arizona

Today we head off to the Desert Southwest, seems to be the only place that’s been quiet these last few days. Will they continue to be so or is a pattern shift in the cards for them?

At 915pm MST, the temperature at Prescott, AZ was 57 degrees under fair skies. A fairly quiet pattern continues over AZ on Monday as a large front/upper trough pushes through the Pacific Northwest/Northern Rockies and pushes its way down over the Great Basin by early Tuesday. That’s as far south as it’s going to make it, however, as it stalls out over Southern NV/Utah. Central Arizona will remain fairly quiet and warm throughout the next couple of days, with perhaps a hint of briskness in the air during the morning.

Monday: Sunny. High 80, Low 50.
Tuesday: Continued sunny. High 81, Low 51.

TWC: Monday: Sunny. High 78, Low 52.
Tuesday: Sunny. High 77, Low 53.

AW: Monday: Sunny and pleasant. High 82, Low 48.
Tuesday: Plenty of sun. High 81, Low 49.

NWS: Monday: Sunny. High 78, Low 47.
Tuesday: Sunny. High 77, Low 48.

WB: Monday: Sunny. High 78, Low 49.
Tuesday: Sunny. High 76, Low 49.

WN: Monday: Sunny. High 79, Low 46.
Tuesday: Sunny. High 79, Low 46.

FIO: Monday: Clear throughout the day. High 78, Low 53.
Tuesday: Clear throughout the day. High 78, Low 54.

Here we see, well, pretty much nothing. It’s quiet. Pretty neat to see the Grand Canyon though!

The official blog of Victoria-Weather