We made it back to Missouri! How fun.
At 652PM, CT, Springfield was reporting a temperature of 80 degrees with sunny skies. Upper level high pressure is in control across the Ozarks and even west through 4 Corners. At the same time, a surface cold front has swept through earlier today, and clouds are just now clearing, allowing temperatures to remain pleasantly cool.
At the upper levels, the pattern is long waved and will remain mostly stationary through the period. In the lower levels, however, a wave is prognosticated to move out of the southern Rockies, touching off some thunderstorms over the southern Plains by Wednesday morning. The surface low will be fueled by warm air and westerly winds, as well as a bit of lower level vorticity thanks to those winds, so its propagation will be slow as much of the forcing will remain closer to the mountains and sun baked High Plains. There is a chance that there will be some rain late in the evening on Wednesday as the low attempts to move away from its support and flattens out. Associated moisture will latch onto flow around a broader trough over the Great Lakes and be pulled eastward, but without the convective support found to the west, heavy thunderstorms shouldn’t be expected (though with the elevation of the region, heavy rain can’t be ruled out).
Tomorrow – Sunny and warmer High 83, Low 58
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy through most of the day, with rain later in the evening, High 80, Low 60
TWC: Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny High 82, Low 59
Wednesday – Showers High 76, Low 63
AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, pleasant and less humid High 80, Low 58
Wednesday – Cloudy in the morning, then clouds and sun in the afternoon with a shower or thunderstorm in spots High 75, Low 60
NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 81, Low 59
Wednesday – A 40 percent chance of rain. Cloudy High 76, Low 62
WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny. High 80, Low 58
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. High 79, Low 62
WN: Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny high 81, Low 59
Wednesday – Mostly Cloudy with Scattered Showers High 75, Low 63
Everyone is looking for rain, and that 40% chance looks about right. I think there isn’t enough forcing to keep the city completely cloudy, so I am riding with a warmer temperature than anyone on Wednesday afternoon. Doesn’t look terribly cloudy right now.