Springfield, Illinois

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There are many Springfields in the United States, and I very strongly believe that this is one of them.

At 752PM, CT, Springfield was reporting clear skies and a temperature of 57 degrees. Clear skies and a low dew point suggest temperatures will be pretty chilly tomorrow morning. High pressure has settled into the eastern part of the country, stymied from eastward progress by Subtropical Storm Josephine.
The high pressure is not going to move over the next couple of days, and sunny skies will continue unabated. To the west, low pressure presently over the Desert Southwest is going to start charging northeastward, bringing with it warmer air and a bit more humidity. Expect an end of the week that feels closer to summer than winter.
Tomorrow – Sunny, High 76, Low 47
Friday – Sunshine continues, High 77, Low 44

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny. Warm. High 78, Low 45
Friday – Mainly sunny. Warm. High 76, Low 46

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny and warm; a nice day for outdoor activities, High 77, Low 44
Friday – Mostly sunny, nice and warm; great day to be outside High 75, Low 47

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 77, Low 48
Friday – Sunny, High 76, Low 49

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny. High 76, Low 49
Friday – Sunny. High 71, Low 49

WN: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 77, Low 48
Friday – Mostly sunny, High 76, Low 49

CLI: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 74, Low 45
Friday – Sunny, High 74, Low 46

I am not sure that it won’t be warmer on Friday than Thursday. Enough guidance disagrees that I am only putting an extra degree on the high Friday.

Casper, Wyoming

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Casper is the 2nd largest town in the state of Wyoming. You may not be impressed by that, but it would be the largest town in Vermont!

At 853PM, MT, Casper was reporting a temperature of 59 degrees with clear skies. The clear skies would typically mean an overnight cooldown, however the winds were brisk and from the south, which should temper any radiative heat loss. The winds were gusting over 30mph.
Low pressure in the Canadian Rockies is the culprit for the brisk winds and warm temperatures. The trough to the north will pass to the east, with a surface area of high pressure and more stable conditions arriving by Monday morning, with rain staying entirely out of the forecast.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 67, Low 47
Monday – Sunny, High 67, Low 36

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunshine and some clouds.  High 68, Low 46
Monday – Sunny. High 69, Low 36

AW: Tomorrow – Partly sunny and pleasant High 67, Low 40
Monday – Plenty of sunshine High 70, Low 36

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 64, Low 44
Monday – Sunny High 66, Low 37

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny. High 61, Low 44
Monday – Mostly sunny. High 66, Low 40

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 64, Low 43
Monday -Mostly sunny, High 66, Low 36

CLI: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 64, Low 40
Monday – Sunny, High 68, Low 35

Let’s do something different. The camera on the Wyoming Medical Center here is from Casper.

Tallahassee, Florida

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Tallahassee is in the process of recovering from Isaias, which brought torrential rains just to the west of the state capital.

At 853PM, ET, Tallahassee was reporting a temperature of 74 degrees with clear skies. An area of high pressure lay over the Florida Peninsula, but a deep digging autumnal trough over the Mississippi Valley is going to start churning up some southerly flow across the Gulf.
The boundary associated with the trough will arrive overnight Friday into Saturday morning. Far removed from the circulation of the surface flow, and coming after daylight, it will not bring much if any precipitation with it, but it will bring a taste of much cooler air to the Florida Panhandle to kick off the weekend.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, clouds late, High 89, Low 65
Saturday – Clouds early, with some predawn drizzle, High 73, Low 54

TWC: Tomorrow – Except for a few afternoon clouds, mainly sunny. Hot. High 89, Low 64
Saturday – Partly cloudy skies. Much cooler. High 74, Low 59

AW: Tomorrow – Warm with plenty of sunshine High 88, Low 60
Saturday – Breezy in the morning; otherwise, less humid with plenty of sunshine High 75, Low 60

NWS: Tomorrow – Areas of fog before 10am. Otherwise, sunny High 89, Low 66
Saturday – Sunny, High 73, Low 60

WB: Tomorrow – Areas of fog in the morning. Sunny. High 87, Low 67
Saturday – Sunny. Much cooler. High 74, Low 61

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 89, Low 66
Saturday – Mostly sunny, High 74, Low 62

CLI: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 89, Low 64
Saturday – Sunny, High 74, Low 58

I’m the only one who has rain in the forecast, but we all see a big change coming to the weather in Tallahassee. You can see the band of clouds through the center of the country, separating winter and summer.

Allentown, Pennsylvania

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Eastern Pennsylvania tonight, with a forecast for the Lehigh Valley.

At 1151PM, ET, Allentown was reporting clear skies and a temperature of 52. High pressure dominated New England, however a fairly deep trough over the Great Lakes, producing a weak feature presently centered over the Upper Peninsula. A band of showers over the Mid Atlantic and lifting northward was tied to this feature as well.
The upper level trough in the Great Lakes will continue to track o the east, and tap more effectively into the Gulf Stream,, while taking the traditional comma shape of a large area of low pressure. Cold air won’t really trickle into Allentown until Monday afternoon, when the original cold front arrives. Meanwhile, the moisture will have a tough time getting into the Lehigh VAlley either, rising from the south to meet the broader feature. Still, a chance for showers with overcast Sunday afternoon, and a clearer day on Monday, if trending cooler by nightfall.
Tomorrow – Passing clouds, especially in the afternoon with a sprinkle, High 60, Low 50
Monday – Mostly sunny, High 70, Low 48

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy skies with a few showers later in the day High 61, Low 52
Monday – Some clouds in the morning will give way to mainly sunny skies for the afternoon.  High 68, Low 53

AW: Tomorrow – Cloudy and cooler; occasional rain this afternoon High 61, Low 53
Monday – Mostly sunny and breezy at times; the start of an extended stretch of dry weather High 70, Low 53

NWS: Tomorrow – A chance of showers, mainly after 2pm. Cloudy, High 63, Low 52
Monday – Partly sunny, HIgh 68, Low 52

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the afternoon. High 64, Low 57
Monday – Sunny High 60, Low 44

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with showers, High 63, Low 53
Monday – Mostly sunny, High 68, Low 57

CLI: Tomorrow – Light rain showes, High 61, Low 52
Monday – Sunny High 67, Low 53

Satellite will continue to show a busy pattern in the northeast, but just like to night, it looks like a lot of that activity will steer clear of the Allentown area.

Sherman, Texas

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

We are headed to the Red River Valley tonight. Perhaps not the most interesting time of year for a forecast, but people still need to know the weather.

At 350PM, CT, Sherman was reporting partly cloudy skies with a temperature of 93 degrees. While the pattern is fairly benign, there is a bit of instability around Dallas, and there are a few pop up thunderstorm in the region,
A deep trough at the upper levels over the Rockies is diving southwest towards the Central Coast of California. This synoptic feature will interact with Hurricane Polo. The trough will stall aloft while Polo’s influence will move into the 4 Corners area. All this said, the main impact for north Texas will be continued return flow, a weaker than normal dry line, and isolated showers and storms will linger throughout the region for both days of the forecast period.
Tomorrow – Fair skies with an isolated storm, High 91, Low 69
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, isolated showers and storms, High 93, Low 70

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible high 89, Low 70
Tuesday – Sunshine and clouds mixed High 93, Low 72

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, very warm and humid; a thunderstorm in spots in the afternoon High 90, Low 70
Tuesday – Breezy in the morning; remaining very warm with more clouds than sun with a thunderstorm in spots in the afternoon High 91, Low 72

NWS: Tomorrow – A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. Mostly sunny, High 91, Low 70
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, High 94, Low 72

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny. A chance of showers in the morning, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 88, Low 71
Tuesday – Mostly sunny.  High 91, Low 73

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated storms, High 91, Low 70
Tuesday – Partly cloudy, High 94, Low 72

CLI: Tomorrow – Light rain showers, High 89, Low 69
Tuesday – Partly cloudy, High 91, Low 71

It looks like a pretty static couple of days, and all thanks to a hurricane.

Salinas, California

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Hey there, Salinas, what’s it like in your fine city?

At 653PM, PT, Salinas was reporting a temperature of 57 degrees and clear skies. The temperature matched the dew point, and fog will be creeping in, and the marine layer was creeping up the central Coast.
While typical thermal troughing in the Central Valley is expected to continue, along with a surface ridge on the coast, there is a system moving into the Pacific Northwest, arriving on the Oregon Coast tomorrow evening. This will amplify southerly flow around Salinas, which will provide a more reliable source for morning clouds on Friday morning as well.
Tomorrow – Morning fog and clouds, High 77, Low 55
Friday – Scattered early clouds, High 75, Low 58

TWC: Tomorrow – Intervals of clouds and sunshine. High 77, Low 57
Friday – Partly cloudy skies High 73, Low 53

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny and nice High 79, Low 56
Friday – Increasing amounts of sunshine High 73, Low 56

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 77, Low 59
Friday – Partly sunny, then gradually becoming sunny, High 72, Low 57

WB: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming sunny. High 76, Low 59
Friday – Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming sunny. High 73, Low 57

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 77, Low 59
Friday – Mostly sunny, High 72, Low 57

CLI: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 74, Low 55
Friday – Sunny, High 72, Low 56

It’s 1,000 miles away from here, but Salinas, you look so pretty.

Memphis, Tennessee

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Rarely is there a day like this, where the weather in my location is going to be vastly different than the town I am forecasting for. That happens most typically when I am looking at the West Coast, but I Memphis isn’t so far from Minnesota that it should feel like an entirely different season!

At 254PM, CT, Memphis was reporting clear skies and a temperature of 99 degrees. An area of low pressure over Canada dangled a slow moving boundary through the Great Lakes to Iowa. Typically, this position, especially with the heat in Memphis, would lead to scattered showers in the region, however a weak upper level gyre over the Florida Peninsula was redirecting flow back eastward, and away from Memphis.
At the gyre drifts into the Gulfs Stream, it will strengthen and drift to join with the upper level trough. This won’t be directly impactful for Memphis, but it will allow the rich tropical air to move north and flood towards that boundary. There is a better chance for rain and storms to begin the work week, after a grueling hot weekend.
Tomorrow – Hot, High 100, Low 77
Monday – Sunny, some clouds and a late storm, High 98, Low 77

TWC: Tomorrow – A few clouds early, otherwise mostly sunny. Hot High 100, Low 75
Monday – Partly cloudy. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible. High 97, Low 75

AW: Tomorrow – Partly sunny and very hot with the temperature approaching the record high of 100 last reached in 2022; caution advised if outside for extended periods of time High 99, Low 74
Monday – Partly sunny and toasty conditions; an afternoon thunderstorm; caution advised if doing strenuous activities outside High 95, Low 74

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny and hot, High 100, Low 76
Monday – Mostly sunny and hot, High 98, Low 76

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny in the afternoon High 94, Low 78
Monday – Mostly sunny. High 96, Low 79

WN: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy, High 100, Low 76
Monday – Partly cloudy, High 98, Low 76

CLI: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 99, Low 77
Monday – Partly cloudy High 97, Low 75

It’s about 30 degrees warmer in Memphis than it is not far to the north. There is a circulation centered around Tampa, but again another one over Mississippi. Just churning away.

Williamsport, Pennsylvania

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

North Central PA has the ability to be a tricky forecast, because it is squeezed between the Atlantic and Great Lakes, all while nestled in the folds of the Allegheny Mountains. Tricky!

At 954PM, ET, Williamsport was reporting a temperature of 55 degrees with clear skies. The cool temperatures, valley location and clear skies are all ingredients that will lead to overnight fog.
A stout ridge lays over the Mid-Atlantic, despite a strong trough attempting to move in from the northern Plains. Eastern Pennsylvania will remain clear and fairly sunny through midweek while the boundary and trough dissipate and stall, respectively. Flow will become more southerly, however, leading to a warmer day on Wednesday in Williamsport.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 73, Low 48
Wednesday – Mostly sunny and warmer. High 81, Low 54

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy skies. High 74, Low 46
Wednesday – A shower or two possible early with partly cloudy skies in the afternoon. High 81, Low 55

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny in the morning followed by sun and areas of high clouds; pleasant with low humidity HIgh 74, Low 46
Wednesday – Sun through high clouds High 79, Low 53

NWS: Tomorrow – Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, sunny, High 74, Low 45
Wednesday – Areas of fog before 10am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, High 81, Low 52

WB: Tomorrow – Patchy fog in the morning. Sunny. High 73, Low 50
Wednesday – Patchy fog in the morning. Mostly sunny. High 80. Low 55

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 73, Low 45
Wednesday – Partly cloudy, High 80, Low 52

CLI: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 72, Low 47
Wednesday – Light rain showers, High 79, Low 55

Those smatterings of rain showers are particularly interesting to me. The radar and cloud cover are pretty empty tonight.

Morristown, Tennessee

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

It’s time to journey to the mountains of eastern Tennessee this afternoon. Technically, I think it’s also northern Tennessee, but who can even say? It’s in that little finger pointing at the Virginia/North Carolina border.

At 1215PM, ET, Morristown was reporting a temperature of 86 degrees with clear skies. The tail of a remnant boundary was lingering over the Carolinas, and the Gulf was open to the Ohio Valley. Showers and scattered storms will be possible through the afternoon across the region, though Morristown should remain dry, thanks to the position of the town north and west of the Smokeys, however eyes should stay on the next feature moving into the Northern Plains.
As the boundary moves into the Upper Midwest, flow will redirect to become lightly southwesterly. The boundary itself will remain over the Great Lakes, but the moisture over the southeast will waft towards Morristown. There will be a chance of light showers on Saturday afternoon. As the feature shifts further east, the Gulf will close off, and clear skies will return to eastern Tennessee.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, chance of afternoon showers, High 80, Low 69
Sunday – Early cloudy, then sunny, High 86, Low 68

TWC: Tomorrow – Scattered thunderstorms in the morning, then mainly cloudy during the afternoon High 81, Low 69
Sunday – Partly cloudy. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible High 88, Low 66

AW: Tomorrow – Times of clouds and sun with a couple of showers and a thunderstorm; humid; thunderstorms can bring gusty winds and ponding on roadways High 81, Low 69
Sunday – Times of clouds and sun with widely separated thunderstorms; humid High 85, Low 69

NWS: Tomorrow – A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny High 86, Low 69
Sunday – A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly before 8am. Mostly sunny, High 87, Low 67

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then showers with a chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 81, Low 71
Sunday – Mostly sunny. A slight chance of showers in the morning. High 87, Low 70

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with light showers and a chance of storms, High 86, Low 69
Sunday – Partly cloudy with scattered showers, High 87, Low 67

CLI: Tomorrow – Thunderstorm, High 82, Low 70
Sunday – Light rain showers, High 87, Low 69

I’m surprised the other outlets are calling for rain on Sunday. It seems like it will be a bit of a challenge. Here is the radar, showing a couple of pop up storms in southern Kentucky.

Syracuse, New York

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

A couple of stops in the next several days in New York, with our first down wind of the Great Lakes. I don’t anticipate Lake effect snow this time around.

At 654PM, ET, Syracuse was reporting mostly cloudy skies and a temperature of 74 degrees. Dew points are also pleasantly situated in the 50s as high pressure has built into the mid-Atlantic. Eyes will be toward the Great Lakes, however, as a cold front moving through Michigan and Wisconsin, bringing showers and storms that are headed for Chicago.
The cold front is tied to an area of low pressure over Hudson Bay, and affiliated with a deep and seasonably strong trough in the Great Lakes The boundary will drift eastward, losing some punch as it moves into dry, stable air over the mid-Atlantic. There will still be a few showers in the area tomorrow afternoon, though not terribly strong. The boundary will shift out of the region for Thursday, with sunnier and even cooler conditions to round out the week.
Tomorrow – Increasing clouds, a splash of afternoon rain, high 80, Low 61
Thursday – Mostly sunny, High 75, Low 58

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy early. Scattered thunderstorms developing in the afternoon. High 79, Low 61
Thursday – Partly to mostly cloudy High 78, Low 60

AW: Tomorrow – Variable cloudiness with a thunderstorm; gusty winds can accompany any downpour, High 79, Low 59
Thursday – Partly sunny and nice High 78, Low 60

NWS: Tomorrow – A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 3pm and 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Partly sunny, High 81, low 61
Thursday – Mostly sunny, High 78, Low 59

WB: Tomorrow – Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers in the morning, then mostly cloudy with showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 80, Low 64
Thursday – Partly sunny. High 78, Low 62

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with light showers and a chance of storms, High 81, Low 61
Thursday – Partly cloudy, High 78, Low 59

CLI: Tomorrow – Thunderstorm, High 79, Low 61
Thursday – Sunny, High 79, Low 58

Something will indeed be coming out of the Lakes, but it won’t be snow. Not yet. Satellite shows those clouds coming Syracuse’s way.