Saint George, Utah

While most of the population of Utah is in a narrow strip of the Salt Lake Basin, right along I-15, there is at least one big outlier: St. George and Cedar City in he southwest corner of the state.

At 156PM, MT, St. George was reporting a temperature of 77 degrees with clear skies. There is a bit of an absence of upper level dynamics, and across the arid inter mountain west, that means sunshine and dry air. Dew points are sitting in the teens, so temperatures this afternoon should warm unabated.
The entry region of the nearest jet is centered over the Pacific Northwest, and it will shift towards Wyoming through the day tomorrow. Flow in the wake of the jet will curl cyclonically to join the jet streak, leading to the development of low pressure over Nevada. Southerly flow will emerge in southern Utah later in the day Tuesday. Expect dry conditions to continue over St. George, but some rain and snow to emerge over the southern faces of taller Wasatch Mountains through central Utah by Tuesday night.
Tomorrow – Sunny, High 82, Low 51
Tuesday – Partly cloudy and breezy, High 81, Low 51

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy skies. High 84, Low 50
Tuesday – Partly cloudy early. Mostly sunny skies with gusty winds developing later in the day. High 81, Low 52

AW: Tomorrow – Intervals of clouds and sun High 83, Low 47
Tuesday – Mostly sunny; breezy in the afternoon High 79, Low 53

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 83, Low 51
Tuesday – Sunny, High 79, Low 55

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 81, Low 55
Tuesday – Partly cloudy in the morning, then becoming sunny, High 80, Low 56

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 85, Low 51
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, High 81, Low 55

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 84, Low 50
Tuesday – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 81, Low 53

This was an interesting forecast to construct, watching low pressure develop on the same map in an area that wasn’t the High Plains. Not something we get to look at every day. It’s pretty sunny today, though.

Decatur, Illinois

Central Illinois is calling our name this evening.

At 1054PM, CT, Decatur was reporting clear skies with a temperature of 66 degrees. An active area of low pressure west of the Mississippi was drawing warm moist air north into Illinois, lending to the stuffy overnight temperatures, but a great deal of rain, with embedded thunderstorms was on it’s way. Fortunately, the warmer weather should continue through most of the day tomorrow.
The sharp curl to the upper jet will induce occlusion of the system through tomorrow morning, slowing the system down and taking the teeth out of the precipitation as it moves through Decatur. Severe weather, and even strong thunderstorms are unlikely. Wet weather will arrive in the evening in Decatur on Wednesday, with rain continuing, heavy at times through Thursday morning. Cooler, damp air will linger later in the day on Thursday as low pressure parks itself in central Illinois. With a murky upper level pattern, the lingering moisture over Decatur will help set the stage for shower and thunderstorm activity later this week.
Tomorrow – Late rain, some thunderstorms close to midnight, High 77, Low 60
Thursday – Heavy rain, then overcast with spots of drizzle, High 61, Low 52

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy in the morning with scattered thunderstorms developing later in the day. High 77, Low 60
Thursday – Cloudy early with showers for the afternoon hours. High 60, Low 53

AW: Tomorrow – Some sun, then increasing clouds and windy; a thunderstorm in spots in the afternoon High 77, Low 61
Thursday – Mainly cloudy, breezy and cooler with a couple of showers High 61, Low 52

NWS: Tomorrow – A 20 percent chance of showers after 2pm. Partly sunny, High 75, Low 60
Thursday – A 40 percent chance of showers after 1pm. Partly sunny High 60, Low 52

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny, 20% chance of rain showers in the afternoon, High 75, Low 61
Thursday – Cooler. Partly sunny with a 50% chance of rain showers, High 61, Low 55

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with scattered showers, High 75, Low 60
Thursday – Partly cloudy with scattered showers. High 59, Low 52

FIO: Tomorrow – Rain overnight and in the evening. Hugh 77, Low 5
“Thursday – Rain until morning, starting again in the evening. High 65, Low 51.

Illinois looks nice on satellite, but those poufs of cumulonimbus west of Mississippi bear watching.

Boston, Massachusetts

Baseball season starts tomorrow. The Red Sox may not be the team they have been in recent years, but baseball is a signal of a new spring and summer season, and I’m sure Boston fans are excited anyways.

At 1054PM, ET, Boston was reporting rain with a temperature of 57 degrees. A strong, sharp upper level trough is moving from the Great Lakes to the East Coast. Presently, surface low pressure is centered well into Nunavut, but along a ranging cold front, the base of the trough has fostered more cyclonic development in the mid-Atlantic. Surface low pressure will streak through southern New England shortly after midnight. Wind and rain will continue overnight, with the back end of the rain shifting out of the area in the late morning hours.
Cold air will become cut off behind the system over New England. While skies will largely be clear thanks to the subsidence of the heavier, denser cold air, it won’t feel particularly warm. Not only will the cold air pocket be in place, but winds will be steady.
Tomorrow – Rain lasting through the morning, then clearing and still brisk. High 55, Low 36
Friday – Mostly sunny and chilly, High 42, Low 29

TWC: Tomorrow – Rain showers early with overcast skies later in the day. High 57, Low 37
Friday – Sunshine and clouds mixed. High 45, Low 30

AW: Tomorrow – Cooler with periods of rain into the early afternoon; breezy in the morning High 56, Low 40
Friday – Partly sunny and breezy High 43, Low 30

NWS: Tomorrow – Rain likely, mainly before 9am. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, cloudy, High 57, Low 38
Friday – Mostly sunny High 45, Low 30

WB: Tomorrow – Rain mainly in the morning. Patchy fog in the morning. Much cooler. High 57, Low 37
Friday – Mostly sunny, High 44, Low 32

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with light rain High 56, Low 38
Friday – Partly cloudy, High 44, Low 31

FIO: Tomorrow – Rain until afternoon. High 61, Low 38
Friday – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 41, Low 31

That’s not a particularly nice start to opening day, but it should clear up by game time against the Orioles. Here is a look at the rain, which may, all told, add up to an inch by the end of the event.

Washington, DC

We are returning to our nation’s Capital for the forecast today. There has been a lot of nasty weather in the east and southeast of late, but now, it looks like there may be a pause. Will it old through the end of March?

At 1152AM, ET, Washington-Reagan was reporting a temperature of 52 degrees with clear skies. In the wake of the latest cold front, skies across the eastern Seaboard had cleared, and high pressure had taken hold, though a brisk west wind was leaving a bit of a chill to the air. Washington was seeing gusts approaching 30mph.
A deep trough in the Plains will advance eastward and lead the complicated jet structure over the mid-Atlantic to devolve. Warm air will rise through the mid-Atlantic on Tuesday, though low pressure moving through eastern Canada will drag a cold front out of the Appalachians and into the District of Columbia by late Wednesday morning. Some development along the front around eastern Tennessee will allow for a surge in moisture in Washington, leading to a rainier day than most areas on the Atlantic on Wednesday. Some thunder will mix in late in the day, but again, a lot of the thunder will be confined to points south of the Potomac.
Tomorrow – Sunny, getting warmer, High 72, Low 41
Wednesday – Rain starting in the morning, with some thunderstorms later in the day, High 66, Low 49

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny skies High 69, Low 41
Wednesday – Cloudy with periods of rain High 67, Low 55

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 68, Low 41
Wednesday – Cloudy with periods of rain in the afternoon High 66, Low 56

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 68, Low 42
Wednesday – Showers, High 66, Low 54

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 67, Low 42
Wednesday – Rain, High 64, Low 55

WN: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 68, Low 41
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy with showers, High 67, Low 54

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 66, Low 42
Wednesday – Rain throughout the day, High 65, Low 54

Here is what Lauryn Ricketts of NBC 4 in Washington has to say about the weather in DC this week.

Sacramento, California

Let’s head on out to California to finish this busy day of posting.

At 653PM, PT, Sacramento was reporting a temperature of 44 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. A broad trough aloft was contributing to a smattering of valley rain and mountain snow across the western US, generally from the Rockies to the coast. The surface low showed circulation centered off the coast from Point Arena, northwest of San Francisco Bay. Aside from that, surface features were ill defined.
The trough responsible for the inclement weather is bringing cooler air to the region as well. It’s axis is directed southwest to northeast, and that will slow its progression to the east. Unbound to the south, it will sink away a bit from Sacramento through the end of the week, leading to sunnier skies on Friday. Sacramento will still be within a general trough, however, and temperatures will remain cool, even if skies clear.
Tomorrow – Overcast with rain through the day, High 58, Low 40
Friday – Sunnier and warmer, High 65, Low 37

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy. High 59, Low 39
Friday – Mainly sunny. High 67, Low 37

AW: Tomorrow – Times of sun and clouds High 57, Low 39
Friday – Intervals of clouds and sun High 67, Low 34

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny High 58, Low 40
Friday – Sunny, High 66, Low 37

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy in the morning, becoming partly cloudy, High 58, Low 40
Friday – Patchy Frost in the morning. Sunny, Warmer, High 66, Low 36

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 58, Low 40
Friday – Sunny, High 66, Low 37

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 59, Low 40
Friday – Clear throughout the day. High 66, Low 37

I’m the only one saying that there will be rain tomorrow. I think we all agree that clouds and murk will linger in Sacramento, and snow will plaster the mountains outside of town.

Colorado Springs, Colorado

The Palmer Divide separates Denver from Colorado Springs, and though the topographies of the individual cities may appear similar, they often have very different weather fortunes. Let’s see what happens in Colorado Springs to round out the week.

At 854AM, MT, Colorado Springs was reporting a temperature of 45 degrees with a brisk west wind, gusting to 35mph with scattered clouds. An area of low pressure over the central Plains was leading to a wet day across the Northern Plains, with some light snow wrapping in from the north for Denver. South of the Palmer Divide, things were looking significantly drier, and the winds across the region were leading to red flag warnings for the Colorado High Plains.
Jet flow should remain fairly consistent across the region for the remainder of the week, southwest to northeast, though flow through the jet will continue to strengthen. A trough will begin to propagate along the jet stream in the western United States overnight Thursday to Friday, which will invigorate a warm front in the Plains, and will eventually lead to cyclogenesis in the southern High Plains. Skies will be fairly cloudy throughout the period, thanks to the flow aloft, but they will darken further late Friday, with a chance for a stray drizzle or flurry before midnight and a stormy weekend.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 45, Low 23
Friday – Increasing clouds, wintry mix late, High 40, Low 25

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy. High 45, Low 26
Friday – Partly cloudy skies during the morning hours will give way to cloudy skies with light rain and snow developing in the afternoon High 40, Low 26

AW: Tomorrow – A bit of morning snow with little or no accumulation followed by a little rain in the afternoon High 47, Low 24
Friday – Cloudy with a little snow with little or no accumulation, mixing with, then changing to rain High 44, Low 28

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny (Late snow) High 47, Low 24
Friday – A chance of snow before 3pm, then rain likely, possibly mixed with snow. Mostly cloudy, High 41, Low 26

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming mostly sunny, High 46, Low 28
Friday – Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow in the morning then chance of snow possibly mixed with rain in the afternoon, High 40, Low 29

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 47, Low 24
Friday – Motly cloudy with light wintry mix likely, High 42, Low 26

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 50, Low 28
Friday – Foggy overnight and in the evening. High 47, Low 30

Guidance is pretty reluctant to put much precipitation in Colorado Springs Friday night, but many outlets are going hard for a miserable end to the work week. Look at the radar below, with snow, deceptively heavy, up in Denver and nothing in Colorado Springs. That Palmer Divide sure lives up to it’s billing!

Topeka, Kansas

I really enjoy forecasting in Kansas. It’s right there, smack dab in the middle of the country, and it gets a little bit of influence from the Rockies, a little from the Gulf. It’s a lot of fun, I think.

At 253, PM, CT, Topeka was reporting a temperature of 62 degrees with clear skies and a brisk southwest wind. High pressure was dominating the picture in the middle of the country, leaving the entirety of Kansas in a pleasant warm air regime. Some brisk southerly winds were being drawn towards low pressure in the Canadian Prairies, but a feature along the Gulf Coast was intercepting moisture across the country, leading to the warm, dry situation in the Plains.
The clear skies and increasing warm weather will continue unabated through the middle of the week, however a fast moving wave presently over the Pacific, off the California coast will move swiftly on a line for Kansas. Rain should wait until after midnight, coming on Friday morning, but some warm south winds will take hold on Thursday afternoon.
Tomorrow – Sunny, High 69, Low 37
Thursday – Increasing clouds late, High 70, Low 34

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 71, Low 34
Thursday – Generally sunny despite a few afternoon clouds. High 70, Low 34

AW: Tomorrow – Mild with plenty of sun High 67, Low 35
Thursday – Mild with plenty of sun High 69, Low 34

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 66, Low 34
Thursday – Sunny, High 67, Low 34

WB: Tomorrow -Sunny, High 70, Low 35
Thursday – Sunny, High 69, Low 35

WN: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 66, Low 34
Thursday – Mostly sunny, High 67, Low 34

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 69 Low 35
Thursday – Clear throughout the day. High 69, Low 36

Look, you can see all of Kansas from space.

Cumberland, Maryland

Let’s see what’s going on inland in Maryland tonight.

AT 955PM, ET, Cumberland was reporting a temperature of 35 degrees with light rain. That rain wasn’t likely to continue through the night. The back edge of this batch of rain, presently inundating the District of Columbia, was nearby. A more likely change, however, would be that the rain changes to snow before precipitation ceases. A trio of southwest to northeast jet streaks presently lies across the mid Atlantic, fostering an environment of instability, with light rain moving across the region.
Some jet coalescence will occur in the next 12 hours, offering guidance for the activity in the area right now. It will jet off towards New England, while additional cyclogenesis will begin at the base of the trough, over the high Plains. As it drifts into the Upper Midwest, a well developed warm front will track through the area on Sunday morning. Fortunately, the warm air will arrive before the precipitation, and only rain is expected. Unfortunately, the system is going to occlude quickly, and the cold front will also drag itself across western Maryland by Sunday afternoon. Sunday, as a result, will be rainy throughout the day.
Tomorrow – Wintry mix early, then clearing and mostly cloudy. High 56, Low 34
Sunday – Rain all day, High 51, Low 39

TWC: Tomorrow – Light rain early. A mix of sun and clouds in the afternoon. (early snow), High 58, Low 34
Sunday – Rain likely. Potential for heavy rainfall, High 49, Low 42

AW: Tomorrow – A passing morning shower; otherwise, mostly cloudy and not as cool (Early snow) High 58, Low 34
Sunday – Rain High 50, Low 40

NWS: Tomorrow – Rain, mainly before 1pm High 56, Low 38
Sunday – Rain, mainly after 7am. The rain could be heavy at times. High 53, Low 42

WB: Tomorrow – Patchy fog in the morning. Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and freezing rain likely in the morning, then partly sunny with isolated rain showers in the afternoon. High 54, Low 36
Sunday – Rain, High 48, Low 41

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with scattered showers, High 57, Low 34
Sunday – Mostly cloudy with rain, High 53, Low 40

FIO: Tomorrow – Light rain until afternoon. High 57, Low 34
Sunday – Rain throughout the day. High 53, Low 40

It looks pretty rainy in and around Cumberland this weekend. At least we are all used to being indoors by now, right? Here is the rain right now. Not showing much in Cumberland, but that is probably an effect of the mountains in western Maryland.

Ocean City, New Jersey

Ocean City is in the southern part of the state of New Jersey, not far from Atlantic City. Sheesh, Ocean City, Atlantic City…. we get it, New Jersey, you are on an ocean.

At 854PM, ET, Ocean City was seeing a temperature of 29 degrees with clear skies. High pressure lay over the east coast, but the broad, nearly immobile trough over the country at the beginning of the month is no longer, replaced with a fast moving perturbation sliding presently across the Great Lakes. was expected to arrive on the east coast as early as tomorrow morning.
The line between rain and snow will be razor thin, but the southern Jersey Shore should be safe from snowfall, but heavy rain, perhaps embellished with a thunderstorm will move quickly through the Garden State. Clear skies will return on Monday evening, followed by a pleasant day on Tuesday.
Tomorrow – Rain, some thunder early, then clearing. High 45, Low 22
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, High 48, Low 32

TWC: Tomorrow – Rain likely, High 45, Low 30
Tuesday – Partly cloudy. High 46, Low 33

AW: Tomorrow – Breezy with periods of rain from late morning on High 44, Low 33
Tuesday – Intervals of clouds and sunshine; breezy in the afternoon High 45, Low 35

NWS: Tomorrow – A slight chance of rain and snow before 9am, then rain High 43, Low 29
Tuesday – Partly sunny High 45, Low 33

WB: Tomorrow – Rain, High 44, Low 28
Tuesday – Mostly sunny High 48, Low 35

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with a light wintry mix High 43, Low 28
Tuesday – Partly cloudy, High 45, Low 33

FIO: Tomorrow – Rain starting in the morning. High 45 Low 31
Tuesday – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 47, Low 32

Pretty unanimous across the board for this forecast, though several outlets are calling for some of the precipitation to mix. We’ll see!

Gulfport, Mississippi

You know all those times where I said that forecasts would soon be coming more quickly? Well, we are now at those times. Another forecast, and another for southern Mississippi.

AT 953PM, CT, Gulfport was reporting a temperature of 40 degrees with overcast skies. North winds continued to bring cold air to the region, behind a cold front that lay between Pensacola and Tallahassee. Sub freezing temperatures continued to the north, where ice, snow and cold have drastically impacted basic utilities.
The jet trough is restructuring the surface area of low pressure. Presently, there is an elongated surface trough, which is producing the rain and snow seen up and down the coast, but the base of the jet trough will interact with the low pressure channel along the Gulf Stream through the day tomorrow. As a more organization comes to the surface feature, low level moisture and clouds will pull away from Gulfport. It may not be warm, but Friday afternoon and Saturday will at least have sunshine.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy early, then clearing, High 52, Low 35
Saturday – Sunny, feeling warmer, High 58, Low 30

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy skies. High 51, Low 32
Saturday – A mainly sunny sky High 55, Low 30

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny and cold High 50, Low 32
Saturday – Plenty of sunshine, but cool High 56, Low 28

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing High 49, Low 31
Saturday – Sunny, High 56, Low 27

WB: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy in the morning, then clearing. High 49, Low 33
Saturday – Sunny, High 56, Low 28

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 49, Low 32
Saturday – Sunny, High 55, Low 29

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy throughout the day High 51, Low 33
Saturday – Clear throughout the day. High 56, Low 30

I am a little more optimistic for a warm up. Full sun in southern Mississippi should at least get a little closer to 60, right? The cool, moisture rich air of the southeast is leading to a lot of clouds tonight.