Salisbury, Maryland

To the Delmarva we go this evening, to the Eastern Shore of Maryland. Salisbury is the second largest town on the peninsula, after Dover. This is the first time Dover has been the biggest in any categorization.

AT 854PM, ET, Salisbury was reporting clear skies and a temperature of 50 degrees. There was a smattering of clouds to the west, over Appalachia, that were seen at the leading edge of high pressure. There is an upper level ridge parked over the eastern US, and any short term development will be found in the south central US, at the base of a strong jet trough.
There is little easterly momentum to the ridge, but there some. Cold air will coalesce behind the Appalachians even as low pressure develops in the lower Mississippi Valley. The cold air will drift southeastward, bringing with it the chance for a splash of showers on Wednesday afternoon, with a few clouds billowing in before that.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 65, Low 46
Wednesday – chance of light rain, High 54, Low 44 (non-standard)

TWC: Tomorrow – Overcast. Slight chance of a rain shower. High 62, Low 51
Wednesday – Rain early then remaining cloudy with showers in the afternoon. High 55, Low 42

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with a touch of rain; the temperature near the record of 69 set in 1991 High 64, Low 50
Wednesday – Mild with occasional rain and drizzle High 57, Low 42

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 67, Low 48
Wednesday – Rain likely. Cloudy, High 53, Low 45

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 62, Low 53
Wednesday – Rain likely, High 56, Low 42

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 66, Low 48
Wednesday – Cloudy with light rain likely, High 52, Low 48

FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 63, Low 48
Wednesday – Light rain in the morning and afternoon High 56, Low 39

There we go, a messy forecast for the middle of the week. Right now, however, the sky is clear and the air is unusually warm.

Ocala, Florida

We’re off to the Sunshine State once again. This weekend, the Super Bowl is a little further south in Miami. There were some very strong thunderstorms there last night, but at least at the Orange Bowl, life looks good this weekend. What about further north in Ocala?

At 203PM, ET, Ocala was reporting a temperature of 63 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. A cold front was moving through the Florida Peninsula, with temperatures in the 40s as close as Tallahassee. Ocala was not expected to receive any more rain today, though there were a few showers as nearby as Orlando.
The sharp upper level trough that is driving this cold front will be off over the Gulf Stream by tomorrow morning, with a thermal ridge working its way back into Florida by tomorrow afternoon. Low pressure developing in the plains will draw even more warm air northward.
Tomorrow – Sunny, High 67, Low 41
Monday – Partly cloudy, High 74, Low 39

TWC: Tomorrow – A mainly sunny sky. High 66, Low 42
Monday – A few clouds from time to time. high 73, Low 40

AW: Tomorrow – Plenty of sunshine, High 64, low 42
Monday – Partly sunny, pleasant and warmer High 73, low 40

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny High 65, Low 42
Monday – Sunny High 73, Low 41

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny High 64, Low 44
Monday – Sunny High 71, Low 41

WN: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 64, Low 41
Monday – Sunny, High 73, Low 39

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 65, Low 43
Monday – Clear throughout the day. High 73, Low 40

Not much going on for the next couple of days, however we do have a bit of rain off to the south this afternoon. Not much longer, though, for fans of Disney World.

Brownsville, Texas

Throughout most of the summer, the deep south of Texas is so hot and far removed from the jet stream, there is nothing interesting about the weather. How will it be as we visit in late January and February?

At 153PM, CT, Brownsville was reporting a temperature of 67 degrees with overcast skies. The overcast conditions spread through the center of the country, from border to border, as a deep upper level trough settled into the country.
The base of the trough will continue to shift eastward overnight, with cold air chasing the clouds out of town, but not before bringing the threat of some light rain to the city in the early morning hours. Some cyclonic development will occur over the northern Gulf, which will encourage more dry air from the north into the afternoon. Saturday morning in particular will be quite cold, thanks to the clearer and northerly winds.
Tomorrow – Light rain early, High 64, Low 52
Saturday – Clearing and cooler, especially in the morning, High 70, Low 47

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy skies early will become partly cloudy later in the day (early showers) High 67, low 56
Saturday – Intervals of clouds and sunshine. High 72, low 50

AW: Tomorrow – Clouds giving way to some sun with a shower in spots early in the morning, then becoming breezy High 67, Low 58
Saturday – Sunshine and patchy clouds High 70, Low 49

NWS: Tomorrow – Patchy drizzle with a slight chance of rain before 9am. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, High 65, Low 51
Saturday – Mostly sunny High 69, Low 48

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with with a 20% chance of rain showers in the morning, then partly cloudy in the afternoon. High 65, low 55
Saturday – Sunny, High 70, Low 51

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with isolated showers, High 67, Low 55
Saturday – Mostly sunny, High 71, Low 50

FIO: Tomorrow – Light rain tonight and tomorrow morning. high 66, Low 56
Saturday – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 70, Low 52

Here is a look from the forecast from KRGV. They are an Accuweather outlet, so if their forecast looks a little familiar, that’s why.

St. Joseph, Missouri

We’re going to check in a little north of Kansas City for our first forecast of the week. What can we expect from the weather in the middle of the country to start the week?

At 1153AM, CT, St. Joseph was reporting light fog and a temperature of 36 degrees. They weren’t indicating cloud cover, but a quick look at satellite imagery would confirm that they are socked in with overcast. Warm temperatures were melting snow and leading to saturated air masses from Kansas City to the Canadian border, and with warm temperatures expected to continue, no end is in sight.
A weak upper level trough is parenting an even weaker surface feature sliding out of the Rockies and into the Texas/Oklahoma region through the night tonight and into tomorrow. An inverted trough associated with this system will sneak into the St. Joseph area in the evening and linger through the morning. Some light precipitation, likely just mist mixed with some flakes, will persist overnight. Temperatures hovering close to freezing will make for treacherous roads in the region on Wednesday morning.
Tomorrow – Light precip, including snow and freezing drizzle, starting in the evening, High 32, low 27
Wednesday – Mixed precipitation including snow and light icing through mid morning, then clearing, High 34, Low 26

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy (late snow) High 29, Low 26
Wednesday – Cloudy skies. A few flurries or snow showers possible. high 30, Low 24

AW: Tomorrow – Cloudy High 32, Low 27
Wednesday – A passing morning flurry; otherwise, partly sunny High 32, Low 24

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy (Late snow) High 33, Low 26
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy (Early snow) High 33, Low 24

WB: Tomorrow – Cloudy, high 31, low 29
Wednesday – Partly sunny, High 31, Low 27

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of light snow, High 33, low 28
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy, High 33, Low 24

FIO: Tomorrow – Foggy tomorrow morning. High 32, low 27
Wednesday – Overcast throughout the day. High 34, Low 25

Ah, the dangerous mixed bag. Model guidance is pretty low key on precipitation out of this event, and you could go a lot of different ways. I feel like, with temperatures as warm as they are, we are going to expect a lot more low visibility misty fog, and not as many flakes. I don’t know where TWC is coming from with their temperatures. Too cloudy for it to be so cold, in my opinion. In any event, here is the satellite, with a dome of cloud cover over the area.

Prescott, Arizona

Prescott is the sweet spot of Arizona. Not as hot as Phoenix in the summer, not as snowy as Flagstaff in the winter. Sweet.

At 753PM, MT, Prescott was reporting clear skies with a temperature of 40 degrees. Clear skies have moved across Arizona in the wake of a fairly wet week across the state.
A high amplitude but somewhat shortwave trough is rolling through the western US, allowing for surface high pressure across the Intermountain West. Expect continued zonal flow across Arizona, which should mean a few scattered clouds in Prescott.
Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 62, Low 27
Monday – Mostly cloudy, High 59, Low 32

TWC: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny skies. High 60, Low 29
Monday -Cloudy. High 59, Low 33

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 60, Low 27
Monday – Mostly cloudy High 60, Low 30

NWS: Tomorrow Sunny, High 57, Low 29
Monday – Mostly cloudy High 57, Low 35

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny in the morning, then becoming partly cloudy, High 59, Low 30
Monday – Mostly cloudy, High 57, Low 34

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 57, Low 29
Monday – Mostly cloudy, High 57, Low 34

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day, High 59, Low 30
Monday – Overcast throughout the day. High 59, Low 34

Well, that’s about it. Pretty easy breezy, if I’m being honest. Take a look at this fairly tranquil satellite imagery. I can see Phoenix!

Hinesville, Georgia

The current pattern as it stands features a broad trough that doesn’t want to move. The exit arm has roughly been in the area of the Appalachians, give or take a few miles, which has meant an active start to the year in the southeast, and fairly warm January for a lot of people. Will those trends continue this week in Hinesville?

At 1256PM, ET, Hinesville was reporting a temperature of 78 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. A feature tucked from the southern Appalachians west-southwest towards the Mississippi Valley was drawing a moisture rich flow across already rain soaked lands, and overcast was common in Georgia, but parts of the coast have broken out, and temperatures in the region were 10 degrees or so warmer than interior parts of the state.
The instability derives from jets converging in the southern Appalachians, rather than from the tail of an advancing boundary, the light to moderate rain will remain in place over the interior southeast for the next couple of days. While no significant rain is in the forecast, the continued moisture filled flow across the region will lend itself to some early morning fog and low clouds, with a stray, isolated shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon for each of the next two days.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, especially early, High 79, low 60
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy with a chance of some drizzle before sunrise, High 80, Low 60

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy skies. High 80, Low 63
Wednesday – Sunshine and clouds mixed. High 81, Low 60

AW: Tomorrow – Areas of fog in the morning; otherwise, mainly cloudy and very warm, High 80, Low 64
Wednesday- Considerable cloudiness and very warm High 80, Low 61

NWS: Tomorrow – Areas of dense fog before 11am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy High 79, Low 62
Wednesday – Partly sunny, High 80, Low 61

WB: Tomorrow – Areas of dense fog in the morning. Mostly cloudy. Visibility of a quarter mile or less at times in the morning. High 79, low 63
Wednesday – Partly sunny, High 79, low 62

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, high 79, low 62
Wednesday – Partly cloudy, High 80, low 61

FIO: Tomorrow – Overcast throughout the day. High 81, Low 62
Wednesday – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 80, Low 61

Not often that I am the most skeptical of an areas chances at staying dry. If they see anything, it will just be a spritz, and barely noticeable, but with this much moisture in the region, it’s hard to rule out. Take a look at the local satellite, which is showing quite a bit of cloud cover.

Billings, Montana

I’m really doing it! here is a look at the weather in Billings. It’s usually a challenging endeavor, forecasting in Billings, but will the weather be even more uncooperative than usual?

At 1153AM, MT, Billings was reporting cloudy skies with a temperature of 19 degrees. High pressure had filtered into the high Plains and was smushing a bunch of clouds and moisture into the Front Range. There were a few flurries southeast of town headed towards Wyoming, but a weak lee perturbation would ensure the chance for some light snow through the early morning hours tomorrow. There is a winter weather advisory for the region.
A vast area of low pressure, as opposed the the wave n the region right now, will shift from the Pacific Northwest, where it will do considerable damage as a snowmaker, however it will not make as much hay on the other side of the Rockies. Models indicate that Billings will be in a rain — or snow — shadow through most of the day on Saturday, even as low pressure rematerializes as the upper trough makes it’s way through the Rockies. The low will redevelop over Wyoming and colorado, however, which means Billings will be getting colder, whether or not it gets any snow.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with an early flurry, High 25, low 8
Saturday – Increasing clouds, warmer with a chance for an early flake, High 40, Low 18

TWC: Tomorrow – A few passing clouds, otherwise generally sunny. (Early snow High 33, Low 13
Saturday – A few passing clouds, otherwise generally sunny. High 40, Low 22

AW: Tomorrow – A couple of snow showers in the morning; otherwise, cold with partial sunshine High 31, low 9
Saturday – Mainly cloudy with snow showers, accumulating a coating to an inch High 28, Low 22

NWS: Tomorrow – A 20 percent chance of snow before 8am. Mostly sunny High 26, Low 6
Saturday – A 20 percent chance of snow before 11am. Mostly cloudy High 36, Low 20

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 29, Low 11
Saturday – Mostly cloudy, high 37, Low 22

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with a slight chance of snow, High 26, Low 6
Saturday – Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of light snow, High 36, Low 20

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day High 32, low 11
Saturday – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 39, low 22

Take a look at local affiliate KTVQ’s forecast for the city. I’m surprised how similar the national affiliates were. What do the locals say?

Deltona, Florida

All right, guys! My sabbatical is over, and the new year is beginning in the same state we left off in — Florida!

At 253PM, ET, Deltona was reporting a temperature of 78 degrees and sunny skies. An area of low pressure in the Tennessee Valley was producing a vast cloud field in the southeastern US, sparing most of the Florida Peninsula but drawing a warm flow across the region. Deltona, as noted, was in the upper 70s, but the 80s were seen widely around the area as well.
The storm is going to advance to the northeast, along the exit arm of the parent jet trough. The center of the system will get distended as it tracks through the Appalachians, but the associated cold front will arrive early on Saturday morning. This will be good news, as cold fronts tend to be fairly active and dangerous for Florida in the day time, where there is often a great deal of available instability. The showers and storms that move through will be through by the early afternoon, which will ensure a fairly pleasant afternoon, and the avoidance of any truly nasty weather this weekend.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, increasing clouds, High 84, Low 63
Saturday – Early rain with isolated thunderstorms, then sunny and cooler, High 75, Low 58

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy skies. High 84, Low 65
Saturday – A steady rain in the morning. Showers continuing in the afternoon High 76, Low 62

AW: Tomorrow – A steady rain in the morning. Showers continuing in the afternoon – High 84, Low 66
Saturday – Mostly cloudy and not as warm with a couple of showers and a thunderstorm; breezy in the afternoon High 75, Low 58

NWS: Tomorrow – Partly sunny, High 84, Low 63
Saturday – Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1pm, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, High 75, Low 57

WB: Tomorrow – Partly sunny, patchy fog, High 83, Low 68
Saturday – Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon, High 77, Low 60

WN: Tomorrow – PArtly cloudy, High 83, Low 65
Saturday – Mostly cloudy with showers likely, High 75, Low 65

FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 86, Low 65
Saturday – Light rain in the morning and afternoon. High 74, Low 54

Here is the satellite imagery, giving you a sense for the scale of the feature in the southeastern US. IT’s going to look markedly weaker by the time it arrives in central Florida.

Springfield, Massachusetts

Only a fortnight left of shopping until Christmas! What will the weather be like in Springfield, MA as we head into the weekend to get those gifts?

At 1156pm EST, the temperature at Springfield, MA was 20 degrees under fair skies. High pressure is found over New England currently, but the next couple of days will see conditions deteriorate rapidly. An area of low pressure is developing in the Southeast and will scoot its way up the Eastern Seaboard throughout the day Friday. Rain showers will shift into the area by the evening hours, and increase in intensity overnight into Saturday as the low draws closer to the region. Some heavy rains are expected Saturday morning and should finally taper off some during the afternoon and early evening hours as the low shifts through New England. Winds are expected to pick up late Saturday as well, making for a rather miserable start to the weekend.

Friday: Increasing evening showers. High 40, Low 21.
Saturday: Heavy morning rains, becoming lighter in evening. High 52, Low 40.

TWC: Friday: Afternoon rain showers. High 39, Low 20.
Saturday: Rain. High 52, Low 37.

AW: Friday: A bit of afternoon rain. High 37, Low 21.
Saturday: Heavy rain tapering off. High 50, Low 35.

NWS: Friday: Mostly cloudy then chance of wintry mix. High 35, Low 20.
Saturday: Heavy rain, areas of fog. High 42, Low 35.

WB: Friday: Chance of rain showers. High 38, Low 20.
Saturday: Rain. High 53, Low 38.

WN: Friday: Cloudy with light showers likely. High 38, Low 20.
Saturday: Cloudy with light rain. High 50, Low 35.

FIO: Friday: Light rain starting in afternoon. High 43, Low 23.
Saturday: Rain until evening. High 56, Low 42.

Some high clouds are streaming over the area currently, but the system taking shape in the Southeast is what will bring our weekend rains.

Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Whoops! This was supposed to be posted on Monday evening. However, something from Real Life Inc. interfered and even though the data had already been gathered, I forgot to disperse it to our faithful readers! Apologies! I’ll understand if I get one fewer present under the tree.

At 951pm EST, the temperature at Pittsburgh, PA (KPIT) was 56 degrees with light rain falling. As a cold front is pushing through the region, a few straggling showers are expected over the area early Tuesday morning, but then conditions clear out by midday as high pressure works in behind the system. Wednesday should be dry, but much colder as high pressure shifts overhead.

Tuesday: A few morning showers. High 53, Low 27.
Wednesday: Clearing and colder. High 34, Low 21.

TWC: Tuesday: Cloudy, chance of morning showers. High 57, Low 31.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. High 34, Low 20.

AW: Tuesday: Cooler, a shower in the morning. High 54, Low 30.
Wednesday: Partly sunny and colder. High 35, Low 22.

NWS: Tuesday: Chance of morning rain showers. High 55, Low 30.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. High 32, Low 20.

WB: Tuesday: Chance of morning rain showers. High 55, Low 30.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. High 32, Low 24.

WN: Tuesday: A few morning showers. High 54, Low 29.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. High 33, Low 21.

FIO: Tuesday: Light rain in the morning. High 58, Low 30.
Wednesday: Clear throughout the day. High 33, Low 24.