Kingston, New York

The Hudson River is home to so many important cities, many of which are overshadowed by Albany and New York. There are plenty of good ones though, not the least of which is Kingston, which is just north of another good one, Poughkeepsie.

At 453PM, ET, it was 56 degrees and overcast near Kingston. The remnants of weak circulation associated with Delta are in Southern New England and are contributing to the cloudy skies in the area, though rain seems to have departed from Kingston for the rest of the day. Drier conditions are on the way tomorrow as a strong jet trough organizes a well developed extratropical cyclone in the Great Lakes.
The low will shift to the north as the jet trough becomes more well developed. The jet trough development is indicative of cold air surging into the center of the country, and a cold front developing west of the Appalachians. Ahead of the developing cold front, warm southerly flow will make things unseasonably warm for at least a day in Kingston.
Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 69, Low 41
Thursday – Partly cloudy, breeze, High 75, Low 43

TWC: Tomorrow – A mainly sunny sky, High 68, Low 40
Thursday – Abundant sunshine, High 74, Low 42

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, pleasant and warmer High 69, Low 38
Thursday – Sunny to partly cloudy and warm; breezy in the afternoon High 74, Low 42

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 68 , Low 41
Thursday – Sunny, High 73, Low 44

WB: Tomorrow – Patchy fog in the morning. Sunny. High 67, Low 41
Thursday – Sunny, High 72, Low 43

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 58, Low 41
Thursday – Mostly sunny, High 73, Low 41

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 69, Low 40
Thursday – Clear throughout the day. High 73, Low 44

I’m on the warm end on Saturday. I believe in the power of sunny skies and south winds. Here is the radar, showing rain shifting out of town.

Atlanta, Georgia

All right, Weather Channel, we’re coming for your back yard.

At 852PM, ET, Atlanta was reporting a temperature of 66 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. Tropical Storm Gamma was interfacing with low pressure in the Gulfstream, with clouds streaming across the southeastern United States. Atlanta was at the northern end of of the band of clouds, but Atlanta was the only place that was reporting anything close to overcast conditions.
High pressure is building into the Plains, and that will build into north Georgia as well, rendering the next two days quite pleasant. As Gamma unfurls, there might be a band of showers over central Georgia on Tuesday morning, but nothing well organized or long lived will transpire. Over the long term, Tropical Depression 26 bears monitoring not only for the Gulf, but specifically for the Atlanta area by next week.
Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 78, Low 55
Tuesday – Sunny, High 79, Low 57

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny skies, High 76, Low 52
Tuesday – Partly cloudy, High 78, Low 55

AW: Tomorrow – Pleasant with plenty of sun, High 78, Low 53
Tuesday – Pleasant with plenty of sun, High 78, Low 57

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny High 77, Low 53
Tuesday – Sunny High 76, Low 55

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny High 75, Low 53
Tuesday – Sunny High 77, Low 56

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 77, Low 55
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, High 76, Low 54

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 79, Low 54
Tuesday – Clear throughout the day. High 78, Low 57

Atlanta looks ok today, but as I said, the Gulf bears monitoring.

Bellingham, Washington

It’s interesting how things can change, isn’t it? Usually, when we consider a forecast for a place like western Washington, we would wonder about the threat for rain, but now we are left speculating about the continued impact of so little rain.

At 1253PM, PT, Bellingham was reporting a temperature of 69 degrees with clear skies. There isn’t much going on in the Pacific Northwest, and the only activity on the west coast satellite imagery was smoke emanating from fires in northern California.
Strong low pressure in the Gulf of Alaska is barricaded by high pressure in the west coast. A strong ridge aided by some southerly flow will ensure that Washington remains clear and dry for at least the next two days.
Tomorrow – High 75, Low 52
Wednesday – High 76, Low 52

TWC: Tomorrow – Mainly sunny High 72, Low 53
Wednesday – Sunny.  High 75, Low 54

AW: Tomorrow – Pleasant with plenty of sun High 71, Low 52
Wednesday – Warm and smoky with hazy sunshine High 72, Low 52

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 73, Low 53
Wednesday – Sunny, High 74, Low 55

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 71, Low 52
Wednesday – Sunny, High 73, Low 56

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 74, Low 53
Wednesday – Mostly sunny, High 75, Low 55

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 72, Low 51
Wednesday – Clear throughout the day. High 74, Low 55

Pretty quiet in western Washington, but no news isn’t always good news. Here is a look at the satellite with fires blazing across western Washington.

Las Cruces, New Mexico

I’ve seen a lot of the country through the years, and the blind spots to me are endlessly fascinating. Southern New Mexico is definitely one of those places for me.

At 1055PM, MT, Las Cruces was reporting overcast skies and a temperature of 51 degrees. A band of showers lay north of Las Cruces. A few showers were nearly certain o clip the city overnight, though it looked as though the bulk of the shower activity would remain north of town. A cut off trough centered in the northern portion of the Land of Enchantment is responsible for the shower activity, but is expected to be drawn towards the mean jet flow over the next couple of days.
The threat for rain and cloud cover will peter through the day on Thursday as the jet trough shifts away from New Mexico. Even though rain will not remain in the forecast, Las Cruces’s position in the entrance region of the jet will allow for a freshness in the air, and a few layered clouds.
Tomorrow – Clearing after some light rain early, High 66, Low 49
Friday – Partly cloudy, High 75, Low 51

TWC: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy skies early, then partly cloudy in the afternoon. Slight chance of a rain shower High 71, Low 51
Friday – Intervals of clouds and sunshine. High 82, Low 54

AW: Tomorrow – Pleasant with periods of clouds and sunshine (early showers) High 70, Low 51
Friday – Pleasant and warmer with sun and some clouds High 80, Low 55

NWS: Tomorrow – Isolated showers. Partly sunny, High 72, Low 52
Friday – Mostly sunny, High 81, Low 56

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Isolated rain showers, High 65, Low 53
Friday – Partly cloudy, High 78, Low 57

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy iwth isolated showers, High 72, Low 52
Friday – Partly cloudy, High 81, Low 52

FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 67, Low 49
Friday – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 76, Low 53

Well thank you, Forecast.io, for making my cooler forecast not seem so outlandish. I think some forecasts haven’t been updated recently, since some lows for Thursday aren’t as cold as the current temperatures. Here is the radar with showers streaming past Las Cruces.

Santa Barbara, California

Hello! We’re back with another forecast, and this time, we’re off to Santa Barbara on the California coast, upstream from Los Angeles. It’s a nice town, by all accounts. Will the weather be just as nice?

At 753PM, PT, Santa Barbara was reporting clear skies with an onshore breeze and a temperature of 62 degrees. It seems like a a prime night for fog and low clouds rolling in, leaving to a dreary morning. Indeed, satellite shows the marine layer settling in already from Lompoc to the Bay Area.
An area of low pressure inland is helping to drive the onshore flow, though that is expected to pivot eastward through the period which will leave the flow to more local forces. Not much change in pattern is expected along the coast in Santa Barbara.
Tomorrow – Morning clouds and fog, clearing by mid morning, then sunny, High 71, Low 57
Wednesday – Clouds and fog continue, but less than Tuesday, High 75, Low 56

TWC: Tomorrow – Some clouds in the morning will give way to mainly sunny skies for the afternoon. High 70, Low 58
Wednesday – Mainly sunny. High 73, Low 58

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny and pleasant High 72, Low 57
Wednesday – Areas of low clouds early; otherwise, mostly sunny and nice High 72, Low 57

NWS: Tomorrow – Patchy fog before 11am. Otherwise, cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing, High 78, Low 62
Wednesday – Patchy fog before 11am. Otherwise, cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing, High 79, Low 62

WB: Tomorrow – Low clouds and fog in the morning, High 70, Low 59
Wednesday – Low clouds and fog in the morning, High 70, Low 59

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 74, Low 60
Wednesday – Partly cloudy, High 74, Low 60

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 71, Low 56
Wednesday – Clear throughout the day. High 75, Low 59

Look at the temperatures. Do you think the Weather Service knows something? Here is a look at the satellite showing the clouds creeping up the coast.

Louisville, Kentucky

Louisville, Kentucky, is one of the first places I ever went on a road trip to just for the sake of having done it. It holds a place in my heart, I guess is what I’m saying.

At 328PM, ET, Louisville was reporting a temperature of 88 degrees with fair skies. The dew points were in the low 70s, but as near as Bloomington, Indiana, the dew point was 10 degrees cooler. A strong early autumnal system which has absorbed the remnants of Laura is presently forcing a cold front through Kentucky. A line of thunderstorms lay through southern Kentucky, while the back edge of clouds is in the south Louisville metro, and the change in airmass is just north of the Ohio. Continued improvement is expected for Louisville today.
The jet structure still remains in Canada, and so the refreshment behind this cold front isn’t likely to last long. A surface perturbation is forecast to move from the western Gulf Coast to the east north east Sunday night, bringing rain to the area through early Monday afternoon. Some thunder is possible on Sunday night, with a dreary morning on Monday, though it should clear up later in the day.
Tomorrow – Late showers and thunderstorms, High 83, Low 63
Monday – Cloudy with some early sprinkles, High 80, Low 66

TWC: Tomorrow – Considerable cloudiness. (Evening rain) High 80, Low 64
Monday – Rain showers early with some sunshine later in the day. High 82, Low 66

AW: Tomorrow – Partly sunny, evening storms, High 79, Low 64
Monday – Mostly cloudy and humid with widely separated thunderstorms High 81, Low 65

NWS: Tomorrow – A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Partly sunny, High 80, Low 63
Monday – Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 9am. Mostly cloudy, High 82, Low 66

WB: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms, High 78, Low 69
Monday – Mostly cloudy with a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms, High 79, Low 70

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with scattered storms, High 80, Low 65
Monday – Partly cloudy with thunderstorms likely, High 82, Low 66

FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 81, Low 63
Monday – Rain overnight and in the morning. High 83, Low 65

We’re all hovering in the low 80s for the next couple of days, but I’m going in a different direction, I guess. Make sure to take a look at what WAVE-NBC’s meteorologists have to say, and then check out the radar on their site for a pretty discernible line of storms in the southern part of the state.

Bay City, Michigan

We’re going to take a trip up to the Great Lakes at just the time of year that the Great Lakes are the most pleasant.

At 953PM, ET, Bay City was reporting clear skies and a temperature of 72 degrees. A weak cold front moving across the Mackinac Strait, with a line of thunderstorms north of and heading for Gaylord. A weak upper level trough has sagged into northern Michigan with the cold front, but as the surface low associated with it continues off towards northern Quebec, the boundary will stall.
The proximity of the boundary will mean a threat for an afternoon thunderstorm in Bay City, however it is more likely that the wet weather will stay north of of Saginaw Bay. A lower level feature in the Upper Midwest will redirect flow and press rain and storms back northward out of Lower Michigan. Saturday will be clearer, albeit warmer and muggier.
Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 85, Low 64
Saturday – Sunny, High 88, Low 62

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy skies. High 87, Low 62
Saturday – Partly cloudy skies. High 88, Low 60

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny and warm High 87, Low 62
Saturday – Mostly sunny and very warm High 88,Low 60

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 85, Low 64
Saturday – Sunny High 88, Low 62

WB: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy then clearing, High 87, Low 62
Saturday – Mostly sunny, High 87, Low 63

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 86, Low 64
Saturday – Mostly sunny, High 88, Low 61

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 87, Low 61
Saturday – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 86, Low 61

The radar looks perhaps a bit more ominous than it actually is. That is especially the case for the southern end of this image, which is where Bay City lies.

Wheeling, West Virginia

It took quite a bit of cartographic gymnastics to come up with the borders of West Virginia. Wheeling is in the northern Panhandle of the state, along the mighty Ohio River.

At 353PM, ET, Wheeling was reporting a temperature of 78 degrees with clear skies and a light north wind. There was some scattered stratocumulus bracketing northern West Virginia, while lazy low pressure existed on the coastal side of the Appalachians. Some taller clouds were popping up in the mountains, but high pressure will remain in place over the eastern Great Lakes through tomorrow.
An upper level trough will start to foment surface troughing, originating around the Mississippi Delta and building northeast to the Blue Ridge Mountains. Circulation and organization will be weak, but given the ripe environment, there will be showers and storms on the southern horizon. Wheeling should be far enough north to evade wet weather, but expect an increase of clouds in the afternoon.
Tomorrow – Sunny, High 86, Low 55
Friday – Increasing clouds, High 87, Low 59

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunshine and some clouds. High 84, Low 52
Friday – More clouds than sun. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible. High 86, Low 61

AW: Tomorrow – Beautiful with sun and areas of high clouds High 84, Low 55
Friday – Variable cloudiness with a thunderstorm High 81, Low 64

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 87, Low 55
Friday – A slight chance of showers after 2pm. Partly sunny, High 89, Low 63

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 85, Low 55
Friday – Partly sunny. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon. High 86, Low 63

WN: Mostly sunny High 87, Low 55
Friday – Partly cloudy with isolated showers, High 89, Low 63

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 86, Low 54
Friday – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 88, Low 62

Accuweather is taking a different path, aren’t they? I’m not sold on thunderstorms, and on a nice clear day like today, how could you even THINK about bad weather?

Durham, North Carolina

Time to get this forecast wagon hitched and on the road!

At 953PM, ET, Durham was reporting a temperature of 73 degrees with clear skies. There was a line of very weak thunderstorms extending from north of Fayetteville to south of Mount Airy, but it was continuing to diminish for the night. A lower level trough over the mid-Atlantic is churning up a few showers and thunderstorms throughout the area, and the persistence is leading to the threat of flash flooding where the storms sit in place, but it is clear and humid where they are not.
The low level wave will shift off shore and low pressure will deepen rapidly in the Gulfstream, The deepening low pressure will extend west to the coast, with moisture building into the Carolinas again on Saturday. Before that, a little bit of dry air will dig in thanks to the circulation of the deepening low, but the beginning of the weekend might be a bit drearier.
Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with late showers and storms, High 88, Low 73
Saturday – Scattered showers and storms, High 85, Low 73

TWC: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy in the morning with scattered thunderstorms developing later in the day. High 86, Low 71
Saturday – Thunderstorms. Potential for heavy rainfall. High 82, Low 72

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with a couple of showers and a heavy t-storm, mainly later; watch for flash flooding High 86, Low 71
Saturday – Mostly cloudy and humid with a couple of showers and a thunderstorm around, some can be heavy late High 84, Low 72

NWS: Tomorrow – Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 3pm. Mostly cloudy, High 88, Low 72
Saturday – Showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 8am High 85, Low 72

WB: Tomorrow – Cloudy with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning then partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon, High 84, Low 72
Saturday – Showers and thunderstorms, High 81, Low 72

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely, High 88, Low 72
Saturday – Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms, High 86, Low 72

FIO: Tomorrow – Possible light rain and humid throughout the day. High 86, Low 71
Saturday – Rain and humid throughout the day. High 83, Low 72

Interestingly enough, we just started watching the Last Dance tonight, and here we are, forecasting for Durham. Maybe not that interesting. Anyways, here is a look at the radar, showing those isolated storms. There is a lot of ground clutter that is making it look worse than is true on the ground.

Napa, California

All right, another forecast! I’ve been to the Napa area within the last year, and I do have to say, it is significantly more beautiful than I anticipated, but also much different. That said, I didn’t quite know what to expect.

At 754PM, PT, Napa was reporting a temperature of 64 degrees with clear skies. Fog and low clouds were settling into the South Bay as night encroached, and the clear skies and dewpoints in the mid 50s suggest that fog will be likely in the Napa Valley as well, particularly given that it is only approaching 8pm.
A trough moving through the Pacific Northwest is churning things up further to the north along the Pacific Coast, while high pressure hasn’t yet settled into the southwest to provide the offshore winds to battle back the marine layer. Napa looks like it will warm up a bit as the weekend arrives, which may limit the morning and evening haze on Friday.
Tomorrow – Cloudy early, then sunny, with haze arriving late, High 80, Low 56
Friday – Sunnier, High 82, Low 57

TWC: Some clouds in the morning will give way to mainly sunny skies for the afternoon High 83, Low 57
Friday – Mainly sunny. High 81, Low 55

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 83, Low 57
Friday – Beautiful with areas of low clouds early; otherwise, mostly sunny High 83, Low 55

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing, High 81, Low 56
Friday – Sunny, High 81, Low 55

WB: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy in the morning, then becoming sunny. Patchy fog in the morning, High 85, Low 59
Friday – Partly cloudy in the morning, then becoming sunny, High 80, Low 57

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 80, Low 56
Friday – Mostly sunny, High 80, Low 55

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 87, Low 54
Friday – Clear throughout the day. High 85, Low 53

Forecast.io is clearly using their own model guidance. Yikes. Here is the satellite imagery, showing the low clouds along the coast, getting ready to envelop San Francisco.