Tag Archives: Pine Bluff

Rain dampens Pine Bluff

The words isolated and scattered have meaning to a meteorologist. For example, on Easter in Pine Bluff, outlets across the country labeled the threat for storms as “isolated”. Indeed, the weather was not widespread enough to inflict any unpleasant weather on Pine Bluff. The forecast on Monday, however, was for scattered showers and storms. There was over half an inch of rain in Pine Bluf, as showers smothered southern Arkansas. Weatherbug was very close on temperatures, and claimed victory.
Actuals – Sunday – High 81, Low 63
Monday – .64 inches of rain, High 78, Low 65

Grade: A-C

Pine Bluff, Arkansas

Hey, we’re off on another forecasting adventure. Today, we’ll head down to the south central US, where Pine Bluff may be in the firing line for some strong thunderstorms.

At 253PM, CT, Pine Bluff was reporting a temperature of 81 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. There were isolated thunderstorms cropping up across the southeastern portion of Arkansas, including some isolated cells on their way towards Pine Bluff, though the heaviest activity was closer to Greenville, Mississippi. The activity was associated with a flow off the Gulf of Mexico, enriching the region with a dose of muggy, unstable air. With a little bit of disturbed air to the west, there was ample fuel for an isolated storm in the Arkansas area.
There is a weak trough aloft moving through the Canadian Prairies that was the impetus for southerly flow to transport the Gulf moisture. An associated cold front will stall in northern Arkansas by early next week, allowing the southerly flow to continue to rush towards the boundary. While the boundary is still fairly organized tomorrow, Pine Bluff will remain mostly dry, however as it becomes more diffuse, the threat for showers and isolated embedded storms will increase across southern Arkansas.
Tomorrow – Isolated showers and storms, High 80, Low 64
Monday – Scattered showers with a few storms in the evening, High 79, Low 66

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy skies. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible. High 81, Low 62
Monday – Thunderstorms. High 76, Low 61

AW: Tomorrow – Intervals of clouds and sunshine with a shower or thunderstorm in spots in the afternoon High 81, Low 62
Monday – Cloudy with a couple of showers and a thunderstorm High 79, Low 62

NWS: Tomorrow – A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 9am. Partly sunny High 82, Low 63
Monday – Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 7am. Mostly cloudy, High 82, Low 64

WB: Tomorrow – Partly sunny. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, High 80, Low 63
Monday – Showers and thunderstorms likely. High 78, Low 64

WN: Tomorrow -Partly cloudy with isolated storms. HIgh 82, Low 64
Monday – Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely, High 81, Low 63

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy starting in the morning.High 88, Low 65
Monday – Light rain starting in the morning, continuing until evening. High 84, Low 65

I sincerely have no idea how FIO came out that high with their forecast. In any event, the NWS had a nice looping image of the current radar on their home page, so you can see the cell as it approaches Pine Bluff.

Barnstable, Massachusetts to Pine Bluff, Arkansas

Time to hit the road again, this time on a 3 day excursion through the heart of Appalachia. The trip will cover 1510 miles and will be at a pace of 64.5mph, or 516 miles a day. The drive should be a scenic one. Will it also be a wet one?

DAY ONE (Sunday)
Barnstale
The beginning of our travels on Sunday won’t be much problem at all, really. High pressure developing across the mid Atlantic will squash any remnant showers by the time we hit the road from Barnstable. It will be rainier today in the Appalachians, but we won’t have to deal with any of that activity. Just know that it will be warm and humid, but free of precipitation throughout our day on Sunday. Expect our day to end in Martinsville in eastern West Virginia.

DAY TWO (Monday)
Precipitation will be mostly nonexistent during our Labor Day travels as well. The drive through the two Virginia should be dry, however by mid afternoon when we cross into eastern Tennessee, some clouds will begin to crowd our horizon. The biggest threat will be from isolated orographic thunderstorm activity, which means that the best chance for rain will be at the southern exposures of the highest terrain of far eastern Tennessee. I think the best threat for rain will be between Kingsport and Morristown, and again in the southern suburbs of Knoxville, but high clouds could squeeze out a drop anywhere through the region. We will make a sharp turn to the west and end up in Crossville, Tennessee to finish the day.

DAY THREE (Tuesday)
The shower activity won’t really be a problem anywhere along our route outside of the easternmost part of Tennessee. Expect things to clear out by the time we have passed through Cookesville, with generally sunny conditions all the way through the remainder of Tennessee. The NAM suggests that rain may be spilling into Arkansas by Tuesday afternoon associated with a wave emerging from the Upper Midwest, though the GFS still has this energy and resultant moisture as far north as Iowa. The NAM is at the end of it’s forecast period by Tuesday night, and I suspect it’s a bit scurrilous. Let’s just say that it will probably be mostly cloudy when we arrive in Pine BLuff, but probably not raining.
pinebluff

Pine Bluff, Arkansas to Burlington, North Carolina

Today we embark on a trip in the Southeastern US, from Pine Bluff, Arkansas to Burlington, NC. An 846-mile trip that will cover 2 days, but only 3 states. That’s what happens when you travel through wide states! Let’s see if sunny skies will greet us on the roadways

pinebluff

DAY ONE

High pressure is firmly entrenched over the Eastern US, keeping the region dry and quiet. Outside of perhaps some spotty morning fog that should burn off shortly after sunrise, clear skies are expected on our departure from Pine Bluff towards Memphis. As we cruise towards Nashville, some spotty afternoon clouds will pop up, but should be nothing more than fair weather cumulus. As we make our way into Knoxville for the evening, there might be a couple of thunderstorms rumbling off in the distance, as a few are expected to pop off in the afternoon over the mountains, but they should stay out of the area.

DAY TWO

High pressure persists throughout the region for another day, greeting us with pleasant skies as we head for the Smoky Mountains. A few clouds will pop up in the early afternoon as we cruise on into the Plateau region of NC, and eventually into Burlington.

BurlingtonNC

Pine Bluff, Arkansas

A late forecast this evening owing to my presence at the Twins game. The Twins feature Torii Hunter, who is a native of Pine Bluff. It all ties together.

At 1053PM, CT, Pine Bluff was reporting a temperature of 79 degrees with clear skies. There was a light northeasterly flow, reflective of the trough that had arrived along the Gulf Coast. The actual cold front is likely just to the north of Pine Bluff, as dew points were dipping into the mid 60s in Searcy, for example.
A ridge is building over the Plains aloft, and will be reflected at the surface from the Ohio Valley to the Ozarks. Pine Bluff will be more tolerable than it has been, and it looks like they will be in good shape through Thursday.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 90, Low 72
Thursday – Sunny, High 90, Low 67

TWC: Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny, High 89, Low 70
Thursday – High 89, Low 65

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, pleasant and less humid High 89, Low 70
Thursday – Nice with plenty of sunshine High 87, Low 64

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny High 87, Low 70
Thursday – Sunny High 88, Low 64

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny High 87, Low 70
Thursday – Sunny High 89, Low 65

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny High 88, Low 70
Thursday – Mostly Sunny High 90, Low 64

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 88, Low 73
Thursday – Partly cloudy starting in the evening. High 87, Low 64

In particular, look at those Thursday morning lows. Thank you, dry air! You can see the wispy boundary in southern Arkansas on the infrared.
Pine Bluff

Pine Bluff, Arkansas

It rained a lot up here in MN this weekend. And there’s even more coming in the next few days. Let’s go down south to Arkansas, where hopefully they’re having a drier go of things.

At 9:53pm CDT, the temperature at Pine Bluff, AR was 78 degrees under fair skies. A broad area of high pressure is found over the Southeast US, keeping a cold front stalled out over the Mid-MS River valley. This dome of high pressure should deflect it off to the north and keep it moving eastward into the Ohio Valley tomorrow, keeping the Pine Bluff area high and dry. As an area of low pressure develops further on Tuesday over the Central and Northern Plains, most of the moisture being drawn up north into it is centered over the High Plains and portions of the Southern Rockies, keeping Pine Bluff pretty much out of the limelight once again as far as significant weather goes. The humidity should bump up on Tuesday, but only just a little bit. It will be another hot one though, as temperatures both days look to crack into the 90s. Really, it should be a couple of relatively quiet days to kick off the work week in eastern Arkansas!

Monday: Mostly sunny. High 90, Low 71.
Tuesday: Continued sunny, a bit more humid. High 92, Low 71.

TWC: Monday: Partly cloudy. High 91, Low 71.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy. High 91, Low 72.

AW: Monday: Mostly sunny and humid. High 90, Low 71.
Tuesday: Partly sunny. High 91, Low 71.

NWS: Monday: Mostly sunny. High 90, Low 70.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny. High 91, Low 72.

WB: Monday: Mostly sunny. High 90, Low 70.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny. High 91, Low 72.

WN: Monday: Partly cloudy. High 90, Low 72.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy. High 91, Low 72.

Here we see… pretty much nothing. It’s clear over the entire state right now. Can’t ask for a better night really!
PBarSAT

Rainy Lead-In to the Weekend

After a pleasant Wednesday for the residents of Pine Bluff, Thursday was… not quite so nice. As expected, a frontal system moved into the region and dumped nearly an inch of rain over the city. In the 6 hours between midnight and 6am this morning, another half-inch fell, bringing the total up to 1.46″. Further north, areas from Russellville to Jonesboro saw 2-4.5 inches of rain over the last 36-48 hours, making for a very waterlogged region. The most shocking thing, however, was how fast temperatures cooled down behind the front Thursday evening. This caught everybody’s forecast offguard. But at least we got the rain right! The NWS took home the top spot today.

Wednesday: High 75, Low 59.
Thursday: 0.91″ of rain. High 75, Low 41.
Forecast Grade: F

Yuba City, California to Pine Bluff, Arkansas

Good thing this road trip is going out now, the family is ready to go! 2053 miles separate these two cities, so they’ll get there just in time for Selection Sunday!

DAY ONE

We head out of Yuba City southward through the Central Valley as an upper-level trough continues to slide through the Western US. Luckily, the system is pushing through the Four Corners portion of the country, leaving clear skies and light winds in its wake over most of CA. It should be a non-descript day as we stay at the Mojave National Reserve for our 1st night. Camping anyone?

DAY TWO

We continue our I-40 trip going through northern Arizona today and continuing into New Mexico. The system that moved through the Four Corners region is going to cutoff and stall out for a bit over the Southern Plains, with the upper-level system camping out over NM/TX. The trip today through Arizona will be pretty quiet with some increasing clouds the further east we go, and as we push into New Mexico, we could see some mountain snows between Gallup and Grants, with some active weather persisting as we pull into North Acomita Village for the night. There’s a casino there!

DAY THREE

The weather settled down overnight over the region, with a few scattered showers lingering over northern TX, but will dissipate by midday. With this system cutting off over the Southern Plains, the models are becoming a bit more divergent in their solutions at this point. In any event, the weather over New Mexico on I-40 should be cloudy yet dry as we make our way into the TX Panhandle by the afternoon hours. At this point, we could see lingering rain showers over the eastern portions of the Panhandle as well as Western OK during the evening. If the system moves a bit faster, most of this precipitation should push off to the south and east by the time we get to this part of the trip. The rain showers won’t be terribly heavy if they are present, so conditions on the interstate shouldn’t be TOO bad as we pull into the appropriately named Weatherford for the night.

DAY FOUR

More I-40! If you somehow got lost during this trip, perhaps driving isn’t for you. The cutoff area of low-pressure is going to spend the day intensifying and getting its’ act together. I hope the wipers are working well because it’s going to be a wet and possibly stormy day as we make our way past Oklahoma City and Henryetta and eventually into Arkansas by Fort Smith. Once we make it into Arkansas, the chances of rain should drop for the evening as we continue onwards to Little Rock and eventually to Pine Bluff!

Pine Bluff, Arkansas

Due to my inability to read a calendar correctly, this posting is reeeeally late. Or early depending on how you look at things. I swear I’d probably be late to my own wedding. Can you be late to something that will never happen? Awww, now that I’ve made you sad, let’s get into today’s forecast for Pine Bluff, Arkansas!

At 11:53pm CST on Tuesday night, the temperature at Pine Bluff, AR was 60 degrees under fair skies. A system currently trekking through the Upper Midwest/Central Plains and back through the 4 Corners region will continue its eastwardly push throughout the day Wednesday, leading to some rather windy conditions later this afternoon as southerly flow increases out ahead of this system. Clouds will be on the increase and while there might be a smattering of isolated showers, Pine Bluff is anticipated to stay on the dry side through the early evening hours. Thursday, however, is going to be an entirely different story altogether. Rain showers are expected to start developing over Central AR during the early morning hours, and pick up in intensity as the cold front sags into the region. The southern portion of this entire system looks to get cutoff from the main flow actually, with a surface low developing over northern Texas and extends a warm/stationary front over AR/TN. This front will be the focal point of some slow-moving and heavy rains (and thunderstorms) Thursday afternoon into Friday morning. Some areas of the MS Valley are expected to get 2-5″ of rain by the time this system is all said and done, which given the flooding issues they had there last year, is not going to be a welcome sight I imagine.

Wednesday: Cloudy. High 72, Low 57.
Thursday: Rain and thunderstorms expected, possible flooding. High 74, Low 61.

TWC: Wednesday: Cloudy. High 73, Low 55.
Thursday: Thunderstorms likely. High 75, Low 62.

AW: Wednesday: Mainly clouds and breezy. High 72, Low 51.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms. High 76, Low 60.

NWS: Wednesday: Partly sunny. High 72, Low 55.
Thursday: Rain and thunderstorms expected, possibly 2-4″ of rain. High 75, Low 58.

WB: Wednesday: Partly sunny. High 72, Low 52.
Thursday: Thunderstorms anticipated. High 75, Low 58.

Here we see the rather quiet conditions over Arkansas right now, meanwhile the system over the Central US will be our newsmaker in a couple of days.