Coming Soon…

There are quite a few news stories in the world of weather, and we will take some time to discuss them in the next few days. Fewer forecasts, but we won’t forget the rest of the weather news.

Winston-Salem, North Carolina

Benton Harbor, Michigan

Road Trip from Grand Forks, North Dakota to Corvallis, Oregon


It’s been a tough week in eastern Kentucky, as it became a focal point for heavy rain as a slow moving boundary left even slower moving torrents of rain across the state, ultimately leaving dozens dead in flash flooding, and countless more with their lives turned upside down. The news from the area continues to get worse as we find out more, and we continue to keep residents in our thoughts.

Often when rain becomes centered on one spot, as it did in Kentucky, the threat for scattered showers away from that main area diminishes. Such was the case on Tuesday and Wednesday, when Atlanta, which had been forecast for some light showers on either of those two days, successfully avoided precipitation. Temperatures climbed a couple of degrees warmer than anyone had, but it was a generally tightly clustered verification. The Weather Channel and WeatherNation were strange bedfellows, tying for the top spot.
Actuals: Tuesday – High 91, Low 75
Wednesday – High 92, Low 75

Grade: B-C

Corvallis, Oregon

Most of the people that live in Oregon live along in a north-south corridor adjacent to the Cascades. Oregon State is in Corvallis, and the town and the school are well within the corridor.

I’d be remiss if I didn’t note the historic flooding in the Ohio Valley. St. Louis recently broke a single day record for rainfall, while eastern Kentucky is seeing a rising death toll thanks to flash flooding caused by the deluge. Our thoughts are with those affected by these disasters.

At 656PM, PT, Corvallis was reporting a temperature of 89 degrees with clear skies. Salem and Eugene, on either side of the city, were reporting temperatures of 95 degrees. Of course, along the coast with the Marine layer, temperatures were hovering in the mid 50s with clouds and fog. There was no forecast for that haze to press further ashore.
Flow over the western US is fairly stagnant, with any jet structure only found well to the north, originating in the northern Yukon. As a result, heat has been allowed to build in the Pacific Northwest. While the Gulf of Alaska low was currently absent, a weak wave shifting closer to the shore will bring some cooler air late on Saturday, to be joined by some clouds.
Tomorrow – Hot, High 96, Low 60
Saturday – Partly cloudy, High 95, Low 59

TWC: Tomorrow – Mainly sunny. High 98, Low 61
Saturday – Some clouds in the morning will give way to mainly sunny skies for the afternoon. High 97, Low 61

AW: Tomorrow – Blazing sunshine and hot; possible danger of dehydration and heat stroke while doing strenuous activities High 97, Low 60
Saturday – Blazing sunshine and hot; possible danger of dehydration and heat stroke while doing strenuous activities High 96, Low 61

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny and hot, High 98, Low 61
Saturday – Sunny and hot, High 97, Low 62

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 97, Low 60
Saturday – Mostly sunny, High 93, Low 61

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 98, Low 61
Saturday – Mostly sunny, High 97, Low 62

FIO: Tomorrow – Humid throughout the day. High 93, Low 65
Saturday – Humid throughout the day. High 93, Low 63

It’s hot, but fortunately, the heat won’t be as intense or as resilient as last year’s heat wave. It is expected to break by the end of the weekend. For now, you can certainly see the clear skies over most of Oregon, but the intrusion of low clouds and fog over the coast is evident as well.

No room at the top

The forecast for Baltimore proved to be fairly easy to wrap our heads around. The end of the week was going to be hot, and generally free of any atmospheric changes. Mission accomplished! Everyone came in between 3 and 5 degrees of error, and there was no precipitation to worry about, so everyone can feel good about their day. Accuweather, the Weather Service and Weather Nation can feel just a little better about it though.
Actuals: Friday – High 95, Low 74
Saturday – High 97, Low 77

Grade: A

Abilene, Texas

Abilene is the first big town you see west of Fort Worth in Texas. The entire state is so big, though, it is a regional hub all by itself out there in the Plains.

At 752AM, CT, Abilene was reporting fair skies with a temperature of 82. West Texas and much of the southern Plains were south of a mostly stationary boundary along the Kansas-Oklahoma border, and it promised to get well into the triple digits south of this boundary. Heat advisories were in place for the area.
Little change is anticipated for the region. The boundary has sagged south through the last couple of days, and a wave moving through the Canadian Prairies will push it even further south. The dry line will become more entrenched in eastern New Mexico, and a few clouds and increased humidity in Abilene may bring temperatures down out of the triple digit range, but if then, not by much.
Tomorrow – Partly cloudy and hot, High 100, Low 77
Friday – Partly cloudy, more humid, High 98, low 78

TWC: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny skies High 101, Low 79
Friday – Sunny, along with a few afternoon clouds. High 99, Low 79

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny and very warm High 101, Low 79
Friday – Mostly sunny and very warm High 98, Low 79

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny and hot, High 101, Low 79
Friday – A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Sunny and hot, High 99, Low 80

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 100, Low 81
Friday – Sunny. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon, High 97, Low 81

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 101, Low 79
Friday – Mostly sunny, High 100, Low 78

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 100, Low 77
Friday – Humid throughout the day. High 100, Low 78

Hot, hot hot. But for the most part, everyone agrees it will “cool down” a bit on Friday. Make sure the sweaters are nearby.

Atlanta, Georgia

We are headed to one of the more important weather hubs in the country, along with Silver Spring, Maryland and Oklahoma City. Atlanta is home to many weather focused corporations, notably The Weather Channel, and we are coming for you, TWC!

At 1252PM, ET, Atlanta was reporting mostly cloudy skies with a temperature of 87 degrees. Bands of isolated thunderstorms are stretched across North Georgia, with one particular cluster near Athens, Gainesville and Lawrenceville, and a stronger line north of Rome. There is one cell on the southeast side of Atlanta, but otherwise, there is a dry window encompassing the Atlanta area. There is an area of low pressure over Quebec dangling a cold, becoming stationary front through the Tennessee Valley, and along that boundary is a perturbation centered near the District of Columbia. This complicated set up is helping to tap into the moisture in the southeast, and touching off the banding showers and thunderstorms in north Georgia this afternoon.
The threat for storms in and around Atlanta will abate a bit this afternoon, as the activity becomes more focused along the boundary to the north. That boundary is expected to remain intact even as the low over Quebec deteriorates. A second surface low moving out of the High Plains into the Great Lakes will pull the boundary a bit to the north by Wednesday, presenting a dry mid-week in Atlanta. Of course, one last perturbation along the front before it moves northward will bring some scattered showers to Atlanta first on Tuesday evening.
Tomorrow – Scattered clouds with a chance for isolated showers and storms, High 88, Low 73
Wednesday – Scattered to mostly cloudy. A bit warmer, High 90, Low 73

TWC: Tomorrow – Variable clouds with scattered thunderstorms. High 89, Low 74
Wednesday – Sunshine and clouds mixed High 93, Low 73

AW: Tomorrow – Humid with intervals of clouds and sunshine High 87, Low 73
Wednesday – Partly sunny and humid; a thunderstorm in spots late in the afternoon High 91, Low 73

NWS: Tomorrow – A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 11am. Partly sunny, High 88, Low 74
Wednesday – A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, High 91, Low 73

WB: Tomorrow – Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms, High 87, Low 74
Wednesday – Mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, High 91, Low 74

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with chance of storms, High 89, Low 73
Wednesday – Partly cloudy, High 92, Low 73

FIO: Tomorrow – Humid and mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 86, Low 74
Wednesday – Humid and partly cloudy throughout the day. High 88, ow 75

Pretty hot couple of days in Georgia, but all that moisture around, the mountains, it keeps it from triple digits most of the time. Rain shield over Atlanta has been activated.

New Haven, Connecticut to Baltimore, Maryland

It takes merely one day to travel from New Haven, to Baltimore. In fact, it’s only 5 hours between the cities by car (even faster by train!) and covers 5 states. That’s a state an hour! At most times, it is a 5 hour and 7 minute drive (though significantly longer in the morning ore early evening) at a pace of only 52 miles an hour. That is CRAZY slow. This is the first time I can remember passing through Delaware on a trip, so I will blame the First State. We have 267 miles to cover, so let’s start coverin’

New haven, Connecticut

It’s the same story everywhere, man. Hot, hot, hot. Make sure that AC is working, especially in the midst of cutting across the Bronx on I-95 early in the day. Being at a standstill just makes things seem so much worse. The best chance for rain tomorrow is before we wake in the New York City area, but I suspect the green showing on the models will manifest as some ground fog thanks to high dew points in the area. The sun will get brighter and angrier as we slide through New Jersey and Delaware, before we begin our final steamy approach to Baltimore.

Baltimore, Maryland

Baltimore, Maryland

It’s a hot July, one of the hottest ever recorded in many parts of the world, including the mid-south in the US. Just normal — “normal” — hot out east though. Is there anything else coming with it?

At 954AM, ET, Baltimore was already reporting a temperature of 88 degrees. Mostly cloudy skies populated the region, and dew points were a soupy 73 degrees. There is an area of low pressure over eastern Canada, dangling a cold front along the Appalachians. It is a typical summer time boundary, and while there are clouds across Appalachia, it isn’t bolstered by very much cold air, and the moisture content is negligible. Still, any chance at relief will be appreciated.
High pressure at the surface will remain entrenched, even as the boundary moves through Appalachia. Tomorrow may be a bit cooler than today, but high pressure is going to build back into the region on Saturday, and temperatures and humidity are expected to build right back with it.
Tomorrow – Partly to mostly cloudy, High 95, Low 75
Saturday – High 98. Low 75

TWC: Tomorrow – Mainly sunny. Hot High 97, Low 75
Saturday – Mainly sunny. Hot High 97, Low 76

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 96, Low 75
Saturday – Mostly sunny and hot; stay hydrated; signs of heat illness can include headache, dizziness and nausea High 97, Low 76

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 96, Low 75
Saturday – Sunny and hot, High 97, Low 76

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 96, Low 76
Saturday – Sunny. High 96, Low 77

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 96, Low 75
Saturday – Mostly sunny, High 97, Low 76

FIO: Tomorrow – Humid throughout the day. High 94, Low 75
Saturday – Humid throughout the day. High 94, Low 77

That’s just a really hot stretch of days. There is a lot of similarity from day to day among the outlets, but I just think that there is too much going in the mid and upper levels for the two days to be carbon copies. One day will be cooler, probably tomorrow, and Saturday will bounce back like nothing happened. Clouds are scattered today.

A little unimpressive, to be honest

There is blistering heat across the planet this week. The United Kingdom is reaching temperatures never seen in recorded history for the British Isles. It reached 115 in Tulsa yesterday. Last week’s 99 and 100 in Redding don’t stand out quite as impressively under that light, do they? Accuweather and WeatherNation had top forecasts for the city, and even those forecasts were a little bit warmer than what actually transpired. *Yawn*
Actuals: Wednesday – High 99, Low 71
Thursday – High 100, Low 65

Grade: B-C

A fine New England weekend

That first weekend after the 4th of July is the first intensively “summer” weekend of the year. Laze around, if you want to, go to the lake or the cabin or whatever it is that you do. That first weekend in Manchester was pretty great. Temperatures were in the 80s, and an inactive cold front Friday into Saturday morning brought dew points down a little bit, and kept it from getting uncomfortable. Victoria-Weather and came together for the top forecast, hedging warmer for highs and cooler for lows.
Actuals: Friday 7/8 – High 86, Low 65
Saturday 7/9 – High 82, Low 61

Grade: A – B