Tag Archives: New Orleans

Big Easy verification

I put together a video forecast on Sunday for the city of New Orleans, an unusual happenstance was in the forecast. There was a bona fide front moving through on Monday afternoon, and it brought some synoptic scale showers and storms to the Big Easy, but more impressively, it brought more pleasant weather on Tuesday. Temperatures only dipped a hair, but the northerly breeze must have felt nice. Victoria-Weather and Accuweather shared a tie atop the leaderboard.
Actuals: Monday .16 inches of rain, High 93, Low 78
Tuesday – High 91, Low 82

Grade: B-C

New Orleans, Louisiana

Tomorrow – Scattered showers and storms, some possibly severe, High 92, Low 81
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, High 92, Low 79

TWC: Tomorrow – Scattered showers and thunderstorms. A few storms may be severe High 91, Low 82
Tuesday – Partly cloudy skies. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible High 91, Low 79

AW: Tomorrow – Partly sunny, a shower or heavy thunderstorm; storms can bring flash flooding and damaging winds High 93, Low 81
Tuesday – Mostly sunny; nice High 92, Low 78

NWS: Tomorrow – A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny Hgh 94, Low 80
Tuesday – Mostly sunny (rain through 1am), High 92, Low 78

WB: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, High 89, Low 83
Tuesday – Sunny in in the morning then becoming partly cloudy

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with scattered storms High 94, Low 81
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, High 92, Low 78

FIO: Tomorrow – Rain starting in the morning, continuing until evening. High 89, Low 81
Tuesday – Partly cloudy overnight. High 91, Low 80

So, that will be interesting to watch a real severe weather day. Well, not “real” but “non-topical”.

Calm and Steady Along the Gulf

We were anticipated a fairly quiet pattern for New Orleans as kicked off the weekend, and the weather didn’t disappoint. Dry conditions were felt both days with temperatures nearly identical both days as well! There was a 4-way tie at the top of the leaderboard as VW, TWC, the NWS, and WN all tied with just 3 degree error points!

Friday: High 93, Low 78.
Saturday: High 94, Low 78.
Forecast Grade: A

New Orleans, Louisiana

As we head into the weekend, let’s take a look at how it’s shaping up for the Big Easy! Will it be a great weekend for tourists and residents alike? Or will vacation be spent indoors? Also, Summer officially started earlier this morning, hooray!

At 1053pm CDT, the temperature at New Orleans, LA was 83 degrees under fair skies. An occluded low is found over the Mid-MS River Valley, trailing a front through the Ohio Valley and down into the Deep South and Southern Plains. Some healthy thunderstorms are rolling through MS/AL ahead of the cold front, but this activity is expected to stay well north of the New Orleans area. The tail end of the front should remain north as it shifts east during the morning hours Friday, and much of the Eastern GOM/Gulf Coast looks to be quiet as the Bermuda High builds over the region. We can expect these fairly quiet conditions to extend into Saturday, with continued hot and muggy temperatures. Typical Summer conditions!

Friday: Mostly sunny. High 93, Low 78.
Saturday: Continued sunny and muggy. High 92, Low 77.

TWC: Friday: Partly cloudy. High 93, Low 77.
Saturday: Partly cloudy. High 92, Low 78.

AW: Friday: Partly sunny; delightful. High 91, Low 77.
Saturday: Partly sunny; humid. High 91, Low 78.

NWS: Friday: Partly sunny. High 92, Low 78.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 92, Low 78.

WB: Friday: Partly sunny. High 87, Low 79.
Saturday: Partly cloudy. High 88, Low 79.

WN: Friday: Partly cloudy. High 92, Low 78.
Saturday: Partly cloudy. High 92, Low 78.

FIO: Friday: Humid throughout the day and mostly cloudy until evening. High 89, Low 76.
Saturday: Partly cloudy until afternoon. High 90, Low 77.

All is quiet around the Central Gulf Coast tonight, while portions of the Deep South are seeing some potent thunderstorms. This quiet pattern looks to extend into the weekend!

Everyone wins!

To end the week, the weather in New Orleans was immaculate: not a cloud to be seen, while temperatures only climbed to the mid 80s, which is very comfortable for this time of year down in the Bayous. So the residents of New Orleans were big winners, but so were the forecasters. There was a 5 way tie atop the leaderboard, leaving only the NWS and FIO out of the spoils. A cool morning low on Friday was a big enough hiccup that despite the tranquility, this tie wasn’t because everyone had an excellent showing.
Actuals: Thursday – High 84, Low 73
Friday – High 84, Low 64

Grade: C

Terre Haute, Indiana to New Orleans, Louisiana

If you stuck around after our initial forecast, you will know that the weather in New Orleans for the next day and a half of this drive will be in excellent shape, but what about the 783 miles in between? We’ll cover that mileage at a pace of 68.5,mph, at which pace we will cover 548 miles on Thursday’s drive.

 
DAY ONE (Thursday)

Indeed, warm weather and sunny skies have come to the Mississippi Valley after a long stretch of busy weather in the area. Don’t be surprised to see a lot of people just outside and enjoying it at any stop that is made. Maybe have lunch by the river in Memphis. It’s going to be nice day, is what I’m saying. We’ll make it to Mississippi and the town of Richland, which is about 75 miles northeast of Jackson.

DAY TWO (Friday)
Like I said in the intro, New Orleans is going to be very nice to drive through. So too, will Jackson and all parts in between. It will even be tolerably cool. Not quite to the dog days yet, but they are coming soon.

New Orleans, Louisiana

The Big Easy… Let’s go find out if the weather will be easy to forecast. – Most obvious intro pun possible.

At 953PM, CT, New Orleans was reporting a temperature of 78 degrees with clear skies. After a rough weekend, a boundary has swept through the area, providing New Orleans with northerly flow, importing drier, stable air to the city. High pressure in the center of the country is inhibiting convective development across the center of the country.
The trough that brought the boundary through the region is shortwaved, but the high pressure in place behind it is broad and strong. There might be a few isolated showers or storms floating around the south end of the high pressure feature, but that will mean only some thunder around Corpus Christi. The next real threat for significant weather in the Big Easy will be with a few isolated storms over the weekend.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 85, Low 71
Friday – Sun High 85, Low 71

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny skies High 85, Low 69
Friday – Sunshine – High 85, Low 69

AW: Tomorrow – Sunshine High 85, Low 70
Friday – Sunny to partly cloudy and pleasant High 85, Low 70

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 85, Low 70
Friday – Sunny, High 85, Low 71

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 83, Low 69
Friday – Sunny, High 83, Low 69

WN: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 84, Low 70
Friday – Sunny, High 84, Low 72

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 87, Low 72
Friday – Partly cloudy starting in the afternoon, continuing until evening. High 85, Low 73

This is incredible weather for New Orleans  for this time of year. Not too hot and dry.

New Orleans, Louisiana to Pueblo, Colorado

Today we’re traveling from one vacation destination to another, albeit for entire different reasons. New Orleans for their lovely warm weather and rich culture, Pueblo for their plethora of nearby winter activities in the Rockies. It’s 1,188 miles between the two, so it’ll take a couple days to complete the trek

New Orleans

DAY ONE

High pressure controls most of the Eastern US, but a weak lingering boundary along the central Gulf Coast continues to keep moisture hovering in the region. Some low clouds and fog are expected in the New Orleans area as we depart in the morning, and can’t rule out an isolated shower either. As we continue through Northern Louisiana and towards Dallas, showers should remain to the south of our route, but clouds are expected to linger over much of the area. Increased southerly gusts are anticipated as well as an area of low pressure continues to intensify over the Central Rockies. Eventually we end our day in Wichita Falls, TX.

DAY TWO

The aforementioned low pressure system pushes out over the Central Plains during the morning hours, with quite gusty winds anticipated as we depart Wichita Falls. A few scattered showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm are possible in the area as we make our way northwest towards Amarillo, as a strong cold front is pushing through the region. Lucky for us, the worst of it will develop well after we’re out of the area, moving out of Texas and into far northeastern New Mexico. Strong westerly winds could slow us down some as the fill in behind the front, but at least we’ll avoid the severe weather that’ll pop up over the Plains. We might see some very light precip starting up over Pueblo as we pull in for the night, but nothing that we can’t handle.

Pueblo

Storm stifled

Strong storms developed over the southern US on Thursday, though the densest severe activity was found over southern Alabama, New Orleans was covered by heavy rain and cloud through most of the day. Temperatures fell off the forecast highs because of all the clouds, which meant otherwise good forecasts were reduced to rubbish. OK, that was overstating it. They just weren’t as close to perfect as they could have been. WeatherNation claimed the top spot for the day.
Actuals: Wednesday – High 78, Low 61
Thursday – .20 inches of rain, High 72

Grade B-C

New Orleans, Louisiana to Racine, Wisconsin

Well, Spring Break is over, so time to head on back. Looks like it’ll take 2 days to get back from our Gulf Coast soiree to Racine, WI. It’s just over 1000 miles so it will take two days to return. Party’s over folks!

New Orleans

DAY ONE

As alluded to in my forecast for New Orleans yesterday, an intensifying area of low pressure is shifting through the Mid-MS River Valley and trailing a strong cold front through the Southern Plains. Numerous thunderstorms developed today from MO down into central TX, stirring up cells capable of strong winds and large hail. This front will continue moving into the direct path of our route northward in the morning, but luckily the worst of the cells should have died off a while ago. We can expect showers and thunderstorms as we go northward through western MS, passing Jackson and continuing towards Memphis. By early afternoon, the cold front should be west of our route, so outside of a couple straggling showers, no more precip is expected on this leg, just some gusty northwest winds as we progress through extreme northeast Arkansas and eventually into Sikeston, MO, our destination for the night.

DAY TWO

Today’s weather will be MUCH nicer for the final leg of the trip, as high pressure settled into the area overnight. Relatively light winds are expected and some sun is anticipated, but we can expect some increasing clouds as we make our way past Chicago and eventually into Racine for the night, as low pressure developing over the Upper Midwest will muck things up, but remain dry.

Racine