7:22PM There is a little bit of tropical development in the Gulf. Might it be a hurricane? It might, eventually. It will probably spin up a few landspouts in the highlighted area on Saturday.
11:39PM Our first forecast next week is for Tallahassee. Obviously, that looks like our most interesting forecast for the coming week as well. Hurricane season is finally here.
Eastern Pennsylvania tonight, with a forecast for the Lehigh Valley.
At 1151PM, ET, Allentown was reporting clear skies and a temperature of 52. High pressure dominated New England, however a fairly deep trough over the Great Lakes, producing a weak feature presently centered over the Upper Peninsula. A band of showers over the Mid Atlantic and lifting northward was tied to this feature as well. The upper level trough in the Great Lakes will continue to track o the east, and tap more effectively into the Gulf Stream,, while taking the traditional comma shape of a large area of low pressure. Cold air won’t really trickle into Allentown until Monday afternoon, when the original cold front arrives. Meanwhile, the moisture will have a tough time getting into the Lehigh VAlley either, rising from the south to meet the broader feature. Still, a chance for showers with overcast Sunday afternoon, and a clearer day on Monday, if trending cooler by nightfall. Tomorrow – Passing clouds, especially in the afternoon with a sprinkle, High 60, Low 50 Monday – Mostly sunny, High 70, Low 48
TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy skies with a few showers later in the day High 61, Low 52 Monday – Some clouds in the morning will give way to mainly sunny skies for the afternoon. High 68, Low 53
AW: Tomorrow – Cloudy and cooler; occasional rain this afternoon High 61, Low 53 Monday – Mostly sunny and breezy at times; the start of an extended stretch of dry weather High 70, Low 53
NWS: Tomorrow – A chance of showers, mainly after 2pm. Cloudy, High 63, Low 52 Monday – Partly sunny, HIgh 68, Low 52
WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the afternoon. High 64, Low 57 Monday – Sunny High 60, Low 44
WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with showers, High 63, Low 53 Monday – Mostly sunny, High 68, Low 57
CLI: Tomorrow – Light rain showes, High 61, Low 52 Monday – Sunny High 67, Low 53
Satellite will continue to show a busy pattern in the northeast, but just like to night, it looks like a lot of that activity will steer clear of the Allentown area.
The summer equinox is in late September, which is when the calendar says the season has turned to autumn. Nobody told the Memphis atmosphere, however, and temperatures were in the triple digits on the 20th. It wasn’t much better on the 21st, with temperatures still in the mid 90s. For most, this was the biggest forecast flaw, as the cool down was not widely qccounted for. Accuweather had the top forecast, but scores were not great. Actuals: September 20th, High 100, Low 73 September 21st, High 94, Low 70
4:30PM: We’ve made it to the end of September, and one last summerish severe weather outlook. There is a slight risk along the Texas dry line and into Kansas. There is even a tornado watch in Kansas tonight! I bet your favorite storm chasers are already on the scene.
4:45PM: The remnants of a tropical system are enhancing rain chances throughout the 4 Corners and even fueling a bit rainier than otherwise anticipated conditions in the Plains. With all that said, this color schema out of Southern California is confusing!
9:11PM Speaking of the remnants of Polo, I bet Houston wasn’t expecting that the only advisories related to a hurricane out of their office by this point in a season would come from a Pacific storm.
We are headed to the Red River Valley tonight. Perhaps not the most interesting time of year for a forecast, but people still need to know the weather.
At 350PM, CT, Sherman was reporting partly cloudy skies with a temperature of 93 degrees. While the pattern is fairly benign, there is a bit of instability around Dallas, and there are a few pop up thunderstorm in the region, A deep trough at the upper levels over the Rockies is diving southwest towards the Central Coast of California. This synoptic feature will interact with Hurricane Polo. The trough will stall aloft while Polo’s influence will move into the 4 Corners area. All this said, the main impact for north Texas will be continued return flow, a weaker than normal dry line, and isolated showers and storms will linger throughout the region for both days of the forecast period. Tomorrow – Fair skies with an isolated storm, High 91, Low 69 Tuesday – Mostly sunny, isolated showers and storms, High 93, Low 70
TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible high 89, Low 70 Tuesday – Sunshine and clouds mixed High 93, Low 72
AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, very warm and humid; a thunderstorm in spots in the afternoon High 90, Low 70 Tuesday – Breezy in the morning; remaining very warm with more clouds than sun with a thunderstorm in spots in the afternoon High 91, Low 72
NWS: Tomorrow – A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. Mostly sunny, High 91, Low 70 Tuesday – Mostly sunny, High 94, Low 72
WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny. A chance of showers in the morning, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 88, Low 71 Tuesday – Mostly sunny. High 91, Low 73
WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated storms, High 91, Low 70 Tuesday – Partly cloudy, High 94, Low 72
CLI: Tomorrow – Light rain showers, High 89, Low 69 Tuesday – Partly cloudy, High 91, Low 71
It looks like a pretty static couple of days, and all thanks to a hurricane.
11:27PM: While we are obviously talking about the storm in New England, I want to note that again, we aren’t talking about much else, and the storm in New England is here too early in the season for snow.