Allentown, Pennsylvania

Eastern Pennsylvania tonight, with a forecast for the Lehigh Valley.

At 1151PM, ET, Allentown was reporting clear skies and a temperature of 52. High pressure dominated New England, however a fairly deep trough over the Great Lakes, producing a weak feature presently centered over the Upper Peninsula. A band of showers over the Mid Atlantic and lifting northward was tied to this feature as well.
The upper level trough in the Great Lakes will continue to track o the east, and tap more effectively into the Gulf Stream,, while taking the traditional comma shape of a large area of low pressure. Cold air won’t really trickle into Allentown until Monday afternoon, when the original cold front arrives. Meanwhile, the moisture will have a tough time getting into the Lehigh VAlley either, rising from the south to meet the broader feature. Still, a chance for showers with overcast Sunday afternoon, and a clearer day on Monday, if trending cooler by nightfall.
Tomorrow – Passing clouds, especially in the afternoon with a sprinkle, High 60, Low 50
Monday – Mostly sunny, High 70, Low 48

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy skies with a few showers later in the day High 61, Low 52
Monday – Some clouds in the morning will give way to mainly sunny skies for the afternoon.  High 68, Low 53

AW: Tomorrow – Cloudy and cooler; occasional rain this afternoon High 61, Low 53
Monday – Mostly sunny and breezy at times; the start of an extended stretch of dry weather High 70, Low 53

NWS: Tomorrow – A chance of showers, mainly after 2pm. Cloudy, High 63, Low 52
Monday – Partly sunny, HIgh 68, Low 52

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the afternoon. High 64, Low 57
Monday – Sunny High 60, Low 44

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with showers, High 63, Low 53
Monday – Mostly sunny, High 68, Low 57

CLI: Tomorrow – Light rain showes, High 61, Low 52
Monday – Sunny High 67, Low 53

Satellite will continue to show a busy pattern in the northeast, but just like to night, it looks like a lot of that activity will steer clear of the Allentown area.

Summer lasts a couple of days longer

The summer equinox is in late September, which is when the calendar says the season has turned to autumn. Nobody told the Memphis atmosphere, however, and temperatures were in the triple digits on the 20th. It wasn’t much better on the 21st, with temperatures still in the mid 90s. For most, this was the biggest forecast flaw, as the cool down was not widely qccounted for. Accuweather had the top forecast, but scores were not great.
Actuals: September 20th, High 100, Low 73
September 21st, High 94, Low 70

Grade: C

Updates 9/29

4:45PM: The remnants of a tropical system are enhancing rain chances throughout the 4 Corners and even fueling a bit rainier than otherwise anticipated conditions in the Plains. With all that said, this color schema out of Southern California is confusing!

9:11PM Speaking of the remnants of Polo, I bet Houston wasn’t expecting that the only advisories related to a hurricane out of their office by this point in a season would come from a Pacific storm.

Sherman, Texas

We are headed to the Red River Valley tonight. Perhaps not the most interesting time of year for a forecast, but people still need to know the weather.

At 350PM, CT, Sherman was reporting partly cloudy skies with a temperature of 93 degrees. While the pattern is fairly benign, there is a bit of instability around Dallas, and there are a few pop up thunderstorm in the region,
A deep trough at the upper levels over the Rockies is diving southwest towards the Central Coast of California. This synoptic feature will interact with Hurricane Polo. The trough will stall aloft while Polo’s influence will move into the 4 Corners area. All this said, the main impact for north Texas will be continued return flow, a weaker than normal dry line, and isolated showers and storms will linger throughout the region for both days of the forecast period.
Tomorrow – Fair skies with an isolated storm, High 91, Low 69
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, isolated showers and storms, High 93, Low 70

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible high 89, Low 70
Tuesday – Sunshine and clouds mixed High 93, Low 72

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, very warm and humid; a thunderstorm in spots in the afternoon High 90, Low 70
Tuesday – Breezy in the morning; remaining very warm with more clouds than sun with a thunderstorm in spots in the afternoon High 91, Low 72

NWS: Tomorrow – A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. Mostly sunny, High 91, Low 70
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, High 94, Low 72

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny. A chance of showers in the morning, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 88, Low 71
Tuesday – Mostly sunny.  High 91, Low 73

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated storms, High 91, Low 70
Tuesday – Partly cloudy, High 94, Low 72

CLI: Tomorrow – Light rain showers, High 89, Low 69
Tuesday – Partly cloudy, High 91, Low 71

It looks like a pretty static couple of days, and all thanks to a hurricane.