I will discuss this in greater detail tomorrow, but I want you to wake up with this knowledge. Hurricane Lee is not going to landfall in the States. I would worry more about that in Nova Scotia. Additionally, this does not mean that US interests on the coast are in the clear. As Lee heads to the north, be wary of rip currents and high surf as the stom heads north.
Heat prologue
Labor Day weekend was very hot for the middle of the country, but it took a little bit of ramping up. It wasn’t very warm yet when we forecast for Danville. The temperatures were on the rise, though, finishing at 86 on the 2nd, better than the 55 we observed to start the forecast on the 31st. Victoria-Weather took the W for Danville.
Actuals: September 1st, High 82, Low 54
September 2d, High 86, Low 54
Grade: C
Please avoid large festivals in rural Nevada today
An anecdote
To give you an idea of the weather scenario we are in right now, I was just on a conference call with people from many parts of the country. One of the attendees from Texas was lamenting the triple digit heat that continues to boil Texans.
Here in Minnesota, I had to wear a light jacket this morning. Fall is coming, people. Eventually.
Update: Brr!
Different vibes than last week
After we were looking forward to a hot couple of weeks for really most of the country, today, we can look at the outlook and see cooler air is on the horizon. Let’s hope that the cool down comes entirely at the hands of an advancing cold front and not Hurricane Lee. (I should note that it is NOT likely to be the result of Lee)
Low pressure will try to deflect the next round of tropical weather
Lee, presently in the North Atlantic, already looking for a trip to the Eastern Seaboard, is a big, scary storm. He’s going to be a Cat 4 before all is said and done, and a Cat 5 is not out of the question. Fortunately, this is the forecast map for Saturday.
That coastal feature should be just enough to shunt Lee away from the coast. Remember that if you are lamenting the weekend rain out East this weekend.
August Forecaster of the Month
It’s been a long year for Accuweather. Coming into August, they still hadn’t had a solo win on a single forecast all year. August is through, and Accuweather still hasn’t won a forecast for themselves. They tied for the win on three this month, however, and that consistency earned them the Forecaster of the Month title.
| Outlet | Forecast Wins (year) |
| Victoria-Weather | 5.83 |
| The Weather Channel | 4.83 |
| Clime | 2.83 |
| National Weather Service | 2.5 |
| WeatherNation | 2.5 |
| Weatherbug | 2.5 |
| Accuweather | 2 |
A switch flips
On the 22nd, we put together a forecast for Trenton, where weather was looking fine. It continued as such for most of Wednesday the 23rd as well, but in the afternoon, things went from clear to cloudy in the span of a couple of hours, and then Trenton sat in the sludge for the rest of the forecast period. there was a little bit of rain that came with the overcast, which put Clime off of the victory, and instead handed it to the unlikely duo of Accuweather and Weatherbug.
Actuals: Tuesday August 23rd, High 78, Low 59
Wednesday – August 24th, .15 inches of rain, High 72, Low 66
Grade: B-C
Coming Soon…
We’ve reached the end of summer, and with it, the peak of hurricane season. With that in mind, expect some lighter site forecasting, and a bit more “big story” coverage for the next couple of weeks.
Lake Havasu City, Nevada
Evansville, Indiana
Heat getting ready to New England
Hot weather is roasting the middle of the country on this Labor Day, but it’s going to break, at least in the northern part of the country thanks to a round of severe weather moving through the Upper Midwest. The peak of the heat for New England looks like it will come on Thursday of this week. Below are the highs for Thursday
