from Victoria-Weather
I think we’re back! We’ve gone through a batch of forecasts, posts, verifications, etc and things look to be up and running just fine. So let’s not look back and keep an eye out on the future. What’s ahead?
Harrisonburg, Virginia
Monroe, Michigan
Hattiesburg, Mississippi
Texarkana, Texas
Wow! Another forecast! And every single part of this city name is really tough to spell!
AT 354PM, ET, Worcester was reporting a temperature of 42 with fair skies.
The ridge is angled north and south along he Appalachians, and will be easily moved by a cold font appended to a deep area of low pressure over Hudson Bay. The boundary will sweep in fairly early in the day on Friday, leaving a low overcast day marked by a bit of light rain throughout the day.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 48, Low 26
Friday – Overcast with rain at times, High 54, Low 36
TWC: Tomorrow – Generally sunny despite a few afternoon clouds. High 51,
Friday Cloudy (early rain).,High 59, Low 39
AW: Tomorrow – Sunshine mixing with some clouds High 50, Low 27
Friday – Variable cloudiness High 56, Low 38
NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 51, Low 28
Friday – A slight chance of showers after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, High 58, Low 39
WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 49, Low 27
Friday – Mostly cloudy, High 7, Low 38
WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 51, Low 29
Friday – Mostly cloudy with isolated showers, High 58, Low 39
FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy starting in the afternoon. High 52,
Friday – Overcast throughout the day. High 56, Low 42
Look how empty this satellite is! Unfortunately, there will be a bit of overcast on the way. Whether or not that includes rain remains to be seen.
Two forecasts in a day? I find that the only way this makes sense is to hit both sides of the country.
At 953PM, PT, Modesto was reporting a temperature of 61 degrees with overcast skies. There was a little bit of rain over San Francisco, and dew points were nosing into the low 50s. If there is any clearing tonight, low lying areas are likely to fog in.
A persistent area of low pressure over the Pacific is going to continue to generate a pipeline of moisture into northern California. Snow is expected in the mountains, with rain a persistent matter of fact for Modesto
Tomorrow – Rain, High 66, low 54
Thursday – Scattered showers, becoming less widespread, High 66, Low 48
TWC: Tomorrow – Rain showers in the morning with numerous thunderstorms developing in the afternoon. High 66,
Thursday – Partly cloudy skies during the morning hours will give way to occasional showers in the afternoon. High 64,
AW: Tomorrow – Cloudy, spotty showers; cool High 67, Low 54
Thursday – A morning shower; otherwise, times of clouds and sun; cool High 65, Low 46
NWS: Tomorrow – A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. High 67,
Thursday – A chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. Partly sunny High 65, Low 48
WB: Tomorrow – A chance of rain showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms in the
Thursday – Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers in the
WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with scattered showers, High 67, Low 55
Thursday – Mostly cloudy with light showers, High 67, Low 55
FIO: Tomorrow – Light rain in the afternoon. High 64,
Thursday – Partly cloudy starting in the morning, continuing until night. High 64, Low 46
Everyone seems to be on the same page, or would be, if Weathebug hadn’t filled it all up. Radar is active in the North Bay!
Hi! Morgantown is the home of the University of West Virginia, but is actually way closer to Pittsburgh than any of the other population centers of West Virginia. Does that influence the weather in any way? Almost certainly not!
At 1253PM, Morgantown was reporting clear skies and a temperature of 39 degrees. Dry air was pushing into the area as a strong ridge of high pressure was settling into the Great Lakes. There was still a tumultuous pattern at the upper levels, but it was not reflected at the surface.
The machinations at the very top of the continent will ultimately bear watching for most of the northern part of the country. An area of low pressure developing in the Northwest Territories, headed into Nunavut will dangle a cold front into the Great Lakes through midweek, headed towards the Appalachians for the end of the week. It will be motivated by a surprisingly strident batch of cold air, though most of the local moisture will come from the Lakes. All this is to say the boundary, despite the cold air, will be slow moving and not terribly rainy. Morgantown should be in the clear until Friday.
Tomorrow – Sunny, High 55, Low 25
Thursday – Increasing clouds, but warmer, High 67, low 41
TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy skies. High 57, Low 26
Thursday – Mainly cloudy. High 64, Low 39
AW: Tomorrow – Plenty of sun; milder High 58, Low 27
Thursday – Partly sunny; breezy, mild High 67, Low 38
NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 56, low 27
Thursday – A slight chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly sunny, High 66, Low 36
WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 55, Low 27
Thursday – Partly cloudy, A slight chance of showers in the afternoon, high 64, Low 39
WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 57, Low 27
Thursday – Partly cloudy with isolated showers, High 66, Low 36
FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy starting in the morning, continuing until afternoon.High 59, Low 30
Thursday – Mostly cloudy starting in the morning. High 65, Low 41
Even if it does rain, that’s a pretty great forecast. Tranquil today.
I thought we had turned a corner. On the winter, if there is a shadow of a doubt, leave precipitation in the forecast. On the summer, it’s easier to dodge rain drops even if it looks like storms are looming on a given day. Alas, I thought Lafayette was in the clear over this weekend with a short wave trough approaching. I was the only one who felt that way, but I felt really good about it. Of course, you know how this ends. It ends with Lafayette wet. Victoria-Weather could have secured victory if those .06 inches of rain hadn’t fallen, but instead, it was The Weather Channel and WeatherNation who split honors.
Actuals: Saturday, High 53, low 19
Sunday – .06 inches of rain, High 53, low 38
Grade: B-C
While we’ve been knocked out of commission and also trying to get caught up with life, the weather has gone on unabated. While most of the country has been bouncing back from a grueling winter, our first stop takes us to Nebraska and South Dakota, which are undergoing unprecedented flooding, thanks primarily to snow melt, which has led to dam breaches, particularly on the Missouri, Elkhorn and Niobara Rivers.
These floods pale in comparison, somehow, and amazingly, to the catastrophic landfall of a cyclone near Beira, Mozambique. Cyclone Idai, all told will end up killing thousands in Mozambique, Zimbabwe and Malawi. Part of the problem, as is often the case with disasters in the third world is a failure of infrastructure, but another is that Mozambique has a natural barrier – Madagascar – that usually saves the country, and the region was less experienced with such catastrophes.
After all that, it’s tough to move to a different, more positive tale, but here it is” We were able to maintain our records, even if we weren’t able to keep our site up and running. We can say for sure that Accuweather had the top month back in February, which seems wild, since A) I can’t believe we are still thinking about February and B) they did it without much success on winning individual forecasts. Consistency! Congrats to Accuweather
| Month wins | |
| Weatherbug | 2.58 |
| WeatherNation | 1.58 |
| Victoria-Weather | 1 |
| Forecast.io | 1 |
| Accuweather | 0.33 |
| The Weather Channel | 0.25 |
| National Weather Service | 0.25 |
| Outlet | Month wins | year wins |
| Weatherbug | 2.58 | 3.58 |
| Victoria-Weather | 1 | 3 |
| Forecast.io | 1 | 3 |
| National Weather Service | 0.25 | 2.25 |
| WeatherNation | 1.58 | 1.58 |
| Accuweather | 0.33 | 1.33 |
| The Weather Channel | 0.25 | 1.25 |
March Madness is fully underway, so Vegas is bustling this weekend! Lets take a look at Atlantic City, the Vegas of the East!
At 154pm EDT, the temperature at Atlantic City, NJ was 49 degrees under fair and breezy conditions. High pressure is sitting over the East Coast currently, making for very pleasant conditions in the Atlantic City area. High pressure will shift out over the Atlantic tomorrow but will continue to keep the area dry, though clouds will increase throughout the afternoon and evening hours. A quick-moving low pressure system will shift out of the Ohio Valley overnight Sunday into Monday, bringing rain to the area by midday Monday. It’s a quick-hitter though, and will clear out by Monday evening, ushering in colder air behind it. It’ll be dry for the rest of the week as high pressure builds back in.
Sunday: Some afternoon clouds. High 57, Low 29.
Monday: Overcast, some shower activity. High 48, Low 35.
TWC: Sunday: Mostly cloudy. High 56, Low 32.
Monday: Cloudy, chances of rain. High 49, Low 43.
AW :Sunday: Times of clouds and sun. High 55, Low 35.
Monday: Mostly cloudy, a little rain. High 52, Low 45.
NWS: Sunday: High 55, Low 32.
Monday: Rain likely. High 47, Low 41.
WB: Sunday: Sunny. High 53, Low 33.
Monday: Rain expected. High 49, Low 44.
WN: Sunday: Mostly sunny. High 55, Low 32.
Monday: Mostly cloudy with light rain likely. High 47, Low 42.
FIO: Sunday: Mostly cloudy and breezy starting in afternoon. High 53, Low 36.
Monday: Overcast throughout the day. High 51, Low 41.
It’s a picture perfect day today! Tomorrow will be more of the same before a system finally makes it way into the area on Monday.
Up until now, we’ve had to rely on our RSS feed to put together out verifications, but the first post back was
Actuals: Monday, the 11th, High 72, Low 54
Tuesday the 12th, High 64, Low 39
Grade: B-C
Yes, it’s tournament time, so there is no better time than to salute my alma mater, Purdue University. They’re a 3 seed in the Big Dance, and nearly everyone will be indoors watching basketball in their home city of West Lafayette, Indiana, but we can give them a forecast anyways, I guess.
At 254PM, ET, Lafayette was reporting clear skies with a temperature of 47 degrees and brisk north winds that belied the high pressure stably in place over the region. Satellite gave a clue to the blustery conditions, as Indiana was clearly in the wash of a strong system moving through the Eastern Seaboard this afternoon.
High pressure will remain in place across the Great Lakes tonight and through the day tomorrow, but the pattern aloft is moderately active, particularly in the Plains. A weak low will be bolstered by a sharp trough with weak flow through it in the Plains will start to approach the Hoosier State. Rain won’t reach Lafayette by the time the weekend ends,
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 52, Low 25
Sunday – Increasing clouds late,
TWC: Tomorrow – Mostly clear. High 51,
Sunday – Cloudy with occasional showers
AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny; chilly High 50, Low 24
Sunday – On-and-off rain and drizzle High 60, Low 35
NWS: Tomorrow –
Sunday – Rain, mainly after 1pm. High 54,
WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 49, Low 26
Sunday – Rain, High 50, Low 37
WN: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 53, Low 25
Sunday – Mostly cloudy with light rain, High 54, Low 40
FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy starting in the evening. High 54,
Sunday – Rain in the morning and evening. High 56, Low 40
Well, I’m not sure why everyone else has rain getting there so early. Please stay with us as we see just how wrong I can be! Here is satellite, showing that “wash” over Lafayette that I was talking about,
The forecast for Oshkosh was easy enough, it was dry both days with not a lot of expected variance. However, Tuesday warmed up exactly 7 degrees for both the low AND high temps, slightly more than most were expecting. Well, the Weather Channel expected it at least, securing a fairly comfortable victory.
Monday: High 39, Low 19.
Tuesday: High 46, Low 26.
Forecast Grade: A-C