from Victoria-Weather
We have quite a few road trip forecasts coming forward through the year’s end.
Redding, California
Road Trip from Hot Springs, Arkansas to Redding
Reno, Nevada
Road Trip from Monroe, Louisiana to Reno
Road Trip from Dallas, Texas to Bay City, Michigan
Atlantic City, New Jersey
Road Trip from Bay City to Atlantic City
Road Trip from Atlantic City to Sacramento, California
The forecast for the day will come from north Texas. Given the pattern right now, this might be one of the colder forecasts you see from Texas.
At 115PM, CT, Sherman was reporting a temperature of 68 degrees. Skies were clear behind a trough sweeping a band of clouds through the Piney Woods. Dew points in north Texas have already dropped off, but the lag in temperature gradient goes back to Kansas, where temperatures have dropped into the 30s. A succession of clippers have moved through the Upper Midwest, riding a strong jet streak through the Plains. The jet streak is expected to start oscillating through the weekend, with high pressure then building in the south central US.
High pressure building in the Plains will do so on the back of cold weather from Canada. With a deep trough at the upper levels, there is enough cyclonic flow to continue reinforcing cold air in North Texas. The thermal ridge will wait until the middle of next week to start taking temperatures back up. Before then, don’t be surprised to see some sub-freezing air arrive in Sherman
Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 58, Low 39
Sunday – Sunny and a bit warmer, High 42, Low 26
TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy. High 61, low 38
Sunday – Sunny. High 42, Low 27
AW: Tomorrow – Times of clouds and sun; best day of the weekend High 65, low 37
Sunday – Mostly sunny; breezy in the morning, then turning much colder high 47, Low 26
NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, high 63, Low 38
Sunday – Sunny, high 46, Low 28
WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny. High 60, Low 38
Sunday – Sunny. Much cooler High 44, low 33
WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 63, Low 38
Sunday – Sunny, High 46, Low 28
CLI: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 60, Low 38
Sunday – Sunny, High 42, low 27
It’s going to be interesting to see how quickly temperatures fall off on Saturday night. There is a good chance that is a midnight high. It’s clear right now, but don’t let that fool you!
I verified Raleigh earlier this week, and completely skipped over the verification for Providence. This was a busy forecast, with some rain coming into the area just as Thanksgiving was drawing near. There was rain on both Wednesday and a bit of a splash on Thanksgiving Day. As promised, the weather cleared by afternoon, which allowed locals to get out of the house and go for a walk to allow all that turkey to digest. The rainfall wasn’t universally included in the forecast, which really shuffled the standings. Weatherbug had the top temperature forecast, but fell back into a tie with Victoria-Weather – which makes me even more irritated I missed the verification! -for first place.
Actuals: November 26th, .18″ of rain, High 59, Low 53
Thanksgiving – .01″ of rain, High 55, Low 37
Grade: B-C
11:28PM: A rule of thumb: When the Jacksonville WFO is issuing frost and freeze advisories, try to post something on the website.
9:14PM: Take a look at the HRRR’s latest run. The snow is going to build very quickly from Montana to South Dakota. Head’s up, Pierre, things are going to go downhill pretty rapidly tonight.
Back in the saddle again, as we take a trip from southern Wisconsin to southern Arizona. Surely, as we reach the middle of December, this is a voyage a lot of locals wouldn’t mind taking. The drive is going to take us three days and cover 1,666 miles, which means that if weather holds, we will cover 533 miles a day at abouy 66.7mph. The final day of the trip, as often is the case, will be our longest.
DAY ONE (Thursday)
It’s been a busy time for the northern Plains. The cold seen across the Eastern US is being fed by a steady band of Clipper systems moving along the back end of the thermal trough. Another one is staged to move through on Thursday, particularly impacting Iowa in the afternoon. It will take us a couple of hours to get to Des Moines, and naturally, that should be the point of the trip where snow starts to infiltrate. I would say the chance for flakes will start around Ames and pick up. We will nearly be out of the woods by the time we reach Osceola, and at that point, it may mix with some rain. Fortunately, the rain and precipitation will cut off with warmer air as we cross into Missouri. Kansas City will offer fewer navigational headaches than Des Moines, and we will end the night in Topeka, before the Kansas Turnpike offers fewer and fewer exit opportunities.
DAY TWO (Friday)
We are certainly taking a more adventurous route than we are accustomed to. We will not be haded south from Wichita, but rather west through southwest Kansas, and on some smaller roads through the various Panhandles of the region. Fortunately, the weather should be accomodating along a route that can be otherwise inhospitable. About 20 minutes before we reach Tucumcari, New Mexico from the northeast, we will end our day in Logan, New Mexico.
DAY THREE (Saturday)
I think we will be happy we went south and then west. While a nother bracing shot of cold air and snow moves through the Upper Midwest and High Plains, we will be driving through the sunshine and seasonably warm air of New Mexico. The Land of Enchantment, indeed. It will be quite comfortable for our arrival in Tucson.
We visited Raleigh at the end of November, which was in the midst of a soggy stretch that, frankly, is still ongoing. It’s been such a warm autumn, and the past few winters were so mild, it’s kind of bracing to see such a chill to the air as far south as the Carolinas. But we did indeed see some temperatures that were near freezing and didn’t even get out of the 40s for the first day of December. That particular day was colder than anyone had in mind, and certainly colder than anyone in Raleigh appreciated. If you want a cold forecast, Weatherbug is your place to be, and they secured the win on this occasion.
Actuals: November 30th, .22″ of rain, High 52, Low 35
December 1st, High 45, Low 35
Grade: B-C
9:04PM: Perhaps you have seen the headlines, but south Asia is recovering from a significant flooding event that afflicted parts of at least 5 countries. It started with a slow moving typhoon in the Molucca Strait, and after it moved out of the region, there was a succession of other rain storms that stretched from Sri Lanka to the Philippines. The rain led to flash flooding, and the deaths of over 2000 people across the region. The constant drum beat of news in the US has kept this disaster out of the headlines, but so too has the slow burn of this catastrophe. I encourage you to spend some time reading up on this storm, and sparing a thought for the souls that couldn’t escape.
11:43PM: I don’t know if you caught much NFL action today, but there were some wet and marshy fields out there, and plenty of snowy turf as well. The snow and rain is really tapering off in the New England area, but rain looks like a good bet for Georgia tomorrow.
9:45PM: Lake effect snow is possible on either side of the Great Lakes, we just here about it more frequently to the east of the lakes, because that is the the prevailing direction of air flow in the Northern Hemisphere. Every once in a while, you get a northeasterly wind off of Lake Superior, and you suddenly have heavy lake effect in the Minnesota Arrowhead. The area is bound by a little bit of terrain, so the snow isn’t even showing on radar, and it is seeing some orographic forcing as well. This could be a pretty good dumping.
11:21PM The next system to batter the East Coast is, well, starting to batter! Look at the coverage on this rain!
