Tag Archives: Visalia

Knowing the territory

The weather in Visalia was not expected to cause any issues, either for the forecasters investigating the city, nor for residents of Visalia, who enjoyed sun and highs in the low 70s. The top forecast, with only one degree of error, belonged to the NWS, which seemed to have some advantages in being the only outlet that forecasts for Visalia all the time. West Coast forecasts are all about familiarity.
Actuals: Sunday – High 73, Low 48
Monday – High 73, Low 50

Grade: A-C

Visalia, California

Good morning! It’s getting warm everywhere, but in California, it never really gets that cold anyway.

At 756AM, PT, Visalia was reporting a temperature of 53 degrees with clear skies. An area of low pressure in the Pacific Northwest was inducing a westerly flow across California, transporting cooler Pacific air into the Valley, but keeping skies clear.
A look at the satellite suggests the ongoing trend for the next couple of days. Clear skies will persist at the lower terrain, mid level flow will generate some clouds in the Sierras. The upper level trough will break down, through flow will continue to bring moisture into the Sierras. Expect a few showers in the mountains, but Visalia will continue to be free and clear.
Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 72, Low 46
Monday – Partly cloudy, High 71, Low 47

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunshine and some clouds. High 74, Low 46
Monday – Mainly sunny. High 74, Low 48

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny and cool High 73, Low 46
Monday – Mostly sunny and cool High 74, Low 47

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 73, Low 48
Monday – Sunny – High 73, Low 49

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 72, Low 47
Monday – Mostly sunny, High 72. Low 47

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 73, Low 48
Monday – Partly cloudy, High 73, Low 48

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 78, Low 45
Monday – Clear throughout the day. High 78, Low 45

So FIO is going a little on the warm side, I guess. here is a look at the satellite, showing those high clouds over the Sierras I had mentioned.

Standings Logjam

Some light rain showers worked through the Visalia area early, trailing off by sunrise. Clouds cleared out for the most part by afternoon, making way for a rather pleasant start to the weekend. Temperatures stayed mostly steady for highs, but cooled off a tad more on Friday thanks in part to the clear skies. Accuweather ran away with the win, while there was a heck of a logjam for 2nd, with FIVE outlets tying for the silver.

Thursday: 0.09″ of rain in early morning showers. High 63, Low 46.
Friday: High 64, Low 41.
Forecast Grade: A-B

Visalia, California to Yuba City, California

It’s a nice little trip north through the San Joaquin Valley of central California is on the docket for tonight. There are 254 miles between Visalia and Yuba City, and it will take nearly 4 hours to leg out the trip. Expect a pace of 66.3mph. Let’s see whats going on along CA 99.


The first round of nasty weather for the week has shifted out of the region, but another low north of Vancouver Island is producing a more traditional cold front which is going to crash into the northern Pacific coast overnight tonight. Southerly flow ahead of the system will bring some mountain snows to the area outside our route, and some low clouds and fog into the valley north of Stockton. I think the serious rain will stay to our north until just about the time we reach Yuba City. Pretty quickly, the rain will become steady, so maybe pack an umbrella.

Visalia, California

We’re taking a trip out west tonight. It’s been a while since I’ve made this kind of an attempt. I hope I remember what goes on out there!

At 656PM, PT, Visalia was reporting clear skies with a temperature of 60 degrees. Rain was being reported as nearby as Porterville to the southeast. This area of shower activity was associated with a large swath of rain smothering southern California. There was a leading trough running from southern Nevada to the Los Angeles area. A gap in precipitation was found across the San Joaquin Valley, but low pressure off of Vancouver Island was poised to continue pumping moisture into the West Coast.
At least one more round of heavy precipitation is expected tomorrow morning in central California, though most of the heaviest activity will be in the Sierras east of Visalia. There should be a few showers tomorrow morning, but the upper level trough will translate east into the Northern Plains, and Visalia will start to dry out by tomorrow afternoon. The next round of low pressure will arrive in the Pacific Northwest on Saturday, but the associated upper level trough is expected to be significantly shallower, and moisture will not sink far enough south to seriously threaten Visalia.
Tomorrow – Scattered showers early, then clearing, High 62, Low 48
Friday – Partly cloudy, high 65, Low 39

TWC: Tomorrow – Rain showers in the morning with bright sunshine in the afternoon. High 64, Low 45
Friday- Mainly sunny, High 66, Low 39

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with a couple of showers, mainly early in the day High 62, Low 46
Friday- Partly sunny, High 64, Low 40

NWS: Tomorrow – Showers likely before 11am. Mostly cloudy, High 64, Low 47
Friday – Mostly sunny, High 66, Low 43

WB: Tomorrow – Showers likely in the morning, Chance of showers 70 percent, High 64, Low 45
Friday – Mostly sunny, High 66, Low 43

WN: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy with Light Showers Likely High 64, Low 50
Friday – Mostly Sunny High 66, Low 43

FIO: Tomorrow – Rain in the morning. High 61, Low 46
Friday – Partly cloudy in the morning.High 65, Low 38

I should note that it looks like tomorrow will be a non-standard day. You don’t see that often with forecasts in California! Here is the current radar, with rain filling in to the southeast.


It’s tough enough, having to forecast thunderstorms in a drought addled part of the world like central California and Visalia. When those thunderstorms are isolated and pop up at random, it makes it even tougher. Every single outlet had thunderstorms in the forecast, and every single outlet picked the wrong day for thunderstorms. There was a thunderstorm reported on Saturday, but Sunday remained completely dry, at odds with the forecasts. Thus, it came down to the temperature forecasts. It’s not always easy in these nichy west coast sites to nail the forecast if you aren’t looking at it every day, but indeed, Accuweather was able to pull out a pretty decent forecast. I mean, aside from those stupid thunderstorms.
Actuals: Saturday – thunderstorms reported, rain not measured High 98, Low 64
Sunday – High 89, Low 71

Grade: C-D

Cool air enters the Valley

Visalia managed to avoid thunderstorms associated with a strong area of low pressure that was spilling into the Great Basin. There wasn’t much moisture dragged south to central California, and only an isolated thunderstorm or two cropped up in the Sierra Nevada. The temperature did drop off quickly, indicating that the system did indeed have a little bit of energy to it in the form of an imported batch of Canadian air. There was a trio tied atop the leaderboard, but of those three, only Accuweather correctly predicted a lack of rainfall.
Actuals: Wednesday – High 80, Low 55
Thursday – High 69, Low 55

Grade: B-D

Visalia, California

Today’s theme is, of course, “California towns that begin with a V”. Let’s see what the weather will be like in the central Valley.

At 1035AM, PT, Visalia was reporting a temperature degrees with clear skies. A lingering low in the Great Basin has induced a westerly flow contributing to a marine layer along the coast and downsloping and pleasant conditions in Visalia.
Upper level troughing through the area is expected to reinvigorate just off shore, which will help the surface low in northern Nevada further intensify. Rain and thunderstorms will be possible from the Sierras east into Nevada and north into Idaho and Oregon, but should spare Visalia. Instead, the central Valley will benefit from rejuvenated irrigation channels thanks to runoff from the higher terrain over the next two days.
Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 78, Low 53,
Thursday – Increasing clouds late, High 74, Low 57

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 81, Low 53
Thursday – Cloudy, High 76, Low 54

AW: Tomorrow – Periods of sunshine High 79, Low 54
Thursday – Mostly cloudy and cool High 75, Low 55

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 79, Low 64 ***
Thursday – A chance of showers, mainly before 1pm. Partly sunny, High 75, Low 54

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 79, Low 55
Thursday – Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the morning…Then slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 75, Low 54

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny High 79, Low 55
Thursday – Partly Cloudy with Isolated Storms High 75, Low 54

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 84, Low 54
Thursday – Drizzle starting in the evening. High 80, Low 51

The NWS had some serious issues with their forecast. It was about a day behind, and was not labelling their dayparts correctly, as in, highs were during the day, lows were at night. That’s why it gets the stars. Something was off kilter, and I wanted you to know that their pending terrible forecast is a result of terrible technology. We can see clouds hugging the coast this afternoon between Big Sur and San Francisco Bay.

Erie, Pennsylvania to Visalia, California

We have a very long trip ahead of us today. It’s a 5 day journey covering those 2357 miles. There is quite a bit of interstate driving, so our pace will be a quick 64mph, and a daily clip of 512.5 miles. We’ll nearly match that on our 5th day, but it will be a hair shorter. We’re going a long ways, so let’s get going.

DAY ONE (Tuesday)
An area of lore pressure is stuck north of the Great Lakes, and is leading that regon to be much chillier than one would expect for this time of year. Indeed, our entire first leg will be mostly cloudy and will be marked by a stray spritz os light rain, though certainly not something that will be overwhelmingly damp. In fact, there may be a bit of snow in some unfortunate slices of northern Indiana and Illinois. It will be bleak, regardless of how much precipitation falls, or what type, and we will call it a night in Peru, Indianna.

DAY TWO (Wednesday)
A secondary cold front will develop associated with the area of low pressure that continues to fail to dislodge. It will falre up overnight, and as we leave Peru, there may be some wet snow falling as wake up, but it won’t accompany us for the drive. Instead, more unseasonably cool weather trailing us all the way to Giltner, Nebraska, which is east of Peru and our destination for wednesday night.

DAY THREE (Thursday)
I don’t think you could ask for a more abrupt change in topography than we will have from Giltner, Nebraska to Avon, Colorado, where we will end our third day of driving. The weather in the flatlands will be pretty awesome, and for the most part, it will be in the mountains as well. Unfortunately it looks like we might be approaching an active period in the Rockies, with another area of low pressure moving into the central Rockies. Thunderstorms will be possible, forced by southerly flow over the highest peaks. As you might suspect, the heaviest storms will be over the southern exposures of most mountainous regions, which will mean a fairly intermittent bout with storms from Denver to Avon.

DAY FOUR (Friday)
Expect a similar pattern for our route on Friday as we see on Thursday. Thunderstorms will be most active over the higher terrain, and particlarly during the afternoon. The funamental differet on Friday as opposed to Thursday will be that the threat for storms will be on the northeastern exposures of the mountains. Our best threat for seeing wet weather will be around Salina and Richfield, in the Wasach through southern Utah. We will make it to Leeds, northeast of St. George, and call it a day.

DAY FIVE (Saturday)
The pattern isn’t going to change a whole lot on Saturday, but the route we are travelling through will. There will be lingering precipitation, but it wil primarily be confined to the Sierras, which means the drive through Las Vegas, Bakersfield and then north into the central California Valley will be done with dry pavemennt. Fortunately, some of that precipitation in the Sierras will eventually run down to the Valley and help nourish the parched soil. It’s kind of the best result for all interested parties, travellers and farmers.Enjoy Visalia.

Visalia keeps it hot

Temperatures overnight were our undoing in Visalia. It remained above 60 degrees for the entire 48 hour period, which was definitely warmer than expected. Temperatures nearly hit 100 on Wednesday, another fly in our forecast ointment. Looking at the central Valley was an obvious boon for the Weather Service, who handed in the top forecast.
Actuals: Tuesday, High 96, Low 62
Wednesday – High 98, Low 64

Grade: B