Tag Archives: fort smith

Beginning the year with a glaze

Our year end forecast for Fort Smith called for a dreary weekend for Fort Smith, and we were not disappointed. Perhaps other outlets, or residents of Fort Smith were, but not Victoria-Weather. Temperatures dropped precipitously through the period, and they weren’t that warm to begin with. They started at 41 degrees on Saturday, and by Sunday morning, were as cold as 17 degrees. There was a splash of freezing drizzle and snow on Sunday, which I’m sure residents of Arkansas were extremely enthusiastic about. It wasn’t the storm that they are expecting out east, but for Fort Smith, it was something. Victoria – Weather was able to claim victory for this, the first verification of the year.
Actuals: Saturday – High 41, Low 29
Sunday – .01 inches of precipitation, falling as rain/snow, High 30, Low 17

Grade: A-D

Oxnard, California to Fort Smith, Arkansas

Hey, who’s ready for a nice road trip through the desert? It’s so cold across so much of the country, but we will be taking our route through part of the world that has been able to avoid the really cold stuff. If anything, it’s still unusually warm in the southwest. Our drive will take three days, covering 1564 miles. Our pace will be about 69mph, and the first two days will be longer, with a goal of 553mph.

 

DAY ONE (Sunday)

The good news for California is that the high pressure dominating the region right now is centered off shore, so there won’t be any Santa Ana winds whipping up flames through the Santa Barbara mountains. Hopefully, this will mean some rain soon to help neutralize the threat even further. Alas, as we drive through the desert California, we will encounter no such wet weather, and we will barely see any clouds, even in the high elevations where they tend to sneak up on you. Our drive will conclude after we have passed through Flagstaff and end up in the ghost town of Two Guns, Arizona. Sounds like a fun place.

DAY TWO (Monday)
Our second day on the road, and the first day of the year will be just as pleasant as the first day of the drive, and last day of 2017. We’re going to be cruising through New Mexico on the way to the Panhandle of Texas, stopping in the town of Wildorado, west of Amarillo. We’re going to be reaching the western edge of that cold area of high pressure at the end of the day, so while it may be fairly warm on Monday, don’t expect the last day to be as accommodating.

DAY THREE (Tuesday)
As I noted in the description of Monday’s forecast, expect some colder weather on Tuesday. Indeed, Oklahoma and Arkansas especially should expect near record cold as cold air pools along the I-40 corridor from Amarillo to North Carolina. Of course, our entire route falls neatly within that stretch of roadway. Clear skies east of Amarillo, but a very brisk feel to the environment when we get to Fort Smith.

Fort Smith, Arkansas

[Apologies, this was meant to be posted YESTERDAY…. Sorry for any confusion]

We’re here with what might be the last, if not the second to last forecast of the year. The destination is western Arkansas, and the most generically named Fort in the country. Fort Smith!

At 1053AM, CT, Fort Smith was reporting a temperature of 32 degrees with overcast skies. Fort Smith was at the southern end of a vast area of high pressure sinking south into the Plains. This ridge was housing an Arctic air mass, and its conflict with warmer Gulf air was responsible for the overcast.
High pressure will intensify as it sinks into the Plains, allowing it to dig deeper into the south. This advance of intensely cold air will compress any moisture attempting to drift ashore, and more widespread overcast is expected, though any drizzle or snow will largely stay to the south, if it appears at all. A more likely outcome will be low lying fog, especially as the year winds down, in the valleys of the Ozarks, some of which may lead to slick spots on the highways.
Tomorrow – Cloudy High 38, low 30
Sunday – Overcast, with a light bit of snow or freezing drizzle in the morning, then freezing fog late. High 30, Low 18

TWC: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy High 39, low 32
Sunday – Overcast, High 32, Low 26

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy and cold High 39, Low 30
Sunday – Very cold with clouds giving way to some sun High 31, Low 25

NWS: Tomorrow – Patchy freezing drizzle before 9am, then patchy drizzle. Mostly cloudy, High 37, Low 31
Sunday – A slight chance of snow and freezing drizzle before noon. Partly sunny,High 31, low 19

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. Patchy light freezing drizzle in the morning. High 38, Low 31
Sunday – Chance of light freezing drizzle in the morning. Mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of freezing rain High 31, Low 19

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with patchy light freezing drizzle, High 37, Low 32
Sunday – Partly cloudy with slight chance of light freezing drizzle, High 29, low 25

FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 43, Low 34
Sunday – Foggy in the morning. High 33, low 17

It’s not a big precipitation event headed for Fort Smith, but it doesn’t have to be. It looks very slick. Here is the satellite, showing low overcast along the Arkansas/Oklahoma border.

 

Showers expand their coverage

Unfortunately for Fort Smith, Arkansas, and almost all of the foreasters for that fine city, the showers and thunderstorms associated with a low in Texas covered a lot more ground than had originally been in the forecast. Part of this had to do with the fact that the low slid north towards Dallas instead of east towards Houston. As a result, the only outlet to suggest a chance for showers in Fort Smith on Friday, Accuweather, won the forecast. The clouds and rain meant temperatures fell off a bit too. Still, temperatures in the 70s being “cooler” sounds pretty sweet.
Actuals: Thursday, High 83, Low 52
Friday, .01 inches of rain, High 76, Low 59

Grade: C

Valdosta, Georgia to Fort Smith, Arkansas

This is a similar trip to the last one we ran. Today, we are heading west from Valdosta on our way to Fort Smith. It will take us two days to cover the ground, where the ground is an expanse of 837 miles. The pace we will be about 59 miles an hour, which isn’t so quick, but we ARE in the south, after all. This means day one will cover 473 miles. Let’s mosey, shall we?

DAY ONE

Things are looking up after an active couple of weeks. We will be in the midst of a high pressure regime in the southeast tomorrow. No worries for us, certainly. The drive northwest from Valdosta will be quite pleasant, so enjoy the countryside with windows down. The day will end in New Albany, Mississippi, which is just northwest of Tupelo.

DAY TWO
I think we’re going to be fine on day two as well, but a little disturbance over Texas will draw moisture north into Louisiana and southern and western Arkansas. We will stay dry, I think, all the way to Fort Smith, but clouds may start to thicken after we pass west of Little Rock. Fort Smith should be fine for our time there. Or it might not be. I don’t know, this is just a road trip forecast.

Fort Smith, Arkansas

Nestled against the Oklahoma border, we head to Fort Smith for today’s forecast.

At 1053AM, CT, Fort Smith was reporting a temperature of 75 degrees with clear skies. Light northwest winds were being seen behind a lower level boundary along the Gulf Coast, while an upper trough was working its way through the center of the country, though that particular boundary is inactive, bringing about only a slight temperature drop in its wake.
A weak surface disturbance over downstate Texas will pump some moisture northward, bringing Fort Smith back to this season’s normal humidity levels, however the associated return flow with the trough will not be strong enough to push actual precipitation into western Arkansas, leaving the area dry for the next two days.
Tomorrow – Sunny, High 79, Low 51
Friday – Still warm and mostly sunny, a bit more humid, High 79, Low 56

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 80, Low 49
Friday – Mostly Cloudy High 80, Low 56

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny and pleasant high 80, Low 49
Friday – Clouds and sun with a shower or thunderstorm around in the afternoon High 78, Low 55

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, high 80, Low 51
Friday – Mostly sunny High 80, Low 55

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny.High 79, Low 51
Friday – Mostly sunny High 79, Low 54

Pretty quiet in Fort Smith, unless you ask Accuweather. Not a bad day to be down there in Razorback country.

A pause in the pattern

Business has picked up in the weather market over the past few weeks, with the string of record temperatures faltering a bit, as showers and storms cropped up every where. There has been rain in almost every nook and cranny of the United States as a deep low moved through the country. The past couple of days were a little different in Fort Smith though. The warmer, quiet weather led to some pretty good forecasts, including Accuweather hitting the highs exactly on both days, on their way to a victory for the city.
Actuals: Sunday, High 93, Low 50
Monday, High 85, Low 54

Grade: A

Fort Smith, Arkansas

Western Arkansas, right along the Oklahoma border for today’s forecast. I suspect the fort was built for the pending Oklahoma invasion of Arkansas.

At 1153AM, CT, Fort Smith was reporting clear skies and a temperature of 66 degrees. The large system that has sat in the center of the country for most of the week has finally shifted out of the area, leaving pleasant weather to take hold for the Ozarks.
The mean pattern has been for upper level ridging, as the trough that fueled the rain became cut off. With the cut off low shifting out of the area, expect a return to above normal, pleasant conditions for the entire area, including Fort Smith for the next two days.
Tomorrow – Sunny and warm, High 82, Low 48
Monday – Warmer still, High 83, Low 55

TWC: Tomorrow – Mainly sunny. High 84, Low 52
Monday – Abundant sunshine high 84, Low 56

AW: Tomorrow – Sunny and warm with the temperature approaching the record of 86 set in 1910 high 83, Low 48
Monday – Mostly sunny and very warm with the temperature tying the record from 1925 High 85, Low 53

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, high 82, Low 49
Monday – Sunny, high 82, Low 52

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 81, Low 50
Monday – Sunny, High 82, Low 52

Pretty similar forecasts across the board. Look at how nice the satellite looks. Just a lingering streamer northeast of town from that low, but a chance to dry out in Fort Smith.

Fort Smith, Arkansas to Jackson, Tennessee

We continue our eastward trek through the Southern US today, with another one-day trip. Only 375 miles separate these 2 cities in neighboring states, so a quick trip is in order!

An area of high pressure is found over the Southeast US, but starting to relent a little. While mostly clear skies will greet us when we start, some clouds will start building up over eastern Arkansas a bit as we mosey on through Little Rock and on towards Memphis. The clouds might thicken a bit in the afternoon, but precip should stay a bit off to the south, so the remainder of the drive in the afternoon should just be cloudy at times, but dry. Temperatures will be in the mid-90s for much of the trip, so it’ll be yet another hot day in the Southern US.

Abilene, Texas to Ft. Smith, Arkansas

Today we embark on a day trip in the Southern Plains, from Abilene to Ft. Smith. This 456-mile trip will be mostly through Oklahoma, and entirely way too hot…

A weak ridge of high pressure is camping out in the Southern US and suppressed thunderstorm activity over much of our route, our day should be mostly clear and dry. Also, the blazing heat over the Southern Plains will continue to stifle the region. Abilene, Oklahoma City, and Ft. Smith have been baking over the last 2 months. In fact, Ft. Smith has hit the century mark 22 consecutive days now, and tomorrow looks like #23 (17 straight was their previous all-time high). So while today’s trip will be dry and sunny, I hope the air conditioning is working, because you’ll be needing it!