A clearing breeze

My forecast for Benton Harbor was colored by my camping experience upstream the days before the forecast. I was in southeastern Minnesota, mired in cool, cloudy conditions for the weekend, and seeing the same satellite set up over Benton Harbor, I hedged towards the cooler end of things. My mistake. Breezes of over 15 miles an hour were enough of a steering flow, apparently, to clear things out, and allow the warning other outlets foresaw. The Weather Service grabbed a solo victory in this instance.
Actuals: Monday – High 78, Low 61
Tuesday – High 81, Low 57

Grade: A-C

Benton Harbor, Michigan

The metropolitan area is actually Niles-Benton Harbor on most documents, but the airport is at Benton Harbor. How do I title these posts? This is a about as much anxiety as I can get for these forecast post titles.

At 853PM, ET, Benton Harbor was reporting a temperature of 67 degrees with overcast skies. Despite high pressure centered over the Great Lakes, a swath of low level clouds was evident on satellite, stretching from Minnesota to western Pennsylvania. The jet runs directly over the top this shield of low level moisture, and the combination of features suggests the clouds are going to stick for a little while.
The jet itself is ridging across the Great Lakes, and the surface map is representing this rather curiously. A surface low is staking a spot in the middle of the country, while the ridge in western Ontario is not motivated to move either. With the jet not expected to move measurably, the southwest flank of the ridge will erode, and the stability of the region will break down. Clouds will continue in the area, but particularly on Tuesday, some scattered showers are expected to mix in with them.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy to overcast, High 75, Low 60
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy, a spot of light rain possible, High 77, Low 61

TWC: Tomorrow – Except for a few afternoon clouds, mainly sunny. High 78, Low 58
Tuesday – Intervals of clouds and sunshine. High 82, Low 60

AW: Tomorrow – Humid with times of clouds and sun High 77, Low 59
Tuesday – Pleasant with times of clouds and sun High 80, Low 59

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 77, Low 61
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, High 79, Low 59

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny in the morning becoming partly cloudy, High 76, Low 60
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, High 79, Low 61

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 74, Low 62
Tuesday – Partly cloudy, High 78, Low 60

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 81, Low 65
Tuesday – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 82, Low 64

I know the clouds in Minnesota have really stymied temperatures, much more than forecast for the last couple of days. I’m surprised there is as much optimism as there is for Benton Harbor, further down stream.