Duluth, Minnesota

Ryan Henning Leave a comment

It’s the middle of April, and, disgusting though it may sound, we can’t officially exclude snow from the forecast. Not without a thorough examination, anyway.

At 416PM, CT, Duluth was reporting a temperature of 41 degrees with drizzle and a brisk northwest wind. The temperature across the border in Superior, where wind was more directly coming off the Lake of the same name, was only in the mid 30s. No snow is presently being reported in northwest Wisconsin, but it is certainly not out of the question as cold air continues to filter in.
Low pressure will track from southeast Minnesota, through central Wisconsin and into northern Michigan, which will be near enough to Duluth that cold air won’t really sneak in until late in the game. There will be a little bit of leftover moisture overnight when the temperature profile is most likely to permit snow in the early morning hours tomorrow. There will be a quiet period Thursday afternoon, followed by a very pleasant day on Friday. An area of low pressure moving through northern Saskatchewan will drag warmer air north by Friday evening.
Tomorrow – Cloudy with drizzle in the morning, then sunny, High 51, Low 37
Friday – Sunny and warmer, High 60, Low 36

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy with light rain early. Snow may mix in High 51, Low 36
Friday – Sunny skies High 56, Low 31

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, a brief shower or two, High 49, Low 36
Friday – Mostly sunny; not as cool High 56, Low 33

NWS: Tomorrow – Rain likely before 7am, then showers likely, mainly between 7am and 2pm. Mostly cloudy, High 49, Low 37
Friday – Sunny, High 57, Low 32

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. ain showers likely in the morning then a chance of rain showers in the afternoon, High 51, Low 38
Friday – Sunny, high 57, Low 33

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with light showers likely, High 48, Low 37
Friday – Sunny, High 57, Low 32

FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 54, Low 40
Friday – Partly cloudy overnight. High 63, Low 36

Forecast.io went way warmer than the rest of the group, suggesting faith in model guidance. Makes sense since it is a computer algorithm. I captured the radar much later than I started the forecast, but there is still a bit of light rain in the Arrowhead of Minnesota.

Texarkana, Texas

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Texarkana was named after three states it is near. It straddles the Texas-Arkansas border, and isn’t far from Louisiana. Sure, it’s closer to Oklahoma, but Texarklahomana is unwieldy.

At 953PM, CT, Texarkana was reporting a temperature of 59 degrees with clear skies. An oscillating boundary over the region is beginning to pivot back north as an area of low pressure develops over the Big Bend area of Texas. The front had pushed south, associated with a strong system now north of the Great Lakes, but the base of the parent trough is over Texas, and fostering development at the tail of the original front.
Texarkana looks to be directly in the line of fire for some strong weather tomorrow. Heavy rain with strong thunderstorms will be possible throughout the day, with the best chance coming in the late morning. Because the activity is expected to arrive so early, Texarkana may avoid a particularly tough fate, which is more likely to the southeast, where a “Moderate Risk” of severe weather is being forecast. The dynamics of the system, particularly the inherent vorticity and widespread instability suggest that this storm could result in a large tornado outbreak. Overcast skies and the chance for light rain will continue through the early morning on Sunday, but clearing skies will arrive by lunch time and continue for the remainder of the weekend.
Tomorrow – Rain with strong thunderstorms, High 64, Low 56
Sunday – Scattered showers early, then clearing, High 62, Low 45

TWC: Tomorrow – Variable clouds and becoming windy with strong thunderstorms. Damaging winds, large hail and possibly a tornado with some storms. High 59, Low 56
Sunday – Cloudy skies early, then partly cloudy in the afternoon. High 64, Low 45

AW: Tomorrow – Rain and severe thunderstorms; storms can bring flooding, hail, damaging winds and even a tornado High 64, Low 56
Sunday – Some clouds, then sunshine; breezy and cool High 61, Low 45

NWS: Tomorrow – Showers and thunderstorms. Some storms could be severe, with large hail and damaging winds High 65, Low 56
Sunday – A 20 percent chance of showers before 1pm. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny High 62, Low 47

WB: Tomorrow – Showers and thunderstoms. Some thunderstorms may be severe with damaging winds, large hail and tornadoes in the afternoon. High 59, Low 57
Sunday – Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers in the morning then partly cloudy in the afternoon, High 61, Low 47

WN: Tomorrow – Cloudy with heavy thunderstorms, High 65, Low 56
Sunday – Partly cloudy with isolated showers, High 62, Low 47

FIO: Tomorrow – Rain starting overnight and windy starting in the morning, continuing until afternoon. High 59, Low 55
Sunday – Mostly cloudy until evening. High 64, Low 45

Here is a look at radar imagery of banded showers across the Ark-La-Tex. Below is a Facebook live event from Todd Warren, a meteorologist out of of NBC in Texarkan/Shreveport looking at the severe threat for tomorrow.

Laredo, Texas

Anthony Dunkel Leave a comment

Well, the weather hasn’t been too great up here in the Upper Midwest last couple of days. Constant periods of snow and sleet and strong winds have made for an unpleasant week. While our weekend looks to be dry but cold, let’s go see what it’s like in the Southern US. Like WAY far south. Laredo in fact! Any further south and you’d need a passport.


At 856pm CDT, the temperature at Laredo, TX was 77 degrees under fair skies. Tail end of a stationary front is lingering over the TX Gulf Coast, but is expected to retreat northward during the day tomorrow. An area of low pressure is expected to intensify over West TX from morning throughout the day as it shifts eastward. By midday, the low will be centered near Dallas while the accompanying cold front will have swept eastward through the state into LA, kicking off strong to severe weather over LA into AR. As far as the Laredo area is concerned, precip should stay off to the north as clouds are expected in the morning, but clears out by midday as strong winds from the west. Clear skies then expected throughout the rest of the weekend but with temperatures coming down a bit on Sunday in the wake of tomorrow’s system.


Saturday: Cloudy early, then clearing. High 86, Low 67.Sunday: Clear, slightly cooler. High 81, Low 55.


TWC: Saturday: Partly cloudy, windy. High 88, Low 69.Sunday: Sunny. High 81, Low 52.


AW: Saturday: Windy in the afternoon. High 91, Low 68.Sunday: Mostly sunny: not as warm. High 80, Low 54.


NWS: Saturday: Sunny and breezy. High 90, Low 68.Sunday: Sunny. High 78, Low 55.


WB: Saturday: Windy. High 91, Low 70.Sunday: Sunny. High 80, Low 52.


WN: Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 90, Low 68.Sunday: Sunny. High 79, Low 56.


FIO: Saturday: Partly cloudy in morning and breezy in afternoon. High 89, Low 69.Sunday: Clear throughout the day. high 81, Low 53.

We see the storm system getting revved up over Western TX, while eastern TX is already seeing some low clouds cover the region

Hattiesburg, Mississippi

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

After a quiet weekend, we are jumping back into the world of forecasting. Another big storm looms here in mid April, which is fine alongthe Gulf Coast, and might even be a little fun. Don’t ask about what it’s like up north.

At 753PM, CT, Hattiesburg was reporting a temperature of 72 degrees and overcast skies. Central Mississippi was seeing an active weather night, as a clearly evident vorticity maximum centered southeast of Brandon was drawing a band of thunderstorms along I-59, however the southern end was pulling northeast and away from town. The air in the southeast is juicy and unstable, but the trough parenting this hit of low pressure has little upper level support and a lot of forward momentum. Expect a quiet night in Hattiesburg.
And so it will be on Tuesday and Wednesday as upper level high pressure follows into Mississippi. Expect a brisk warm up on Wednesday as a beast of a system develops in the central Plains and taps into the Gulf of Mexico for moisture.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 77, Low 63
Wednesday – Partly cloudy, warmer and more humid, High 85, Low 57

TWC: Tomorrow – A shower or two around the area in the morning, then partly cloudy in the afternoon. Thunder possible High 80, Low 61
Wednesday- A mainly sunny sky. High 86, Low 55

AW: Tomorrow – A passing morning shower; otherwise, mostly cloudy High 79, Low 63
Wednesday – Plenty of sunshine; warmer High 86, Low 54

NWS: Tomorrow – A 20 percent chance of showers before 10am. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, High 81, Low 62
Wednesday – Sunny High 84, Low 56

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers in the morning High 78, Low 63
Wednesday – Sunny, high 85, Low 55

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with isolated showers, High 81, Low 62
Wednesday – Sunny, High 84, Low 56

FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy until afternoon. High 80, Low 63
Wednesday – Clear throughout the day. High 86, Low 56

First, check out the radar, and the low pressure evident even on this map.

Now let’s check in with WJTV from Mississippi for the Pine Belt forecast.

Monroe, Michigan

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

It’s a rough time for basketball fans in Michigan. Michigan State lost tonight, while Michigan lost last weekend, and both to the same team, Texas Tech. Perhaps they will cope quickly. Does Monroe have the forecast for recuperation?

At 1253AM, ET, Monroe was reporting a temperature of 46 degrees with clear sites. Dew points were also at 46, and with haze filtering in around Ann Arbor, it seems as though the morning will be hazy in Monroe. Low pressure is developing in the Plains, with a warm front already arcing through northern Michigan. Warm, moist air was spilling into the eastern Great Lakes.
Low pressure will reach Michigan by this afternoon, with some rain and isolated thunderstorm activity joining it. The parent trough has been fairly shallow and is expected to move quickly across the northern US. The precipitation will ultimately punch through the region in the afternoon and evening and be out of the picture by Monday morning. It will be cooler to start the work week, but the responsible trough will be shallow enough that cold air won’t be overwhelming.
Tomorrow – Rain with a bit of thunder in the afternoon, High 63, Low 46
Monday – Clearing through mid morning, and warmer, High 68, Low 53

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy early with showers for the afternoon hours. Thunder possible. High 58, Low 41
Monday – Cloudy early with partial sunshine expected late. High 67, Low 52

AW: Tomorrow – Increasing cloudiness, mild; spotty afternoon showers High 62, Low 45
Monday – Clouds giving way to some sun; warm High 69, Low 54

NWS: Tomorrow – A chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, Hgh 65, Low 45
Monday – Mostly sunny, (Early rain) High 68, Low 5

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain in the morning, then rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 64, Low 43
Monday – Mostly sunny, High 68, low 55

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with isolated storms, High 65, Low 44
Monday – Partly cloudy with isolated showers, High 68, Low 50

FIO: Tomorrow – Light rain in the evening. High 60, Low 40
Monday – Mostly cloudy until night. High 64, Low 51

Satellite has some clouds to the southwest. That’s the rain coming later today.

NOAA/NESDIS/STAR GOES ABI BAND 11 OR_ABI-L1b-RadC-M6C11_G16_s20190970551218_e20190970553591_c20190970554048.nc

Harrisonburg, Virginia

Ryan Henning Leave a comment

We’re taking our situation to the lee side of the Appalachians. It doesn’t seem like a heavily populated area, but there are many small cities from Winchester in the north to Charlottesville, Roanoke and Blacksburg with Harrisonburg in the middle.

At 935PM, ET, Harrisonburg was reporting a temperature of 37 degrees with clear skies. There was a brisk flow off the mountains, with some overcast over West Virginia, but it was chasing low pressure that had shifted off shore.
The area of low pressure over the Canadian Maritimes that was trailing the cold front was parented by a trough with a tail into the Great Lakes, however the jet had dug all the way to the Gulf of Mexico. Low pressure will develop at the base of the trough and move up the Gulf Stream. It will remain well off shore, and high pressure will remain in place over Harrisonburg, but the reinvigorated flow will keep Harrisonburg dry and cool to start the week.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 51, Low 25
Tuesday – Increasing clouds, High 52, Low 25

TWC: Sunny, along with a few afternoon clouds High 50, Low 26
Tuesday – Cloudy. High 50, Low 28

AW: Tomorrow – Plenty of sun high 50, Low 27
Tuesday – Some sunshine giving way to clouds High 50, Low 26

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 48, Low 25
Tuesday – A slight chance of rain after 2pm. Partly sunny, High 51. Low 29

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 49, Low 30
Tuesday – Mostly sunny in the morning then becoming mostly cloudy, High 48, Low 31

WN: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 48, Low 25
Tuesday – Partly cloudy with isolated showers, High 51, Low 29

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy starting in the afternoon. High 52, Low 32
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 49, Low 32

The Weather Service and WeatherNation are leaning into the NAM today, but everyone else is a bit more optimistic. Satellite tonight shows off a pretty clear night in Virginia.

Worcester, Massachusetts

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Wow! Another forecast! And every single part of this city name is really tough to spell!

AT 354PM, ET, Worcester was reporting a temperature of 42 with fair skies. there were a few stray clouds across New England, but high pressure over the region ensures that they won’t amount to much.
The ridge is angled north and south along he Appalachians, and will be easily moved by a cold font appended to a deep area of low pressure over Hudson Bay. The boundary will sweep in fairly early in the day on Friday, leaving a low overcast day marked by a bit of light rain throughout the day.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 48, Low 26
Friday – Overcast with rain at times, High 54, Low 36

TWC: Tomorrow – Generally sunny despite a few afternoon clouds. High 51, Low 28
Friday Cloudy (early rain).,High 59, Low 39

AW: Tomorrow – Sunshine mixing with some clouds High 50, Low 27
Friday – Variable cloudiness High 56, Low 38

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 51, Low 28
Friday – A slight chance of showers after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, High 58, Low 39

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 49, Low 27
Friday – Mostly cloudy, High 7, Low 38

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 51, Low 29
Friday – Mostly cloudy with isolated showers, High 58, Low 39

FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy starting in the afternoon. High 52, Low 30
Friday – Overcast throughout the day. High 56, Low 42

Look how empty this satellite is! Unfortunately, there will be a bit of overcast on the way. Whether or not that includes rain remains to be seen.

Modesto, California

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Two forecasts in a day? I find that the only way this makes sense is to hit both sides of the country.

At 953PM, PT, Modesto was reporting a temperature of 61 degrees with overcast skies. There was a little bit of rain over San Francisco, and dew points were nosing into the low 50s. If there is any clearing tonight, low lying areas are likely to fog in.
A persistent area of low pressure over the Pacific is going to continue to generate a pipeline of moisture into northern California. Snow is expected in the mountains, with rain a persistent matter of fact for Modesto for the next two days. There really won’t be a change to the pattern, as this trough won’t progress, but rather dampen and fade away, making Thursday a bit less rainy.
Tomorrow – Rain, High 66, low 54
Thursday – Scattered showers, becoming less widespread, High 66, Low 48

TWC: Tomorrow – Rain showers in the morning with numerous thunderstorms developing in the afternoon. High 66, Low 55
Thursday – Partly cloudy skies during the morning hours will give way to occasional showers in the afternoon. High 64, Low 47

AW: Tomorrow – Cloudy, spotty showers; cool High 67, Low 54
Thursday – A morning shower; otherwise, times of clouds and sun; cool High 65, Low 46

NWS: Tomorrow – A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. High 67, Low 55
Thursday – A chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. Partly sunny High 65, Low 48

WB: Tomorrow – A chance of rain showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning then rain showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 65, Low 55
Thursday – Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers in the morning then rain showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 63, Low 48

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with scattered showers, High 67, Low 55
Thursday – Mostly cloudy with light showers, High 67, Low 55

FIO: Tomorrow – Light rain in the afternoon. High 64, Low 51
Thursday – Partly cloudy starting in the morning, continuing until night. High 64, Low 46

Everyone seems to be on the same page, or would be, if Weathebug hadn’t filled it all up. Radar is active in the North Bay!

Morgantown, West Virginia

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Hi! Morgantown is the home of the University of West Virginia, but is actually way closer to Pittsburgh than any of the other population centers of West Virginia. Does that influence the weather in any way? Almost certainly not!

At 1253PM, Morgantown was reporting clear skies and a temperature of 39 degrees. Dry air was pushing into the area as a strong ridge of high pressure was settling into the Great Lakes. There was still a tumultuous pattern at the upper levels, but it was not reflected at the surface.
The machinations at the very top of the continent will ultimately bear watching for most of the northern part of the country. An area of low pressure developing in the Northwest Territories, headed into Nunavut will dangle a cold front into the Great Lakes through midweek, headed towards the Appalachians for the end of the week. It will be motivated by a surprisingly strident batch of cold air, though most of the local moisture will come from the Lakes. All this is to say the boundary, despite the cold air, will be slow moving and not terribly rainy. Morgantown should be in the clear until Friday.
Tomorrow – Sunny, High 55, Low 25
Thursday – Increasing clouds, but warmer, High 67, low 41

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy skies. High 57, Low 26
Thursday – Mainly cloudy. High 64, Low 39

AW: Tomorrow – Plenty of sun; milder High 58, Low 27
Thursday – Partly sunny; breezy, mild High 67, Low 38

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 56, low 27
Thursday – A slight chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly sunny, High 66, Low 36

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 55, Low 27
Thursday – Partly cloudy, A slight chance of showers in the afternoon, high 64, Low 39

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 57, Low 27
Thursday – Partly cloudy with isolated showers, High 66, Low 36

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy starting in the morning, continuing until afternoon.High 59, Low 30
Thursday – Mostly cloudy starting in the morning. High 65, Low 41

Even if it does rain, that’s a pretty great forecast. Tranquil today.

Atlantic City, New Jersey

Anthony Dunkel Leave a comment

March Madness is fully underway, so Vegas is bustling this weekend! Lets take a look at Atlantic City, the Vegas of the East!

At 154pm EDT, the temperature at Atlantic City, NJ was 49 degrees under fair and breezy conditions. High pressure is sitting over the East Coast currently, making for very pleasant conditions in the Atlantic City area. High pressure will shift out over the Atlantic tomorrow but will continue to keep the area dry, though clouds will increase throughout the afternoon and evening hours. A quick-moving low pressure system will shift out of the Ohio Valley overnight Sunday into Monday, bringing rain to the area by midday Monday. It’s a quick-hitter though, and will clear out by Monday evening, ushering in colder air behind it. It’ll be dry for the rest of the week as high pressure builds back in.

Sunday: Some afternoon clouds. High 57, Low 29.
Monday: Overcast, some shower activity. High 48, Low 35.

TWC: Sunday: Mostly cloudy. High 56, Low 32.
Monday: Cloudy, chances of rain. High 49, Low 43.

AW :Sunday: Times of clouds and sun. High 55, Low 35.
Monday: Mostly cloudy, a little rain. High 52, Low 45.

NWS: Sunday: High 55, Low 32.
Monday: Rain likely. High 47, Low 41.

WB: Sunday: Sunny. High 53, Low 33.
Monday: Rain expected. High 49, Low 44.

WN: Sunday: Mostly sunny. High 55, Low 32.
Monday: Mostly cloudy with light rain likely. High 47, Low 42.

FIO: Sunday: Mostly cloudy and breezy starting in afternoon. High 53, Low 36.
Monday: Overcast throughout the day. High 51, Low 41.

It’s a picture perfect day today! Tomorrow will be more of the same before a system finally makes it way into the area on Monday.