It hasn’t been nearly as cloudy as some had in the forecast for Bowling Green. Only the big airports are reporting clouds, and only because their vertical observations get higher. It’s still quite clear that all the warm air is in the Plains. It’s only in the 60s.
Bowling Green, Kentucky
Hey, weren’t we just forecasting in Indiana the other day? It will be interesting to see what can change in just a couple of days.
At 1053PM, CT, Bowling Green was reporting a temperature of 47 degrees with clear skies. The cooler regime that has embraced the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley in the wake of Philippe on the east coast has remained in place over Kentucky, an the clear nights will only serve to make things even chillier. Two features bear watching that will bring an end to the crisp weather.
The first is a strong fall system emerging in the High Plains, and the second is crossing Mexico. Hurricane Lidia, a Pacific storm will move through the northern Gulf towards the Florida Panhandle over the next 24 hours. The warm front associated with the High Plains system will drive warm air northward through Kentucky, but the remnants of Lidia will intercept any Gulf moisture before it reaches Bowling Green.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 74, Low 43
Thursday – Partly cloudy, High 79, Low 55
TWC: Tomorrow – Overcast. High 74, Low 43
Thursday – Sunny skies. High 82, Low 53
AW: Tomorrow – Nice with partial sunshine High 77, Low 44
Thursday – Partly sunny and warm High 82, Low 53
NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 76, Low 44
Thursday – Sunny, High 79, Low 53
WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 72, Low 44
Thursday – Sunny, High 79, Low 53
WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 77, Low 46
Thursday – Mostly sunny, High 79, Low 54
FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 75, Low 44
Thursday – Sunny, High 82, Low 56
Clouds are encroaching from the south, but aren’t to Bowling Green quite yet.
Autumn is arriving
It’s a little too soggy this weekend in New England, what with Philippe and existing rain showers in the area, but the cold, dry air behind the system that Philippe is merging into is going to be perfect for accelerating the change in colors. If you get some clear air, it will be perfect for leaf peeping.
Evansville, Indiana
Hey, look, it’s a forecast! After a lengthy time away from the site forecasts, let’s see if we still remember how to do this.
At 1154AM, CT, Evansville was reporting clear skies with a temperature of 72 degrees. The region was in some clear, dry air in the wake of a rainy cold front that moved through yesterday afternoon. Low pressure continued to spiral over Michigan, and it will be pressed northward as Tropical Storm Philippe heads towards New England. The thermal trough will swing south today and overnight, with tomorrow morning landing as the chilliest morning of the season, with Sunday being even chillier.
Philippe will merge with the Great Lakes low and start to occlude and retrograde. The persistent northwest winds will keep temperatures down, and the moisture continuing to wrap between the two features and slowly into Indiana. This will lead to some overcast throughout the weekend, and temperatures closer to autumnal.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 63, Low 44
Sunday – Mostly cloudy, High 64, Low 42
TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny. High 63, Low 45
Sunday – Sunshine and clouds mixed. High 66, Low 41
AW: Tomorrow – Partly sunny and cooler High 63, Low 45
Sunday – Plenty of sunshine High 67, Low 40
NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 62, Low 44
Sunday – Mostly sunny, High 65, Low 40
WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 60, Low 45
Sunday – Mostly sunny, High 64, Low 44
WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 62, Low 44
Sunday – Mostly sunny, High 66, Low 40
CLI: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 63, Low 45
Sunday – Partly cloudy, High 66, Low 43
This is what I believe many in the US would call football weather. There is a nice swath of sunny skies over southern Indiana today.
Percentages: Not just for precipitation
This image is from the NWS office in Hanford, in the central Valley of California. You thought we only gave percent chances for rainfall, huh? It’s pretty dry in California, so I guess meteorologists there just need to make use of the Stats classes we all took in college.
Friday morning lows
We made it through the most stressful month of hurricane season, and are moving into at a breakneck pace towards winter. I think autumn and the beginning part to winter are the hardest seasons to forecast for. Those first snow storms are impossible to get right. Wish us all luck
Coming Soon…
Happy October, everyone. The next several days will take us to several spots in the middle of the country. Let’s hope that nothing crazy happens on the coast, right?
Bowling Green, Kentucky
Racine, Wisconsin
Victoria, Texas
Road Trip from Racine to Victoria
Olympia, Washington
Enjoy the heat!
It’s one last blast of summer for the Central Plains, with record heat cancelling the Twin Cities Marathon yesterday, hours before it was scheduled to start. This incredible warmth is only hear for a little bit longer though. By the end of the week, places like Great Falls and Bismarck are going to be playing footsie with the freezing line in the mornings.
September Forecaster of the Month
We were light on formal forecasts in September, but that doesn’t take away from how big a weather time it was, from flooding rains to tropical storms, we covered a lot of ground. Of course, not much for the verified forecasts, but that’s fine, and it worked out well for Clime, who took the top spot for the month.
| Outlet | Forecast Wins (year) |
| Victoria-Weather | 6.83 |
| The Weather Channel | 4.83 |
| Clime | 3.83 |
| National Weather Service | 2.5 |
| WeatherNation | 2.5 |
| Weatherbug | 2.5 |
| Accuweather | 2 |
