Tag Archives: Vineland

Comfort is all that moves in.

There was a tropical wave off the southeastern coast, as well as a weak cold front moving through the mid-Atlantic. There was a threat that some of this activity would produce some light shower activity in Vineland and southern New Jersey, but in truth, all it did was bring about cooler temperatures and lower humidity. Hard to complain about that. The Weather Channel ended up having the best forecast for southern New Jersey on this occasion.
Actuals: Saturday – High 84, Low 59
Sunday – High 79, Low 64

Grade: B

Charlottesville, Virginia to Vineland, New Jersey

This is a good way to spend a Saturday. Just a 4 1/2 hour drive, but it passes from the mountains of the Appalachians, through Washington DC, Baltimore and Philadelphia, to the southern part of New Jersey. The pace will be fairly slow, as we will only move along at 56mph as we snake through our 259 mile journey

Charlottesville
It should be a perfect day to navigate this drive. Warm high pressure wlll dominate the region, with the sun shining down on us until we get to the north end of Chesapeake Bay. It’s at that point, and from there to Vineland that we may see some clouds for a little variety, though it will still be warm and pleasant.

vineland

Vineland, New Jersey

Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 83, Low 60
Sunday – Some showers early, then clearing. Temperatures cool off quickly at night, High 76, Low 60

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy, HIgh 84, Low 60
Sunday – Mostly sunny, High 80, Low 61

AW: Tomorrow – Patchy morning fog; otherwise, mostly sunny and warm Hgh 83, Low 59
Sunday – Partly to mostly sunny; breezy, less humid and not as warm High 77, Low 60

NWS: Tomorrow – Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, sunny High 85, Low 63
Sunday – Partly sunny High 676, Low 65

WB: Tomorrow – Areas of fog in the morning. Otherwise…Mostly sunny. H High 84, Low 55
Sunday – Partly sunny. High 76 Low 63

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny with Areas of Fog High 55
Sunday – Partly Cloudy High 77, Low 63

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy until afternoon. High 83, Low 60
Sunday – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 80, Low 59

As you might imagine, most of these forecasts are non standard on Sunday, but some, like NWS and WB disagree.

Mostly dry, but not completely.

Vineland behaved as expected by yours truly over the holiday weekend. The biggest surprise, I would say, is that it was very clear, and was therefore able to cool off much more rapidly than expected on Friday morning. That was the biggest cause of error in temperature forecasting, as the morning low was 59, a full 4 degrees lower than anyone predicted. There wasn’t much precipitation, which was kind of what I was expecting as well, given the trends at forecast time. Not as many caught on to this trend, and that allowed Victoria-Weather to climb to the top of the leaderboard, thanks to our dry forecast on Friday. Instead, there was less than an hour of rain early in the afternoon of the 4th.
Actuals: Friday – High 80, Low 59
Saturday – Trace of rain, High 81, Low 66

Grade: B-C

Vineland, New Jersey to Dallas, Texas

As is tradition with millions of Americans over the 4th of July weekend, we’re gonna be hitting the road as well with a 3-day road trip. This one will take us from Southern Jersey down into Texas for a visit to the Big D. 1,471 miles will be covered on this holiday excursion, so let’s see what Mother Nature has in store for us!

vinelandNJ

DAY ONE

It’s a cloudy start to the day as we leave Vineland towards Philadelphia, then eventually turns towards the southwest. An area of low pressure shifting through the Virginia’s will quickly turn the trip into a soggy one, as showers and thunderstorms are expected over PA and MD as we continue our way down along I-95 to DC. Very fitting that we drive by Washington DC on the 4th of July, right?! Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue for the rest of the day as we cover I-81 past Harrisonburg and Roanoke before ending the day in Wytheville, VA.

DAY TWO

The tail end of the boundary lingering from yesterday’s low pressure system continues to fester over the TN Valley. The start of the day should be dry, albeit cloudy, as we continue on I-81 towards Knoxville then head west on I-40. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be expected all the way from Knoxville to Memphis, where we end our second day.

DAY THREE

There might be a couple lingering showers as we start the day heading towards Little Rock, but overall should be a dry morning as our southwest trek continues. Once we get past Little Rock, it should be dry and sunny as we push past TexArkana and eventually into Dallas. Time for some sweet tea!

Dallas

Salinas, California to Vineland, New Jersey

This is going to be an extended journey. It will take 6 days to cross the country and cover 3006.47miles. This is a classic cross country trip though, taking us right through Chicago. Most of the drive will be through the stark wilderness of the western United States, though. As a result, we will anticipate a speed of 66.4mph on I-80, which means the first 5 days will see the odometer tick off 531 miles. Can we expect anything to spoil the view of those purple mountains’ majesty or amber waves of grain.

DAY ONE (Friday)
Salinas
You should see the satellite and radar imagery across the Great Basin. The Sierras and northern Nevada are simply lit up with lightning strikes. The disturbed weather doesn’t look like it will be so far to the west tomorrow, and our passage over the Sierras should be pretty uneventful. We should be all right in western Nevada as well, I think, but showers and storms will erupt east of Winnemucca. There will be plenty of clearing between the storms, which will be great for a light show in the heavens. We will stop east of Battle Mountain in the colorfully named Mosquito Canyon.

DAY TWO (Saturday)
It will take until the mid afternoon for thunderstorms to fire up on Saturday, which will mean a few good hours of driving before we might see some convection. The threat will be greatest during our jaunt through Utah, with a shower or storm in Salt Lake City not out of the question. The threat will end abruptly as we cross into southwestern Wyoming, though, after we descend out of the Wasatch, and our arrival in Red Desert, about halfway between Rock Springs and Rawlins, will be dry. Enjoy it for the night.

DAY THREE (Sunday)
We should dodge the showers on Sunday during the day, save for a few developing showers around Cheyenne. An area of low pressure will be developing in the lee of the Colorado Rockies, and interacting with a system centered over western Ontario. The heavy showers and thunderstorms will be erupting along the Nebraska border, but we will be to at least Big Springs by the time things really start popping. It will be quite warm in Nebraska, primed for those thunderstorms out in the western part of the state. When we stop in Shelton, Nebraska, between Kearny and Grand Island, we better find some air conditioning.

DAY FOUR (Monday)
Monday will be a noisy day. It will start from the time we get up, when leftover convection from the night before will still be raging in Shelton. A now fully realized and active cold front moving through Iowa will bring the threat for showers and thunderstorms throughout our day. Most likely, there will be a squall at the leading edge of the boundary, which will race quickly to the east, keeping us in the rain shield behind it. Assuming we can navigate any traffic tie ups caused by the storm ,we wil likely breach the leading edge of the storm around Moline and get about an hour of drier driving until we stop in Princeton, Illinois.

DAY FIVE (Tuesday)
While the stretch from Angola, Indiana to Toledo, Ohio will be fairly stormy, the rest of the journey looks much better on Tuesday than it did on Monday. Expect mostly clear skies in the wake of the front through Chicago, but after we catch up with the boundary, the threat for rain will remain with us through the rest of the drive. That rain wouldn’t otherwise be there, but as we approach the higher terrain of western Pennsylvania, it’s what we must deal with. the day will end north of Pittsburgh, with a little bit of overcast and some drizzle, in Cranberry Township.

DAY SIX (Wednesday)
The boundary will be fairly broken down and diffuse upon its arrival in Pennsylvania, however with the mountains through the state, it will still be an efficient rain producer. Expect rain and thunder to accompany us through the Keystone State, though not much of it will be severe.That activity will have a tough time sustaining itself in south Jersey, which means a potential for drier conditions when we arrive in Vineland.
vineland

Vineland, New Jersey

Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 80, Low 65
Independence Day – Isolated storms late, High 80, Low 66

TWC: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 85, Low 64
Independence Day – Shwoers, High 82,63

AW: Tomorrow – Times of clouds and sun High 78, Low 66
Independence Day – Mostly cloudy and humid with a shower or thunderstorm around High 78, Low 65

NWS: Tomorrow – Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, High 78, Low 64
Independence Day – A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 9am. Mostly cloudy, w High 79, Low 65

WB: Tomorrow – Partly sunny. A chance of showers…With thunderstorms possible in the afternoon. High 78, Low 64
Independence Day – Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. High 79, Low 65

WB: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy with Scattered Showers High 79, Low 64
Independence Day – Mostly Cloudy with Scattered Showers High 79, Low 64

FIO – Drizzle in the evening.High 79, Low 63
Independence DAy – Light rain starting in the afternoon, continuing until evening. High 81, Low 65

The Weather Channel really thinks there will be some warm conditions. The GFS has an 84% chance of rain on the 4th, while the Nam has a 3% chance.

Monday Monsoon

A potent low-pressure system lifted through the Vineland, NJ area on Monday, bringing heavy rain during the day and giving a thorough soaking to the Northeast. Widespread areas reported 1-2 inches, and let’s be thankful that it fell as rain and not snow, since it would have been 1-2 feet if it was cold enough. Whew! The NWS took home the top spot.

Sunday: Trace in 20min evening shower. High 45, Low 23.
Monday: 1.38″ of rain. High 57, Low 41.
Forecast Grade: B

Vineland, New Jersey

Southern New Jersey is the home of today’s forecast. It was fairly flurry-filled yesterday. What can we expect for the rest of this weekend?

At 654PM, ET, Vineland was reporting a temperature of 28 degrees with sunny skies. Despite the snow showers yesterday, the region looks to be in good shape for tonight. High pressure has settled into the Mid-Atlantic, and is expected to remain in place for the rest of the weekend.
A strong upper level trough developing over the central Plains will help in the development of a cold front emerging from the Appalachians to the western Gulf, as well as a strong southerly flow off of the Gulf Stream into the Mid-Atlantic. While precipitation is likely in southern New Jersey throughout the morning, it will be riding the back of a warm southerly flow and will fall as rain. The cold front itself will arrive around noon, and has the potential to feature some thunderstorms embedded within the turbulent shower activity. Expect temperatures to drop precipitously after about 7pm, however they won’t plummet fast enough to allow for snow.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, a few clouds late, High 48, Low 22
Monday – Rain through much of the day, perhaps a rumble of thunder in the afternoon, High 58, Low 37

TWC: Tomorrow – Mostly Cloudy (late rain) High 49, Low 30
Monday – Rain, High 60, Low 38

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy High 49, Low 23
Monday – Rain High 56, Low 38

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy (rain after 7pm) High 49, Low 24
Monday – Rain High 55, Low 38

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. High 48, Low 25
Monday – Rain, High 55, Low 38

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly Cloudy (rain after 7pm) High 48, low 25
Monday – Cloudy with Light Rain High 55, Low 37

A little rainy, but pretty consistent in that most everyone has rain starting shortly after midnight. WeatherNation is really tough to figure out when you start looking at the hourlies. Here is the satellite for now. Keep an out on those scattered clouds west of town!
Vineland

Clear and cool on the coast

A rogue thunderstorm rolled just off to the north of Vineland on Thursday evening. It clobbered Philadelphia, but it left the south shore of Jersey unphased. Behind this round of showers, the temperatures really struggled to warm up, only reaching 75 on Friday afternoon, much to the surprise of almost everyone. Accuweather was the coldest forecast, and ended up winning the day, but at Victoria-Weather, we can take solace in having the only forecast for rain, and knowing that it rained, like, 10 miles from the forecast site.
Actuals: Thursday – High 77, Low 57
Friday – High 75, Low 57

Grade: B