Tag Archives: Shreveport

Poughkeepsie, New York to Shreveport, Louisiana

Yet another road trip! What does this family have against flying places?! At least this isn’t a cross-country trip, but will still take 3 days to navigate from southeastern NY to northern LA. Hopefully we avoid the snow this time!

DAY ONE

Partly cloudy skies greet us this morning as high pressure sits off the New England coastline. Warm temperatures will greet the Northeast as upper 70s and maybe even some low 80s are possible as we cruise through northern NJ and into eastern PA. We’ll probably see some more clouds in the evening as we push into northern VA as a frontal boundary pushes closer to our route, but it should be a dry day as we finish in Harrisonburg, VA.

DAY TWO

The boundary that was pushing through the Appalachians overnight pretty much washes out by morning, with a lingering bit of it found over the Mid-Atlantic. A bit cooler temps will greet the region, but the conditions should be dry as we head southwestward through VA into eastern TN. Overall, another fairly good day!

DAY THREE

It’s going to be a long day of driving, but with high pressure controlling much of the Deep South and Gulf Coast, we shouldn’t have any real problems driving! Might be some patchy fog as we head out of Chattannooga towards Birmingham, but should burn off fairly quickly. We’ll continue along I-20 through Tuscaloosa and through Mississippi before pushing into northern Louisiana late in the evening. It’ll be late but eventually we finally arrive worry-free into Shreveport!

Hotter than normal, with too much in relief

Back at the beginning of the month, Anthony took a look at Shreveport, Louisiana. The area around Shreveport was further north than those that really were battered by the horrible flooding wrought by persistent coastal troughing in the area, but they would eventually see their share of rain this month as well. Before all that got there, there was hot air across the region, which helped induce some of that thermal troughing that only later exasperated the floods around Baton Rouge. For our forecasting purposes, we can officially state that Weathernation was our most accurate outlet on our Shreveport forecast.
Actuals: Aug 3rd: High 100, Low 79
Aug 4th: High 100, Low 80

Grade A – B

Shreveport, Louisiana to Kalamazoo, Michigan

I think the biggest lesson of road tripping that I have learned that you have to really experience to grasp is just how big Illinois is from south to north. We are taking a two day trip from Shreveport to Kalamazoo, and much of the 973 mile trek will be spent in Illinois. We will pace ourselves at 67.6mph. We will cover 541 miles on that first day which will undoubtedly stop in Illinois.

http://m.mlb.com/video/v1086897583/detmin-maybin-plates-a-pair-with-a-single-to-center/?game_pk=448736

DAY ONE (Wednesday)
Shreveport
It’s a little surprising, given how rough things have been in the south central United State, but we are actually going to enjoy a dry drive through Arkansas on Wednesday morning. It will be warm and humid, certainly, but roads should be clear and we shouldn’t have a problem on our northeasterly trek. A developing laminar trough axis northwest of our route, but a little parallel to it will emerge through the day from northern Illinois and Missouri to the Panhandle region. Don’t be surprised to see a few clouds to develop over our last hour on I-57 into Marion, Illinois. Of course we finish in Illinois, after that intro.

DAY TWO (Thursday)
There will be a mostly stationary boundary as a result of all that activity in the Great Lakes and northern Plains, and the few showers drifting south towards the Marion area will diminish. While that is good, the rain will consolidate further north, and we will be intersecting the first bands of rain starting around Gilman, Illinois, and it will be at it’s heaviest as we negotiate I-80/I-90 thorugh the southern Chicago suburbs and work to find our exit to I-94. That’s fine, there is rarely any traffic here and it’s pretty easy to figure out (sarcasm). The rain will diminish as we continue north, and if it isn’t over by the time we reach Lalamazoo, it will be fairly soon thereafter.
Kalamazoo

Shreveport, Louisiana

Sorry for the delay in this forecast. It was supposed to be made back on Friday, but hotel Wifi being unreliable where I as at for the weekend, It was pushed back until today. Hopefully the people of Shreveport forgive me! Let’s see how the 1st half of this week is going to shake out for them.

At 953pm CDT, the temperature at Shreveport, LA is 85 degrees under fair skies. There is a Heat Advisory through 7pm Tuesday. There’s a strong heat dome settling overhead in the South Central US as a potent upper level ridge shifts through the region. Areas directly along the Gulf Coast should see some scattered thunderstorm activity the next couple of days, but stray too far from there, and not much is really going on as the high pressure found directly over E TX/N LA slowly shifts west over the next couple of days. This will cause temperatures to soar the next couple of days in the region, with some possible 100-degree readings in the region. I know it’s summer and it’s pretty much always hot in the Southern US, but this will be a bit warmer than even these locales are accustomed to. Stay cool everybody!

Tuesday: Sunny and hot. High 98, Low 77.
Wednesday: Continued sunny and scorching. High 100, Low 78.

TWC: Tuesday: Sunny. High 99, Low 77.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. High 100, Low 77.

AW: Tuesday: Partly sunny. High 98, Low 77.
Wednesday: A thunderstorm around. High 99, Low 78.

NWS: Tuesday: Hot. High 98, Low 78.
Wednesday: Continued hot. High 99, Low 79.

WB: Tuesday: Partly cloudy. High 96, Low 78.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy. High 97, Low 79.

WN: Tuesday: Mostly sunny. High 99, Low 79.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy. High 99, Low 79.

FIO: Tuesday: Clear throughout the day. High 99, Low 76.
Wednesday: Clear throughout the day. High 100, Low 78.

All is quiet in northwestern LA tonight, and looks like that’ll continue for the next couple of days as a strong heat dome sits overhead.

SHRsat

Exceeding expectations

There was a forecast for heavy rain, and I had even stated that there was a chance for 2-7″ in Shreveport over the course of Tuesday and Wednesday. Well, it trned out that they actually received over 4″ each of the last two days, topping the town off at nearly 9 inches of rain in the two day span. There are flood warnings across the region, and fatalaties have been reported. I will discuss this event in greater detail in the next post, but for the time being will note that the heavty rain and overcast skies meant temperatures remained below even the low temperature forecast for the entire day on Wednesday. The numbers didn’t crunch well, but as is usually the case in disaster-casting, The Weather Channel ended up with the top score.
Actuals: Tuesday – 4.04″ of rain and thunderstorms, High 73, Low 60
Wednesday – 4.81″ of rain and thunderstorms, High 63, Low 59

Grade: C-D

Shreveport, Louisiana

Back on the regular forecast routine this evening. We’re headed for the southern US for our forecast tonight. How are things in the Bayou State?

At 856PM, CT, Shreveport was reporting a temperature of 69 degrees with overcast skies. There was a large complex of thunderstorms found just north of the Dallas Metroplex moving to the northeast, though the line may continue to develop further to the south overnight tonight. The eastward progression of the activity isn’t expected to progress very far to the east overnight tonight, instead running from south to north along the leading edge of a strong trough at the upper levels.
A jet streak over Texas will amplify as it exits the trough tomorrow morning. This will generate a secondary wave of surface low pressure along the Red River Valley tomorrow by midday. A few showers will move into Shreveport in the early afternoon ahead of the boundary, but the real show will come later in the afternoon, when a line of heavy thunderstorms will move into the region. The activity will slow down as the base of the upper level trough moves into Southern Texas. Moisture will amplify into Wednesday, which will be a very rainy and stormy day in Shreveport, with the potential for an isolated embedded severe storm.
Tomorrow – Increasing clouds with late showers and storms High 75, Low 63
Wednesday – Rain and thunderstorms likely – High 71, Low 66

TWC: Tomorrow – Scattered thunderstorms in the morning becoming more widespread in the afternoon. A few storms may be severe, High 74, Low 60
Wednesday – Thunderstorms likely. A few storms may be severe. High 70, Low 65

AW: Tomorrow – Heavy rain and a t-storm in the p.m.; storms can bring downpours, large hail and damaging winds High 74, Low 62
Wednesday – Rain, some heavy, and a thunderstorm; breezy; there is a risk for major flooding High 71, Low 65

NWS: Tomorrow – Showers and thunderstorms. High 74, Low 63
Wednesday – Showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall.High 71, Low 65

WB: Tomorrow – Showers and thunderstorms likely in the morning, then showers and thudnerstorms in the afternoon. High 74, Low 63
Wednesday – Showers and thunderstorms. Locally heavy rainfall possible. High 71, Low 65

WN: Tomorrow – Cloudy with Thunderstorms Likely High 73, Low 63
Wednesday – Cloudy with Thunderstorms High 72, Low 64

FIO: Tomorrow – Rain starting in the afternoon. High 74, Low 65
Wednesday – Heavy rain throughout the day. High 74, Low 67

There are flash flood watches out for the rest of the week after Wednesday thanks to the rain. There will be 2-7″ of rain across northwest Louisiana, which means that, yes, there will be some flash flooding. Here is the satellite, showing the high tops of the storms near Dallas,
Shreveport

Shreveport Showers

As a system got revved up over the Central Plains, some scattered showers were expected to move through Shreveport. They weren’t big, but they did hit the city both days, dropping less than 1/20 of an inch each time. Ho hum. Temperatures were a bit higher on Monday than anticipated, which threw some of the forecasts off. WeatherNation took the top spot this time.

Sunday: 0.03″ of rain. High 64, Low 53.
Monday: 0.04″ of rain. High 73, Low 52.
Forecast Grade: C

Shreveport, Louisiana

Hello and happy weekend. Let’s head down towards the southern US, shall we?

At 956PM, CT, Shreveport was reporting a temmperature of 57 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. Shreveport found itself at the southwestern flank of a strong ridge of high pressure, and for the time being, that should keep light rain falling in the Tyler and Jacksonville areas of Texas at bay for the night at least. A sharp, but bulbous trough in the western US promises a change for the next few days, however.
The trough will manifest itself at the surface as a deep lee trough by late tomorrow. Finally, the strong ridge in the southeastern US will be forced out of the region, and a leading boundary will evolve into a warm front, lifting north of Shreveport. This will open the Gulf up to a southerly flow, and the juicy air over Shreveport will rapidly destabilize. Organized or severe storms aren’t in the offing on Monday, but there will be a few general showers and even an isolated thunderstorm across the region. As the cold front moves through on Tuesday, be aware that severe storms are quite possible, particularly in the form of strong straightline winds.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy – High 65, Low 48
Monday – Mostly cloudy with an isolated shower or thunderstorm, High 70, Low 55

TWC: tomorrow – Cloudy, High 62, Low 48
Monday – PM Thunderstorms, High 71, Low 51

AW: Tomorrrow – Cloudy with a passing shower or two High 62, Low 48
Monday – Cloudy with a couple of showers and a thunderstorm High 69, Low 53

NWS: Tomorrow – A 20 percent chance of showers. Cloudy,High 61, Low 49
Monday – Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after noon. Cloudy, High 69, Low 54

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers, High 61, Low 50
Monday – Showers and Thunderstorms likely, mainly in the afternoon, High 69, Low 54

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly Cloudy with Isolated Showers High 61, Low 50
Monday – Cloudy with Chance of Thunderstorms High 70, Low 54

FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 67, Low 50
Monday – Rain starting in the afternoon. High 74, Low 56

It will definitely be interesting, particularly on Monday, to see how the radar fills in. Again, Tuesday looks like it could feature a rough afternoon. Here’s the current radar, though none of this rain appears like it will threaten Shreveport tonight.

Shreveport

Heat and humidity

The dew point in northern Louisiana, whether or not a cool front has moved through, or high pressure in the area, is going to be high for about 10 months of the year. It’s usually not accompanied by temperatures in the upper 90s, as high humidity often causes temperatures to flag a bit. It was that muggy and humid in Shreveport towards the end of last week, though. Temperatures were hot, the atmosphere was sticky, and really, it’s like that this weekend. My apologies to those playing football today. Accuweather and Forecast.io were the two with the most sultry forecast.
Actuals – Thursday – High 97, Low 70
Friday – High 98, Low 70

Frade B-C

Shreveport, Louisiana

This is our second trip to northern Louisiana this week. Quite the hot spot.

At 856PM, CT, Shreveport was reporting a temperature of 87 degrees with mostly clear skies. The primary feature across the country this evening is a deep trough over the Rockies and Great Basin, with a ridge in advance of the trough dominating the picture in the east As a result, moisture rich air is tracking across Lousiana towards the trough and its surface reflection in the northern High Plains.
A wave across the Florida Peninsula is embedded within the fetch that continues across Louisiana. This means the moist layer across Louisiana, despite being rich at the surface, is not going to be deep enough to contribute to any widespread convection. Or any, actually. Shreveport looks to be mostly sunny, with very warm conditions for the next two days.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 95, Low 71
Friday – Mostly sunny, High 95, Low 73

TWC: Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny, High 94, Low 71
Friday – Mostly sunny, High 94, Low 71

AW: Tomorrow – Partly sunny, hot and humid High 95, Low 71
Friday – Partly sunny and hot High 97, Low 72

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny High 93, Low 71
Friday – Sunny and hot, Hiigh 95 Low 72

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny. High 93, Low 71
Friday – Mostly sunny High 84, Low 72

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny High 95, Low 72
Friday – Mostly Sunny High 93, Low 72

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 96, Low 70
Friday – Partly cloudy in the morning.High 98, Low 73

That’s sticky and gross. Here is satellite, showing how clear it is, and that disturbance over Florida.
Shreveport