Tag Archives: Detroit

Redding, California to Detroit, Michigan

Hey gang! We made it through another election, and fortunately, it will be two years until we need to endure another. Let’s take 4 days of that to drive from one very blue state to one surprisingly red state. Our drive will cover 2375 miles at a pace of 67.9 miles an hour, which means our first 3 days will conclude after 542.9 miles, leaving the final day for a lengthy 11 hour trek. Let’s hit the road and see some purple mountains majesty.



DAY ONE (Thursday)

redding

Our drive will be of the type that is my absolute favorite: Absolutely perfect. high pressure has settled into the Great Basin, and it isn’t going anywhere for a while. We will be able to navigate across northern Nevada into the Salt Flats of Utah without any concern. Let’s call it a day in Grantsville, Utah, about a half hour west of Salt Lake City, but also, very, very isolated.

DAY TWO (Friday)
High pressure will be planted right over the Upper Midwest, and a light southerly flow across the Rockies will ensure we have more sun and even some unseasonably warm temperatures. We’ll arrive in Pine Bluffs, Wyoming, right on the border with Nebraska.

DAY THREE (Saturday)
That ridge is going to keep shifting to the east, just like us. Driving through Nebraska will be a breeze, even without a breeze, as it will be pretty calm. We’ll pass through Omaha and make it to Menlo, Iowa.

DAY FOUR (Sunday)
This is going to be the longest day of our travels, but at least it is a Sunday, so traffic will be light. We’re hitting Chicago on a weekend, so it’s pretty fortunate. High pressure will be dissipating a bit, so there may be a few clouds through the Great Lakes, but this was a well timed 4 day trek through the country. No problems on any day.

Detroit

Detroit, Michigan to Lawrence, Kansas

Today we embark on a 2-day, 806-mile road trip through the Central US. From the Great Lakes to the Great Plains, lets see what we’ll encounter on our trip!

Detroit

DAY ONE

A lingering stationary boundary found over northern portions of Lower Michigan could see some light rain showers in the morning, but they’ll be far north of our route as we depart Detroit and head west towards Lake Michigan. An increase in clouds is expected for the afternoon as the boundary sags a bit further south, but we should dodge any isolated shower activity that pops up. Most of this action should remain fairly close to Lake Michigan as well, which will be in our rearview mirror as we continue southwestward and eventually end the day in Springfield, IL.

DAY TWO

High pressure noses its way over the Great Lakes and down over the Ohio Valley overnight and into the morning hours, keeping us fairly dry as we head westward towards northern Missouri. Most of the day should be fairly quiet, but we’ll have to keep an eye on some thunderstorms developing along an approaching cold front as we make our way into Lawrence. If we leave early enough in the morning, we should make it to our destination before the storms fire up!

Lawrence

Florence, South Carolina to Detroit, Michigan

We had to push this trip back a day, but for a really good reason… I fell asleep before I could write it up. Let’s see how it goes now that we are leaving on Sunday instead of Monday. It’s a day and a half to get from South Carolina to Michigan, a route that covers 733 miles. Our pace will level off around 63.2mph thanks to a trip through the mountains. Let’s shoot for 505 miles tomorrow and see what’s left for Monday, shall we?

DAY ONE (Sunday)
florence
Another reason that our drive will be slow? It’s going to rain almost the entire day. A cold front will be moving into Upstate South Carolina as we get going tomorrow, and we will hit the leading edge of that activity fairly quickly after we get going, perhaps as soon as McBee. After we breech that first line of showers and storms, we will be post frontal, but the circulation is so robust with this system that it is expected to backfill almost immediately, which will lead to rain and embedded thunderstorms all day as we head towards the Ohio Valley. It will still be pouring aas we arrive in Lancaster, Ohio, southeast of Columbus.

DAY TWO (Monday)
It’s going to keep raining overnight, but the final round of rain is going to be shifting out of the eastern Great Lakes around mid morning on Monday. We will be leaving just as the rain departs, which is nice. There will be lingering clouds across the region as we head through Toledo and on to Detroit. Maybe by the end of the day, it will be cleared out and we will see the sun over Lake St. Clair.
Detroit

A deluge, but no danger

There has been a trough swinging through the Great Lakes towards the East Coast, and it tightened up right before it got to Detroit. That meant a bit more vorticity which meant some heavy rain was in the offing for Detroit. Fortunately, despite this added energy, there wasn’t the severe weather that had been deemed possible. The thing that threw off so many, though, was the fact that the rain started Sunday, rather than on Monday morning. There was a logjam at the top of the forecast standings until that precipitation was factored into the verification. WeatherNation held on for a rare victory.
Actually: Sunday – .03 inches of rain, High 79, Low 64
Monday – .39, High 77, Low 68

Grade: B-C

Detroit, Michigan

We’re off to the shores of Lake St. Clair for this overnight forecast. What is happening, Detroit?

At 253AM, ET, Detroit was reporting a temperature of 69 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. It was a quiet night in Detroit, with a mean upper level ridge developing across the region. A bundle of vorticity in the low levels was producing showers and storms below the ridge and over Iowa, standing as the only feature in Detroit’s neighborhood worth noting this evening.
A deeper trough over northwestern Ontario will adopt this vorticity lobe and push it eastward, where it will enhance precipitation late Sunday into Monday morning. The upper ridge is going to continue to shift east and disintegrate as well, as the vorticity will become reflected in the upper level flow, which will bring about more significant thunderstorms as the afternoon goes on.Some severe storms are not out of the question as things become more linear in the evening.
Tomorrow – Increasing clouds, late, High 84, Low 66
Monday – Showers and thunderstorms, especially in the afternoon, High 81, Low 69

TWC: Tomorrow – AM Clouds, PM Sun, High 82, Low 65
Monday – Scattered thunderstorms, High 79, Low 67

AW: Tomorrow – Variable cloudiness High 82, Low 65
Monday – Showers and a heavier t-storm; variably cloudy; thunderstorms can bring hail and damaging winds High 82, Low 67

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, (early, late showers), High 78, Low 65
Monday – A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy High 81, low 69

WB: Tomorrow – Isolated light showers after noon until 2 pm…Then a chance of light showers. Mostly cloudy. High 79, Low 65
Monday – Cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. High 82, Low 69

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly Cloudy with Isolated Showers High 79, Low 64
Monday – Mostly Cloudy with Scattered Showers High 81, Low 70

FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 80, Low 66
Monday – Light rain throughout the day. High 79, Low 66

A little bit of variability out of this forecast, so it will be interesting to see it play out. Here is satellite, showing that complex to the west.
Detroit

Underwhelming

Snowfall with our last system was generally not as significant as anyone thought. I know in discussions with residents of Boston that the airport there came in with less than an inch, and struggled to accumulate. It was colder in Detroit, so the accumulation was easier, however there wasn’t as much moisture that far north. Detroit-Wayne airport checked in with less than an inch yesterday. We are verifying for Detroit, which defaults to their downtown airport, which was a hair warmer than DTW. As a result, Forecast.io had a narrow victory, but if we were forecasting for the more suburban DTW Victoria-Weather would have crushed it. We weren’t of course, and I just wanted to pat myself on the back. FIO gets the W.
Actuals: Saturday – High 21, Low 1
Sunday – Snow reported, measured at .8 inches at a nearby location, High 27, Low 16

Grade: B-C

Detroit, Michigan to Lakeland, Florida

All right! We’re all caught up! This trip is only a two day adventure, covering 1175 miles. The average speed will actually be a little swifter, despite traveling through a more well populated part of the country. Apparently Atlanta doesn’t slow things down nearly as much as Chicago. 1175 miles stand between Detroit and Lakeland, as I noted, and we will cover that ground at a pace of 65.2mph, which will work itself out to 521 miles on the first day. Let’s get on with this second road trip of the day.

DAY ONE (Sunday)
Detroit
This is going to be a tough drive. Light snow will be falling in southern Michigan, including Detroit, as we head out for the day, and will only get heavier as we leave and head south. It will probably start snowing hard enough to cause traffic to come to a standstill somewhere between Bowling Green and Findlay. Visibilities of under a mile in heavy wet snow will continue to be a possibility as we continue south to at least Dayton. The good news is, as we make our way to the south, the system will be making its way to the east, which will improve visibilities, but on the other hand, snow will have accumulated more significantly on roadways. Somewhere between Dayton and Cincinnati, precipitation will slowly turn to to rain. It won’t be precipitating nearly as heavily when we reach Kentucky, and when the precipitation is falling as rain, naturally, but there will still be light rain all the way to Knoxville, which is where the day will end.

DAY TWO (Monday)
High pressure will be developing behind the system that will plague us on Monday will be great for the Ohio Valley. Unfortunately, we will be south of the Ohio Valley, and driving through the base of the ridge. There will be light showers through north Georgia, as far south as Macon, and then another threat for some more significant thunderstorms in the afternoon when we cross into Florida. The threat for thunder will last until Ocala, but after that we should finally be in the clear. 80 degrees is well deserved after such a terrible drive through Ohio!
Lakeland

Greeley, Colorado to Detroit, Michigan

This was supposed to be a yesterday forecast, but I just didn’t get to it. Many apologies. Let’s take a look at this 2 1/2 day trek today instead! It is a 1244 mile journey that we will cover at a pace of 65mph. The first two days will allow us to cover a whopping 520 miles, but we will leave the final 200 miles for Tuesday. Let’s get this delayed journey underway!

DAY ONE (Sunday)
Greeley
By delaying our trip, we have probably saved ourselves some headaches. Indeed, expect mostly sunny skies over Nebraska, and for snowfall to remain south of the Palmer Divide in Colorado. It will be chilly, but the snow that threatens to rise out of the central PLains today will be well ahead of us. In this case, a cold front will have developed south of Nebraska, and clear skies and cold temperatures will only be an issue when we stop for gas. The drive will end in Garner, Iowa, which is just northeast of Council Bluffs, and will be getting partly cloudy as we stop for the night.

DAY TWO (Monday)
High pressure will continue rotating east through the southern Great Lakes, like a bubble over our car during our trip. Chilly conditions will continue along our route, but they will begin to modify as the ridge contracts. Clouds will be more likely, as will traffic, but we will make our way to Bethany Beach on the shores of Lake Michigan in the state it was named after by the end of the Day Monday.

DAY THREE (Tuesday)
Now we pay for our delay. A massive area of low pressure developing in the Plains will just begin to move into Michigan in the morning on Tuesday. Sure, warm air will eventually turn things too rain in the Lower Peninsula, but I think as we are making our trek, we need to worry about the potential for sleet or freezing rain, particularly from Kalamazoo to Ann Arbor, but the possibility will be there essentially for the entire trip from Bethany Beach to Detroit. When we get to the Motor City though, it will turn to rain, so that’s something, right?

Detroit

Detroit, Michigan

Forecasting in the dead of night. It’s peaceful in the Victoria-Weather offices, but will it be in Detroit?

At 153AM, ET, Detroit was reporting a temperature of 5 degrees with clear skies. Outside of the city, temperatures were already at or below 0, and it promised to reach that point in the Motor City as cold high pressure had settled in across the Great Lakes.
High pressure will retreat through the day Saturday, with an upper level jet ridge rising north through the Ohio Valley. The rising jet ridge will carry with it warmer air, though it will be undercut by another more southerly jet. Likewise, the southerly jet will stem the flow of moisture into the warm frontal boundary, and will disrupt cyclogenesis in the Plains. A distended wave will develop well south of Michigan, though there will be flurries through the day Sunday in Detroit as the wave shifts east. Better organization won’t come until the wave is well east of Detroit, and chilly high pressure will return once again.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 19, Low -2
Sunday – 1-3″ of persistent snow through the day, High 26, Low 14

TWC: Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny, High 20, Low 0
Sunday – Snow (1-3″) High 31, Low 10

AW: Tomorrow – Plenty of sunshine High 21, Low 1
Sunday – Cold with a little snow, accumulating a coating to an inch (1-3″ storm total) High 29, Low 11

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny High 21, Low 3
Sunday – Snow (around 2″) High 26, Low 10

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 22, Low -2
Sunday – Snow likely until 1 pm…Then light snow. Accumulations 2 to 3 inches. High 26, Low 10

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny High 23, Low -2
Sunday – Cloudy with Snow Likely High 27, Low 10

FIO: Tomorrow – Light snow overnight. (Actually after the day in question. Not confusing at all) High 19, Low -1
Sunday – Snow (2–4 in.) until evening.High 27, Low 14

I guess the forecast is for about 2″ of snow, then. Here is satellite, again struggling to keep up with how cold it is in the Great Lakes.
Detroit

Dry Detroit

Things worked out quite nicely for denizens of Detroit to end the week. There was rain in the forecast the past two days, but that never quite happened, with the city instead seeing dry, if cloudy skies. Temperatures were significantly cooler than what most of the country has come to expect this spring, but as they say, you win some, you lose some. The Weather Service won this one, from a forecasting standpoint.
Actuals: Thursday – High 59, Low 42
Friday – High 55, Low 34

Grade: B