Atlanta, Georgia

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

We are headed to one of the more important weather hubs in the country, along with Silver Spring, Maryland and Oklahoma City. Atlanta is home to many weather focused corporations, notably The Weather Channel, and we are coming for you, TWC!

At 1252PM, ET, Atlanta was reporting mostly cloudy skies with a temperature of 87 degrees. Bands of isolated thunderstorms are stretched across North Georgia, with one particular cluster near Athens, Gainesville and Lawrenceville, and a stronger line north of Rome. There is one cell on the southeast side of Atlanta, but otherwise, there is a dry window encompassing the Atlanta area. There is an area of low pressure over Quebec dangling a cold, becoming stationary front through the Tennessee Valley, and along that boundary is a perturbation centered near the District of Columbia. This complicated set up is helping to tap into the moisture in the southeast, and touching off the banding showers and thunderstorms in north Georgia this afternoon.
The threat for storms in and around Atlanta will abate a bit this afternoon, as the activity becomes more focused along the boundary to the north. That boundary is expected to remain intact even as the low over Quebec deteriorates. A second surface low moving out of the High Plains into the Great Lakes will pull the boundary a bit to the north by Wednesday, presenting a dry mid-week in Atlanta. Of course, one last perturbation along the front before it moves northward will bring some scattered showers to Atlanta first on Tuesday evening.
Tomorrow – Scattered clouds with a chance for isolated showers and storms, High 88, Low 73
Wednesday – Scattered to mostly cloudy. A bit warmer, High 90, Low 73

TWC: Tomorrow – Variable clouds with scattered thunderstorms. High 89, Low 74
Wednesday – Sunshine and clouds mixed High 93, Low 73

AW: Tomorrow – Humid with intervals of clouds and sunshine High 87, Low 73
Wednesday – Partly sunny and humid; a thunderstorm in spots late in the afternoon High 91, Low 73

NWS: Tomorrow – A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 11am. Partly sunny, High 88, Low 74
Wednesday – A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, High 91, Low 73

WB: Tomorrow – Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms, High 87, Low 74
Wednesday – Mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, High 91, Low 74

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with chance of storms, High 89, Low 73
Wednesday – Partly cloudy, High 92, Low 73

FIO: Tomorrow – Humid and mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 86, Low 74
Wednesday – Humid and partly cloudy throughout the day. High 88, ow 75

Pretty hot couple of days in Georgia, but all that moisture around, the mountains, it keeps it from triple digits most of the time. Rain shield over Atlanta has been activated.

New Haven, Connecticut to Baltimore, Maryland

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It takes merely one day to travel from New Haven, to Baltimore. In fact, it’s only 5 hours between the cities by car (even faster by train!) and covers 5 states. That’s a state an hour! At most times, it is a 5 hour and 7 minute drive (though significantly longer in the morning ore early evening) at a pace of only 52 miles an hour. That is CRAZY slow. This is the first time I can remember passing through Delaware on a trip, so I will blame the First State. We have 267 miles to cover, so let’s start coverin’

New haven, Connecticut

It’s the same story everywhere, man. Hot, hot, hot. Make sure that AC is working, especially in the midst of cutting across the Bronx on I-95 early in the day. Being at a standstill just makes things seem so much worse. The best chance for rain tomorrow is before we wake in the New York City area, but I suspect the green showing on the models will manifest as some ground fog thanks to high dew points in the area. The sun will get brighter and angrier as we slide through New Jersey and Delaware, before we begin our final steamy approach to Baltimore.

Baltimore, Maryland

Baltimore, Maryland

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

It’s a hot July, one of the hottest ever recorded in many parts of the world, including the mid-south in the US. Just normal — “normal” — hot out east though. Is there anything else coming with it?

At 954AM, ET, Baltimore was already reporting a temperature of 88 degrees. Mostly cloudy skies populated the region, and dew points were a soupy 73 degrees. There is an area of low pressure over eastern Canada, dangling a cold front along the Appalachians. It is a typical summer time boundary, and while there are clouds across Appalachia, it isn’t bolstered by very much cold air, and the moisture content is negligible. Still, any chance at relief will be appreciated.
High pressure at the surface will remain entrenched, even as the boundary moves through Appalachia. Tomorrow may be a bit cooler than today, but high pressure is going to build back into the region on Saturday, and temperatures and humidity are expected to build right back with it.
Tomorrow – Partly to mostly cloudy, High 95, Low 75
Saturday – High 98. Low 75

TWC: Tomorrow – Mainly sunny. Hot High 97, Low 75
Saturday – Mainly sunny. Hot High 97, Low 76

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 96, Low 75
Saturday – Mostly sunny and hot; stay hydrated; signs of heat illness can include headache, dizziness and nausea High 97, Low 76

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 96, Low 75
Saturday – Sunny and hot, High 97, Low 76

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 96, Low 76
Saturday – Sunny. High 96, Low 77

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 96, Low 75
Saturday – Mostly sunny, High 97, Low 76

FIO: Tomorrow – Humid throughout the day. High 94, Low 75
Saturday – Humid throughout the day. High 94, Low 77

That’s just a really hot stretch of days. There is a lot of similarity from day to day among the outlets, but I just think that there is too much going in the mid and upper levels for the two days to be carbon copies. One day will be cooler, probably tomorrow, and Saturday will bounce back like nothing happened. Clouds are scattered today.

A little unimpressive, to be honest

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There is blistering heat across the planet this week. The United Kingdom is reaching temperatures never seen in recorded history for the British Isles. It reached 115 in Tulsa yesterday. Last week’s 99 and 100 in Redding don’t stand out quite as impressively under that light, do they? Accuweather and WeatherNation had top forecasts for the city, and even those forecasts were a little bit warmer than what actually transpired. *Yawn*
Actuals: Wednesday – High 99, Low 71
Thursday – High 100, Low 65

Grade: B-C

A fine New England weekend

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That first weekend after the 4th of July is the first intensively “summer” weekend of the year. Laze around, if you want to, go to the lake or the cabin or whatever it is that you do. That first weekend in Manchester was pretty great. Temperatures were in the 80s, and an inactive cold front Friday into Saturday morning brought dew points down a little bit, and kept it from getting uncomfortable. Victoria-Weather and Forecast.io came together for the top forecast, hedging warmer for highs and cooler for lows.
Actuals: Friday 7/8 – High 86, Low 65
Saturday 7/9 – High 82, Low 61

Grade: A – B

Making it through the mist

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We put together a forecast for Milwaukee shortly after the 4th of July, and it was not an altogether summerly forecast. Last Thursday was plenty warm, but a weak wave rippling through the region Friday made for a decidedly different day than one would expect from July. The clouds and light rain kept temperatures from rising above 72. Not exactly anyone’s idea of a hot Friday night. Forecast outlets generally didn’t want to bear the bad news that the first Friday of July wouldn’t be so wonderful, so it was the emotionless computers at Forecast.io that claimed victory.
Actuals: Thursday – High 80, Low 64
Friday – .05 inches of rain, High 72, Low 66

Grade: A-C

Redding, California

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

When I think of California, I think of Mt. Shasta or Eureka — Not particularly warm places. Redding is the furthest north major population center in California, and residents there would like to let you know that it can be pretty hot there.

At 853AM, PT, Redding was seeing clear skies, and the temperature of already 85 degrees. Some light flow onshore is bringing fog to the coast. The light, oceanic flow through the Bay Area and the fog on the coast is cooling things of a bit in northern California, though Redding is a clear hot spot, stifled and away from the maritime flow.
There is a trough moving through the Pacific Northwest through the middle of the week. Monsoonal flow and cool sea surface temperatures will ensure that there won’t be much moisture associated with the feature, so all eyes will be on the jet trough, with hopes it will break the heat. It doesn’t seem as though that will be terribly successful. If there are any impacts near Redding, it will come in the way of clearer mornings, with fog less likely on Thursday morning.
Tomorrow- Hot and partly cloudy, High 101, Low 69
Thursday – Hot and sunny High 103, Low 66

TWC: Tomorrow – Mainly sunny. High 100, Low 69
Thursday – Sunny, High 103, Low 68

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 100, Low 71
Thursday – Mostly sunny and very warm High 102, Low 68

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny and hot, High 99, Low 71
Thursday – Sunny and hot, High 102, low 70

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 100, Low 73
Thursday – Sunny, High 102, Low 68

WN: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 99, Low 71
Thursday – Sunny, High 101, Low 70

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 101, Low 73
Thursday – Clear throughout the day. High 104, Low 69

That’s pretty hot, as promised. And also as promised, it will be cooler tomorrow and Thursday than today, where forecast highs are about 105. Enjoy that relief! Here is the satellite, with low clouds along the coast.

Manchester, New Hampshire

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Manchester in the US is in New Hampshire. In England, Hampshire is nowhere near Manchester (which is its own county, between Lancashire and Cheshire). There is a Portsmouth in both New and original Hampshire, but we’re here to talk about Manchester.

At 253PM, ET, Manchester was reporting a temperature of 82 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. Low pressure over the Atlantic, south of Greenland was parenting an inverted trough over northern Quebec that ran to central Ontario. Between the two disturbances was a rife spot for some midlevel instability, and some spotty clouds. Disturbed weather to the south is more impressive on satellite, but is not going to pose a wet threat for Manchester.
The remnant wave in pursuit of the Greenland low will pivot into New England through the day on Friday. The parent remnant trough will actually start to redevelop, and with it, so too will the local jet. By this point, moisture associated with the feature will be spent in the White Mountains, and instead, a crisp change to the air mass will take hold overnight Friday into Saturday, making for a pleasant summer weekend.
Tomorrow – Partly to mostly cloudy, High 87, Low 64
Saturday – Clearing and pleasant, High 82, Low 62

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy skies. High 86, Low 63
Saturday – Sunshine and clouds mixed High 81, Low 64

AW: Tomorrow – Clouds and sun High 87, Low 65
Saturday – Mostly sunny; a beautiful start to the weekend High 80, Low 63

NWS: Tomorrow – Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, High 86, Low 62
Saturday – Sunny, High 79, Low 61

WB: Tomorrow – Partly sunny, High 86, Low 65
Saturday – Mostly sunny, High 79, Low 65

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 86, Low 61
Saturday – Mostly sunny, High 79, Low 61

FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 86, Low 64
Saturday – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 81, Low 62

That looks like some nice weather on it’s way! I’m surprised the forecast wasn’t a bit warmer tomorrow for a lot of outlets, but I wasn’t going to go any higher, so maybe I shouldn’t be that surprised!

Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

I enjoy a good trip to the Cheese State every now and then. It’s right next door to Victoria-Weather in Minnesota, but it seems so completely alien…

At 103PM, CT, Milwaukee was reporting mostly cloudy skies with a temperature of 70 degrees. Cloudy skies were widespread across the Great Lakes, as an area of low pressure was slogging through the Canadian Maritimes. While a weak jet ridge was emerging over western Ontario, which was helping build high pressure in the northern Great Lakes, a connector front between the low in New Brunswick and a lee trough kept a chance for precipitation south of Milwaukee.
High pressure is going to remain in place, but fairly weak through the end of the work week. Generally westerly flow will mean generally stable conditions, though with some passing clouds. Guidance is in agreement about a wave moving into the region overnight Thursday into Friday, bringing some showers to end the workweek. The rain won’t last all day, and there will be some clearing by nightfall.
Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, increasing clouds late with a chance of a storm, High 78, Low 64
Friday – Rain, especially early, with clouds and cooler conditions, High 76, Low 65

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy skies during the morning hours will become overcast in the afternoon. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible. High 78, Low 64
Friday – Rain showers early with mostly cloudy conditions later in the day. High 71, Low 66

AW: Tomorrow – Humid and warmer with times of clouds and sun; a thunderstorm in spots in the afternoon High 79, Low 60
Friday – Times of clouds and sun High 76, Low 64

NWS: Tomorrow – A slight chance of showers between 10am and 1pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly cloudy High 76, Low 63
Friday – A 30 percent chance of showers before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, High 75, Low 66

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. Chance of light showers and slight chance of a thunderstorms in the late morning and afternoon. High 78, Low 62
Friday – Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of light showers. High 71, Low 66

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 74, Low 63
Friday – Partly cloudy with scattered showers, High 73, Low 66

FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 78, Low 64
Friday – Possible light rain in the morning. High 72, Low 66

On the whole, I am confused by the group of forecasts! I am far more aggressive with the rain forecasts on Friday than anyone, but everyone is all over the map. The same neighborhood, I guess, but timing is very different all over. Maybe all these clouds have something to do with the confusion.