Tag Archives: New York City

The City that Never Sees the Sun

New York City is usually the City that Never Sleeps, but if they were going to sleep well at any point, it was likely Tuesday and Wednesday last week. Clouds and a blustery rain fell through the 48 hour period, with heavier rain coming on Tuesday as an area of low pressure slid up the Eastern Seaboard. It was chilly and dreary and despite all that there is to do in the Big Apple, the best thing to do was hide inside under blankets. Victoria-Weather collected the top forecast.
Actuals: Tuesday – .91 inches of rain, High 54, Low 49
Wednesady – .34 inches of rain, High 60, Low 53

Grade: A-B

New York, New York

We are going to take our forecast attitude to the Big Apple today. I imagine the forecast will be fairly similar to Barnstable yesterday, but maybe not as cool. As always, we are forecasting for Central Park.

At 1051AM, ET, New York was reporting clear skies and a temperature of 57 degrees with clear skies at Central Park. La Guardia and JFK were reporting overcast skies as an area of low pressure worked its way up the coast from the Carolina. This feature will bring some showers to the region as soon as tomorrow, with a heavier round of rain likely tomorrow afternoon.
A weak upper level wave is being pulled north towards a broader upper level trough in Canada, and riding the leading periphery of a south to north jet over the Mississippi Valley. As a result, despite the expected well organized circulation of this feature, it will not import any cooler air midweek. To the contrary, it will be much warmer by Wednesday as the rain clears out.
Tomorrow – Showers, some heavy in the afternoon, High 55, low 50
Wednesday – Morning showers, then clearing, High 61, Low 54

TWC: Tomorrow – Windy with rain likely High 55, low 51
Wednesday – Overcast. Slight chance of a rain shower. High 61, Low 51

AW: Tomorrow – Cooler with periods of rain High 53, Low 50
Wednesday – Warmer with occasional rain and drizzle High 62, low 50

NWS: Tomorrow – Rain Showers, High 53, Low 50
Wednesday – Cloudy, early rain, High 61, Low 51

WB: Tomorrow – Rain, High 55, Low 50
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain in the morning, then a chance of light rain in the afternoon, High 63, Low 53

WN: Tomorrow – Cloudy with Rain High 54, low 48
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy with rain, High 66, Low 52

FIO: Tomorrow – Rain starting overnight. High 54, low 48
Wednesday – Light rain until morning. High 63, Low 54

We are looking at a pretty well smothered in the Big Apple. mmm, smothered apples…. Here is the latest radar, showing some showers moving in.

East Coast bias

Anthony and I are each posting one on top of another today, tanks to a little bit of calendar confusion. You know what though? The weather still continues on, and there is always something to talk about. There happens to be a television station that does just that. The Weather Channel (as with most media) tends to catch some flak for giving an inordinate amount of air time to the east coast. It make some sense demographically, but is nevertheless frustrating for those of us in alternate time zones. Perhaps this East Coast bias explains why The Weather Channel did so well with the forecast in New York City. The extra love they gave to the forecast undoubtedly gave them top forecast, which aced three of the verifying temperatures. The attention paid off.
Actuals: Thursday- High 76, Low 57
Friday – High 66, Low 54

Grade: A

New York, New York

Off to the City that Never Sleeps. I should hope they aren’t sleeping right now, particularly at 11 in the morning. For those that don’t remember, verifications for New York are for Central Park.

At 1051AM, ET, New York City was reporting a temperature of 66 degrees with clear skies. An upper level trough moving through eastern Canada dangled a boundary through interior New England. The upper level trough is spiraling northward, and the boundary isn’t expected to be able to advance much farther eastward.
The weak boundary is working its way through a broader surface ridge, which will dominate the weather in the city over the next few days. The boundary will have entirely dissipated by the end of the day tomorrow. Despite a mostly inactive boundary, temperatures will cool significantly on Friday. As the ridge presses off shore, it’s expected to cycle some moisture northward on the back end of the ridge, leading to some overcast skies late on Friday.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 76, Low 60
Friday – Clouds increase late, High 69 Low 58

TWC: Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny High 76, Low 59
Friday – Mostly Sunny High 66, Low 54

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny High 76, Low 58
Friday – Sunny to partly cloudy High 78, Low 57

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 76, Low 59
Friday – Mostly sunny High 68, Low 57

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 75, Low 58
Friday – Mostly sunny High 68, Low 55

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 75, Low 57
Friday – Partly Cloudy High 68, Low 57

So then everyone agrees… mostly sunny for tomorrow in the Big Apple. Here is the satellite, showing scattered topographic clouds in the Catskills and stratus over Canada where the trough lies.
New York

Santa Rosa, California to New York, New York

6 days! Almost an entire week to cover the country. The 6th day will be a half day, but that’s still a long trip. It’s 2919 miles between the nexuses of our trip, and we will cover those at a rate of 530.5 miles a day, otherwise known as 66.3 miles an hour. Whew! Let’s head out for this extended voyage.

DAY ONE

Something unusual: The rainiest leg of our trip will be the drive through northern California. The system that’s been parked over the north Pacific will continue to pump moisture inland, but we will set forth on our journey between the heaviest the heaviest bands of activity. The precipitation rates will pick up on the western exposures of the Sierras. Mountain snow will be very heavy through the day. Several feet of snow will fall on the peaks and some snow will likely fall in the lower elevations, probably slowing our drive through the Donner Pass by Truckee, but as we descend into Nevada, all the nasty weather will be behind us, both geographically and chronologically. We will continue through Nevada to the town of Halleck, Nevada, which is east of Elko.

DAY TWO
That Pacific Low is finally making it’s way into the Pacific Northwest, and a final, aggressive batch of rain and mountain snow is moving into the country. Our rate will be marked by rain and mountain snow moving southeast. Through the rest of Nevada and probably until we reach the Great Salt Lake, I think we will stay dry, but clouds to our north will remain grey and ominous. We will move into the Wasatch and mountains of western Wyoming, and we will start to see a change. Rain will fall at the low elevations, but as we ride out of Utah’s capital, we will begin to see mixed precipitation and some occasionally heavy wet snow. Given the wind that may pick up, there is a better than 0 chance that they might close I-80 through this part of the world, so we better make sure we hit Wyoming before that. We will make it out of the wet weather around Table Rock, with clearing skies, the calm before the storm, when we arrive in Walcott, Wyoming, east of Rawlins.

DAY THREE
An area of low pressure will shunt off from the bigger broader system in the northwest and move through Canada. It will begin to tap into Gulf moisture, as a cold front develops in the eastern Iowa, and wraps a great deal of energy into the parent low, skirting the international border. What does this mean for us? The drive through the rest of Wyoming and across Nebraska will be pretty east. I would hate to be in Winnipeg on Monday though. Our drive will end in a different W town, Waco, Nebraska between Seward and York.

DAY FOUR
The trip will continue to be blessed by good weather. Eastern Nebraska and Iowa will fly by like nothin’! Even most of Illinois will be fairly unremarkable. It may get a little blustery as we approach Joliet, southwest of Chicago, but the low continues to ride north of the Great Lakes and the front will become increasingly active, but well ahead of our position on the road. (Oh, and Joliet is our nightly destination).

DAY FIVE
Already Wednesday as we hit this leg of the journey. It will be fairly chilly over the southern Great Lakes behind our front, mentioned over the past two days now. If there is any element of a northwesterly flow off of Lake Erie, don’t be surprised to see some light snow in Cleveland east through Pennsylvania, but our stop for the night, SB Elliot State park, nestled in the high country of western Pennsylvania, so snow isn’t terribly likely for our night.

DAY SIX
Things are looking pretty good in Pennsylvania as well. Systems tend to languish along the coast, but not the one we have been chasing all week! Skies will be clear through out our route, and really, the only problems we will have with this trip will be the traffic as we attempt to navigate Manhattan.

The weather I missed

When I was in New York, the weather tended to be decent enough, but Tuesday and Wednesday were not as pleasant. There was gusty wind, temperatures in the 40s and a little bit of rain Tuesday evening. As we departed on Wednesday, more rain and low clouds rolled in and delayed out flight again and really stressed everyone out (and delayed a certain forecast for Jonesboro). Naturally, I had a forecast for the Big Apple on Thursday to show me what happened to the weather soon after I was back in Minnesota. Temperatures on Friday were still a little cool, not breaching 50, however the rain that had been in the forecast stayed well south as a cold air dam set up near DC. Then, Saturday, temperatures crawled all the way to the upper 50s with sunnier skies. Not that I’m upset that I missed the good weather. OK, I’m a little upset. Accuweather and The Weather Channel had the top forecast.
Actuals: Friday – High 49, Low 40
Saturday – High 58, Low 40

Grade: B

New York City, New York

Huh, I just can’t shake the Big Apple. Got back less than 24 hours ago, and now we are returning with a forecast.

At 951 PM, ET, New York City was reporting a temperature of 45 degrees with clear skies. A warm front ran just north of the Ohio Valley, and any short term concerns would have to do with any disturbances rippling along it, however the next major upper level system is still firmly entrenched in the southern Rockies.
There is an undercutting jet streak preparing to slide under a rather strong ridge in the eastern US over the coming days. Tapping the moisture and warmth allowed to filter north, the undercutting disturbance will set off a few showers and storms, particularly on Friday evening. Otherwise, the remainder of the week will see a rather pleasant arrival of spring.
Tomorrow – Partly to mostly cloudy and warmer, with rain expected late, High 57, Low 40
Saturday – Mostly cloudy, High 60, Low 41

TWC: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy skies. Slight chance of an afternoon shower High 53, Low 42
Saturday – A few clouds High 58, Low 42

AW: Tomorrow – Some sun, then turning cloudy High 56, Low 40
Saturday – Periods of clouds and sunshine High 57, Low 42

NWS: Tomorrow – A chance of rain after 2pm. Mostly cloudy High 57, Low 39
Saturday – Partly sunny High 61, Low 42

WB: Partly sunny in the morning…then mostly cloudy with a chance of rain in the afternoon High 57, Low 39
Saturday – Mostly sunny.High 61, Low 42

Definitely better weather than what I had while I was out there. It was about 40 and extremely windy at game time on Wednesday. Gross.

Wet End to the Workweek

The cold front that advertised heavy rains over the East Coast delivered as promised, giving a good soaking to New York City. Nearly an inch fell on Thursday, then duplicated itself early Friday morning before it shifted towards New England. Mostly cloudy skies ruled on Saturday, as temperatures nearly duplicated themselves. Everybody had 37 for a Saturday low, but I was gutsy and went 38, which pushed V-W to a narrow victory over AW & NWS.

Friday: 0.93″ in heavy rain showers. High 55, Low 40.
Saturday: High 56, Low 38.
Forecast grade: B

New York City, New York

After days of having forecasts under high pressure, we have a doozy of one today, especially for the biggest city in the US. Not the greatest way to kick off the weekend, but don’t worry, there is light at the end of the tunnel for everybody!

At 5:54PM EST, the temperature is 49 degrees at Central Park, with overcast skies and light fog/mist, and additional rain moving in from the southwest imminently. A large trough has been digging in over the Eastern US over the last day or two, and a strong cold front has been sweeping over the Eastern Seaboard today. Many reports of damaging wind occurred in the NC/VA and further south, produced this dramatic video at the WGC-Cadillac Golf Championship down in Doral, Florida. Luckily, the New York City area should avoid such severe weather tonight into tomorrow morning, however, will be prone to flooding due to the amount of rainfall expected through midday Friday. Heavy rains at times are expected to affect the city tonight and Friday morning, finally starting to relent around lunchtime. Cloudy skies will persist through the evening and overnight hours, with the main weather nuisance switching to gusty winds on the backside of the low. Mostly cloudy skies will last into Saturday, as another low pressure system over the Great Lakes will trek into the Northeast. Luckily, most of the precip from this 2nd system will get caught up west of the Appalachians, so NYC should get a weekend reprieve and dry out from today’s and tomorrow’s events.

Friday: Heavy rains at times (perhaps an isolated tstm?) through mid-morning, drying out during afternoon. High 56, Low 46.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy, gusty at times. High 53. Low 38.

TWC: Friday: AM thunderstorm possible, weakening to afternoon showers. High 55, Low 48.
Saturday: Partly cloudy. High 54, Low 37.

AW: Friday: 1.50-2″ of rain possible by midday. High 59, low 45.
Saturday: Partly sunny, breezy. High 55, Low 37.

NWS: Friday: Heavy rains, 1-2″ possible. High 57, Low 46.
Saturday: Mostly sunny, but breezy. High 54. Low 37.

WB: Rain, heavy at times. Remaining cloudy. High 59, Low 46.
Saturday: Partly sunny. High 53, Low 37.

Here we see one main push of rain about to roll through the NYC area, and a line of thunderstorms approaching the Washington DC region. All that activity (well, rain-wise anyways), is going to continue shifting northeastward throughout tonight and tomorrow. Hope your umbrellas are handy and strong!