Tag Archives: Myrtle Beach

Joaquin’s preamble

It’s been quite damp for several days now along the east coast, with much of the activity falling inland across the Appalachians. Coastal areas saw much lighter rain, and the sun even made an appearance in Myrtle Beach. Save for a light splash of rain on Monday, it was dry in our forecast city. The Weather Channel had the top precipitation forecast, but it was Victoria-Weather’s optimism on temperatures that gained us victory.
Actuals: Monday .01 inches of rain, High 86, Low 74
Tuesday – High 85, Low 73

Grade: A-C

Myrtle Beach, South Carolina to Ocean City, Maryland

Hey gang! Time for another road trip, and another one that is only going to take one day. Thanks Google Maps! It’s going to be a long day, covering the 631 miles between these two towns, but we will do it at a pace of 65mph, despite travel through Washington, Baltimore and Philadelphia. We only have one day to worry about, but it will be trafficy and stormy. Let’s get a move on.

Myrtle Beach

It’s going to be a terribly active day on the east coast, with a pair of weak eddies, one in the Gulf Stream and one over the Gulf feeding moisture to a cold front that will be preparing to traverse the Appalachians into the Carolinas and Virginia. We will be within those prefrontal, oceanic showers and storms through most of the morning while heavier rain, with some embedded thunderstorms develop over Virginia and North Carolina, generally west of our route. Guidance is unilateral in it’s suggestion that the heaviest plume of moisture we will encounter will be between Richmond and Manasssas in Virginia. After we have reached Washington, though, the heaviest rain will be behind us. There will still be chances for a random splash of rain, but from DC to Ocean City, it will be significantly drier than the first half of our journey. After we head southeast out of Philly, we may even be able to finish things off with an hour of dry skies.
Ocean City NJ

Myrtle Beach, South Carolina

After spending some evenings in the Mid-Atlantic, let’s head back t the southeast. That’s my jam.

At 925PM, ET, Myrtle Beach was reporting light rain, overcast skies and a temperature of 77 degrees. There was more rain showing up off shore, but there was a little bit of light drizzle in northeastern South Carolina, and it was barely showing up on the Wilmington radar. This was a trend across South Carolina, where drizzle was being reported at several locations, despite less than impressive radar signatures, meaning much of the moisture was found at the low levels, and also indicates that it’s departure will be difficult to initiate.
At the surface, there was an obvious area of low pressure northeast of Charleston, off shore. Aloft, there is a standing weak wave over the south central United States, producing some circulation over the northern Gulf and an environment conducive to the importation of moisture north into the southeastern US. A lingering north Atlantic ridge is also cycling moisture towards the Carolinas from an Atlantic borne feature north of the Turks and Caicos, while an advancing cold front is tapping into both sources of moisture as it makes it’s way towards the Appalachians. All this leads to the same conclusion. Myrtle Beach will be wet to begin the work week. Fortunately, most of these systems will be indirectly impacting Myrtle Beach, and total precipitation will be greater in the upstate than down on the coast.
Tomorrow – Scattered showers and storms, High 84, Low 74
Tuesday – Overcast with more showers and embedded storms, High 85, Low 74

TWC: Tomorrow – PM Thunderstorms, High 84, Low 71
Tuesday – Cloudy, High 84, Low 71

AW: Tomorrow – Humid with a shower; cloudy, then clouds and sun in the afternoon; coastal flooding can occur High 82, Low 73
Tuesday – Humid; cloudy in the morning, then some sun in the afternoon with a shower or thunderstorm in spots High 82, Low 62

NWS: Tomorrow – A chance of showers, mainly after 8am. Mostly cloudy High 82, Low 70
Tuesday – A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Mostly cloudy High 80, Low 71

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. High 80, Low 68
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated thunderstorms. High 80, Low 70

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly Cloudy with Isolated Showers High 81, Low 72
Tuesday – Mostly Cloudy with Isolated Showers High 81, Low 72

FIO: Tomorrow – Light rain in the morning and afternoon. High 81, Low 73
Tuesday – Light rain starting in the afternoon, continuing until evening. High 81, Low 73

This doesn’t seem terribly pleasant, but then again, it doesn’t really look that frightening on radar either.
Myrtle Beach

Drippy drops

It wasn’t rainy in Myrtle Beach, I don’t think anyone would say that about Myrtle Beach. But it did rain, both on Friday and Saturday. Not a whole lot, certainly, but it did rain. This kiboshed almost everyone’s forecast and allowed the most pessimistic forecaster (Victoria-Weather) to sneak into contention. Forecast.io didn’t do great with the precipitation forecast, but they DID do extremely well with the temperatures. This meant a victory for FIO, despite missing some light rain on Saturday. No matter how high the high pressure is when it moves in, it’s just so hard to keep the southeast dry for any length of time.
Actuals: Friday, .01 inches of rain High 86, Low 74
Saturday – Trace of rain, High 87, Low 71

Grade: B-C

Myrtle Beach, South Carolina

The American southeast in the summer time is just as much a meteorological wasteland as the southwest. It’s just so… generic, every single day.

At 245PM, ET, Myrtle Beach was reporting a temperature of 88 degrees with mostly sunny skies. An onshore flow was helping induce lake effect showers and storms, with nearby Conway reporting some light rain. It wasn’t impressive on radar, certainly, and flow was curling back southward not far inland. This curl was associated with a weak circulation that seems omnipresent in the bight of Georgia.
In this instance, that semipermanent feature is backed by an upper level trough, which is enhancing convection across the region. A repeat scenario, with some scattered showers and storms filtering inland from the warmth of the Gulf Stream, however the upper feature will flatten out as the weekend commences. This will inhibit convective initiation until later in the afternoon on Saturday, however another feature, a weak but progressive wave moving towards New England will draw some moisture north across South Carolina late in the day Saturday, meaning another rainy evening.
Tomorrow – Isolated showers and storms, High 88, Low 76
Saturday – Mostly sunny, with some showers and storms late, High 90, Low 76

TWC: Tomorrow – Scattered Thunderstorms, High 89, Low 73
Saturday – Partly cloudy, High 91, Low 72

AW: Tomorrow – Partly sunny High 87, Low 75
Saturday – Plenty of sunshine High 88, Low 74

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 82, Low 74
Saturday – A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 9am. Mostly sunny, High 83, Low 75

WB: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 82, Low 73
Saturday – Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. High 83, Low 75

WN: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy High 88, Low 73
Saturday – Mostly Sunny with Isolated Storms High 90, Low 73

FIO: Tomorrow – Light rain until afternoon. High 87, Low 74
Saturday – Partly cloudy throughout the day.High 87, Low 74

Here is that radar. It’s not a particularly impressive return, but there is ground truth! I wonder why the Weather Service and Weatherbug are so bearish on those temperatures?
Myrtle Beach

Storms steer clear, clouds do not

There was some congested flow ahead of a slow moving cold front the last couple of days, and it proved to be a little stronger than expected. Thunderstorms were frequently severe, downpours torrential and winds gusty with some of these cells, before the boundary pushed the wave off shore. Of course, all of this activity, save for a brief thundershower on Tuesday, stayed well to the north of Myrtle Beach. The low was able to churn up enough moisture to produce clouds that did linger of the coastal Carolinas, and temperatures were a hair towards the cool side of forecasts. The Weather Channel was also a hair towards the cool side, and easily dominated this forecast.
Actuals: Monday – High 82, Low 68
Tuesday – Thunderstorm reported, not measured, High 85, Low 68

Grade: A-B

Myrtle Beach, South Carolina

We’ve been moseying around out west the last few days, it’s time to make our way all the way across the country to Myrtle Beach.

At 845PM, ET, Myrtle Beach was reporting a temperature of 75 degrees with clear skies. A steep upper level ridge dominated the eastern Seaboard, and the increase in pressure has been paired with an increase in warm air across the region.
The surface heating has created an environment in which the weakest of waves will be able to touch off showers and thunderstorms across the region. Flow related to a cold front advancing through the Ohio Valley will lead to some lee troughing from the Appalachians, and the southeast will be ripe for air mass showers and storms tomorrow. The parent low will reorganize on Tuesday, and flow will not be as robust, however a ripple in the upper level ridge will pass through the Carolinas. Precipitation will be significantly less, but it will stand a better chance of reaching the coast on Tuesday evening than on Monday.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 84, Low 69
Tuesday – Chance of showers, warmer, High 87, Low 71

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 82, low 68
Tuesday – Scattered thunderstorms, High 86, low 70

AW: Tomorrow – Warm and humid with intervals of clouds and sun (late storms) High 86, Low 69
Tuesday – Partial sunshine with a couple of showers and a thunderstorm; warm and humid High 86, low 70

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 79, Low 68
Tuesday – A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Partly sunny, High 84, Low 71

WB: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy. High 80, Low 66
Tuesday – Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. High 84, Low 72

WN: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy High 84, low 66
Tuesday – Partly Cloudy with Isolated Storms High 86, Low 70

FIO: Tomorrow – Drizzle overnight. High 83, Low 69
Tuesday – Light rain in the morning and afternoon. High 84, Low 72

What we have here is a diverse set of forecasts. We’ll see how close we are to the mark, because for one or two of us, at least, there is going to be some error. Inland flow over the Carolinas is producing some milky clouds trying to develop. Nothing reported anywhere, yet.
Myrtle Beach

A dwindling front

The strong cold front moving through the coast didn’t spare South Carolina. The punishment was less severe for Myrtle Beach, however, as there was less than a tenth of an inch of rain on Sunday and only a trace on Monday. Temperatures just barely snuck below freezing last night which is cold for Myrtle Beach, but not as cold as much of the country is getting. The Weather Service is back in 2013 form, earning the top spot in Myrtle Beach.
Actuals: Sunday – .08 inches of rain, High 66, Low 44
Monday – Trace of rain, High 60, Low 31

Grade: A

Myrtle Beach, South Carolina

It’s going to be cold here in the Twin Cities. VERY COLD. Let’s think about someplace warm instead. Myrtle Beach. Aaahhh there we go. I went to Spring Break there once. Let’s see if it’s just as warm as I remember it being.

At 10:55pm EST, the temperature at Myrtle Beach, SC was 45 degrees under overcast skies. Showers will be on the increase throughout the morning hours as a weak low pressure is expected to develop off the SC coast and shift northwards along the shoreline. The main event, however, will be the intense cold front that is approaching the coast. This front is the one that will usher in the intense cold that you’ve no doubt been hearing about the last few days as it will eventually take over pretty much the entire eastern US for the 1st half of the week. The cold front will shift through midday Monday, kicking the rest of the rain showers out to sea and making the mercury crash. Temperatures will already be in the low 30s by late Monday night, and possibly into the upper teens for Tuesday morning. It’s going to be a cold week folks, even for the residents of the coast.

Sunday: Rain showers throughout the day. High 62, Low 43.
Monday: Light morning showers, clears out for afternoon, temperatures plummet during the late evening then overnight hours. High 59, Low 30.

TWC: Sunday: Scattered rain showers. High 65, Low 45.
Monday: Morning showers, then breezy in afternoon. High 57, Low 30.

AW: Sunday: Warmer with spotty showers. High 63, Low 47.
Monday: Morning showers, clouds breaking, becoming much cooler overnight. High 61, Low 31.

NWS: Sunday: Rain showers likely. High 64, Low 45.
Monday: Chance of morning rain showers, then gradually becoming sunny late-afternoon. High 58, Low 31.

WB: Sunday: Rain showers. High 64, Low 50.
Monday: Chance of morning rain showers. High 58, Low 30.

Here we see the disturbance off the coast that will bring us some rain showers, then the main front in the MS River Valley that will deliver a brutal punch of arctic cold. Guess it isn’t warm there after all…
MYRsat

Valentine’s Day Treat

Earlier this week we headed off to Golfer’s Paradise, aka Myrtle Beach. The showers stayed just far enough away to keep things nice for the last couple of days. Temperatures were even a couple degrees higher than forecast, making for some nice weather to hit the links on Wednesday. Accuweather took home the top spot.

Tuesday: High 55, Low 37.
Wednesday: High 64, Low 42.
Forecast Grade: B.