Tag Archives: Bend

Weather Wayback…. Summer in the desert

This is almost like a self inflicted punishment on myself. We’ve just had our first snow of the season in the Twin Cities, and I am sitting in the wayback machine, looking at Bend, Oregon, from the middle of July. It was scorching hot shortly after the 4th of July, with temperatures skying into the mid 90s on the 5th and 6th of July, which was a hair warmer than all forecasters suggested, but The Weather Channel had narrowly secured victory back on this July steamer.
Actuals: Wednesday – High 96, Low 56
Thursday – High 96, Low 60

Grade: B-D

Bend, Oregon

Happy Independence Day everybody! Hopefully you had an enjoyable extended weekend and got to enjoy some fireworks today. As we ease our way into a short work week, let’s head off to Central Oregon and find out what’s happening in the lee of the Cascades!

At 555pm PDT, the temperature in Bend, OR was 91 degrees under fair skies. A broad upper-ridge is found over the western US with a lingering boundary/low pressure system found over eastern Washington. the boundary is expected to dissipate by tomorrow morning, but essentially a thermal low is going to continue hanging out over eastern sections of WA/OR over the next couple of days as toasty temps in the 90s are anticipated. Very little chance is anticipated in the overall pattern as we push into the weekend, so in the meantime, the conditions in Bend will be hot and quiet.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny and hot. High 92, Low 56.
Thursday: Continued sunny and hot High 93, Low 57.

TWC: Wednesday: Sunny. High 95, Low 58.
Thursday: Sunny. High 94, Low 58.

AW: Wednesday: Mostly sunny and hot. High 93, Low 55.
Thursday: Mostly sunny and hot. High 93, Low 55.

NWS: Wednesday: Sunny. High 93, Low 52.
Thursday: Sunny. High 94, Low 57.

WB: Wednesday: Partly cloudy. High 90, Low 58.
Thursday: Mostly sunny. High 90, Low 58.

WN: Wednesday: Mostly sunny. High 93, Low 52.
Thursday: Mostly sunny. High 93, Low 57.

FIO: Wednesday: Clear throughout the day. High 89, Low 61.
Thursday: Clear throughout the day. High 88, Low 62.

Here we see much of the western US is clear and quiet, just some high wispy clouds over eastern OR. Much of the same is in store for the next couple of days as temperatures remain high.

Turning the Bend

Things seem to have rounded a corner in central Oregon. Turned a Bend, so to speak. The high temperature on Friday was over 60, which is outrageous for February. It was cooler on Saturday, but that wasn’t the big news. The big news was that it didn’t rain Friday OR Saturday, despite the wave moving inland from the Gulf of Alaska. Everyone had a little bit of rain in the forecast, but the dry forecast on Saturday pushed us over the top. Victoria-Weather had the top forecast for Bend.
Actuals: Friday – High 62, Low 33
Saturday – High 50, Low 32

Grade: B-D

Bend, Oregon to Atlantic City, New Jersey

We are reversing our course today, headed from central Oregon to southern New Jersey on another 5 day excursion. The pace will be a little faster this time around, as we intend to roll along at 68.3mph to cover the 2814 miles between the two endpoints. that means our daily goal is 549 miles. Let’s get out of here, shall we?

DAY ONE (Saturday)
The activity induced by an upper level trough coming ashore in the Pacific Northwest will mostly be kept at bay on Saturday, and entirely at bay while we are on the open road. An active mountain snow pattern will set up well to our north and rain will pour down to our west, but driving through the Sun Valley will be pretty ordinary. We’ll make it all the way to far northern Utah before we retire for the night. Snowville, Utah, is where we will rest our heads.

DAY TWO (Sunday)
Overnight, a blob of instability will swing south towards Malta, and will be an issue as we wake up. I think it should be rain, though as we reach higher terrains in northern Utah, it will mix to snow, but then , as we pass through Salt Lake City, we should get a reprieve. It will be pretty snowy in the mountains of Wyoming as well, so places like Laramie Pass could be a mess, but in the valleys, it should be dry. In general, the feature will be weakening, and I suspect it will be fine as we stop at Pine Bluffs on the Nebraska border.

DAY THREE (Monday)
We will have a trio of systems undulating across the country as we start our day on Monday, and our route will place us safely away from all of them. The strongest system generating showers and storms to the Mississippi Valley will be shifting eastward and away from us. Scattered showers over the central Rockies won’t be able to penetrate the dry air of Nebraska, and a Canadian trough over the Canadian Prairies will see its moisture sapped by the southern system. Driving across Nebraska and western Iowa will be great! The day will end in Stuart, west of Des Moines.

DAY FOUR (Tuesday)
A vorticity maximum will join in the wake of this complex of systems across the midwestern US, riding the back edge of the mean trough. It will be on top of us in western Iowa as we begin our day in Stuart. Some heavy snow will be possible through Iowa City. Right now, guidance suggests that thos quickly moving impulse will be sliding just south of us on I-80 through the day on Tuesday, but something this fast moving and small is ephemeral 5 days out. I would say be on the look out for snow showers through the entire day on Tuesday. We’ll make it to Holiday City, Ohio, west of Toledo by the end of the day.

DAY FIVE (Wednesday)
As is usually the case with these little impulses moving towards the Appalachians, it will meet it’s demise in those mountains. Unfortunately, that will mean a few snow showers as we drive through western Pennsylvania, but as we begin our descent towards the coastal Plains, we should enter some dry, though cloudy, air. When we arrive in Atlantic City, expect a pretty nice day, though with a chance for fog and overcast. I guess by pretty nice, I’m deep enough into February for that to simply mean “not snowing”.
Atlantic City

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania to Bend, Oregon

We are crisscrossing the country these next two days. Our journey today takes us westbound on a 5 day, 2752 mile trip. The last day will be a little bit longer than the rest, with those 4 days will cover 537 miles thanks to a pace of 67.1 miles. That’s a long trip, but I think it should be very fun.

DAY ONE (Friday)
A broad upper level trough over the Great Lakes will start to find itself later in the day tomorrow, which is bad news for us. Cold air will already be in place as we leave Philly, and make our way into the Appalachians, but as we begin to reach the western faces of those hills, things are going to start going downhill. Well, I mean, the roads will actually literally be downhill, but also, conditions. You know what I mean. From the Pittsburgh area into Ohio, expect the threat for snow to increase and persist all the way to Toledo. It should be light fluff, so the roads won’t be slick, but visibility may be a bit sketchy. Toledo is indeed our stopping point on Friday night.

DAY TWO (Saturday)
As the upper level trough begins to shift to the east, the backfilling northwest flow will produce some lake effect snow. This will really only be relevant over northern Indiana from about South Bend to LaPorte. The chilly air will continue all the way to Geneseo, near the Quad Cities, but the threat for snow will just about be done for the day by the time we hit Chicago. It won’t be nearly as snowy on Saturday as it was on Friday.

DAY THREE (Sunday)
The next clipper will be moving into the northern Plains, oh, at about the exact same time as we will. There is pretty good consensus that we will see snow as we start our day in Geneseo. Moderate snow showers will be possible through Des Moines, which will definitely keep things slow for the first couple hours of the day. Guidance diverges from there. Let’s just say there is a chance for some snow between Des Moines and Omaha, but it will likely be fairly sparse if we see anything at all. Best of all, this is a warm front. Any snow that falls will be wet and may not last long on the ground if it falls at all. The forecast becomes clearer as we trek across Nebraska, We’ll end up in the mostly cloudy Panhandle, stopping at the tiny backwater of Brownson.

DAY FOUR (Monday)
There will be some mountain snow across Wyoming overnight Sunday into Monday, but it will wither away by the time we hit the road. In fact, through most of the day, we should be free and easy, with a pretty manageable trip into the Rockies. There could be some additional snow in southeastern Iowa, but our route will wrap around it into Malta, free of any of the snow that was so close to us through much of this route.

DAY FIVE (Tuesday)
The last day of the trip might be the best one of them all. A ridge will be setting up over the Pacific Northwest, which means great weather through Idaho and the back roads of Oregon. It will be unseasonably warm, and a great way to end a long trip.

Bend, Oregon

Our forecast today will be in a part of the world that has recently been in the news, though it isn’t often. Let’s go to Bend.

At 715PM, PT, Bend was reporting a temperature of 41 degrees with mostly clear skies. The lee of the Oregon Cascades appeared to be the only place in the Pacific Northwest to see stars tonight, with thick overcast and fog settling into the ridgeline to the west, and a few scattered showers populating the Yakima Valley to the north.
Unlike the dramatically long waved pattern across much of the rest of the country, there is a shorter wave getting ready to landfall in the Pacific Northwest. The low clouds and shower activity were both in conjunction with a weak surface warm front ahead of the stronger system, still over the Gulf of Alaska. Westerly flow will continue to drive moisture into the Cascades for the next two days, even as the surface cyclone wanes. The upper level trough will move inland late tomorrow, and while good orgaization is not likely at the surface, this is the time that the chance for rain in Bend will become likely. The threat will be shortlived, though, as the wave is short enough that quick progression is expected, and after a few showers late on Friday, a ridge will filter back in for Saturday morning.
Tomorrow – Increasing clouds with some late showers, High 59, Low 38
Saturday – Clearing and cooler, High 50, Low 32

TWC: Tomorrow – Intervals of clouds and sunshine, High 55, Low 38
Saturday – A mix of clouds and sun early, then becoming cloudy latter in the day, High 52, Low 33

AW: Tomorrow – Considerable cloudiness and mild with a shower in the area High 55, Low 38
Saturday – Times of clouds and sun High 50, Low 28

NWS: Tomorrow – A 40 percent chance of showers, mainly after 11am. Mostly cloudy, high 55, Low 38
Saturday – Partly sunny (early mix/late rain) High 49, Low 34

WB: Tomorrow – Cloudy with a 50% chance of showers. High 53, Low 37
Saturday – Mostly cloudy a chance of snow showers in the morning, then a slight chance of showers in the afternoon. High 47, Low 33

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly Cloudy with Isolated Showers High 55, Low 37
Saturday – Partly Cloudy with Scattered Showers High 50, Low 34

FIO: Tomorrow – Drizzle in the afternoon. High 57, Low 35
Saturday – Light rain overnight. High 50, Low 32

Interesting to see what the opinions are on the rain in Bend. We’ll see how it plays out, but for now, the only showers are in Washington.

Wardrobe Havoc

Each of the last couple of mornings in Bend, OR it’s been rather chilly, clocking in at the upper 20s. However, by midday, temperatures shot back up into the 60s on Friday, and the mid 70s on Saturday, making for a rather pleasant afternoon both days. Hope you didn’t bundle up TOO much because that would have made for a sweaty afternoon. VW took home the win thanks to being the ONLY forecast that had a high in the 70s on Saturday, and nailed it right on the button!

Friday: High 64, Low 28.
Saturday: High 75, Low 28.
Forecast Grade: B

Bend, Oregon

We’re taking a trip out west today, with a jaunt to central Oregon. How will the weather be in this quiet corner of the country?

At 915AM, PT, Bend was reporting a temperature of 42 degrees with clear skies. Most of the cascades were mired in morning fog and haze, but on the eastern slope, visibilities have been clear all morning.
There is a sharp ridge along the west coast that is allowing the region to remain clear during the afternoon, albeit a little foggy in the morning west of Bend. The amplitude of the wave is indicative of its staying power. Expect sunny skies to continue in Bend for the next two days, with the dense fog staying in the Cascades.
Tomorrow – Sunny, High 68, Low 29
Saturday – Sunny, High 75, Low 30

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny High 64, Low 29
Saturday – Sunny High 68, Low 30

AW: Tomorrow – Plenty of sun High 65, Low 30
Saturday – Mild with plenty of sun High 68, Low 34

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 64, Low 27
Saturday – Sunny, High 66, Low 32

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 64, Low 28
Saturday – Sunny, High 65, Low 30

I like this satellite, because it so perfectly encapsulates the fog situation in the Cascades.

Rain Rain… It Stayed Away

There were some concerns that some early morning showers could threaten the Bend area before clearing out in the afternoon, but turned out to be mostly unfounded. Oddly enough, the precip stayed well on the east side of the mountains and Bend remained high and dry, and sunny all day Saturday. A lovely weekend in Oregon! The Weather Channel took home the title for this forecast.

Friday: High 75, Low 53.
Saturday: High 84, Low 44.
Forecast Grade: B

Bend, Oregon

Inland in Oregon for our forecast this afternoon. Expect some different weather compared to what we would typically expect in, say, Corvallis, on the other side of mountains.

At 255PM, PT, Bend was reporting mostly sunny skies with a brisk southwesterly wind and a temperature of 84 degrees. An area of weak low pressure is moving off the Pacific into the Northwest, and is generating a few showers around the Columbia River gorge.
The system will become more active overnight tonight, with the greatest activity likely coming in Washington. The upper level trough will continue to rotate north into Washington through the next two days, which will mean wet weather there, but a clearing trend for Bend.
Tomorrow – Rain in the morning, High 82, Low 56
Saturday – Becoming sunny, High 87, Low 45

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy High 77, Low 54
Saturday – Sunny High 81, Low 47

AW: Tomorrow – A morning shower or thunderstorm around; otherwise, periods of clouds and sunshine High 79, Low 53
Saturday – Bright and sunny High 83, Low 46

NWS: Tomorrow – A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11am. Mostly cloudy, High 78, Low 57
Saturday – Sunny, High 84, Low 47

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning High 78, Low 57
Saturday – Mostly sunny. HIgh 84, Low 51

Bend is under a flash flood watch, mostly because of the topography of the region, rather than the potential for heavy rain. Satellite shows most of the clouds… east of the Cascades?