Big changes, but more of the same

Our forecast in Allentown oversaw clearing skies and a warmup, with high temperatures from Sunday the 4th climbing 7 degrees to Monday’s high. This coincided with more sunshine, and evacuation of the light showers they had in town. There was one consistency, however, in that The Weather Channel continued their hold on forecasting supremacy that guided them through September.
Actuals: Sunday October 4th, .01 inches of rain, High 61, Low 54
Monday, October 5th, High 68, Low 50

Grade: A

Allentown, Pennsylvania

Eastern Pennsylvania tonight, with a forecast for the Lehigh Valley.

At 1151PM, ET, Allentown was reporting clear skies and a temperature of 52. High pressure dominated New England, however a fairly deep trough over the Great Lakes, producing a weak feature presently centered over the Upper Peninsula. A band of showers over the Mid Atlantic and lifting northward was tied to this feature as well.
The upper level trough in the Great Lakes will continue to track o the east, and tap more effectively into the Gulf Stream,, while taking the traditional comma shape of a large area of low pressure. Cold air won’t really trickle into Allentown until Monday afternoon, when the original cold front arrives. Meanwhile, the moisture will have a tough time getting into the Lehigh VAlley either, rising from the south to meet the broader feature. Still, a chance for showers with overcast Sunday afternoon, and a clearer day on Monday, if trending cooler by nightfall.
Tomorrow – Passing clouds, especially in the afternoon with a sprinkle, High 60, Low 50
Monday – Mostly sunny, High 70, Low 48

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy skies with a few showers later in the day High 61, Low 52
Monday – Some clouds in the morning will give way to mainly sunny skies for the afternoon.  High 68, Low 53

AW: Tomorrow – Cloudy and cooler; occasional rain this afternoon High 61, Low 53
Monday – Mostly sunny and breezy at times; the start of an extended stretch of dry weather High 70, Low 53

NWS: Tomorrow – A chance of showers, mainly after 2pm. Cloudy, High 63, Low 52
Monday – Partly sunny, HIgh 68, Low 52

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the afternoon. High 64, Low 57
Monday – Sunny High 60, Low 44

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with showers, High 63, Low 53
Monday – Mostly sunny, High 68, Low 57

CLI: Tomorrow – Light rain showes, High 61, Low 52
Monday – Sunny High 67, Low 53

Satellite will continue to show a busy pattern in the northeast, but just like to night, it looks like a lot of that activity will steer clear of the Allentown area.

Omega in charge

This month has been quite rainy for the southern US, but for a strip from the north central to the mid-Atlantic, it has been quite dry for a couple of weeks. It all started with an omega block, which we identified with our forecast in Allentown. Allentown remained dry, despite some storms in the area on the 6th of June, and it was quickly followed by the apocalyptic smoke that descended on the region. A little rain on any number of tracts of land between northern Canada and Allentown would have been great, but it was not to be. Victoria-Weather’s forecast sparkled, and the victory was ours.
Actuals: June 5th, High 77, Low 48
June 6th, High 79, Low 52

Grade B-C

Charlotte, North Carolina to Allentown, Pennsylvania

Charlotte and Allentown are definitely Eastern cities, but they have the good fortune of not being along the Coast. This means that our route can take I-81, which is windier, hillier and otherwise more scenic, while also avoiding the traffic of I-95. It will take a day to get from North Carolina to our destination in Pennsylvania, at a pace of 66.4mph.

Charlotte, North Carolina

There are a few clouds streaming across the Coastal Plains as low pressure churns off the coast of New England. The low will drift to Nova Scotia, while breezier and relatively cool air continues to press south. The flow will be coming up an over the Appalachians, so relative to the conditions throughout the rest of Vieginia, expect clearer skies. As we pass west of Baltimore, we will get north of the front, which will shear away the remaining threat of wet weather. Allentown will be delightful and awaits our arrival.

Allentown, Pennsylvania

Allentown, Pennsylvania

I know some people that live in Allentown, and they commute to New York City at times if they need to go in the office. Can you imagine, potentially going through three states in a day just to get to work? We’re only going to be looking at Allentown though, and limit our scope to just the one state.

AT 1051PM, ET, Allentown was reporting clear skies and a temperature of 54 degrees. Clear skies are seen across the region. Allentown is at te eastern flank of an Omega Block across the middle of the country. Low pressure developing on the eastern flank of the features is rising north along the Coast, while a weak cool front off the tail of the system has recently passed Allentown, making life a bit more tolerable after a hot weekend.
As is often the case with blocking patterns, don’t expect much change over the next couple of days. Low pressure will retrograde into Nova Scotia, and the boundary will stall. At varying instances, there may be some additional clouds, and some stronger north breeze. A light shower may crop up on Tuesday.
Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 76, Low 48
Tuesday – Partly cloudy with a chance for light rain, High 80, Low 52

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunshine and clouds mixed. High 78, Low 47
Tuesday – Mostly sunny skies. High 78, Low 53

AW: Tomorrow – Intervals of clouds and sunshine High 77, Low 50
Tuesday – Partly sunny with a brief shower; smoke from distant wildfires can cause hazy skies and poor air quality High 77, Low 55

NWS: Tomorrow – Increasing clouds High 78, Low 48
Tuesday – A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Sunny, High 78, Low 55

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny in the morning, then becoming partly sunny, High 77, Low 48
Tuesday – Mostly sunny. A chance of showers in the afternoon. High 77, Low 53

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 78, Low 49
Tuesday – Partly cloudy with isolated showers and storms, High 79, Low 54

CLI: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 75, Low 46
Tuesday – Light rain showers, High 75, Low 52

It’s pretty warm in the middle of the country, and it was this weekend in Allentown. What a terrific break this weather will be.

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