There were two problems with the verification for Modesto. First, the airport on the south end of town didn’t properly maintain their records. Second, if they had, I’m not sure we would have been terribly successful. Temperatures generally ran much cooler than we had expected in the overnight hours. Maybe they would have been warmer at the proper airport, but I’m not really convinced. The temperatures were just too far off. We can still crown a winner, though, and we will. Accuweather had the top forecast for the day.
Actuals: Wednesday .02 inches of rain, High 69, Low 47
Thursday – .08 inches of rain, High 66, Low 41
See, we’re definitely back! Now we even have the alliterative verification titles and everything. This is certainly a fitting one for Morgantown, where temperatures reached a balmy 65 degrees yesterday, and without any of the rain that had been a potential. The springtime warmth comforted The Weather Channel, especially, as they claimed victory.
Actuals: Wednesday – High 60, Low 23
Thursday – High 65, low 39
I thought we had turned a corner. On the winter, if there is a shadow of a doubt, leave precipitation in the forecast. On the summer, it’s easier to dodge rain drops even if it looks like storms are looming on a given day. Alas, I thought Lafayette was in the clear over this weekend with a short wave trough approaching. I was the only one who felt that way, but I felt really good about it. Of course, you know how this ends. It ends with Lafayette wet. Victoria-Weather could have secured victory if those .06 inches of rain hadn’t fallen, but instead, it was The Weather Channel and WeatherNation who split honors.
Actuals: Saturday, High 53, low 19
Sunday – .06 inches of rain, High 53, low 38
Up until now, we’ve had to rely on our RSS feed to put together out verifications, but the first post back was for Fayetteville, North Carolina. It had been written before The Incident, so it was actually valid for the days before it even posted, but that’s neither here nor there. The forecast, then was for Monday the 11th and Tuesday the 12th. I’m happy to say the weather in North Carolina was fine, because this post has already required quite a bit of explanation. I’ll just conclude by saying that WeatherNation had the win for the first forecast back from oblivion.
Actuals: Monday, the 11th, High 72, Low 54
Tuesday the 12th, High 64, Low 39
The forecast for Oshkosh was easy enough, it was dry both days with not a lot of expected variance. However, Tuesday warmed up exactly 7 degrees for both the low AND high temps, slightly more than most were expecting. Well, the Weather Channel expected it at least, securing a fairly comfortable victory.
Monday: High 39, Low 19.
Tuesday: High 46, Low 26.
Forecast Grade: A-C
In our last forecast before “The Incident” we looked at Riverside, California, which was in the midst of a string of uncharacteristically rainy days as we approached the weekend. Ah, but what an allegory for our site, no? The good news was, things were starting to warm up as the next week began even if there was a little bit of light rain in the area. And now, with the website back up and running, we can see brighter days on the horizon as well! That said, the Weather Service had the top forecast for the day. Oh well.
Sunday March 10th, High 59, Low 46
Monday, March 11th, Rain reported, not measured High 64, Low 41
Thanks to our RSS feed, which apparently doesn’t get purged just because the content of the entire website is obliterated, we still know the contents of our post for Ocean City New Jersey, before the big calamity. The good news for us is that the forecast went very well for us, as Victoria-Weather claimed forecast supremacy, even as we fumbled with our own very existence. A quick wave moved through town and lead to a bit of snow, thanks in large part to temperatures that were cooler than expected…. by everyone but Victoria-Weather.
Actuals: Thursday, March 7th, High 38, Low 12
Friday – .07 inches of precipitation, reported as snow, High 41, Low 19
Grade: C- D