Category Archives: Verification

Muggy in Miami

Ok, so it’s always muggy in Miami, and sometimes when I’m putting together a post I enjoy a little alliteration in the title. Really, the big factor in this verification was the fact that there was a little spritz of rain on Thursday morning, and temperatures were nice and warm during the day, hitting the low 90s on both Thursday and Friday. All of these things combined to give Accuweather the narrow victory. 
Actuals: Thursday – Rain reported, not measured, High 90, Low 79
Friday – High 91, Low 81

Grade: B-C

Boring in Boulder

The forecast for Boulder, CO was pretty boring, and that’s how it panned out. Boring is good though! The isolated storms we figured would stay off to the south did just that and temperatures remained fairly steady as well. Not sure what Darksky was seeing though, they were… significantly behind the pack. Weather Channel and Accuweather tied for the win, just 1 degree ahead of Vic-WX.

Wednesday: High 88, Low 59.
Thursday: High 86, Low 59.
Forecast Grade: A

Weather Wayback… a quick bounceback

Presently in Lake Havasu City, Arizona, it is 97 degrees. It’s shortly below midnight, if that gives you any extra perspective. Back in November, just before Thanksgiving, Lake Havasu was coming off a splash of rain the Friday before, and was very slow to recover. Even the following Monday, it was only 72 degrees for a high on Monday, with temperatures climbing on Tuesday, but even then only into the low 80s. Again, at present, it is 97 degrees, just before midnight currently. Back in the autumn, it was The Weather Channel who had the top forecast in a much more comfortable day. 
Actuals: November 20th: High 72, Low 47
November 21st: High 82, Low 54

Grade: A-C

Many bullets dodged

Tulsa was the forecast we monitored over the weekend, and it was in a white knuckled tussle with thunderstorms. No storms actually hit the airport, but on Saturday, thunderstorms were reported in the vicinity. I didn’t have the heart to mark anyone wrong, for not having precipitation, nor for having thunderstorms in the forecast, because everyone was right. Therefore, it came down to temperatures. Without any activity on Sunday, temperatures spiked again in the low 90s. Only one outlet went that warm, and Forecast.io was able to claim victory as a result
Actuals: Saturday – Thunderstorms in the vicinity, High 93, Low 76
Sunday – High 92, Low 70

Grade: C-D

Perfect August weather

We took a look at the coming weather for Ann Arbor late last week, and it really worked out great for residents of southern Michigan (so too for meteorologists if I’m being honest.) Temperatures were manageable, especially on Friday after a weak cold front sneaked through Thursday night. There was a little bit of precipitation with the passage of the cold front, and temperatures went from the mid to low 80s for highs, while lows dipped to the low 60s. The best news was that meteorologists essentially nailed the forecast. The National Weather Service, who won the day, missed only by 1 degree of error.
Actuals: Thursday .10 inches of rain, High 85, Low 60
Friday – High 82, Low 64

Grade: A=C

Weather Wayback… Aiming to impress

Back in Mid-November last year, Anthony remarked upon his knowing someone that lived in our forecast city, Wheeling, West Virginia. He wanted to make sure that he would give a good impression by nailing this forecast. Close, I guess. It was a challenging forecast all around, so nobody had a perfect forecast, but Forecast.io  came through with the top forecast by going warm on the 16th, but more importantly, staying cool on the 17th. Was Anthony’s friend impressed? Maybe, but this wasn’t necessarily our best shhowing.
Actuals: November 16th – Trace of rain, High 47, Low 36
November 17th, High 44, Low 35

Grade: B-D

Surpassing expectations

A couple of rainy days came and went in the Akron area during the middle of the week. They were the generic kind, not the kind that make news headlines because of their persistence or severity. Just your average, regular old thunderstorms. If there was anything noteworthy, particularly among the meteorology crowd, it was that temperatures still nudged up close to 90 on Tuesday, and were above the forecast highs on Wednesday as well.  Accuweather claimed the top forecast for the day.
Actuals: Tuesday – .17″ of rain in thunderstorms, High 88, Low 70
Wednesday – .01″ of rain, High 86, Low 71

Grade: B-C

Weather Wayback… The end of Hurricane season

Here we sit, approaching the busiest time of year in the Atlantic hurricane season, and we are going to turn back to look at the end of last year’s season on the Atlantic Coast of Florida.  Palm Bay in mid-November was at the tail end of what had been a tortuous Atlantic Season, but they were enjoying extremely pleasant weather, with only a few scattered showers and storms thanks to sea breezes. Not only was the hurricane threat nearly gone, but the weather was downright comfortable, probably for the first time in months on the Florida Peninsula. The top forecaster was Forecast,io.
Actuals: November 14th, .01 inches of rain, High 82, Low 71
November 15th, High 81, Low 69

Grade: C

Big Sky Bake off

As July fell into February, the mountainous Montana metropolis of Missoula was enjoying some mild air thanks in part to the elevation, but also because it opted to enjoy the Praitie’s cool rather than the Pacific Northwest’s intense heat. As everyone knows, though, warm air rises, and Missoula got much hotter as the foecast period progressed, reaching 95 degrees by Wednesday afternoon. There were no thunderstorms to break the heat, despite the wishes of most residents, but to the benefit of Accuweather, who had the top forecast.
Tuesday – High 85, Low 53
Wednesday – High 95, Low 55

Grade: C

Doinked

Thunderstorms were in the forecast for southern Georgia as the week ended last week, as an area of low pressure drifted into the Canadian Maritimes, but they weren’t really expected to be especially heavy, nor particularly long lasting. Well, the storm that came through Valdosta late on Saturday wasn’t necessarily the longest lasting storm, but it definitely was heavy. Valdosta reported over 2 inches of rain, which was definitely not in the plans, even though thunderstorms were. All it takes is one heavy storm to sit right over a rain gauge for a little while, and it completely changes the impression of a day.  The Weather Service and Weather Nation combined their powers to win the forecast.
Actuals: Friday, High 91, Low 72
Saturday 2.15 inches of rain, High 92, Low 70

Grade: B-D