The forecast we put together for Salisbury came in the face of an advancing cold front. It wasn’t expected to do much of anything, thanks to upper level dynamics, but there was a subtle change on Wednesday. The temperature actually went up by a few degrees in the early afternoon on Maryland’s Eastern Shore, thanks to the redirected flow patterns ahead of the boundary. Weatherbug, ironically, was able to secure a victory thanks to a cooler forecast, though this came into play on the forecast low on Wednesday.
Actuals: Tuesday – High 62, Low 29
Wednesday – High 67, Low 36
We will use up the rest of the workweek with this trek. It’s going to take us three full days, including a little extra on that third day, to cover the 1639 miles between orgin and destination for this trip. We are going to be slowed by the big cities, like Chicago, and the Appalachians, but we should still maintain a pace of about 65.6mph, good for a goal of about 524 miles a day. This is a good little trip, and the weather is looking good. Let’s be on our way!
DAY ONE (Wednesday)
High pressurre is sitting right in the middle of the country, keeping things pretty well in control, butt actually, tomorrow, there will be a wave rippling along the international border. Like almost everything this week, though, it will not have access to any moisture, and even if it did, we will remain ahead odd the attendant cold front, which will only reach the western Minnesota border by the end of our drive time. We’ll make it to Eau Claire to finish our day.
DAY TWO (Thursday)
That band area of low pressure scooting through the boundary region will not maintain its structure overnight, however a moisture will begin to fill into the trough, which will be squeezed between two areas of high pressure, one moving towards the east coast and another building in the central Plains. The shower activity will be light, but unlie on Wednesday, will actually outpace us. Expect things to be a little cloudier as we head east, as well as a bit cooler. We’ll stop in Delta, Ohio, just before Toledo.
DAY THREE (Friday)
Friday will be entirely without intrigue, at least in terms of the weather. Sure, we will pass through the rolling peaks of Appalachia, and we will split Baltimore and Washington, so a detour could be fun, but if you want to see anything but tranquility and the sun, then this is not going to be the drive for you. Enjoy the Eastern Shore!
I’ve entered a busy forecast week at the right time. High pressure is locked and loaded in the middle of the country, and I am here to execute what I hope will , Low 32be an easy forecast.
At 1154PM, ET, Salisbury was reporting a temperature of degrees with clear skies. Dew points also happened to be in the mid 30s in the Delmarva, so a bit of ground fog in the morning isn’t entirely out of the question. Otherwise, there are no threats to a tranquil night.
High pressure and an unseasonably high amplitude ridge are in place over the east coast, meaning more clear skies and warm weather tomorrow. A strong area of low pressure will be moving through Hudson Bay towards northern Quebec, which will swing a cold front southeast towards the coast. There will be an undercutting trough moving through the Tennessee Valley and an offshore wave in the Bight of Georgia, both of which will work to rob the boundary approaching the Mid Atlantic of any moisture, and Salisbury will merely experience a change in the wind pattern on Wednesday evening.
Tomorrow – Sunny with some morning fog, High 62, Low 32
Wednesday – Partly cloudy, High 64, Low 44
TWC: Tomorrow – A mainly sunny sky. High 63, Low 33
Wednesday – Sunny High 63, Low 45
AW: Tomorrow – Clear High 61, Low 33
Wednesday – Clear and pleasant High 63, Low 43
NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 61, Low 34
Wednesday – Sunny, High 64, Low 43
WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 61, Low 33
Wednesday – Sunny, High 64, Low 37
WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 61, Low 35
Wednesday – Mostly sunny, High 64, Low 43
FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 62, Low 36
Wednesday – Partly cloudy starting overnight, continuing until morning. High 63, Low 43
On clear, sunny day forecasts, it’s tough to find a lot of wiggle room in forecasts. I think we’re going to be fairly sunny. Take a look at how far away any organized cloud structures are from eastern Maryland.
Off on a really cool road trip. It takes us through the Hampton Roads area, across the Chesapeake Bay Bridge/Tunnel, a 13 mile stretch across the mouth of the Bay that goes underwater for a couple miles at a time so as not to block the shipping lanes to Baltimore or Washington. But what about the weather? Obviously, it won’t really matter when we’re underground, but that means most of our drive will be above water. What then? Well, we’ll ne traveling at a pace of only 58.7mph thanks to some slow bridge travel and some time spent navigating metro areas. At that pace, it will take us almost 7 hours to cover the 394 miles between our loci. Let’s go see some seaside sights.
There is a weak bulb of low pressure rotating through the Great Lakes overnight tonight, and it will bring a bit of a westerly flow to the mid-Atlantic, which will lie well south of any associated precipitation. This should mean a bit warmer air for our drive, but I think we are in the clear for precipitation and cloud cover, really. High pressure is sliding away from the southeast, which might mean some breezy conditions, but that’s as bad as it gets. Enjoy the drive!
Forecasts called for a fairly steady pattern in Salisbury for the last couple of days, with perhaps a slightly better chance of rain on Wednesday. Thankfully, the showers stayed away, allowing for temperatures to creep up a but further into the 90s than expected. The Weather Channel took home the narrow victory due to their comparatively warmer forecast.
Tuesday: High 91, Low 64.
Wednesday: High 93, Low 72.
Forecast Grades: B-C
Sorry about the delay here, but there were some server issues down in Arizona. This was recorded about 6 hours ahead of the post time. On to the forecast digits.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 88, Low 67
Wednesday – Increasing clouds, very isolated showers late, High 90, Low 74
TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 91, Low 66
Wednesday – PM Thunderstorms, High 91, Low 70
AW: Tomorrow – Partly sunny, very warm and humid High 89, Low 66
Wednesday – Humid with sunshine mixing with some clouds High 87, Low 70
NWS: Tomorrow – Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, sunny, High 91, Low 68
Wednesday – A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny High 89, Low 71
WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny. Patchy fog early in the morning High 91, Low 68
Wednesday – Partly sunny. High 89, Low 71
WN: Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny with Patchy Fog High 91, Low 68
Wednesday – Partly Cloudy with Isolated Storms High 90, Low 72
FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy overnight. High 90, Low 67
Wednesday – Light rain until evening. High 90, Low 71
All right, here’s hoping for some good weather and better server capabilities going forward. I should note that the latest GFS had even less moisture in Salisbury than when I recorded the forecast, so I am less confident of rain Wednesday night. Definitely Thursday, though.
There was a cold front approaching the Eastern Shore city of Salisbury early this weekend, and it seemed as though it would be arriving in town overnight Monday into Tuesday morning and then stall through the afternoon. Some people though it might get there as soon as 10pm on Monday. Turns out, it was those people, The Weather Channel and Accuweather, who were right, as a squall hit around 1030, bringing with it a quarter inch of rain and 50mph winds. They didn’t have the best temperature forecasts, but they were good enough that their precipitation forecast put The Weather Channel over the top.
Actuals: Monday – .22 inches of rain, High 95, Low 75
Tuesday – .18 inches of rain, High 90, Low 73
Our second road trip of the day is coming up, and it will cover a two day journey between southern Mississippi and eastern Maryland. The two towns are 1098 miles apart and due in part to some tough navigation along the coast, our pace will be limited to 64.8mph. Still, our first day of travel will cover 518 miles, leaving the leftovers for Wednesday. Let’s take trip number 2 right now!
It continues to be hot and steamy, in the southeastern US, as it tends to be during the summer. The difference is that it will be mostly stable close to the Gulf Coast. A cold front sinking south from the Ohio Valley will eventually destabilize the environment of the region, but most of the thunderstorms will be focused near the front, which will remain north of our route, but ahead of the boundary, there could be some thunderstorms as soon as we reach Gadsden, Alabama, with the isolated activity continuing through the rest of northeast Alabama and southeast Tennessee. We will make it past Knoxville and to Dandridge, Tennessee by the end of the day. It might be raining when we arrive, but more likely, it will be dry when we arrive, with thunder coming later.
DAY TWO (Wednesday)
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible throughout the day along our route on Wednesday, but they will be the most likely along and west of the Appalachians. When we drop into the James River Valley, things will start to taper off a bit. Most of the convective activity will remain south of us as we travel into Maryland and across the Chesapeake to the Eastern Shore. There will definitely be a shot at some rain Wednesday afternoon in northern Virginia, but it won’t be as persistent as it was during our morning drive. Partly to mostly cloudy with a passing shower in Salisbury when we get there.