Florida is both easy and difficult to forecast for. You can say that there is no synoptic scale reason to expect any significant thunderstorm threat, as I did in Deltona, but there is always a myriad of microscale phenomena to latch onto a moist parcel and blow up rogue thunderstorms, which is exactly what happened on Monday. Though the synoptic forcing seemed to want to kick things to the north, or so it seemed, a slow moving thunderstorm parked over Deltona shortly after noon, bringing nearly half an inch of rain, and preventing temperatures from reaching their full potential. Other than that thunderstorm, Victoria-Weather had a perfect forecast. Of course, because of that storm, the NWS and WeatherNation snuck in for victory. Actuals: Monday .41 inches of rain in thunderstorms, High 84, Low 68 Tuesday – Rain reported, not measured, High 88, Low 71
Let’s think about a trip down to the Sunshine State shall we? Mmm, that IS quite nice. If your imagination isn’t there yet, why not enjoy this forecast telling you exactly what the weather looks like?
At 853PM, ET, Deltona was reporting a temperature of 72 degrees. There were light showers being reported near Orlando, but they weren’t perceptible on radar, though there were a few areas that looked suspicious on the water vapor imagery. There was a light onshore flow south of a diminishing front in the northern part of the state. The lingering boundary to the north will continue to diminish as the base of an upper level trough helps with the explosive develop a strong area of low pressure at the surface over Texas. It will collect a massive amount of moisture as the system drives to the northeast. Warm, moist flow will be transported across Florida as the system tracks through the Tennessee Valley. Florida will be dry on Monday, but as the boundary lifts to the northeast, and a cold front moves into Alabama and Georgia, cross flow across Florida will increase, and scattered showers and thunderstorms will become increasingly likely for Deltona on Tuesday evening. Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 87, Low 68 Tuesday – Scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening, High 88, Low 71
TWC: Tomorrow – Intervals of clouds and sunshine in the morning with more clouds for later in the day. High 86, Low 68 Tuesday – Partly cloudy early with thunderstorms becoming likely during the afternoon. High 87, Low 70
AW: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy High 86, Low 68 Tuesday – Times of clouds and sun, a shower or thunderstorm around High 87, Low 70
NWS: Tomorrow – A 20 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, High 87, Low 66 Tuesday – A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, High 88, Low 71
WB: Tomorrow – Considerable cloudiness with a slight chance of showers, High 83, Low 69 Tuesday – Considerable cloudiness with a chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms, High 85, Low 71
WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with isolated showers, High 88, Low 67 Tuesday – Partly cloudy with scattered showers, High 88, Low 71
FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 85, Low 66 Tuesday – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 86, Low 67
Here is a look at the satellite I reference. A couple off pop up clouds near Orlando, even if I can’t see them on radar.
Today’s road trip is really a day trip, as only 370 miles separate Deltona, FL and Augusta, GA. Maybe we’re gonna sneak in a midweek round at fabled Augusta National? Let’s find out what the en route weather will be like!
There looks to be a few morning showers moving in from the Atlantic during the morning hours as we start our trip northward, but they should shift past our route by 9-10am. Sun peaks back out for the midday hours as we continue up the east side of Florida before passing by Jacksonville and into southeastern Georgia. Once we head northwest from Savannah, some early afternoon convection looks to fire, but by the time we get there, it should already be west of our route, so we’ll just be driving behind them as conditions clear out in their wake. Not too bad of a day!
Today we embark on a 1,257-mile, 3-day road trip from nearly coast to coast! The Atlantic Coast to Lake Michigan coast that is. One of my oldest friends lives in Muskegon, so let’s go pay her a visit, shall we??
Okay, I know I was using the Atlantic Coast moniker a bit loosely, with Deltona being found a good 20-miles or so inland from Daytona. But that’s just a quick jaunt to the warm waters of the Gulf Stream! A boundary that’s been lingering over the FL Peninsula is keeping overcast skies around the Deltona area and we can expect some morning fog as we make our way towards Daytona. After that, however, skies should clear up and mostly sunny skies will greet up as we head towards Jacksonville, then head west/north on I-75 and continue into Georgia, with mostly clear skies all the way to Atlanta, our stop for the night.
A strong area of high pressure continues to push down into the Midwest/Ohio Valley, bringing increasing frigid temperatures with it. This is keeping skies mostly clear as well, and today should be more of the same from yesterday. Sunny skies greet us as we push towards Chattanooga and eventually past Nashville before finishing the day in Louisville, much colder than when we started. Put on your party hats, it’s New Years Eve!
Happy New Year! We’re gonna get a late start on the day because, well, hangovers are no fun. Also, the temperature this morning is going to be sub-zero, so lets let things warm up a bit before we head even further north. Mostly sunny skies will start our final leg, but clouds will increase as we head into Lower Michigan and eventually we’ll get caught up in some lake effect snow as north-northwest winds prevail over the region. It’ll be a slower drive throughout the afternoon hours thanks to these bands, but we eventually make it to Muskegon by early evening. Time for more celebrating!
Just a short road trip for us today, about 435 miles over neighboring states. However, it’s going to be ripe with interesting weather. Mother Nature is making sure it’s no picnic of a trip into the Sunshine State!
As we start our day off, the main area of low pressure is shifting through IL towards the Southern Great Lakes. A strong cold front trailing the low has been pushing eastward over the last couple of days and has been pumping copious amounts of moisture out ahead of it. While the front itself won’t make it to our route southward, plenty of showers and thunderstorms will spread over GA throughout the late morning and early afternoon hours. By early afternoon, we’ll have made our way across the FL state line and passing by Jacksonville, so most of the activity by now affecting us will just be some scattered showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm. This will be the case for the remainder of the trip down the east side of the FL Peninsula as we continue into Deltona. The heavier rains and stronger thunderstorms won’t make it down that far until the overnight hours into early Thursday morning, but hopefully we should be asleep as they roll through.