Monroe, Louisiana

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Today’s forecast brings us to northern Louisiana. The weather here tends to be less ‘coastal’ and seems to be more at the mercy of the factors that drive the weather elsewhere in the southern Plains and lower Mississippi Valley.

At 818AM. CT, Monroe was reporting light rain with a temperature of 77 degrees. A large area of showers and thunderstorms lingered over northeast Texas, and extended a narrow tendril of rain through northern Louisiana. This outflow boundary suggested that the overnight convection was dissipating for the time being, but it seemed unlikely that the storm machine would be out of commission very long.
A deep area of low pressure was spinning in western Ontario, draping a long, winterlike cold front through the Plains and into the Red River Valley. The length and orientation of the boundary seemed to indicate that the feature wouldn’t be moving with any urgency. The scattered showers and thunderstorms will be an ongoing threat today into tonight. the front will linger over central Louisiana through the day tomorrow, which might mean some more clouds and spots of rain. The low will shift to the northeast through the period, and this will allow the front to diminish. high pressure will take over for Thursday, and it may be a tick cooler than it’s been lately over the next couple of days.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, with isolated showers, High 86, Low 74
Thursday – Mostly sunny, High 91, Low 70

TWC: Tomorrow – Thunderstorms likely in the morning. Then the chance of scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 89, low 74
Thursday – Sunny skies. High 90, Low 69

AW: Tomorrow – Intervals of clouds and sun, a couple of showers and a thunderstorm High 87, Low 74
Thursday – Partly sunny High 91, Low 68

NWS: Tomorrow – A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy High 90, Low 74
Thursday -Sunny, High 92, low 69

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms, High 88, Low 74
Thursday – Mostly sunny, High 89, low 70

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with scattered storms, high 90, low 74
Thursday – Mostly sunny, High 92, Low 69

FIO: Tomorrow – Light rain tonight and tomorrow morning. High 86, Low 75
Thursday – Clear throughout the day. High 89, Low 70

The radar in Jackson is out, so we will take a look at the big picture. That bowl shaped band of showers moving through the northern parishes of Louisiana is caused by storms to the north beginning to collapse.

Beaumont, Texas

Anthony Dunkel Leave a comment

As we head into the weekend, let’s take a trip to the Gulf Coast and see how the weather is shaping up for Beaumont, TX. Will it be sunny beach weather or will be be scampering for cover?

At 853pm CDT, the temperature at Beaumont, TX was 83 degrees under partly cloudy skies. A frontal boundary looks to sag southward into portions of the Deep South over the next couple of days, but won’t make it anywhere near the Gulf Coast. A typical summertime pattern looks to be in place, with plenty of heat and low-level moisture fueling afternoon thunderstorms in the area. Friday looks to have the better chance of the 2 days in seeing thunderstorms, but Saturday will certainly see it’s share of activity in the vicinity. It doesn’t look like the days will be a washout, but if you’re going out and about, make sure you don’t leave the car windows open.

Friday: Cloudy, scattered storms. High 88, Low 77.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy, continued storm activity. High 88, Low 76.

TWC: Friday: Scattered thunderstorms. High 86, Low 75.
Saturday: Scattered thunderstorms. High 87, Low 75.

AW: Friday: Showers and a heavier tstm. High 84, Low 76.
Saturday: A shower or heavy tstm. High 88, Low 75.

NWS: Friday: Thunderstorms expected. High 87, Low 76.
Saturday: Thunderstorms likely. High 89, Low 75.

WB: Friday: Thunderstorms. High 83, Low 77.
Saturday: Chance of thunderstorms. High 85, Low 76.

WN: Friday: Mostly cloudy with light showers. High 87, Low 76.
Saturday: Partly cloudy with thunderstorms likely. High 89, Low 75.

FIO: Friday: Rain starting in morning, continues into evening. High 85, Low 78.
Saturday: Possible light rain starting in morning. High 87, Low 77.

Scattered shower and thunderstorms have shifted out over the Gulf of Mexico tonight. However, additional thunderstorms are expected to develop during the afternoon hours the next couple of days.

Utica, New York

Anthony Dunkel 1 Comment

Today we’re heading to Central NY and taking a closer look at Utica, NY to start the workweek.

At 1153pm EDT, the temperature at Utica, NY (officially nearby Griffiss AFB) was 68 degrees with a few clouds. The tail end of a cold front is shifting its way through the Northeast, and with it showers and thunderstorms are moving through the Great Lakes. While thunderstorm activity should be winding down by the time activity moves through, there could still be a cell or two that affects the region. Otherwise, general rain showers are anticipated before conditions clear out for the afternoon. High pressure shifts in for Tuesday and brings with it sunnier skies and pleasant conditions!

Monday: Morning rain/possible storm, clearing late. High 83, Low 65.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny. High 81, Low 57.

TWC: Monday: Scattered thunderstorms. High 83, Low 67.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny. High 84, Low 59.

AW: Monday: A shower or tstorm in spots. High 84, Low 68.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny; less humid. High 83, Low 62.

NWS: Monday: Showers then slight chance of storms. High 85, Low 66.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny then slight chance of showers. High 83, Low 61.

WB: Monday: Chance of thunderstorms. High 81, Low 69.
Tuesday: Partly sunny. High 81, Low 59.

WN: Monday: Partly cloudy with light showers. High 86, Low 67.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy with isolated showers. High 85, Low 63.

FIO: Monday: Morning rain then partly cloudy. High 83, Low 67.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy throughout the day. high 85, Low 60.

The Utica area is quiet currently, but storms off to the west will be approaching through the morning hours.

San Antonio, Texas

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Let’s take a look at the southern part of Texas, where it’s going to be extra hot and extra sticky.

At 751PM, San Antonio was reporting a temperature of 94 with a dew point of 70. Clear skies covered eastern and downstate Texas, though the dry line was active on satellite in the western part of the state. Excessive heat advisories continue through the southern Plains, as high pressure has settled into the area.
The anticyclonic flow is going to dissipate over the next 48 hours, with a return flow setting up along the Sabine River but not any further to the west. San Antonio looks to remain dry if uncomfortably warm to begin the workweek.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 99, Low 78
Tuesday – Still hot, High 99, Low 79

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy skies High 99, Low 78
Tuesday – A few clouds from time to time. Continued very hot. High 99, Low 78

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny; very warm High 100, Low 79
Tuesday – Mostly sunny; very warm High 101, Low 78

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny and hot, High 100, Low 79
Tuesday – Mostly sunny and hot, High 100, Low 78

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy in the morning, then clearing. High 98, Low 79
Tuesday – Partly cloudy. High 97, Low 78

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 100, Low 79
Tuesday – Partly cloudy, High 100, Low 78

FIO: Tomorrow – Humid and partly cloudy throughout the day. High 98, Low 79
Tuesday – Humid and partly cloudy throughout the day. High 99, Low 78

Here is the satellite, with some puffs developing in west Texas.

Birmingham, Alabama

Anthony Dunkel 1 Comment

As we look forward to the weekend, let’s head to the Deep South and see how the historic city of Birmingham will fare!

At 953pm CDT, the temperature at Birmingham, AL was 80 degrees under fair skies. It’s been nothing short of ridiculously hot over the Southeast this past week as I mentioned a few days ago, and it doesn’t look like it’s gonna go anywhere soon. A strong ridge of high pressure is continuing to sit over the Deep South and will park itself there for another couple of days yet. It will break down a bit on Sunday and a chance of thunderstorms will re-enter the forecast. But until then, it’ll be dry but scorching hot!

Friday: Sunny and hot. High 95, Low 71.
Saturday: Sunny and even hotter. High 96, Low 69.

TWC: Friday: Sunny. High 96, Low 70.
Saturday: Sunny. High 98, Low 70.

AW: Friday: Mostly sunny. High 96, Low 70.
Saturday: Mostly sunny; hot. High 98, Low 68.

NWS: Friday: Sunny. High 98, Low 70.
Saturday: Hot. High 100, Low 71.

WB: Friday: Sunny. High 95, Low 71.
Saturday: Sunny. High 97, Low 70.

WN: Friday: Sunny. High 98, Low 70.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 100, Low 71.

FIO: Friday: Clear throughout the day. High 95, Low 70.
Saturday: Clear throughout the day. High 97, Low 69.

The Deep South is extremely quiet tonight, and looks to remain that way as we head into the weekend. Just don’t look at that cluster of severe thunderstorms in MO/NE. Nothing to see here folks!

Morgantown, West Virginia

Anthony Dunkel Leave a comment

As we head into the latter part of the workweek, lets head off to Appalachia and see what Morgantown is up to the next couple of days!

At 1153pm EDT, the temperature at Morgantown, WV was 70 degrees under fair skies. A weak area of low pressure is traversing the OH Valley region and looks to be the instigator of some afternoon thunderstorm activity. Nothing particularly severe is anticipated, just some good ol’ fashioned summertime thunderstorms. Activity should dwindle down late evening as the system pushes off to the east. Friday looks to be on the dry side with perhaps some isolated shower activity staying up in the mountains to the east.

Thursday: Increasing clouds in afternoon, scattered thunderstorms possible. High 84, Low 64.
Friday: Decreasing clouds in afternoon. High 84, Low 66.

TWC: Thursday: Afternoon thunderstorms. High 85, Low 64.
Friday: Partly cloudy. High 84, Low 64.

AW: Thursday: A strong afternoon thunderstorm. High 85, Low 66.
Friday: Periods of sun. High 86, Low 67.

NWS: Thursday: Scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms. High 86, Low 65.
Friday: Isolated early morning shower, otherwise mostly sunny. High 87, Low 65.

WB: Thursday: Chance of thunderstorms. High 83, Low 64.
Friday: Partly cloudy. High 84, Low 65.

WN: Thursday: Partly cloudy with scattered showers. High 86, Low 65.
Friday: Partly cloudy. High 87, Low 65.

FIO: Thursday: Partly cloudy, few showers. High 86, Low 62.
Friday: Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 87, Low 66.

Quiet conditions are found around Morgantown this evening, with some shower activity found over southern OH. We can expected some more activity tomorrow but then taper down for the weekend.

Sweltering in the South

Anthony Dunkel Leave a comment

We’re deep into the dog days of Summer now, as families are enjoying the last couple of weeks of Summer Vacation before they have to worry about kids going back to school. As expected, conditions are hot and humid across the South, but lately it’s been kicked up a notch above even where locals are accustomed too.

Houston has hit 101 degrees for a third day in a row now, the first time they’ve done that since 2015 when they went 102 102 106 (yikes!). Combined with that has been dew points approaching 80, cranking up the heat index around the metro to 115-120 degrees. Doesn’t look like much relief is on the way either in the coming days.

Pensacola hit 97 yesterday, breaking a high temperature record for the 2nd day in a row. On top of that, potent afternoon thunderstorms then parked overhead dumping over 3.5 inches of rain on the city, also a record for the day. Like Houston, these sweltering conditions are expected to persist for the next couple of days with heat index readings around 110.

Luckily, the residents along the Gulf Coast don’t have to worry about any tropical systems developing over the next several days as the Atlantic Basin is in a pretty quiet pattern right now. However, the intense heat and almost unbearable humidity doesn’t look to relent anytime soon. Stay indoors and cool if you can!

Rochester, Minnesota

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

We are going to sneak close to home tonight, going down to Rochester, the home of the Mayo Clinic.

At 1254AM, CT, Rochester was reporting a temperature of 67 degrees with fair skies. Low pressure moving through northern Manitoba is inducing a lot of low level moisture northward, and dewpoints across the region were high. Fog is likely to settle in in low lying areas overnight, particularly given the clear skies.
Between the low in Manitoba and the remnants of a system in northern Quebec, there has been a rise in instability in the Upper Midwest, with scattered showers through Wisconsin on Saturday. The Manitoban low will bring some drier air into northern Minnesota on Sunday, and continue through the southern part of the state on Monday. As a result, shower and storm activity will become more voluminous, and depending on the available energy, there is a chance for some severe weather in the Rochester area on Monday.
Tomorrow – Isolated showers and thunderstorms, High 85, Low 64
Monday – Scattered showers and thunderstorms, High 82, Low 66

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny, along with a few afternoon clouds. High 85, Low 65
Monday – Mixed clouds and sun with scattered thunderstorms. Storms may contain strong gusty winds. High 81, Low 68

AW: Tomorrow – Partial sunshine; humid High 84, Low 65
Monday – A strong afternoon thunderstorm; storms can bring flooding downpours, large hail and damaging winds High 82, Low 67

NWS: Tomorrow – Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, mostly sunny High 85, Low 63
Monday – Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 1pm. Partly sunny, High 85, Low 66

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, patchy fog in the morning, High 84, Low 65
Monday – Numerous showers and thunderstorms, high 82, Low 68

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy High 85, Low 63
Monday – Partly cloudy with numerous thunderstorms, High 85, Low 66

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 85, Low 65
Monday -Rain in the afternoon and evening. High 83, Low 69

The timing everyone has for precipitation is all different. Several outlets have rain starting shortly after midnight on Monday, while others don’t have it until the evening. Meanwhile, we have a chance on Sunday. Here is a loop of the day’s satellite imagery, showing the thunderstorms moving through Wisconsin, and fog developing up by Duluth.

Pocatello, Idaho

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Something about Pocatello always seemed interesting to me. If I’m being honest, I think I just like the way the name sounds.

At 127PM, MT, Pocatello was reporting a temperature of 83 degrees with a brisk wind from the northeast, right down the Snake River Valley. There is a general area of showers in the higher terrain east of Idaho Falls contributing to the brisk winds, and any lightning that results from these showers will be particularly dangerous, as the region is tinder dry.
A weak ridge over the Rockies is no match for the monsoon, which will continue to bring showers and storms to the Tetons, particularly in the afternoon for the next two days. Showers and storms aren’t likely to settle down into Pocatello, but similar to today, wind is likely to rush in and the fire threat probably won’t abate.
Tomorrow – Partly cloudy and hot, High 95, Low 53
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy, High 96, Low 57

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunshine along with some cloudy intervals. High 94, low 57
Wednesday – A mix of clouds and sun early, then becoming cloudy later in the day. High 91, Low 61

AW: Tomorrow – Partly sunny; hot High 95, Low 58
Wednesday – Rather cloudy High 92, Low 59

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 93, low 61
Wednesday – Partly sunny, High 91, Low 61

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 89, Low 57
Wednesday – Mostly sunny, High 88, Low 57

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 93, Low 60
Wednesday – Partly cloudy, High 91, Low 63

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 94, low 59
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 93, Low 62

Look at that range in high temperature forecasts! For a forecast with no rain involved, we can brand this as E for exciting. Here is a look at the radar, with those storms over the Tetons.


Sumter, South Carolina

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Sumter is sort of an in between town. It’s not a coastal town, but it’s not very far inland either. What is the leading factor in the weather in Sumter? I reckon’ we’re about to find out.

At 1055AM, ET, Sumter was reporting a temperature of 81 degrees with sunny skies. After a muggy weekend, an unseasonably strong cold front has swept unpleasantness off the coast, and high pressure has built into the Carolinas.
The remnant boundary will lay astride of the coast, and within the convective remainder, a tropical wave will become involved and briefly intensify before pulling the dry continental air further into South Carolina, and the showers and storms at sea further into the Sargasso. All the while, Sumter looks to enjoy a whole lot of sunshine.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 89, Low 65
Saturday – Hot but clear, High 90, low 64

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunshine and clouds mixed. High 88, low 66
Saturday – Plentiful sunshine High 89, Low 65

AW: Tomorrow – Intervals of clouds and sunshine High 87, Low 66
Saturday – Mostly sunny High 89, Low 65

NWS: Tomorrow – Partly sunny High 88, Low 67
Saturday – Mostly sunny, High 89, low 65

WB: Tomorrow – Partly sunny High 87, Low 68
Saturday – Mostly sunny, High 87, low 67

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy High 88, Low 67
Saturday – Mostly sunny, High 89, low 65

FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 88, Low 69
Saturday – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 89, Low 67

All told, especially after this past week, that’s not really a bad outlook for South Carolina. Here is a look at the western Atlantic satellite, showing the instability off shore.