Jacksonville, Florida

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

We have trekked out to Washington quite a bit recently (including a forecast for Yakima that didn’t quite get published until I noticed it hadn’t gone out right now) but now, we will be going exactly to the opposite side of the country.

At 1156PM, ET, Jacksonville was reporting a temperature of 63 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. This is likely a bit of an aberration, as most sites across the region are cloud free, and the satellite imagery shows most of the sunshine state enjoying some moonshine tonight. The remnants of a boundary over the southeast lingers from Georgia to Mississippi in the form of some high clouds, though that is all that threatens tonight.
High pressure centered northeast of the Bahamas will ensure Jacksonville will stay dry and mostly sunny on Tuesday. There is a weak low level disturbance over the Mississippi Delta that will continue to unravel as it shifts to the east, but Wednesday is going to look a little bit bleaker with a few more clouds and an isolated shot at a shower or thunderstorm.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 85, Low 59
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy with a spot of rain, High 83, Low 67

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy skies. High 87, Low 63
Wednesday – Partly cloudy with afternoon showers or thunderstorms. High 86, Low 67

AW: Tomorrow – Times of clouds and sun High 85, Low 64
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy and very warm; a thunderstorm in spots in the afternoon High 86, Low 64

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny High 86, Low 62
Wednesday – A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, High 88, Low 66

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny in the morning then becoming partly cloudy, High 85, Low 64
Wednesday – Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the morning then chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon, High 84, Low 68

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 86, Low 62
Wednesday – Partly cloudy with scattered showers, High 88, Low 66

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 86, Low 61
Wednesday – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 87, Low 67

Here is the satellite graphic for the evening. Just a few clouds to the north, while Jacksonville can settle in for the night with no problems.

Yakima, Washington

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

We’re taking another trip to Washington, this time to the south central part of the state. This could be a tough forecast, thanks to the position between some mountain ranges, an at the western reaches of our observation network. How will this go?

AT 1153AM, PT, Yakima was reporting a temperature of 53 degrees with overcast skies. A shark trough was stretching through the western US, with an area of low pressure centered off the coast of Eureka, California, but everywhere through the Pacific Northwest and the northern Rockies was congested with clouds and the threat of mountain snow and rain.
The center of low pressure at the surface will sink further south, while the upper level trough will attempt to pivot east. High pressure will nose into western Washington and attempt to cut the low off over the central California Coast. This will bring some warmer, sunnier conditions to Washington, however there is certainly a chance for some lingering fog in the Yakima Valley, particularly in the mornings.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny by afternoon, some fog in the morning, High 64, Low 35
Tuesday – Sunny, High 66, Low 38

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy skies. High 68, Low 32
Tuesday – Partly cloudy skies.High 69, Low 37

AW: Tomorrow – Partly sunny High 67, Low 31
Tuesday – Mostly sunny and nice High 69, Low 34

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny,  High 64, Low 34
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, High 65, Low 34

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy in the morning, then clearing, High 66, Low 32
Tuesday – Partly cloudy, High 68, Low 37

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 64, Low 34
Tuesday – Partly cloudy, High 65, Low 34

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 67, Low 32
Tuesday – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 70, Low 35

Here is a look at the western US and the satellite. There is so much cloud cover it’s tough to discern the map.

Yuma, Arizona

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Good morning. We’ve made it to the weekend, even if our days at home don’t make it feel that way. We’re taking a look at Yuma today, one of the oldest cities in Arizona.

At 657AM, PT, Yuma was reporting clear skies and a temperature of 58 degrees. The temperature was cool, but the real surprise was the dew points that were in the upper 40s, surprisingly moist for Yuma under high pressure.
A surface ridge will remain in place, but the lingering moisture in the area should keep temperatures from being unbearable. Upper level troughing is digging in from the north Pacific, with a late season area of low pressure headed towards northern California, which may work to bring in a little bit more of that latent moisture into Yuma by Sunday.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 85, Low 59
Sunday – A few clouds and a couple degrees cooler, High 83, Low 60

TWC: Tomorrow – Dunny, High 84, Low 56
Sunday – Sunny, High 81, Low 58

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 83, Low 53
Sunday – Plenty of sun, high 81, Low 54

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny High 84, Low 56
Sunday – Sunny High 83, Low 57

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny High 82, Low 53
Sunday – Sunny High 79, Low 54

WN: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 84, Low 56
Sunday – Mostly sunny, High 83, Low 57

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 86, Low 54
Sunday – Clear throughout the day. High 81, Low 54

Sounds pretty nice as I get to experience an April icing event here at the home office. Check out the satellite, which shows that the moisture I was talking about isn’t leading to any clouds.

Victoria, Texas

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

This seems to always be a little confusing. I’m putting together a forecast for Victoria, Texas, and I’m happy to do so, but this site is named after my home town, which is in Minnesota, and we forecast for a lot of places, everywhere in the country, and not just Victorias. OK? All right, let’s forecast.

At 1151AM, CT, Victoria was reporting a temperature of 74 degrees with clear skies. A cold front lay off shore, extended from a line of severe thunderstorms in Mississippi and Alabama, and brisk north winds blew through the Gulf Coast. Upper level troughs were trailing meekly behind, bringing some bands of clouds to the Red River Valley, though Victoria looked good.
A shallow ridge will bring about pleasant and quiet weather tomorrow. A trough racing out of the Rockies will be undercut by an increasingly laminar jet over the southern US. While the through will parent a decent pressure fall, it will be robbed of moisture by the flow to the south. There should be just enough moisture entrainment across the Gulf, however, to lead to low clouds and fog in Victoria on Thursday.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 77, Low 52
Thursday – Overcast with fog at times, High 79, Low 60

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunshine and clouds mixed. High 79, Low 55
Thursday – Variable clouds with thunderstorms, especially in the afternoon High 80, Low 64

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 79, Low 54
Thursday – Cloudy with a shower or thunderstorm in the area High 77, Low 63

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 77, Low 53
Thursday – A 30 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, High 80, Low 63

WB: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 77, Low 56
Thursday – Mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers. High 78, Low 64

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 77, Low 53
Thursday – Mostly cloudy with scattered showers, High 80, Low 63

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 76, Low 50
Thursday – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 76, Low 60

I think these qualify as good days on the Gulf Coast. It’s not too chilly for locals, and it’s not too hot for guests. Check out he local satellite imagery, with a band of clouds that isn’t nearly as threatening as it appears.

Anderson, Indiana

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Indiana was among the states in the firing line for strong thunderstorms last night. There were a few spots of severe weather damage, but mostly, it was a wake up call for the beginning of the severe season.

At 153ET, Anderson was seeing a temperature of 55 degrees with overcast skies. A large area of low pressure moving through the Great Lakes, and is now heavily occluded after bringing some widespread severe weather to the Mississippi and Ohio Valleys last night. The southern edge of the shield of clouds over the center of circulation stretched over central Indiana, leading to the overcast in the region, and depressing temperatures in northern Indiana.
The jet is mostly laminar, which means there will be a slow transition from feature to feature. Don’t be surprised if it takes a while for the clouds to fully pull out of town. Fortunately, the slow pace of translation of surface features also means that the next round of wet weather will take it’s time reaching town as well, and Tuesday should provide for a calm, mostly cloudy day, though more cool air will filter in.
Tomorrow – Cloudy, High 53, Low 40
Tuesday – A little more sun, but cooler, High 46, Low 34

TWC: Tomorrow – A mix of clouds and sun in the morning followed by cloudy skies during the afternoon. High 47, Low 39
Tuesday – Cloudy skies High 42, Low 32

AW: Tomorrow – Breezy in the morning; otherwise, periods of clouds and sun High 49, Low 40
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy and chilly High 43, Low 32

NWS: Tomorrow – Partly sunny, High 50, Low 41
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy High 45, Low 34

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy until midday then becoming partly cloudy, High 46, Low 38
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy, a 20% chance of rain showers in the afternoon High 40, Low 35

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 50. Low 43
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy, High 45, Low 34

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 51, Low 40
Tuesday – Overcast throughout the day. High 47, Low 31

Weatherbug with what can only be described as a rogue forecast on Tuesday. Looking pretty similar across the board otherwise. The low on Monday may be low standard when all is said and done. Here is satellite, showing a big disc of clouds.

Bremerton, Washington

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

The world seems to be hunkered down thanks to the insidious Coronavirus. One of the first hot spots was the Seattle area, but in Washington State, at least, the spread has been predominantly confined to the Seattle area. Bremerton, which is just across Puget Sound from Seattle, and Kilsap County have only reported 20 positive tests, opposed to the hundreds across the Sound. With all this going on, meteorologists still need to be aware of the weather, and share that information with you. So lets get to it then, shall we?

At 1019AM, PT, Bremerton was reporting a temperature of 45 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. An already landed area of low pressure is moving southeast from British Columbia, bringing the overcast from Georgia Strait into Puget Sound, while also introducing some snow to the Cascades and Olympic Mountains. The surface low will deteriorate as it presses further into Washington, and the sharp angled upper trough will deepen to the southwest, ensuring cooler conditions and more overcast, at least through the day tomorrow.
The jet over the center of the country will strengthen and lead t development well to the east of Washington State, but the trough aloft will encourage the sinking air aloft, and the Puget Sound will remain socked in with low clouds, fog and some light drizzle through Wednesday.
Tomorrow – Some light rain, otherwise overcast, High 50, Low 36
Wednesday – Overcast with some fog and a bit of light rain, High 50, Low 33

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy with occasional rain showers.High 48, Low 36
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy in the morning then periods of showers later in the day. High 50, Low 33

AW: Tomorrow – Cloudy and cool with a couple of showers High 50, Low 37
Wednesday – More clouds than sun with a shower in places in the afternoon High 51, Low 34

NWS: Tomorrow – Showers likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. High 48, Low 39
Wednesday –   A 40 percent chance of showers, mainly after noon. Partly sunny, High 51, Low 37

WB: Tomorrow – Rain showers likely in the morning, then rain showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Rainfall amounts a tenth to a quarter of an inch possible, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms, High 47, Low 36
Wednesday – Partly sunny. Patchy fog in the morning. A slight chance of rain showers in the morning then a chance of rain showers in the afternoon, High 48, Low 34

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with light showers, High 48, Low 39
Wednesday – Partly cloudy with scattered showers, High 51, Low 37

FIO: Tomorrow – Possible light rain throughout the day. High 48, Low 35
Wednesday – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 48, Low 33

A look at the radar shows some showers scooting north of the Olympic Peninsula, but louder returns in the Cascades. Another lovely day for the Puget Sound.

Feature Forecaster: Kelly Greene

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Before the entire planet went bananas, I had reached out to Kelly Greene, a meteorologist at WTHR in Indianapolis about putting together a feature forecast for Columbus, Indiana. She agreed to do so, but was about to take a vacation. and then came back, and despite everything, remembered our conversation. Truly impressive during these incredible times. It’s quite flattering! That’s enough out of me, the rest is all from Kelly.

A strong storm system moved over south central Indiana late day Thursday and Friday.  Heavy rain in excess of 2″ to 3″ fell, with Columbus receiving close to 2″ of rain.  Rivers will rise this weekend, including the Flatrock River and the East Fork White River in Columbus.  Only minor flooding is expected.  
A cold front will bring in much colder air for the weekend, making it feel more like winter instead of the first weekend of spring!  Temperatures will fall behind the front, eventually bottoming out into the upper 20s Saturday morning.  Skies will be partly sunny by Saturday afternoon and the winds will relax.  Afternoon highs will only climb into the low 40s Saturday afternoon, running more than 10 degrees below average.  
Sunday will be a bit warmer with increasing clouds.  Temperatures will start off near 30° in the morning and will rebound into the mid 40s by afternoon.  The next system arrives by mid afternoon, bringing more scattered showers Sunday afternoon into Monday morning.
Spring-like temperatures return for the rest of the week.


Kelly Greene is a meteorologist at WTHR in Indianapolis and lives in Fishers, Indiana with her husband.  Kelly actually lived in Columbus many years ago, and experienced many floods during that time.  Kelly enjoys golf and travel and looks forward to being able to play 18 holes again soon.  

Kelly can be found on social media at the following addresses

Facebook: @kellygreeneweather
Instagram: @Kellygreenewthr
Twitter: @kellygreenewthr

Lebanon, Pennsylvania

Ryan Henning Leave a comment

Well, this has certainly been an interesting week. The weather continues apace, regardless of the virus that is gripping society. Let’s check out southeastern PA.

At 856PM, ET, Lebanon was reporting a temperature of 47 degrees with overcast skies. There was overcast across the region with light return showing up on radar across central Pennsylvania, though there weren’t any precipitation reports from reporting stations east of Pittsburgh.
The band of precipitation is the tail front attached to low pressure moving through Hudson Bay. A shallow jet trough covers northeastern Canada, and is sort of the second step of a two step jet stream. Ultimately, there is a ridge over the eastern part of the country, which is helping to mitigate the threat of precipitation, but will also allow some clearing tomorrow afternoon. The lower step of the jet is going to continue to translate eastward and with it, the next round of wet weather. A warm front, laden with fairly heavy rain and potentially an isolated thunderstorm will arrive late in the evening on Wednesday.
Tomorrow – A little bit of early rain, High 55, Low 43
Wednesday – Mostly sunny with increasing clouds and a late shower or thunderstorm, High 55, Low 35

TWC: Tomorrow – Rain showers early with overcast skies later in the day. High 57, Low 38
Wednesday – Partly cloudy skies in the morning will give way to cloudy skies during the afternoon (late rain). High 57, Low 32

AW: Tomorrow – A passing shower or two in the morning; otherwise, clouds giving way to some sun High 57, Low 31
Wednesday – Increasing clouds (late rain) High 57, Low 31

NWS: Tomorrow – A chance of light rain, mainly before 10am. Cloudy High 57, Low 3-
Wednesday – Sunny (late rain), High 56, Low 33

WB: Tomorrow – Cloudy, a chance of light rain in the morning, High 57, Low 40
Wednesday – Sunny (Late rain), High 56, Low 35

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with scattered showers, High 57, Low 40
Wednesday – Mostly sunny, High 56, Low 33

FIO: Tomorrow – Possible drizzle in the morning. High 57, Low 38
Wednesday – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 58, Low 31

It looks like we are visiting Lebanon right between two bouts of rain. What timing! Maybe things are looking up.

Tucson, Arizona

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Let’s see what’s going on down in Arizona tonight. Anything? Anything at all?

At 853PM, PT, Tucson was reporting a temperature of 68 degrees with clear skies. The western US is much more active than usual, with a broad, strong trough angled into the west coast. The exit arm of the trough extends just to the southeast of Tucson, and some mid to high clouds shouldn’t be ruled out tomorrow.
Low pressure will consolidate on the Colorado/New Mexico border through the day tomorrow, with precipitation becoming more widespread in southern New Mexico and the terrain east of Tucson. This feature will shift into the Plains, but the southwest will broadly be within a trough. Low pressure will develop over the Pacific west of the Baja, and the skies over Tucson will be a little bit more congested than usual to start the week.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 69, Low 52
Monday – Mostly cloudy, High 74, Low 50

TWC: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy skies with a few showers after midnight. High 67, Low 55
Monday – Except for a few afternoon clouds, mainly sunny. High 75, Low 48

AW: Tomorrow – A shower or thunderstorm in the area in the morning; otherwise, rather cloudy and cooler High 68, Low 55
Monday – Partly sunny and warmer High 76, Low 47

NWS: Tomorrow – Scattered showers, mainly before 11am. Partly sunny, High 71, Low 54
Monday – Sunny, High 77, Low 45

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with scattered showers in the morning then partly cloudy with isolated showers in the afternoon, High 66, Low 59
Monday – Mostly sunny, High 73, Low 49

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with scattered showers, High 71, Low 54
Monday – Mostly sunny, High 77, Low 45

FIO: Tomorrow – Possible drizzle in the morning. High 71, Low 46
Monday – Overcast throughout the day. High 74, Low 60

I sure could end up with egg on my face if (and probably when, knowing my luck) it rains in Tucson on Sunday. Check out the satellite, with heavier clouds just to the southeast of town.

Killeen, Texas

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

We’re just following election states around, I guess. Well, this time, we are off to Texas, which votes tomorrow as part of Super Tuesday. I’m sure that regardless of who they support, Texans are all going to vote for good weather.

At 958PM, CT, Killeen was reporting a temperature of 67 degrees with fair skies. There was some light rain in the area, south of Killeen. It’s not particularly heavy, and most of it is certainly not reaching the ground, however there were a few drips being reported in Junction and Marble Falls. That ground truth means it would be imprudent to take rain out of the overnight forecast in Killeen.
A complicated system in the eastern US is born of a jet with a split tail, merging over Indiana, with a weak cold front sweeping through Texas. The southern end of the front is troughing dramatically in the Desert Southwest, and as it translates to the east, cyclogenesis will be swift. The feature will move into Texas by tomorrow evening, with an active warm front arriving in town late in the evening. The low itself will arrive in the early morning on Wednesday, with heavy rain and some embedded thunderstorms starting around sunrise and lasting at least through the early afternoon, with light to moderate rain coming on the back end of the system and lasting through the afternoon and evening.
Tomorrow – Clouds and light rain arriving late, High 76, Low 62
Wednesday – Rain and thunderstorms through the day, High 64, Low 50

TWC: Tomorrow – Overcast. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible High 76, Low 61
Wednesday – Rain likely. Potential for heavy rainfall. High 62, Low 51

AW: Tomorrow – Cloudy and not as warm with a brief shower or two High 70, Low 59
Wednesday – Cooler; heavy rain and a thunderstorm in the morning, then a little rain; watch for flash flooding High 59, Low 48

NWS: Tomorrow – A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly after noon. High 72, Low 59
Wednesday – Showers and possibly a thunderstorm High 60, Low 50

WB: Tomorrow – Cloudy. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. High 75, Low 60
Wednesday, – Showers. A chance of thunderstorms in the morning. Then a slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 64, Low 50

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with showers likely, High 72, Low 59
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy iwth showers, High 60, Low 55

FIO: Tomorrow – Overcast throughout the day. High 76, Low 61
Wednesday – Rain until evening.High 65, Low 49

If I had a vote, I would vote both against Weatherbug and my blogging software, because goodness, if they weren’t fickle tonight. Here is the radar, with that drizzle moving through central Texas.