Huntsville, Alabama

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

It’s the very end of August, and instead of enduring the heat, many residents of Huntsville – Rocket City, for it’s close ties to the Space Program – are probably indoors following the launch of the Artemis rocket, which was scrubbed yesterday, but will hopefully be launched when weather improves. Speaking of weather, what IS going to happen in Huntsville?

At 1253PM, CT, Huntsville was reporting a temperature of 82 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. Huntsville was one of the rare spots seeing clouds, but high pressure was building throughout the rest of northern Alabama, a rarity this time of year. A line of thunderstorms through central Alabama precedes the south-building ridge, and is allowing Huntsville to enjoy relatively low humidity.
The ridge is going to remain stout in the southeast, and keep Huntsville dry through the middle of the week. The cold front bringing thunderstorms south of Huntsville presently is going to weaken as it hits the Gulf Coast and become more permeable. Expect humidity to start building back into the region throughout the forecast period.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 92, Low 66
Thursday – Partly cloudy, High 92, Low 63

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny high 91, Low 68
Thursday – Sunny, along with a few afternoon clouds. High 92, Low 62

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny and less humid High 92, Low 67
Thursday – Plenty of sun High 94, Low 62

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 89, Low 68
Thursday – Sunny, High 91, Low 64

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 89, Low 69
Thursday – Mostly sunny, High 90, Low 63

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 89, Low 67
Thursday – Mostly sunny, High 91, Low 61

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 88, Low 67
Thursday – Clear throughout the day. High 89, Low 60

This is a downright delightful forecast for Huntsville. Dew points in the 60s! Here is a pretty steady line of storms off to the south right now.

Benton Harbor, Michigan

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

The metropolitan area is actually Niles-Benton Harbor on most documents, but the airport is at Benton Harbor. How do I title these posts? This is a about as much anxiety as I can get for these forecast post titles.

At 853PM, ET, Benton Harbor was reporting a temperature of 67 degrees with overcast skies. Despite high pressure centered over the Great Lakes, a swath of low level clouds was evident on satellite, stretching from Minnesota to western Pennsylvania. The jet runs directly over the top this shield of low level moisture, and the combination of features suggests the clouds are going to stick for a little while.
The jet itself is ridging across the Great Lakes, and the surface map is representing this rather curiously. A surface low is staking a spot in the middle of the country, while the ridge in western Ontario is not motivated to move either. With the jet not expected to move measurably, the southwest flank of the ridge will erode, and the stability of the region will break down. Clouds will continue in the area, but particularly on Tuesday, some scattered showers are expected to mix in with them.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy to overcast, High 75, Low 60
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy, a spot of light rain possible, High 77, Low 61

TWC: Tomorrow – Except for a few afternoon clouds, mainly sunny. High 78, Low 58
Tuesday – Intervals of clouds and sunshine. High 82, Low 60

AW: Tomorrow – Humid with times of clouds and sun High 77, Low 59
Tuesday – Pleasant with times of clouds and sun High 80, Low 59

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 77, Low 61
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, High 79, Low 59

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny in the morning becoming partly cloudy, High 76, Low 60
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, High 79, Low 61

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 74, Low 62
Tuesday – Partly cloudy, High 78, Low 60

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 81, Low 65
Tuesday – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 82, Low 64

I know the clouds in Minnesota have really stymied temperatures, much more than forecast for the last couple of days. I’m surprised there is as much optimism as there is for Benton Harbor, further down stream.

Winston-Salem, North Carolina

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

This is a very exciting day for me in the forecast realm. Not very often we get to include a hyphen in the forecast city name!

At 954AM, ET, Winston-Salem was reporting clear skies with a temperature of 81 degrees. Clear skies were the boss, but dew points in the low 70s pointed to uncomfortable conditions and the potential for a few clouds today. Some low level convergence suggested a lee trough just to the west of the airport, and the threat for some afternoon showers and storms today, though high pressure dominated the broader map in the Carolinas.
This lee trough is going to be the primary factor over the next couple of days. There is colder, dryer air on the other side of the Appalachians, but the jet structure is well into Canada, and will not advance far enough to change the air mass in Winston-Salem. Expect scattered showers and storms in the afternoons through the mid-week. Surface low pressure in eastern Canada may eject some midlayer overcast into the Carolinas on Thursday, bringing temperatures down a tick or two
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with a chance for some pop up showers, High 90, Low 72
Thursday – Mostly cloudy and at times overcast. Scattered showers, High 86, Low 71

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with afternoon showers or thunderstorms.  High 87, Low 71
Thursday – Cloudy in the morning with scattered thunderstorms developing later in the day. High 84, Low 70

AW: Tomorrow – Clouds and breaks of sun with a thunderstorm in the afternoon High 90, Low 73
Thursday – Considerable cloudiness with a thunderstorm High 83, Low 71

NWS: Tomorrow – Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 5pm. Mostly sunny, High 90, Low 72
Thursday – A slight chance of showers b73efore noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between noon and 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. Partly sunny,  High 86, Low 71

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny. Showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon, High 88, Low 73
Thursday – Mostly cloudy. Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 83, Low 71

FIO: Tomorrow – Humid and mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 83, Low 75
Thursday – Rain overnight and in the morning. High 84, Low 74

It will be nice to ratchet the heat down wherever we can. Some storms are just starting to pop up in the Blue Ridge Mountains to the west as we grabbed this satellite image.

Corvallis, Oregon

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Most of the people that live in Oregon live along in a north-south corridor adjacent to the Cascades. Oregon State is in Corvallis, and the town and the school are well within the corridor.

I’d be remiss if I didn’t note the historic flooding in the Ohio Valley. St. Louis recently broke a single day record for rainfall, while eastern Kentucky is seeing a rising death toll thanks to flash flooding caused by the deluge. Our thoughts are with those affected by these disasters.

At 656PM, PT, Corvallis was reporting a temperature of 89 degrees with clear skies. Salem and Eugene, on either side of the city, were reporting temperatures of 95 degrees. Of course, along the coast with the Marine layer, temperatures were hovering in the mid 50s with clouds and fog. There was no forecast for that haze to press further ashore.
Flow over the western US is fairly stagnant, with any jet structure only found well to the north, originating in the northern Yukon. As a result, heat has been allowed to build in the Pacific Northwest. While the Gulf of Alaska low was currently absent, a weak wave shifting closer to the shore will bring some cooler air late on Saturday, to be joined by some clouds.
Tomorrow – Hot, High 96, Low 60
Saturday – Partly cloudy, High 95, Low 59

TWC: Tomorrow – Mainly sunny. High 98, Low 61
Saturday – Some clouds in the morning will give way to mainly sunny skies for the afternoon. High 97, Low 61

AW: Tomorrow – Blazing sunshine and hot; possible danger of dehydration and heat stroke while doing strenuous activities High 97, Low 60
Saturday – Blazing sunshine and hot; possible danger of dehydration and heat stroke while doing strenuous activities High 96, Low 61

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny and hot, High 98, Low 61
Saturday – Sunny and hot, High 97, Low 62

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 97, Low 60
Saturday – Mostly sunny, High 93, Low 61

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 98, Low 61
Saturday – Mostly sunny, High 97, Low 62

FIO: Tomorrow – Humid throughout the day. High 93, Low 65
Saturday – Humid throughout the day. High 93, Low 63

It’s hot, but fortunately, the heat won’t be as intense or as resilient as last year’s heat wave. It is expected to break by the end of the weekend. For now, you can certainly see the clear skies over most of Oregon, but the intrusion of low clouds and fog over the coast is evident as well.

Abilene, Texas

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Abilene is the first big town you see west of Fort Worth in Texas. The entire state is so big, though, it is a regional hub all by itself out there in the Plains.

At 752AM, CT, Abilene was reporting fair skies with a temperature of 82. West Texas and much of the southern Plains were south of a mostly stationary boundary along the Kansas-Oklahoma border, and it promised to get well into the triple digits south of this boundary. Heat advisories were in place for the area.
Little change is anticipated for the region. The boundary has sagged south through the last couple of days, and a wave moving through the Canadian Prairies will push it even further south. The dry line will become more entrenched in eastern New Mexico, and a few clouds and increased humidity in Abilene may bring temperatures down out of the triple digit range, but if then, not by much.
Tomorrow – Partly cloudy and hot, High 100, Low 77
Friday – Partly cloudy, more humid, High 98, low 78

TWC: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny skies High 101, Low 79
Friday – Sunny, along with a few afternoon clouds. High 99, Low 79

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny and very warm High 101, Low 79
Friday – Mostly sunny and very warm High 98, Low 79

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny and hot, High 101, Low 79
Friday – A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Sunny and hot, High 99, Low 80

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 100, Low 81
Friday – Sunny. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon, High 97, Low 81

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 101, Low 79
Friday – Mostly sunny, High 100, Low 78

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 100, Low 77
Friday – Humid throughout the day. High 100, Low 78

Hot, hot hot. But for the most part, everyone agrees it will “cool down” a bit on Friday. Make sure the sweaters are nearby.

Atlanta, Georgia

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

We are headed to one of the more important weather hubs in the country, along with Silver Spring, Maryland and Oklahoma City. Atlanta is home to many weather focused corporations, notably The Weather Channel, and we are coming for you, TWC!

At 1252PM, ET, Atlanta was reporting mostly cloudy skies with a temperature of 87 degrees. Bands of isolated thunderstorms are stretched across North Georgia, with one particular cluster near Athens, Gainesville and Lawrenceville, and a stronger line north of Rome. There is one cell on the southeast side of Atlanta, but otherwise, there is a dry window encompassing the Atlanta area. There is an area of low pressure over Quebec dangling a cold, becoming stationary front through the Tennessee Valley, and along that boundary is a perturbation centered near the District of Columbia. This complicated set up is helping to tap into the moisture in the southeast, and touching off the banding showers and thunderstorms in north Georgia this afternoon.
The threat for storms in and around Atlanta will abate a bit this afternoon, as the activity becomes more focused along the boundary to the north. That boundary is expected to remain intact even as the low over Quebec deteriorates. A second surface low moving out of the High Plains into the Great Lakes will pull the boundary a bit to the north by Wednesday, presenting a dry mid-week in Atlanta. Of course, one last perturbation along the front before it moves northward will bring some scattered showers to Atlanta first on Tuesday evening.
Tomorrow – Scattered clouds with a chance for isolated showers and storms, High 88, Low 73
Wednesday – Scattered to mostly cloudy. A bit warmer, High 90, Low 73

TWC: Tomorrow – Variable clouds with scattered thunderstorms. High 89, Low 74
Wednesday – Sunshine and clouds mixed High 93, Low 73

AW: Tomorrow – Humid with intervals of clouds and sunshine High 87, Low 73
Wednesday – Partly sunny and humid; a thunderstorm in spots late in the afternoon High 91, Low 73

NWS: Tomorrow – A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 11am. Partly sunny, High 88, Low 74
Wednesday – A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, High 91, Low 73

WB: Tomorrow – Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms, High 87, Low 74
Wednesday – Mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, High 91, Low 74

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with chance of storms, High 89, Low 73
Wednesday – Partly cloudy, High 92, Low 73

FIO: Tomorrow – Humid and mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 86, Low 74
Wednesday – Humid and partly cloudy throughout the day. High 88, ow 75

Pretty hot couple of days in Georgia, but all that moisture around, the mountains, it keeps it from triple digits most of the time. Rain shield over Atlanta has been activated.

Baltimore, Maryland

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

It’s a hot July, one of the hottest ever recorded in many parts of the world, including the mid-south in the US. Just normal — “normal” — hot out east though. Is there anything else coming with it?

At 954AM, ET, Baltimore was already reporting a temperature of 88 degrees. Mostly cloudy skies populated the region, and dew points were a soupy 73 degrees. There is an area of low pressure over eastern Canada, dangling a cold front along the Appalachians. It is a typical summer time boundary, and while there are clouds across Appalachia, it isn’t bolstered by very much cold air, and the moisture content is negligible. Still, any chance at relief will be appreciated.
High pressure at the surface will remain entrenched, even as the boundary moves through Appalachia. Tomorrow may be a bit cooler than today, but high pressure is going to build back into the region on Saturday, and temperatures and humidity are expected to build right back with it.
Tomorrow – Partly to mostly cloudy, High 95, Low 75
Saturday – High 98. Low 75

TWC: Tomorrow – Mainly sunny. Hot High 97, Low 75
Saturday – Mainly sunny. Hot High 97, Low 76

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 96, Low 75
Saturday – Mostly sunny and hot; stay hydrated; signs of heat illness can include headache, dizziness and nausea High 97, Low 76

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 96, Low 75
Saturday – Sunny and hot, High 97, Low 76

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 96, Low 76
Saturday – Sunny. High 96, Low 77

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 96, Low 75
Saturday – Mostly sunny, High 97, Low 76

FIO: Tomorrow – Humid throughout the day. High 94, Low 75
Saturday – Humid throughout the day. High 94, Low 77

That’s just a really hot stretch of days. There is a lot of similarity from day to day among the outlets, but I just think that there is too much going in the mid and upper levels for the two days to be carbon copies. One day will be cooler, probably tomorrow, and Saturday will bounce back like nothing happened. Clouds are scattered today.

Redding, California

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

When I think of California, I think of Mt. Shasta or Eureka — Not particularly warm places. Redding is the furthest north major population center in California, and residents there would like to let you know that it can be pretty hot there.

At 853AM, PT, Redding was seeing clear skies, and the temperature of already 85 degrees. Some light flow onshore is bringing fog to the coast. The light, oceanic flow through the Bay Area and the fog on the coast is cooling things of a bit in northern California, though Redding is a clear hot spot, stifled and away from the maritime flow.
There is a trough moving through the Pacific Northwest through the middle of the week. Monsoonal flow and cool sea surface temperatures will ensure that there won’t be much moisture associated with the feature, so all eyes will be on the jet trough, with hopes it will break the heat. It doesn’t seem as though that will be terribly successful. If there are any impacts near Redding, it will come in the way of clearer mornings, with fog less likely on Thursday morning.
Tomorrow- Hot and partly cloudy, High 101, Low 69
Thursday – Hot and sunny High 103, Low 66

TWC: Tomorrow – Mainly sunny. High 100, Low 69
Thursday – Sunny, High 103, Low 68

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 100, Low 71
Thursday – Mostly sunny and very warm High 102, Low 68

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny and hot, High 99, Low 71
Thursday – Sunny and hot, High 102, low 70

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 100, Low 73
Thursday – Sunny, High 102, Low 68

WN: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 99, Low 71
Thursday – Sunny, High 101, Low 70

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 101, Low 73
Thursday – Clear throughout the day. High 104, Low 69

That’s pretty hot, as promised. And also as promised, it will be cooler tomorrow and Thursday than today, where forecast highs are about 105. Enjoy that relief! Here is the satellite, with low clouds along the coast.

Manchester, New Hampshire

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Manchester in the US is in New Hampshire. In England, Hampshire is nowhere near Manchester (which is its own county, between Lancashire and Cheshire). There is a Portsmouth in both New and original Hampshire, but we’re here to talk about Manchester.

At 253PM, ET, Manchester was reporting a temperature of 82 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. Low pressure over the Atlantic, south of Greenland was parenting an inverted trough over northern Quebec that ran to central Ontario. Between the two disturbances was a rife spot for some midlevel instability, and some spotty clouds. Disturbed weather to the south is more impressive on satellite, but is not going to pose a wet threat for Manchester.
The remnant wave in pursuit of the Greenland low will pivot into New England through the day on Friday. The parent remnant trough will actually start to redevelop, and with it, so too will the local jet. By this point, moisture associated with the feature will be spent in the White Mountains, and instead, a crisp change to the air mass will take hold overnight Friday into Saturday, making for a pleasant summer weekend.
Tomorrow – Partly to mostly cloudy, High 87, Low 64
Saturday – Clearing and pleasant, High 82, Low 62

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy skies. High 86, Low 63
Saturday – Sunshine and clouds mixed High 81, Low 64

AW: Tomorrow – Clouds and sun High 87, Low 65
Saturday – Mostly sunny; a beautiful start to the weekend High 80, Low 63

NWS: Tomorrow – Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, High 86, Low 62
Saturday – Sunny, High 79, Low 61

WB: Tomorrow – Partly sunny, High 86, Low 65
Saturday – Mostly sunny, High 79, Low 65

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 86, Low 61
Saturday – Mostly sunny, High 79, Low 61

FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 86, Low 64
Saturday – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 81, Low 62

That looks like some nice weather on it’s way! I’m surprised the forecast wasn’t a bit warmer tomorrow for a lot of outlets, but I wasn’t going to go any higher, so maybe I shouldn’t be that surprised!

Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

I enjoy a good trip to the Cheese State every now and then. It’s right next door to Victoria-Weather in Minnesota, but it seems so completely alien…

At 103PM, CT, Milwaukee was reporting mostly cloudy skies with a temperature of 70 degrees. Cloudy skies were widespread across the Great Lakes, as an area of low pressure was slogging through the Canadian Maritimes. While a weak jet ridge was emerging over western Ontario, which was helping build high pressure in the northern Great Lakes, a connector front between the low in New Brunswick and a lee trough kept a chance for precipitation south of Milwaukee.
High pressure is going to remain in place, but fairly weak through the end of the work week. Generally westerly flow will mean generally stable conditions, though with some passing clouds. Guidance is in agreement about a wave moving into the region overnight Thursday into Friday, bringing some showers to end the workweek. The rain won’t last all day, and there will be some clearing by nightfall.
Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, increasing clouds late with a chance of a storm, High 78, Low 64
Friday – Rain, especially early, with clouds and cooler conditions, High 76, Low 65

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy skies during the morning hours will become overcast in the afternoon. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible. High 78, Low 64
Friday – Rain showers early with mostly cloudy conditions later in the day. High 71, Low 66

AW: Tomorrow – Humid and warmer with times of clouds and sun; a thunderstorm in spots in the afternoon High 79, Low 60
Friday – Times of clouds and sun High 76, Low 64

NWS: Tomorrow – A slight chance of showers between 10am and 1pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly cloudy High 76, Low 63
Friday – A 30 percent chance of showers before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, High 75, Low 66

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. Chance of light showers and slight chance of a thunderstorms in the late morning and afternoon. High 78, Low 62
Friday – Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of light showers. High 71, Low 66

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 74, Low 63
Friday – Partly cloudy with scattered showers, High 73, Low 66

FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 78, Low 64
Friday – Possible light rain in the morning. High 72, Low 66

On the whole, I am confused by the group of forecasts! I am far more aggressive with the rain forecasts on Friday than anyone, but everyone is all over the map. The same neighborhood, I guess, but timing is very different all over. Maybe all these clouds have something to do with the confusion.