Albany, Georgia

Guess who’s back! After a long Easter hiatus, I’m back to bring some weather updates, and we will start with a look in the deep south.

At 753AM, ET, Albany was reporting clear skies and a temperature of 68 degrees. Lingering shower activity over the last couple of days has led to clouds and fog, particularly north and east of Albany. It wasn’t likely to advect out of the region, instead holding on for the heating of the day to scour moisture out. This will also destabilize the region, and more showers and storms are possible throughout north Georgia again tomorrow.
The moisture in the area is a result both of the beginning of the summer season, but also a remnant trough, orphaned by a weak area of low pressure that transitioned out of the Canadian Maritimes in the last couple of days. A weak ripple in the Upper Midwest will provide enough of a draw over the next day or so to pull instability out of the south. It will get warmer and more humid in Albany, but the threat of rain will lessen tomorrow. Because the wave is shortwaved, it will be inclined to move, and will do so into a more cyclogenic region. A weak cold front will arrive in south Georgia by Saturday evening, brining about the threat for a few isolated thunderstorms.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with isolated drizzle overnight, High 88, Low 67
Saturday Isolated showers early and late, otherwise hot and humid, High 90, low 68

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunshine and clouds mixed. High 88, Low 65
Saturday – Sunshine along with some cloudy intervals High 90, Low 65

AW: Tomorrow – Becoming cloudy High 88, Low 64
Saturday – Mostly sunny and warm High 89, Low 62

NWS: Tomorrow – Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, High 89, Low 64
Saturday – Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, sunny, High 90, Low 65

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny. High 85, Low 65
Saturday – Mostly sunny. Patchy fog in the morning. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 87, Low 67

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 88, Low 64
Saturday – Partly cloudy with isolated storms, High 89, Low 65

CLI: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 88, Low 63
Saturday – Sunny, High 88, Low 63

I suspect models are picking up on the moisture which will lead to fog across south Georgia for the next two overnights, however I’ve also seen the radar there, with smatterings of light rain everywhere. I’m too skittish to take it out. Look how cloudy it was this morning!

Updates 4/22

7:59PM If you are in the La Crosse Wisconsin area, be sure to sign up for spotter training for next week. It’s severe weather season, and if it interests you, this is a great way to help out the community. Of course, every office has spotters, so look at your local office for details if La Crosse isn’t it.

8:48PM This is the kind of night one likes to see if you like tracking radar but don’t want destruction. Dry line thunderstorms are ongoing, severe at times from west Texas to western Kansas. Maybe some hail or gusty winds, but otherwise it’s Tuesday.

Updates 4/21

9:22PM While river flooding remains an issue along the Mississippi, it’s really gone down along the Ohio. Now, the cause is recent rains in Missouri, where some smaller creeks and tributaries are running high. With a few quiet days, the threat for any flooding should continue to wane.

Updates 4/20

953PM Another that is fairly summer like with the system sweeping the center of the country tonight: This is the last gasp. It won’t carry much energy tomorrow, because the parent system isn’t particularly well organized. This will leave plenty of atmospheric juice for things to percolate again later in the week in the southern Plains.

May flowers incoming

Spring is known for being as damp as it is rejuvenating. We accept how sloppy the month is because we know it is going to bring about some momentous changes to the landscape. Well get ready, friends, because most of the country is going to be on the wet sides through the latter half of the month.

Everywhere but the west coast is looking for a rainy stretch from late this week and on to next week. There aren’t any extreme bullseyes, but even Alaska and Hawaii are going to see extra rain fall.

This, along with warm air forecast to build out east is a preponderance of “Texas Hookers” in the next couple of weeks. Generally, this would mean a broad and deep trough over the Plains. Surface low pressure starting in the southern Plains will rocket towards the Great Lakes, bringing hot, sticky weather in he warm sector, and apparently, rain everywhere.

Spring: It’s trying!

With all the talk of severe weather and heavy rain lately, it’s kind of nice that our forecast in Johnson City last week turned out to be so nice. Well, dry. Temperatures were below freezing on one morning, and crept only to the low 50s the day before, which is decidedly not what you are looking for in spring, trying to bounce back to some vibrancy. It was in the 60s by Wednesday, at least, and with luck, we won’t have to think about February and March again any time soon. The Weather Channel claimed the victory with a very good forecast.
Actuals: Tuesday, High 52, Low 37
Wednesday – High 64, Low 28

Grade: A-C

Persistent rains bring river flooding

It wasn’t a particularly snowy year in the middle of the country, which often limits the threat for downstream flooding in the Mississippi and Missouri Rivers. The Missouri looks to be ok this season, but the Mississippi is spilling it’s banks in some places, or is expected to soon in others.

If you are a budding cartographer, you will note that the major flood stage pink squares extend away from the Mississippi. It’s the Ohio that is the origin for some of these flood waters, thanks to the persistent seen in our very active March. You will note that rivers are high in a southwest to northeast line from east Texas to western Michigan, aligned with the track of our storms last month.

While all that rain isn’t directly over the Ohio, it would be over the Green, Cumberland and Tennessee River, all of which flow into the Ohio. Parts of downtown Louisville have been underwater thanks to the flooding. As this article notes, we are approaching Louisville’s biggest tourism season, and a flood clean up will be a difficult challenge.

As the region attempts to dry out, we are looking at a pretty dry week. This will help flood waters down river rise and fall without too many consequences. Hopefully this is the last of the river flood season.