Another line of thunderstorms decides to develop 2 hours behind the first batch
Just when you thought it was safe to send the kids to bed
With the severe weather further to the east…
With the severe weather further to the east, hot dry air is billowing up the Front Range. Highs in Denver are expected to be in the 90s through Thursday, at which point a rainier spell will settle in.
Denver, Colorado
Denver is typically at the border between two worlds, one mountainous, the other empty plains. Lately, they have also been along an oscillating lee trough, touching off strong thunderstorms throughout the area.
At 853PM, MT, Denver was reporting a temperature of 70 degrees with fair skies. Thunderstorm activity has finally started to leave eastern Colorado and western Kansas in piece, as a weak upper level ridge has settled in place over the central Rockies.
For the next couple of days, the primary factor in the ignition of showers and storms will be a dry line that will initially be too far south to bring any wet weather to the Mile High City, and shift east into the Plains. Denver will continue to warm and dry out as the week begins.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, Hot, High 91, Low 61
Tuesday – Mostly sunny and even warmer, High 97, Low 63
TWC: Tomorrow – Sunshine and clouds mixed High 91, Low 61
Tuesday – Sunshine and some clouds. Hot. High 97, Low 63
AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 91, Low 58
Tuesday – Very warm with plenty of sunshine High 97, Low 61
NWS: Tomorrow – Very warm with plenty of sunshine High 95, Low 60
Tuesday – Sunny High 95, Low 62
WB: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, a 10 percent chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon, High 92, Low 61
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, High 96, Low 61
WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 95, Low 60
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, High 95, Low 62
CLI: Tomorrow – Light Rain Showers, High 87, Low 61
Tuesday – Sunny, High 94, Low 62
Clime looks to be on a slightly different planet than the rest of the forecasters her. In fact, I would say if this forecasts busts, it will be because the temperature is even warmer tomorrow. Satellite tonight is awfully quiet.
Hazy days
We are getting ready for a heat wave in the southern US, we can reflect on last month, when things were just downright smoky. All manner of the US experienced the smoky weather, from the Northern Plains all the way to the East Coast. We put together a forecast for Kalamazoo towards the end of the month, and indeed, it got smoky there as well. It was so smoky, and in conjunction with an inactive cold front that passed through, temperatures were only in the low 70s on Tuesday the 27th, but rebounded uncomfortably th Wednesday after. Weathernation collected their first solo victory of the year thanks to a solid forecast.
Actuals: Tuesday, June 27th, High 73, Low 59
Wednesday, June 28th, High 82, Low 53
Grade: A-C
Odessa, Texas
We are undergoing the hottest stretch the planet has ever seen, and yet, the continental US has been fairly cool. That’s not a blanket statement, though, as the heat is on in the southwest, and Odessa looks to be in the crosshairs for some brutal heat.
At 753PM, CT, Odessa was reporting a temperature of 94 degrees with clear skies. Dew points were below 50 which is among the reasons that temperatures are able to soar during the heating of the day. Low pressure is centered over eastern Oklahoma, and cycling moisture into a lee trough, where severe thunderstorms have arisen from Colorado to the Texas Panhandle. Ridging has started pressing from the southwest already, though, and Odessa is expected to remain dry tonight.
Sunday will remain hot and dry, and the jet will lift well to the north. A fairly strong area of low pressure will emerge in the Canadian Prairies, pulling moisture westward, and likely inducing a bit more activity out of the dry line. It will be plenty warm again on Monday, but there will be a few scattered clouds across west Texas in the evening to spell relief, though rain will predominantly stay in the Panhandle.
Tomorrow – Sunny and hot, High 103, Low 78
Monday – Scattered clouds, High 104, Low 74
TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny skies. Hot. High 104, Low 78
Monday – A mainly sunny sky. Hot. High 105, Low 76
AW: Tomorrow – Breezy in the morning; sunshine and hot; stay hydrated when outside in the heat High 103, Low 77
Monday – Mostly sunny, breezy and hot; danger of dehydration and heatstroke if outside for extended periods of time High 103, Low 78
NWS: Tomorrow -Sunny and hot, High 103, Low 77
Monday – Sunny and hot, High 103, Low 77
WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, Hot, High 102, Low 78
Monday – Sunny, hot, High 103, Low 78
WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 103, Low 77
Monday – Sunny, High 103, Low 77
CLI: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 102, Low 79
Monday – High 104, Low 77
As I said, it’s going to be plenty hot, with temperatures well over 100, and it won’t cool down all that much in the evening. Tonight, looking to the north they may see some flashes of light on the horizon.
In looking at the forecast for heat…
In looking at the forecast for heat across the southern US, temperatures will be dangerously warm, most anomalously so from El Paso to northern New Mexico, but as they say, it will be a dry heat. Sweltering humidity is going to make the Gulf Coast and areas north to Missouri and Tennessee painfully uncomfortable as well.
Hydrate, find air conditioning and stay safe!
This is the radar imagery for Minnesota, despite no rain in the Twin Cities forecast
Never fear, that robust area of showers and storms will stay out of the Metro.
UPDATE 9:34PM
And there it goes
Cooler temperatures…
Cooler temperatures, relative to normal, are expected for the next couple of weeks in the north central US. Don’t be surprised if the south continues it’s blistering inferno. It’s all part of the hot summer we all get to enjoy in the northern Hemisphere this year.
I like this radar image…
I like this radar image, because it is so unusual for Florida. One isolated storm over Lake Okechobee, and another just out west of the Florida Peninsula.
Usually, you will see bands of showers, or a region wide smattering of showers and storms. The discrete cells aren’t what we usually see.
As was widely reported, yesterday was the hottest temperature in recorded history on the planet. This is a combination of anthropogenic climate change, El Niño and most of the reporting sites around the world lying in the northern hemisphere, where it is summer. That is to say, maybe it was a bit warmer in December, but too many sites were in the depths of winter so we didn’t know.
Whatever the case, it was hot.