An unpleasant start to May

Now with forecasts of severe weather and a pending heat wave, it seems like a long time ago that we were talking about the chilly start to the month, as we were in Youngstown.. Well, I guess it was, not that it is already the 14th, but I digress. There was indeed some light snow mixed with rain on the 2nd, which is far too deep into the spring season for my taste. The forecast was a pretty neat affair, with little separating the top forecast from the bottom. The Weather Service and WeatherNation split honors, with a 4 way tie for second just behind them.
Actuals: Monday, May 1st, .31 inches of rain/snow, High 46, Low 38
Tuesday, May 2nd, .39 inches of rain and snow, High 43, Low 37

Grade. A-B

Youngstown, Ohio

We are headed to northeastern Ohio for our month ending forecast. It should be getting warmer right? Right?

At 451PM, ET, Youngstown was reporting a temperature of 55 degrees with cloudy skies and a brisk west-northwest wind. Low pressure is parked over southern Ontario, and is bringing continuing bands of rain to the upper Ohio Valley. At present, the heaviest rain is falling over central Pennsylvania, while another band of lighter showers is evident on radar along I-77 between Canton and Cambridge.
The center of circulation isn’t going to be urged out of Ontario until after the entrance to a strong jet trough comes into being. That won’t be until Wednesday or Thursday of next week, which means reinforcing chilly flow will continue in Youngstown until then. The surface feature is going to continue occluding through the next couple of days, so clouds and rain will become lighter over time. Unfortunately, that makes it more likely for even chillier temperatures as time goes on. It will be quite breezy throughout the beginning of the week, making already cool temperatures feel even chillier.
Tomorrow – Scattered showers throughout the day, High 48, Low 38
Tuesday – Lighter showers with an isolated peek of sunshine, High 44, Low 34

TWC: Tomorrow – Showers early, becoming a steady rain later in the day.  High 47, Low 39
Tuesday – Rain and snow showers in the morning transitioning to light rain in the afternoon. High 41, Low 36

AW: Tomorrow – Cloudy, breezy and colder with a touch of rain High 45, Low 39
Tuesday- Breezy in the morning; cloudy and cold with a passing shower or two; there can be some wet snowflakes mixed in High 42, Low 35

NWS: Tomorrow – Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 3pm High 48, Low 38
Tuesday – Rain and snow showers, becoming all rain after 9am.  High 44, Low 36

WB: Tomorrow – Showers. A slight chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon, High 46, Low 40
Tuesday – Snow showers in the morning. Showers, High 41, Low 36

WN: Tomorrow – Cloudy with light showers and isolated thunderstorms, High 48, Low 38
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy with a light wintry mix, High 44, Low 36

CLI: Tomorrow – Rain showers, High 45, Low 37
Tuesday- Rain showers, High 42, Low 35

Frankly, I think any snow shower activity on Tuesday morning will be inconsequential. Like, a flake or two just to make people feel bad because it will be May 2nd. I don’t have the heart to include it in my forecast. Radar is fairly active, reflective of the larger storm centered to the north.