Tag Archives: Washington

A drop squeezes out

I think the light rain that Washington-Reagan reported on Wednesday night will qualify as one of the most surprising things to happen in the history of this site. There wasn’t a hint of it anywhere in models or in the forecasts. A weak wam front emerged in the afternoon, allowing temperatures to warm more than had been expected, but also dripped a couple drops on town. Forecast.io ran away with the forecast, but nobody saw the rain coming.
Actuals: Wednesday – .02 inches of rain, High 67, Low 41
Thursday – High 63, Low 44

Grade: B-D

Washington, D.C.

We are off to the Nation’s Capital today. How fitting, given how much of the focus is on that particular city right now. Despite what you may have heard, I don’t think I will need to forecast for fire and brimstone.

At 252PM, ET, Washington-Reagan was reporting a temperature of 63 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. A trough off the coast was inducing an offshore response, and thanks to the hills to the west of the Capital, there was enough turbulence in the atmosphere to produce some high clouds around the Potomac.
High pressure will be building into the Eastern US over the next couple of days. Breezes will be significantly reduced, and temperatures will start to warm up. There is a threat that fires in the southern Appalachians start to build back to the north, which may lead to some haze, but for now, the jet is too far north for there to be any threat to the DC area.
Tomorrow – Sunny, Low 61, Low 40
Thursday – Hazy, but mostly sunny, High 63, Low 46

TWC: Intervals of clouds and sunshine, High 63, Low 41
Thursday –
A mainly sunny sky High 63, Low 43

AW: Tomorrow – A mainly sunny sky High 64, Low 40
Thursday – Sunny and delightful High 64, low 43

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny,  High 64, Low 48
Thursday – Sunny, High 62, low 48

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny,  High 61, Low 42
Thursday – Sunny, High 62, low 45

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 64, Low 46
Thursday – Sunny, High 63, Low 48

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy starting in the morning, continuing until evening. high 66, Low 41
Thursday – Clear throughout the day.High 63, low 43

It looks beautiful in DC for a another week. There is a system in the Midwest that promises to finally bring a change of pace, however. For the time being, we look good! (The satellite was later than the forecast, but you can still see the departing trough on satellite up by New England)


A surprising springtime warm up

Washington was supposed to be on the cooler side of a slow moving area of low pressure over the past two days, and I suppose they were. They just happened to be a little bit warmer than I had originally expected. Some outlets, most notably Accuweather, had the forecast nearly perfectly evaluated though, so I guess the joke is on me.
Actuals: Saturday – .14 inches of rain, High 67, Low 50
Sunday – .05 inches of rain, High 72, Low 54

Grade A-C

Washington, DC

We’re headed down to the nation’s capital for our forecast tonight. What does DC have to offer?

At 152AM, ET, Washington was reporting a temperature of 50 degrees with overcast skies and a splash of light rain. Low visibilites were being seen throughout the region, but in the immediate vicinity, Reagan National was the only site reporting rain. A weak area of surface low pressure was centered on the Eastern Shore of Maryland, establishing DC in the cooler, wetter side of the feature. The feature is a part of an upper level, cutoff trough, attempting to shift to the northeast.
A wave moving through western Ontario is producing a cold front in the Great Lakes. These two features are attempting to merge, and as a convenient happenstance, their merger will create  more stable flow in Maryland and Virginia. Saturdy will be a bit rainy as the system departs, but the cold frontal arrival on Sunday won’t be as dramatic as it will be in the Ohio Valley today. Instead, expect some wind but deteriorating precipitation, and a dry, cooler end to the weekend.
Tomorrow – Scattered showers ,High 64, Low 49
Sunday – Mostly cloudy, High 68, Low 55

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy skies early will become partly cloudy later in the day. Slight chance of a rain shower.High 67, Low 49
Sunday – Sunny skies, High 71,, Low 54

AW: Tomorrow – A passing shower this morning; otherwise, warmer with more clouds than sun High 67, Low 50
Sunday – Clouds giving way to some sun and breezy (early rain) High 72, Low 55

NWS: Tomorrow – Areas of drizzle with a chance of showers before 2pm, then a slight chance of showers after 5pm. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, high 66, Low 50
Sunday – Mostly sunny (early rain High 71, Low 54

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy in the morning, then Becoming Partly sunny. Areas of drizzle in the morning. A chance of showers. High 63, Low 49
Sunday – Mostly Sunny, High 68, Low 54

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly Cloudy with Isolated Showers High 66 Low 50
Sunday – Mostly Sunny with Isolated Shower High 72, Low 55

FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny with Isolated Shower High 63, Low 50
Sunday – Partly cloudy in the morning. High 69, Low 53

Kind of dreary, but there is hope for the end of the weekend. Enjoy! Below is the radar imagery, with showers across the District.


Naples, Florida to Washington, DC

Another day, another road trip that will last almost exactly 2 days. The trip is 1062 miles and will spendd quite a bit of time on I-95. As a result, the pace of the trip will be about 66.7mph. Cruisin’ That will put us more than halfway to our destination, but only just. The day will be through after 533.5 miles, or thereabout. Let’s venture off to the nation’s capital, though it will be tough to leave these beaches behind.

DAY ONE (Sunday)
The southeast is presently outside of the daily thunderstorm season and currently under a nice dome of high pressure. Temperatures aren’t going to be overbearingly hot and sticky, so stopping for lunch or gas or just driving with the windows down will be pretty nice, especially in Florida. The trek will take us through Jacksonville and Savannnah and eventually to Yemassee, South Carolina, which is in the far southern part of the state.

DAY TWO (Monday)
High pressure is retreating into the ocean at this time, and by the time we leave Yemassee,, a weak area of low pressure moving into the Great Lakes and the back end of the ridge will couple to induce a southwesterly flow pumping warm air into the region. Those pleasant temperatures we saw as far north as Yemassee will filter right on up to DC. It will be a great day for checking out some monuments.

Bellingham, Washington to Washington, DC

Cross country road trips usually take a full doggoned week, and this trip is no different. Expect 5 1/2 days to cover the 2850 miles between western Washington and…. Washington. So much time on interstates will mean a travel pace of a delightful 64mph. This means that the 5 full days will be through after about 512 miles. We have some ground to cover, so let’s be on our way.

DAY ONE (Friday)
We head from the Puget Sound, south through Seattle and then off into the wilderness of the Cascades and the Pacific Northwest to begin our cross country trip. We will be racing to beat a Pacific cold front attempting to come ashore in Washington tomorrow. As we head up through the Cascades, we will likely see some clouds, fog and showers, but when we start heading back down into the Yakima Valley, it will clear out. Clear skies will continue to prevail through the Chimney of Idaho and to Tarkio, Montana, where we will end the day. If you don’t know, Tarkio is about 40 miles west of Missoula.

DAY TWO (Saturday)
Flow will come sweeping gently down the Rocky Mountains, providing a bit of a Chinook wind effect, and raising temperatures to something fairly comfortable for this time of year in Montana. We will cover most of the state with our trekking on Saturday, ending the day in rural Hathawaym which is barely there, west of Miles City.

DAY THREE (Sunday)
It’s almost unforgiving how straight I-93 is through North Dakota. At least for the first couple of days, the road twists and turns through the Mountains, and even has to swing south to hook up with Billings in Montana, but essentially as soon as we cross into North Dakota, it’s a straight shot across the state. We will make it the whole way across North Dakota free of anything particularly frightening climatically, and make it to Barnesville, Minnesota, which is about 25 miles southeast of Fargo.

DAY FOUR (Monday)
It’s way too early in the year to be calling it this, but there is sort of an Alberta Clipper forecast to swing out of the Canadian Prairies into the Great Lakes over the weekend into early next week. The drive between Barnesville and the Twin Cities shouldn’t be an issue, but we could start to encounter the back end of this system by the time we pass through Eau Claire, Wisconsin. it won’t be much, just overcast skies and drizzle, but it will be the first precipitation we will have seen since the Cascades. We’ll stop in Janesville for the night.

DAY FIVE (Tuesday)
That wave will still be attempting to pull out of the Great Lakes as we drive through the region. Conditions are expected to be clear as we get started, and should remain so through Chicago, but clouds will make their way back into the picture as we reach South Bend. By the time we hit the Ohio border, drizzle will have already begun to enter the scene. Light rain, nothing too terribly heavy, but certainly persistent, will dominate the drive through Ohio. We will nearly make it thorough the Buckeye State, ending in North Lima, about 10 miles from the border.

DAY 6 (Wednesday)
The system will continue to spiral out to sea overnight, and driving through the mountains of western Pennsylvania should be a scenic treat. When we clear the mountains, however, the Potomac Valley will still be socked in. Clouds and showers look to hang on through the early afternoon, meaning it will be tough to see even the Wsahington Monument from great distances.

Washington, DC

Off to the Nation’s capital for our forecast this evening. Right now, the region is smothered in remnant clouds behind a cold front that swept through yesterday. What will the end of the week bring?

At 1152AM, ET, Washington (Reagan) was reporting a temperature of 63 degrees with overcast skies. The region was still immersed in an upper level trough, where mid layer moisture remains pooled and clouds are widespread. DC is at the southern end of a thick layer of clouds east of the Appalachians, which should burn off this afternoon, but may return tomorrow morning, as the base of the trough associated with the clouds won’t clear out until tomorrow around midday.
The trough as it rotates north will fold into a broader redeveloping trough over the Great Lakes and New England, but flow through the trough will be fairly weak. The pattern tomorrow afternoon into Saturday morning will be clear and pleasant, while a return to something similar to the current pattern will arrive later in the day, with a few showers in the Appalachians and some mid to high clouds filling into the Potomac Valley.
Tomorrow – Cloudy early, then clearing, High 72, Low 49
Saturday – Increasing clouds late, otherwise mostly sunny through the day, High 70, Low 53

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny High 73, Low 55
Saturday – Mostly sunny, High 67, Low 59

AW: Tomorrow – Partly sunny and pleasant High 73, Low 56
Saturday – Breezy with sunshine mixing with some clouds High 71, Low 58

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny High 70, Low 53
Saturday – Mostly sunny, High 69, Low 56

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny High 70, Low 52
Saturday – Mostly sunny, High 68, Low 55

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny High 70, Low 54
Saturday Partly Cloudy, High 70, Low 55

Satellite shows the thicker clouds presently over the nation’s capital. A lot of people are forecasting rain, but if it comes, it won’t be until later in the afternoon.

Starting well, fading late

Things looked so good for Victoria Weather after the forecast in Washington after the first day There was rain early, and the high and low were forecast exactly. Then, however, our fortunes changed. IT was warmer in DC all around than we suspected, which played to the favor of Accuweather, who snuck in to easily win the first forecast of April.
Actuals: Monday – .08 inches of rain, High 62, Low 47
Tuesday – High 73, Low 47

Grade: A

Washington, DC to Burlington, North Carolina

Today’s trip is much more manageable than yesterday’s, that’s for sure. We are planning a voyage of a mere 290 miles, with a drive time of just under 5 hours. It’s a pace of 60.2mph. We can do it, right?

Our short (relatively speaking) drive through Virginia and North Carolina will be one that gets progressively cloudier. After starting in sun in Washington, it will be partly cloudy by the time we hit Richmond, then mostly cloudy in Durham and points west, as we head into Burlington.

Olympia, Washington to Washington, DC

For those curious, it is a 2789 mile drive from Olympia, the capital of Washington, to Washington, the capital. We will take a full 5 day trip along this route, at a pace of 65.2mph. This means, for 4 days, we will cover 522.2mph, covering a bit more on that last day, which will be Saturday. That’s a heck of a lot of driving, so we had better hit the road, Jack


We have actually found the first window in about a month with no real rain or anything around Puget Sound. We will drive northeast to Seattle and even through the rest of Washington State. The only threat for any precipitation will be in the Idaho Chimney, where some isolated valley drizzle may get trapped, reducing the visibility at some spots. We will finish our day in the northern Rockies, southeast of Missoula, in Milltown, Montana.

Montana is a vast, empty state. We will not leave it at any point on Tuesday, going from Milltown to Ashland in the southeastern corner of the state. We are still outpacing any significant, unpleasant weather, so it should be a long, empty day.

We will start the day in pretty decent shape, once again. Most of South Dakota will be enjoyed in relative silence, with no rain or clouds or anything climactically interesting. Things will begin to change when we hit the Missouri River near Chamberlain, however, as at that point, a system well to our route’s south will begin to eject moisture north. We will contend with a few rain showers from then until we arrive at our Wednesday night destination, Hartford, South Dakota, which is on the outskirts of Sioux Falls.

Our drive through the Upper Midwest will be fairly decent, though don’t be surprised if it’s cloudy for much of the day. Weak instability through most of the Mississippi Valley will mean showers and storms across the majority of Iowa, into northern Illinois. We won’t hit those showers until we ourselves are in northern Illinois, stopping for the final time in Belvidere, Illinois.

OK, so the timing and distance of this drive? Longest day ever. The ride will be slower, the distance long, but we will be able to do it. I’ve done 14 hours in a day before. And besides, there’s really nothing to worry about on the drive, as high pressure is going to develop across the remainder of our route, allowing us to finish our grueling drive with this windows rolled down. It won’t be that warm, but it will be nice to get a little fresh air.