Tag Archives: Valdosta

Doinked

Thunderstorms were in the forecast for southern Georgia as the week ended last week, as an area of low pressure drifted into the Canadian Maritimes, but they weren’t really expected to be especially heavy, nor particularly long lasting. Well, the storm that came through Valdosta late on Saturday wasn’t necessarily the longest lasting storm, but it definitely was heavy. Valdosta reported over 2 inches of rain, which was definitely not in the plans, even though thunderstorms were. All it takes is one heavy storm to sit right over a rain gauge for a little while, and it completely changes the impression of a day.  The Weather Service and Weather Nation combined their powers to win the forecast.
Actuals: Friday, High 91, Low 72
Saturday 2.15 inches of rain, High 92, Low 70

Grade: B-D

Valdosta, Georgia to Missoula, Montana

We’re going to be running  across the country for the rest of the week and right up into the weekend. We’ll be taking a 4 day trip, taking on 2390 miles, though the last day of the drive will be extra long. We’ll be working at a pace of about 68mph, covering 546 miles on the first three travel days, finishing it off on a very long Sunday. The kids are back in school soon, so let’s enjoy the time on the rod while we can.

 

DAY ONE (Thursday)

I’ve been looking forward to firing up one of these bad boys for a very long time, so here we are. Of course, the first impression of this journey will say “hey, maybe we should turn around and stay in Georgia.” A weakish area of low pressure is going to be translating through the Great Lakes and turning northeast to the Canadian Maritimes. For our purposes, that will mean a plume of moisture draped across the southeast. Bands of rain and thunderstorms will batter Georgia and keep Chattanooga damp for at least the time we are travelling through those regions. Life will improve by the time we hit Monteagle, Tennessee, with clearing, crisper skies continuing through Nashville, with the sun peeking through when we arrive in Cadiz, Kentucky, our destination for night one.

DAY TWO (Friday)
As we head both westward and towards the weekend, life will be greatly improved. High pressure is struggling to backfill behind that wide ranging area of precipitation on the East Coast. A weak boundary moving through the Upper Midwest will try to press into Missouri, but it will be absent the necessary moisture to help fuel showers and storms. We might see some cumulus near Columbia, Missouri, but it’s more likely that we skate through Friday completely dry before arriving in Amazonia, north of Kansas City. Sounds exotic.

DAY THREE (Saturday)
The north-south leg of our journey will mean a need to focus on weather moving west to east, and for the most part, there won’t be any. Expect a dry day, heading north on I-29 towards Sioux Falls, with only a few clouds north of Omaha. A trough will be elongating from the central Rockies towards the northern Canadian Prairies, and by the time we get to Sioux Falls, there will be some rumbles of thunder in southeastern South Dakota.. We should be clear of the really heavy stuff by the time we reach Mitchell, but fog and clouds will fill back in through Kadoka over night. Kadoka, by the way, is where we are stopping on Saturday evening.

DAY FOUR
Low pressure will begin to spiral up again in the Rockies, recycling moisture into western South Dakota. A dreary start to the day and to our drive will turn right around before we get to Billings. Around Crow Agency, we’ll say, the skies will clear and we’ll leave the rain in the Black Hills and head west through Montana, unencumbered by showers or thunderstorms. Expect wonderful weather by the time we reach Missoula.

Valdosta, Georgia

Let’s take a look at what the end of the week holds for south Georgia, shall we?

At 1253AM, ET, Valdosta was reporting a temperature of 76 degrees with fair skies. High dew points were leading to a little bit of haze in the region, no nearer than Lake City across the border in Florida. A trough could be analyzed lingering just to the north of Valdosta, though it was inactive at this time, waiting for the heat of the day.
A broad, ambiguous surface low associated with a deceptively strong upper level trough is going to continue to cycle more moisture out of the gulf through southern Georgia while an associated, slow moving cold front lingers closer to Nashville. The low will drift north into northern Quebec, and the cold front will advance no further, with moisture and a few showers and storms lingering around Valdosta as the weekend gets going.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with isolated showers and storms possible, High 89, Low 73
Saturday – Isolated showers and storms, High 90, Low 75

TWC: Tomorrow – Partial cloudiness early, with scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 89, Low 72
Saturday – Partly to mostly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms High 89, Low 73

AW: Tomorrow – Times of clouds and sun, humid; a thunderstorm in spots this afternoon High 90, Low 71
Saturday – Times of clouds and sun, a thunderstorm in spots in the afternoon High 88, Low 72

NWS: Tomorrow – Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm. Partly sunny High 91, Low 73
Saturday – A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 8am. Partly sunny High 92, Low 74

WB: Tomorrow – Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning then showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 87, Low 74
Saturday – Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers, High 86, Low 74

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with thunderstorms likely, High 91, Low 73
Saturday – Partly cloudy with scattered storms, High 92, Low 74

FIO – Humid throughout the day and mostly cloudy starting in the morning. High 88, Low 72
Saturday – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 90, Low 73

There is one solitary thunderstorm that’s cropped up closer to Savannah, but Valdosta looks to be in good shape tonight.

Valdosta, Georgia to Nashville, Tennessee

Georgia is a big state, and we are expected to run the length of it. Tennessee is a lengthy state as well, but we will cover it the short way, and all told, our drive will be about 7 hours, covering 477 miles, most of it coming in Georgia. We will be on I-75 until we hit Chattanooga, and I-24 the rest of the way, and that works itself out to an average speed of 69mph, which is pretty nice.

 

Tonight will be a very rainy night in Valdosta. The tail of a cold front lies in the Carolinas, but a weak surface perturbation will move through northern Florida overnight and really ramp things up over south Georgia. The nice thing about this feature, however, is that it will also pull more quickly off shore, and pull any lingering moisture out of Georgia. By the time we head out tomorrow morning from Valdosta, the rain will already be on the eastern horizon. One of the challenges we may yet encounter will be some gusty conditions as the cold air arrives in eastern Tennessee. The wind may pick up between Atlanta and Chattanooga, but will taper off through the last couple of hours in the Volunteer State. There is a weak little band of light snow that should pass to the north of Nashville, but that’s not a guarantee. If nothing else, this should tell you that it will be a bit on the chilly side when we arrive in Nashville. (I should note that I am concluding this post just as the award for best Country Album of the year was announced at the Grammies. Weird.)

Just a summer day down south

Temperatures in south Georgia over the last couple of days in Georgia have been a bit warmer than is even normal for that part of the world. That means temperatures in Valdosta reached the mid to upper 90s on Friday and Saturday. I would say it was a good thing there was no rain, but frankly, why would anyone want to be outside anyways? Victoria-Weather and Accuweather tied for the top spot.
Actuals: Friday – High 94, Low 71
Saturday – High 97, Low 71

Grade: A-B

Valdosta, Georgia

Good morning! Let’s take a quick run on down to Georgia to evaluate the day’s weather.

At 758AM ,ET, Valdosta was reporting a temperature of 68 degrees with clear skies. It was already quite muggy, with dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s at this time of morning. Across the region, skies were generally clear, but hot and stuffy, as they often are at this time of year.
There is weak high pressure over the region, though a more apt description may be “an absence of organized low pressure.” A strong area of thunderstorms that has been rumbling since last night is drawing the focus across the region. The vorticity maximum moving from the eastern Great Lakes southeastward will reorganized and pass through the Carolinas overnight tomorrow, and the sea breeze will become active over the Florida Peninsula, but Valdosta will remain dry, Very muggy, but dry.
Tomorrow – Hot, humid and sunny, High 95, Low 71
Saturday – Partly cloudy, warmer, High 97, Low 73

TWC: Tomorrow – Except for a few afternoon clouds, mainly sunny. Hugh 87, Low 71
Saturday – A few clouds from time to time. High 100, Low 71

AW: Tomorrow – Partly sunny and hot High 96, Low 71
Saturday – Hot with sunshine and some clouds High 98, Low 71

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny and hot, Hgh 97, Low 71
Saturday – A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny and hot, High 98, Low 72

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 96, Low 72
Saturday- Mostly suny, A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Hiigh 99, Low 73

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny High 97, Low 72
Saturday – Partly Cloudy with Isolated Storms High 99, Low 72

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy in the evening. Hgh 96, Low 72
Saturday – Partly cloudy starting in the afternoon. High 98, Low 71

Oooh, that’s stuffy. Here is the satellite, with no clouds in the southeast, but plenty in the mid-Atlantic.
Valdosta

It always has to storm

The southeastern US has one persistent tenet. If it’s warm and humid in the summer, a thunderstorm can’t possibly be far away. This was exactly the situation in Valdosta, where isolated to scattered storms cropped up around the Florida Panhandle and Georgia Coast. They wouldn’t stay dry through the entire period. That doesn’t happen. Some thunder activity moved into the region on Thursday, preventing temperatures from warming too much as well as leaving a few splashes of rainfall. There was a three way tie atop the leaderboard, from the Weather Service, Weatherbug and WeatherNation all drew to a tie at the top.
Actuals: Wednesday – High 83, Low 70
Thursday – .02 inches of rain, High 77, Low 66

Grade: C-D

Valdosta, Georgia

We are headed down south for our forecast this evening. What is on the docket just north of the Florida border?

At 1053PM, ET, Valdosta was reporting a temperature of 75 degrees with partly cloudy skies. Dew points were in the upper 60s with a light northeast wind in response to a wave still embedded within the Gulfstream. Aloft, there is a weak trough with southerly flow, providing a good shear environment, and a hospitable environment for thunderstorms along the Florida coast. Indeed, there were isolated cells filling Apalachee Bay.
This pattern is expected to remain unchanged for the next couple of days, with a robust shear environment over the Florida Panhandle, and weak low pressure over the Gulf Stream. Most of the convection associated with these features will hug the coast, but particularly in the afternoon, the cap over Valdosta may break, and there could be a few showers and storms.
Tomorrow – Scattered showers and storms, High 85, Low 71
Thursday – Scattered showers and storms, High 83, Low 71

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy, High 86, Low 68
Thursday – Cloudy, High 82, Low 68

AW: Tomorrow – Partial sunshine with a shower or thunderstorm in spots High 84, Low 69
Thursday – Intervals of clouds and sunshine High 83, Low 50

NWS: Tomorrow – 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny High 84, Low 68
Thursday – A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, High 82, Low 68

WB: Tomorrow – Partly sunny. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 84, Low 68
Thursday – Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning…Then chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 82, Low 68

WN: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy with Scattered Showers High 84, Low 68
Thursday – Mostly Cloudy with Scattered Showers High 82, Low 68

FIO: Tomorrow -Drizzle starting in the afternoon. High 88, Low 69
Thursday – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 83, Low 69

The forecast dip in temperature is due to a forecast strengthening in that low off the coast, which means thicker clouds in Valdosta. Here is the radar, with some convection south of Tallahassee. This will be pretty similar for the next couple of days.
Valdosta

Hinesville, Georgia to Valdosta, Georgia

Well this trip seems familiar. We’re going to be retracing our steps from yesterday’s trip, but not going quite as far. This trip is only 127 miles and about 2 1/2 hours, giving us an estimated speed of 52mph. Taking it easy today.

Hinesville

The low pressure over the southern Plains is a little bit more organized than we had even expected. This means a pretty nasty squall moving through the southern Plains, but a well defined and dry warm sector. It’s the warm sector where we will be driving, and let me be the first to tell you that it will be tremendously warm. Expect 90s and humidity as we stop in at our destination in Valdosta. Lots of regal looking courthouses in Georgia…

Valdosta

Scorching in south Georgia

Temperatures in Georgia were supposed to be capped by overcast skies. Instead, the highs in Valdosta climbed deeper into the 90s than anyone expected. This was enough of a destabilizing force to lead to a few showers across the region both Saturday and Sunday. The Weather Channel had rain in the forecast both days of the weekend, and also had the warmest overnight lows, which was the difference this time around. That overcast couldn’t keep temperatures down, but they did trap the warm air overnight.
Actuals: Saturday, Trace of rain, High 91, Low 69
Sunday – Trace of rain, High 93, Low 70

Grade: C