Tag Archives: Valdosta

Valdosta, Georgia to Nashville, Tennessee

Georgia is a big state, and we are expected to run the length of it. Tennessee is a lengthy state as well, but we will cover it the short way, and all told, our drive will be about 7 hours, covering 477 miles, most of it coming in Georgia. We will be on I-75 until we hit Chattanooga, and I-24 the rest of the way, and that works itself out to an average speed of 69mph, which is pretty nice.

 

Tonight will be a very rainy night in Valdosta. The tail of a cold front lies in the Carolinas, but a weak surface perturbation will move through northern Florida overnight and really ramp things up over south Georgia. The nice thing about this feature, however, is that it will also pull more quickly off shore, and pull any lingering moisture out of Georgia. By the time we head out tomorrow morning from Valdosta, the rain will already be on the eastern horizon. One of the challenges we may yet encounter will be some gusty conditions as the cold air arrives in eastern Tennessee. The wind may pick up between Atlanta and Chattanooga, but will taper off through the last couple of hours in the Volunteer State. There is a weak little band of light snow that should pass to the north of Nashville, but that’s not a guarantee. If nothing else, this should tell you that it will be a bit on the chilly side when we arrive in Nashville. (I should note that I am concluding this post just as the award for best Country Album of the year was announced at the Grammies. Weird.)

Just a summer day down south

Temperatures in south Georgia over the last couple of days in Georgia have been a bit warmer than is even normal for that part of the world. That means temperatures in Valdosta reached the mid to upper 90s on Friday and Saturday. I would say it was a good thing there was no rain, but frankly, why would anyone want to be outside anyways? Victoria-Weather and Accuweather tied for the top spot.
Actuals: Friday – High 94, Low 71
Saturday – High 97, Low 71

Grade: A-B

Valdosta, Georgia

Good morning! Let’s take a quick run on down to Georgia to evaluate the day’s weather.

At 758AM ,ET, Valdosta was reporting a temperature of 68 degrees with clear skies. It was already quite muggy, with dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s at this time of morning. Across the region, skies were generally clear, but hot and stuffy, as they often are at this time of year.
There is weak high pressure over the region, though a more apt description may be “an absence of organized low pressure.” A strong area of thunderstorms that has been rumbling since last night is drawing the focus across the region. The vorticity maximum moving from the eastern Great Lakes southeastward will reorganized and pass through the Carolinas overnight tomorrow, and the sea breeze will become active over the Florida Peninsula, but Valdosta will remain dry, Very muggy, but dry.
Tomorrow – Hot, humid and sunny, High 95, Low 71
Saturday – Partly cloudy, warmer, High 97, Low 73

TWC: Tomorrow – Except for a few afternoon clouds, mainly sunny. Hugh 87, Low 71
Saturday – A few clouds from time to time. High 100, Low 71

AW: Tomorrow – Partly sunny and hot High 96, Low 71
Saturday – Hot with sunshine and some clouds High 98, Low 71

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny and hot, Hgh 97, Low 71
Saturday – A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny and hot, High 98, Low 72

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 96, Low 72
Saturday- Mostly suny, A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Hiigh 99, Low 73

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny High 97, Low 72
Saturday – Partly Cloudy with Isolated Storms High 99, Low 72

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy in the evening. Hgh 96, Low 72
Saturday – Partly cloudy starting in the afternoon. High 98, Low 71

Oooh, that’s stuffy. Here is the satellite, with no clouds in the southeast, but plenty in the mid-Atlantic.
Valdosta

It always has to storm

The southeastern US has one persistent tenet. If it’s warm and humid in the summer, a thunderstorm can’t possibly be far away. This was exactly the situation in Valdosta, where isolated to scattered storms cropped up around the Florida Panhandle and Georgia Coast. They wouldn’t stay dry through the entire period. That doesn’t happen. Some thunder activity moved into the region on Thursday, preventing temperatures from warming too much as well as leaving a few splashes of rainfall. There was a three way tie atop the leaderboard, from the Weather Service, Weatherbug and WeatherNation all drew to a tie at the top.
Actuals: Wednesday – High 83, Low 70
Thursday – .02 inches of rain, High 77, Low 66

Grade: C-D

Valdosta, Georgia

We are headed down south for our forecast this evening. What is on the docket just north of the Florida border?

At 1053PM, ET, Valdosta was reporting a temperature of 75 degrees with partly cloudy skies. Dew points were in the upper 60s with a light northeast wind in response to a wave still embedded within the Gulfstream. Aloft, there is a weak trough with southerly flow, providing a good shear environment, and a hospitable environment for thunderstorms along the Florida coast. Indeed, there were isolated cells filling Apalachee Bay.
This pattern is expected to remain unchanged for the next couple of days, with a robust shear environment over the Florida Panhandle, and weak low pressure over the Gulf Stream. Most of the convection associated with these features will hug the coast, but particularly in the afternoon, the cap over Valdosta may break, and there could be a few showers and storms.
Tomorrow – Scattered showers and storms, High 85, Low 71
Thursday – Scattered showers and storms, High 83, Low 71

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy, High 86, Low 68
Thursday – Cloudy, High 82, Low 68

AW: Tomorrow – Partial sunshine with a shower or thunderstorm in spots High 84, Low 69
Thursday – Intervals of clouds and sunshine High 83, Low 50

NWS: Tomorrow – 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny High 84, Low 68
Thursday – A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, High 82, Low 68

WB: Tomorrow – Partly sunny. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 84, Low 68
Thursday – Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning…Then chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 82, Low 68

WN: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy with Scattered Showers High 84, Low 68
Thursday – Mostly Cloudy with Scattered Showers High 82, Low 68

FIO: Tomorrow -Drizzle starting in the afternoon. High 88, Low 69
Thursday – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 83, Low 69

The forecast dip in temperature is due to a forecast strengthening in that low off the coast, which means thicker clouds in Valdosta. Here is the radar, with some convection south of Tallahassee. This will be pretty similar for the next couple of days.
Valdosta

Hinesville, Georgia to Valdosta, Georgia

Well this trip seems familiar. We’re going to be retracing our steps from yesterday’s trip, but not going quite as far. This trip is only 127 miles and about 2 1/2 hours, giving us an estimated speed of 52mph. Taking it easy today.

Hinesville

The low pressure over the southern Plains is a little bit more organized than we had even expected. This means a pretty nasty squall moving through the southern Plains, but a well defined and dry warm sector. It’s the warm sector where we will be driving, and let me be the first to tell you that it will be tremendously warm. Expect 90s and humidity as we stop in at our destination in Valdosta. Lots of regal looking courthouses in Georgia…

Valdosta

Scorching in south Georgia

Temperatures in Georgia were supposed to be capped by overcast skies. Instead, the highs in Valdosta climbed deeper into the 90s than anyone expected. This was enough of a destabilizing force to lead to a few showers across the region both Saturday and Sunday. The Weather Channel had rain in the forecast both days of the weekend, and also had the warmest overnight lows, which was the difference this time around. That overcast couldn’t keep temperatures down, but they did trap the warm air overnight.
Actuals: Saturday, Trace of rain, High 91, Low 69
Sunday – Trace of rain, High 93, Low 70

Grade: C

Valdosta, Georgia to Modesto, Califronia

Well hello! School should be letting out any time now, so do you know what that means? Road trip! This will be a week long adventure. Well, a work week long adventure, at any rate, lasting 5 days and covering 2620 miles. That will put us on a pace of 64.9mph, which will result in a daily conquest of 518.9 miles. Let’s see how that does.

DAY ONE
Valdosta
There isn’t much going on aloft across the southeast, but a moist flow through the region could touch off some clouds and isolated shower activity. We wil be into some drier air after we reach Atlanta and head westward, and it should be mostly sunny until we reach New Albany, Mississippi, which is about 20 minutes past Tupelo.

DAY TWO
We have another round of heavy rain and thunderstorms moving through the Upper Midwest tomorrow. We have a moderate risk for severe thunderstorms from Iowa to Kansas. The cold front associated with this system isn’t going to move very quickly. We should get through Memphis and Little Rock without any problems, but west of Little Rock, we might meet a bit of shower activity west of Russellville. The meat of this cold front will be betwee Fort Smith and Shawnee, Oklahoma, where we should anticipate a threat for large hail, gusty winds, and year, even some tornadoes. When we are driving through, the line will be discrete cells when we pass through on I-40. That means we could completely miss everything, or we could end up driving right through a cell with 3″ hail. I’m sure this will incredibly stressful, so we’re going to call it a night in Oklahoma City, just after the storm threat has passed.

DAY THREE
There is a nonsensical model inndicating postfrontal rain through eastern Oklahoma, the Texas Panhandle and eastern New Mexico, developing after noon. Like I said, this looks like nonsense. There is no way that moisture is going to wrap in from the south end of this low through west Texas. We’ll be fine. We will end the day east of Albuquerque in Morarty, New Mexico

DAY FOUR
Finally, Wednesday we will reach some thermal ridging and be out of the threat for rain. Driving through western New Mexico and northern Arizona should be free and clear, with our day ending in Yuca, on the western part of the state. It’s going to be hot.

DAY FIVE
We’re looking at another day of wam weather without much going on with the weather. Sunny skies, not even much by way of fog in the valley in the morning, and we can check intto a very nce, very quaint Modesto.
Modesto

Valdosta, Georgia

We are going to run off to south Georgia for the last forecast of the work week. Are you ready for a steamy weekend?

At 1153AM, ET, Valdosta was reporting a temperature of 84 degrees with clear skies. While there was a deep trough over the center of the country, there was also a strong ridge located over Georgia.
Through tomorrow morning, the upper level trough producing the wet weather for the Mississippi Valley will lose amplitude and form a broader trough north of the Ozarks. The jet streak that had formed the exit region of the trough will dissipate rapidly. Still, there will be flow off the Gulf into the region, even if there isn’t much forcing to sweep it away. Expect a hot, humid weekend with isolated, general thunderstorms across the region. It will be the first truly summerlike weekend of the season! IT should be warm enough on Sunday that the atmosphere is capped, and thunderstorms are unlikely.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, humid with a chance for rain, High 86, Low 66
Monday – Even warmer, still mostly cloudy, High 89, Low 65

TWC: Tomorrow Scattered T-Storms High 87, Low 68
Sunday – Isolated T-Storms High 90, Low 67

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy and humid High 88, Low 65
Sunday – Partly sunny High 90, Low 63

NWS: Tomorrow – A slight chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, High 89, Low 66
Sunday – A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny High 92, Low 63

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers in the morning…then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 88, Low 64
Sunday – Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. High 91, Low 63

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly Cloudy with Isolated Showers High 90. Low 66
Sunday – Partly Cloudy with Scattered Storms High 91, Low 63

Weathernation has significantly improved their site. I feel like this could lead to more competitive forecasts. In the mean time, chec out the monster system moving through the Plains.
Valdosta

Was this even for the right city?

Something went terribly awry in Valdosta. Across the board, forecasts were alternately too cool and too warm, and not just by a little bit either. On Wednesday, despite the heavy rain that the area saw, temperatures soared into the low 90s. Everyone was way off. Then, behind the shower activity, thick overcast invaded southern Georgia, and temperatures couldn’t even crawl out of the 70s. Everyone was way off. The funny thing is, everyone had forecast highs that were about the same, in the mid to upper 80s, both on Wednesday and Thursday. The Weather Channel, who has seemed to refine the art of the awful forecast lately, had the top numbers in Valdosta.
Actuals: Wednesday – .20 inches of rain, High 91, Low 73
Thursday – High 77, Low 66

Grade: D