A dry forecast was expected for the last couple days in Salinas, and it did pan out. However, the marine layer stuck around much longer than expected each day, and never really burnt off each day either. This kept the high temperatures much lower than expected, roasting a bunch of forecasts in the process. Weatherbug had a narrow victory, but not much of one to cheer about.
Tuesday: High 64, Low 52.
Wednesday: High 63, Low 53.
Forecast Grade: C-F
Tomorrow – Cloudy early, then sunny, High 72, Low 49
Wednesday – Morning fog and haze, High 74, Low 52
TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy skies. High 70, Low 50
Wedneday – Partly cloudy skies.High 71, Low 52
AW: Tomorrow – Low clouds followed by sunshine High 70, Low 51
Wednesday – Low clouds giving way to sunshine High 71, Low 51
NWS: Tomorrow – Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing, High 67, Low 51
Wednesday – Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny High 70, Low 52
WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming sunny. Patchy fog in the morning. High 67, Low 51
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming sunny. Patchy fog in the morning. High 68, Low 51
WN: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy with Patchy Fog High 68, Low 52
Wednesday – Mostly Sunny with Patchy Fog High 70, Low 52
FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 70, Low 51
Wednesday – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 70, Low 52
A weak cold front moving towards the California coast lost a lot of its steam as it approached. The forecast anticipated the boundary breaking down, but there was still trepidation that there could be rain in Salinas because it’s California and you always forecast for rain if there is the slightest chance. In fact, the boundary completely fizzled, and there weren’t even much by way of clouds. This led to climbing temperatures and sunny skies as a result. The National Weather Service and Weatherbug tied at the top spot for the first forecast in February.
Actuals: Wednesday – High 59, Low 39
Thursday – High 66, Low 41
As is our custom here at Victoria-Weather, we are going to be forecasting well away from the major system rolling through the Plains. Nearly a foot of snow has fallen in the Twin Cities (I have drifts to my knees by my house) and in the south, there have been severe thunderstorms and tornadoes. Is this forecast for Salinas not what you need? Would you like to order a forecast of your own? Then please, watch this video to learn how to order a customized forecast from Victoria-Weather.
At 653PM, PM, Salinas was reporting a temperature of 51 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. There were some coastal clouds throughout Monterey Bay, but most of the rest of the region, including San Francisco, was clear. This will mean a somewhat warm night for Salinas while areas to the north and inland will cool off under starry skies.
An undercutting shortwave trough is generating a strong low over the Gulf of Alaska. High topped clouds are notable off shore on satellite in association with a front being dragged through the chilly Pacific towards California. As the northern portion of the boundary comes ashore along the Canadian coast and eventually south through the Pacific Northwest and Northern California, it will weaken significantly. By the time the tail of the front makes its way into Monterey Bay early Thursday, it will carry almost no moisture. Expect the day to be fairly overcast on Thursday, nevertheless, with a spot of drizzle in the morning.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny. High 60, Low 44
Thursday – Cloudy with a bit of drizzle early. High 63, Low 45
TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy, High 60, Low 38
Thursday – Partly cloudy skies, High 63, Low 44
AW: Tomorrow – Some sun, then increasing clouds High 59, Low 38
Thursday – Sunshine and patchy clouds High 62, Low 43
NWS: Tomorrow – A 10 percent chance of rain after 4pm. Partly sunny, High 59, Low 39
Thursday – Mostly sunny, High 63, Low 42
WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain in the afternoon. High 59, Low 39
Thursday – Partly cloudy, High 63, Low 42
WN: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy with Isolated Showers High 59, Low 36
Thursday – Partly Cloudy High 63, Low 39
FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 60, Low 40
Thursday – Partly cloudy until evening. High 62, Low 45
Temperatures are busting hard overnight tonight, so I have a bit warmer low than anyone else. We’ll see if my observation pays off. Here is the satellite, with a cold front sneaking east, lying just off shore.
The Eagles are famous for noting that it never rains in southern California. Salinas is not in southern California, and a few drops of rain graced the coastal city on Thursday. It was split 50-50 over forecasts for rain and forecasts for no rain, and the dry forecasts were better with their temperatures, which made for tight results all the way around. In the end though, it was a forecast site that had the drizzle in the forecast that ended up securing victory. WeatherNation won on Independence Day.
Actuals: Thursday – Trace of rain, High 75, Low 56
Friday – High 73, Low 59
This is going to be an extended journey. It will take 6 days to cross the country and cover 3006.47miles. This is a classic cross country trip though, taking us right through Chicago. Most of the drive will be through the stark wilderness of the western United States, though. As a result, we will anticipate a speed of 66.4mph on I-80, which means the first 5 days will see the odometer tick off 531 miles. Can we expect anything to spoil the view of those purple mountains’ majesty or amber waves of grain.
DAY ONE (Friday)
You should see the satellite and radar imagery across the Great Basin. The Sierras and northern Nevada are simply lit up with lightning strikes. The disturbed weather doesn’t look like it will be so far to the west tomorrow, and our passage over the Sierras should be pretty uneventful. We should be all right in western Nevada as well, I think, but showers and storms will erupt east of Winnemucca. There will be plenty of clearing between the storms, which will be great for a light show in the heavens. We will stop east of Battle Mountain in the colorfully named Mosquito Canyon.
DAY TWO (Saturday)
It will take until the mid afternoon for thunderstorms to fire up on Saturday, which will mean a few good hours of driving before we might see some convection. The threat will be greatest during our jaunt through Utah, with a shower or storm in Salt Lake City not out of the question. The threat will end abruptly as we cross into southwestern Wyoming, though, after we descend out of the Wasatch, and our arrival in Red Desert, about halfway between Rock Springs and Rawlins, will be dry. Enjoy it for the night.
DAY THREE (Sunday)
We should dodge the showers on Sunday during the day, save for a few developing showers around Cheyenne. An area of low pressure will be developing in the lee of the Colorado Rockies, and interacting with a system centered over western Ontario. The heavy showers and thunderstorms will be erupting along the Nebraska border, but we will be to at least Big Springs by the time things really start popping. It will be quite warm in Nebraska, primed for those thunderstorms out in the western part of the state. When we stop in Shelton, Nebraska, between Kearny and Grand Island, we better find some air conditioning.
DAY FOUR (Monday)
Monday will be a noisy day. It will start from the time we get up, when leftover convection from the night before will still be raging in Shelton. A now fully realized and active cold front moving through Iowa will bring the threat for showers and thunderstorms throughout our day. Most likely, there will be a squall at the leading edge of the boundary, which will race quickly to the east, keeping us in the rain shield behind it. Assuming we can navigate any traffic tie ups caused by the storm ,we wil likely breach the leading edge of the storm around Moline and get about an hour of drier driving until we stop in Princeton, Illinois.
DAY FIVE (Tuesday)
While the stretch from Angola, Indiana to Toledo, Ohio will be fairly stormy, the rest of the journey looks much better on Tuesday than it did on Monday. Expect mostly clear skies in the wake of the front through Chicago, but after we catch up with the boundary, the threat for rain will remain with us through the rest of the drive. That rain wouldn’t otherwise be there, but as we approach the higher terrain of western Pennsylvania, it’s what we must deal with. the day will end north of Pittsburgh, with a little bit of overcast and some drizzle, in Cranberry Township.
DAY SIX (Wednesday)
The boundary will be fairly broken down and diffuse upon its arrival in Pennsylvania, however with the mountains through the state, it will still be an efficient rain producer. Expect rain and thunder to accompany us through the Keystone State, though not much of it will be severe.That activity will have a tough time sustaining itself in south Jersey, which means a potential for drier conditions when we arrive in Vineland.
Apologies for the late forecast. You know when your family says one then then does another, like dinner is at 6 but really isn’t until 8? Yeah… so go ahead and blame my family for their tardy cooking if you’ve been up all night waiting for this post. In their defense, it was pretty tasty.
At 753pm PDT, the temperature at Salinas, CA was 64 degrees under fair skies. A large ridge of high pressure continues to persist over the western US, with temperatures roasting from Idaho to Indio. Luckily, the brunt of this heat dome is staying further inland and sparing most of the coastal areas. If anything, Salinas could be subjected to some marine layer-inspired fog in the morning before trailing off to some rather pleasant afternoon conditions. There’s a chance a shower could stray from the activity expected inland on Thursday, but they’re scattered enough for me to keep Salinas dry during the day. Salinas has a better chance at seeing precip the next couple of days from any drizzle that rings out of the morning fog if it’s dense enough. Otherwise, looks like a great jump to the holiday weekend!
Thursday: Morning fog/clouds, giving way to afternoon sun. High 76, Low 58.
Friday: More of the same, with clouds burning off by late morning. High 74, Low 60.
TWC: Thursday: Morning clouds give way to afternoon sun. High 74, Low 58.
Friday: Patchy morning fog, then mostly sunny. High 72, Low 59.
AW: Thursday: Intervals of clouds and sun. High 73, Low 60
Friday: Partly sunny and pleasant. High 72, Low 60.
NWS: Thursday: Slight chance of thunderstorms. High 69, Low 57.
Friday: Patchy fog, then partly cloudy. High 68, Low 57.
WB: Thursday: ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
WN: Thursday: Partly cloudy with isolated storms. High 72, Low 57.
Friday: Partly cloudy with patchy fog. High 72, Low 57.
FIO: Thursday: Some morning drizzle, then partly cloudy. High 78, Low 60.
Friday: Partly cloudy until afternoon. High 74, Low 58.
Apparently Weatherbug decided to kickoff the holiday weekend a bit early and didn’t want to display any forecasts. Here we see some high clouds over the CA coastal area, with storms remaining further to the east over the Great Basin.
The rain moved in and out of Salinas pretty much right on schedule, making way for a relatively decent afternoon. Temperatures did peek into the low 50s, which surprised most forecasts. Temperatures crashed pretty hard that night too, making it to freezing before the clock flipped past midnight. The NWS and Weatherbug tied for the win.
Saturday: 0.18 inches of precip in morning rain. High 53, Low 32.
Sunday: High 49, Low 30.
Forecast Grade: B
Today we head to an area where thankfully, the temperature will be ABOVE zero. That’s always nice, right? Show us what ya got Salinas!
At 953pm PST, the temperature at Salinas, CA was 48 degrees with light rain falling. An area of low pressure is pushing into the Western US and is expected to bring lots of rain and higher elevation snows to the Sierra Nevada. Some areas are expected to get 1-3 feet above 6-7 thousand feet! With much of the Central and Eastern US getting lots of snow last couple games, I’m sure the ski resorts in CA and NV will be happy with this storm moving in. Most of the rain should shift through Salinas during the morning, then trail off to just a few spotty midday showers as the system pushes off towards SoCal and into NV. There might be a couple peeks of sun even during the afternoon, but I wouldn’t bet on it. As the system barrels inland, high pressure drops in from the Pacific Northwest, making for a dry but cool end to the weekend.
Saturday: High 49, Low 37.
Sunday: High 50, Low 31.
TWC: Saturday: Morning rain. High 49, Low 36.
Sunday: Sunny. High 49, Low 30.
AW: Saturday: Periods of rain in morning, turning colder. High 47, Low 33.
Sunday: Mostly sunny and cold. High 44, Low 29.
NWS: Saturday: Morning rain showers. High 48, Low 32.
Sunday: Morning frost, then sunny. High 48, Low 30.
WB: Saturday: Chance of morning rain showers. High 50, Low 31.
Sunday: Sunny. High 50, Low 29.