Tag Archives: Lawton

“Room to get Chillier”

When I wrote up the forecast for Lawton, Oklahoma, I mentioned that clear skies allowed a little room for things to get chillier. Boy, did they. A slow moving boundary to the northeast was producing precipitation and held back some colder air in the Plains. Well, it moved through Lawton, and it was much colder than anyone forecast. Super Bowl Sunday might have been difficult for satellite customers, with winds touching 40mph from the north for a good chunk of the afternoon. It brought in temperatures that were 10 degrees colder (at least) than most outlets foresaw. This carried over into Monday, where temperatures were, again, 10-15 degrees colder than expected, by almost everyone. Both for the high and the low. This was a fantastically ugly forecast. Forecast.io won handily because their forecast wasn’t a complete disaster. I can’t underscore how bad the forecast was for everyone else, though.
Actuals: Sunday – High 48, Low 20
Monday – High 43, Low 14

Grade: C – F

Lawton, Oklahoma

Hello, and good evening. We’re going to take a late night look at southwestern Oklahoma, if for no other reason than to take my mind off of the subzero temperatures here in Victoria-Weather’s home land.

At 1253PM, CT, Lawton was reporting clear skies with a temperature of 35 degrees. Fog has built in towards Dallas, helping temperatures linger in the 40s, but the clear skies for Lawton mean there is some room for things to get a bit chillier overnight.
An upper level trough in the Upper Midwest is driving a cold dome of surface high pressure to the south, and will continue to do so through the day tomorrow, but it’s inflection point will be to the east of Lawton, meaning the coldest air won’t move into to town, and a rebound to some slightly warmer temperatures will be easily attained on Monday.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 48, Low 32
Monday – Sunny, High 56, Low 24

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny and windy High 47, Low 34
Monday – Intervals of clouds and sunshine. High 54, Low 24

AW: Tomorrow – Times of clouds and sun High 55, Low 35
Monday – Cooler with times of clouds and sun High 54, Low 24

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 52, Low 37
Monday – Mostly sunny, High 51, Low 36

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 51, Low 35
Monday – Partly cloudy, High 54, Low 25

WN: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 52, Low 37
Monday – Partly cloudy, High 51, Low 26

FIO: Tomorrow – Breezy starting in the morning, continuing until evening. High 47, Low 27
Monday – Partly cloudy starting in the afternoon and breezy in the afternoon. High 49, Low 17

I didn’t expect this much disparity in the forecast today. I’m leaning hard on the GFS, but the NAM is completely off alignment with the GFS temperatures. We’ll see what wins out. Satellite shows that the low clouds don’t have high enough tops to register on the IR satellite tonight.

Lawton, Oklahoma to Joplin, Missouri

We’re on the road again this evening, but today’s trip will be a short little trek. We’re only going to take about 4 1/2 hours to cover 302 miles through Oklahoma before we call it a day at the southwest corner of Missouri. Let’s set forth and see if anything is going on in the Sooner State.

High pressure in the middle of the country is leading to unpleasantly cold air just being parked smack dab along our route, but it’s starting to retreat. As high pressure relents, there is a little bit of rising air in the Plains, which is leading to some flurries over eastern Kansas. Some of those snow showers will make their way into southwestern Missouri in the morning and might still be hanging around Joplin when we arrive. The rest of the drive, the part in Oklahoma, on the other hand, will be a pretty great drive. Stay in the car though, because it will be fairly chilly in Oklahoma, and not a soul will be out to say hi to you.

Lawton, Oklahoma to Tucson, Arizona

That was fun, let’s do it again! This time, the trip will route out of Lawton and head towards Arizona. This is a lonely drive, but at least it will only last a day and a half. Lawton and Tucson are only 867 miles apart, which we will cover at a pace of 63.1mph. This is what happens when there isn’t a major freeway between a couple towns. We’ll call it a night after the standard 8 hours of driving, which in this case will equate to 505 hours of driving. This should be less rainy than this afternoon’s drive, that’s for sure.

DAY ONE (Sunday)

There is a pool of cool air settling into the Plains behind the current cold front running west of the Appalachians, and it will keep the drive mostly dry on Sunday. Later in the day, there is some suggestion that a dry line will set up through west Texas, but I don’t think it is unstable enough that the thunderstorms will be terribly widespread, and the turning in the lower levels of the atmosphere will cause some rganization around the Big Bend. Long story short, as we drive between Lubbock and Amarillo, on towards Clovis, we will stay dry. It will continue to be dusty and dry in Tularosa, New Mexico, which is just north of Alamogordo.

DAY TWO (Monday)
After the little feature in southern Texas organizes a bit, it will shift into the Mississippi Valley and pull away any area moisture along with it, leaving our drive to be exactly what we would expect a drive through southern New Mexico annd Arizona to be like. Dry, sunny, pretty warm. Oh, and terribly empty. We won’t see much in the way of life between Alamogordo annd Tucson, so enjoy it when we get there.

Lakeland, Florida to Lawton, Oklahoma

We’re finally going on a road trip together for the first time in a while. You’ve been out and about with Anthony, but it’s my time to take you on a two day trek, this from central Florida to southwest Oklahoma. The drive will take us two days and cover 1284 miles, slicing through the southeastern US. It will be warm, certainly, and that second nearly 11 hour drive will be fairly grueling, but we will be moving at a pace of 68mph, and will cover 544 miles on our first day, leaving the rest of the meat on the bone for Monday. We should get on the road and beat the heat.

DAY ONE (Sunday)

Despite an embedded vorticity maximum within a stalled cold front over the Lower Mississippi Valley, we will be in good shape as we begin our day Sunday. The Florida Peninsula will be in great shape, and we will be in the Peninsula for the first several hours of our day. In the Panhandle, isolated thunderstorms will begin to crop up, starting around Lake City, but certainly by the time we reach Tallahassee, we will have seen at least a bit of rain. Scattered showers with embedded thunderstorms, appearing more like sea breeze storms than frontal activity. We will encounter stronger, synoptic scale showers and storms not long after we Panama City, and there is a threat for some gusty winds and stronger thunderstorms all the way to Lucedale, Mississippi, just north of Gulfport, northwest of Mobile.

DAY TWO (Monday)
Another lower level eddy will be getting kicked up Sunday night over south Texas, and will be bringing some moisture inland early in the morning on Monday. There will be some rain in Lucedale as we depart, but as we drive north towards Jackson, it will clear out. The warm weather will give rise to increasing thunderstorm activity, which we will battle from Monroe, Louisiana to Longview, Texas. Much more manageable activity will continue through Dallas, but traffic will undoubtedly slow us down. Another thunderstorm may crop up in the last hour or so from Wichita Falls to Lawton, but if we don’t, we will leave the stratus behind and only see sun between the showers.

The Dusty Plains

While a massive thunderstorm complex raged in the Lower Mississippi Valley before spreading east into the Southeast. The vast range of moisture orbiting around it seemed to suggest that places like Lawton would see some light rain, at the very least, and potentially some thunderstorms. Instead, there weren’t even clouds overnight in southwestern Okahoma, which allowed temperatures to plummet overnight, scuttling the forecasts of many outlets. Accuweather had the top forecast, with only a slight nod towards potential precipitation and cooler overnight lows.
Actuals: Saturday – High 66, Low 33
Sunday – High 63, Low 37

Grade C-D

Little Rock, Arkansas to Lawton, Oklahoma

I would definitely say that this short road trip is best taken tomorrow than today, what with severe weather pummeling southern Arkansas tonight, with tornadoes south of Pine Bluff, near El Dorado. Our drive to the relatively calm Oklahoma will take about 6 hours while we cover 419 miles. The drive is not as the crow flies, which is so we can hop on the interstate and travel at a pace of 68.9mph  down I-40.

Low pressure presently causing severe weather in southern Arkansas won’t be getting much weaker overnight, and the center of circulation will track over the state through morning hours. Fortunately, by tomorrow morning the threat for severe storms will have moved on to the Carolinas, but heavy rain will be a strong possibility through Fort Smith, with some lighter showers continuing until we reach the Checotah exit in Oklahoma, just before we cross Lake Eufaula. Rain through central Oklahoma will take it’s time in exiting, but through Oklahoma City and on to Lawton, I suspect we will be in good shape.

Lawton, Oklahoma

Let’s keep this forecast train runnin’ with a trip to Oklahoma for another forecast. Oklahoma is often one of the more interesting places to forecast for. Will it live up to it’s reputation tonight?

At 1253AM, CT, Lawton was reporting clear skies with a temperature of 40 degrees.  The clear skies will hold until the early evening on Saturday. There is a virulent perturbation moving into the southeastern US that will bring some severe weather from Louisiana to Georgia. The broader upper trough will be shifting out of the Rockies and generating circulation in the lee of the mountains.
The emerging system will be stronger in a synoptic sense than the smaller one inflicting its wrath on Saturday, but it will really only come together after the center of circulation is on top of Lawton. Most of the rain and thunderstorms will develop in eastern Arkansas and spread east of the Mississippi. Rain showers will wrap around the circulation, leading to stratiform showers in Lawton, rather than heavier downpours or thunderstorms. The swiftly developing feature will move very quickly, with dry air returning to Lawton by Sunday afternoon, though this time, it will be much cooler.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, turning to overcast with showers late. High 69, Low 37
Sunday – Rain early, with sun returning in the afternoon, High 61, Low 42

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy skies early, then partly cloudy in the afternoon. Slight chance of a rain shower. High 69, Low 37
Sunday – Sun and a few clouds with gusty winds. High 61, Low 44

AW: Tomorrow – Mild with intervals of clouds and sunshine High 66, Low 38
Sunday – Windy with clouds giving way to sun (early rain) High 60, Low 40

NWS: Tomorrow – Partly sunny, (Late rain and thunderstorms) High 63, Low 42
Sunday – A 30 percent chance of showers before noon. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny High 56, Low 40

WB: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers in the afternoon. High 66, Low 41
Sunday – Mostly sunny (early storms) High 58, Low 39

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with scattered showers, High 64, Low 41
Sunday – Partly cloudy (early rain), High 6, Low 41

FIO: Tomorrow – Light rain in the evening. high 61, Low 39
Sunday – Breezy and partly cloudy in the morning. High 59, Low 42

Lawton and the rest of Oklahoma will steer well clear of the nastiest weather this time around. You can see they are between the two systems I referenced at this hour.

Lawton, Oklahoma to Panama City, Florida

We’re going to head to the beach today, with a nice little two day trip across the Mississippi from Oklahoma to Florida. It’s a 956 mile journey, with a little bit longer leg coming on Friday. There isn’t as much interstate on this trek as we might like, and as a result, our pace will be 62.8mph. That will allow us to cover 502 miles on Friday, the rest on Saturday. This is about the time of year to find some sand.

DAY ONE (Friday)
High pressure is overwhelming the south central United States, pushing all of the weather towards New England and the Pacific Northwest. The temperatures aren’t as blazing as they are in the summer either, so the combination of pleasurable temperatures and clear skies could make to for an easy drive to Holly Ridge, Louisiana, which is east of Monroe.

DAY TWO (Saturday)
A cold front moving just off shore is going to keep pushing the remnants of a tropical depression southeast and away from Florida. It was never going to threaten Panama City; I mostly just didn’t want to say “high pressure” to start another day of the drive. It should be great beach weather when we reach it.
Panama City