Akron, Ohio

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

It worked out mostly by accident, but today is the beginning of the NBA season, featuring the reigning champions, the LA Lakers, and their star, LeBron James, from Akron. It was meant to be.

At 851PM, ET, Akron was reporting a temperature of 37 degrees with overcast skies. Winds were light across the region, but generally southerly in response to a warm front over the northern Great Lakes right now. The warm front is attached to a rapidly strengthening area of low pressure that promises to ruin the end of the week in the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes.
The clouds over Akron right now are chaff found across the Eastern Great Lakes, which will shunt off to the northeast as warm air advances in ahead of the cold front coming through later this week. Wednesday should be warm, but increasingly windy and cloudy, with the front arriving on Christmas Eve, near dawn. It should be warm enough that it will start with rain, with a secondary circulation rising from the Tennessee Valley towards eastern Ohio. This advance will stall the cold air, which will dlay the transition to snow until much later, perhaps until the evening on Christmas Eve.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, increasingly windy and cloudy, High 50, Low 32
Christmas Eve – Rain starting early, intensifying and then turning to heavy wet snow around nightfall. 2-4″ by midnight. High

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy skies (Late rain). High 51, Low 33
Christmas Eve – Rain early with snow in the afternoon. High 51, Low 27

AW: Tomorrow – Mild with sun through high clouds; breezy in the afternoon (Late RAin) High 50, Low 30
Christmas Eve – Rain mixing with, then changing to snow late, accumulating 1-3 inches; watch for a rapid freeze-up High 47, Low 25

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 49, Low 31
Christmas Eve – Rain before 2pm, then rain and snow between 2pm and 4pm, then snow after 4pm. High 46, Low 24

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy (late rain) High 48, Low 34
Christmas Eve – Rain, Snow in the afternoon. Light snow acumulation, High 49, Low 27

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with isolated showers, High 49, Low 31
Christmas Eve – Cloudy with a wintry mix, High 47, Low 39

FIO: Tomorrow – Windy overnight and in the evening. High 50, Low 32
Christmas Eve – Rain (with a chance of 2–4 in. of snow) throughout the day. High 48, Low 22

It’s too bad that the forecast couldn’t come in the midst of wet weather. The NWS has rolled out new radar imagery and I could have used it. Alas, here is a look at Akron, on the cusp of clear skies. Don’t get used to them.

Grand Rapids, Michigan

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Welcome back to Victoria-Weather’s forecasting adventure zone. Grand Rapids is down wind of Lake Michigan, with fairly strong gusts being noted. Not to give anything away about the precipitation or anything.

At 453PM, ET, Grand Rapids was reporting temperature of 28 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. There have been a few streaks of light snow across western Michigan today, provided by winds off the Lake of up to 30mph. This is certainly a microscale event, as more generally, high pressure dominates the region.
A shortwaved ridge over the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes is contributing to the high pressure focused over the Upper Midwest and spreading into the Great Lakes. A deep, broad jet trough will overtake the middle of the country and birth an area of low pressure over the northern Gulf of Mexico, which will translate swiftly to central Appalachia. The existing surface ridge will squash the system to the south and east, away from Lower Michigan, but the induced northwest flow will mean a chance for some flakes, particularly on Wednesday, as well as dropping temperatures later in the week.
Tomorrow -Mostly cloudy, High 33, Low 21
Wednesday – Isolated flurries with mostly cloudy skies, High 30, Low 21

TWC: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. High 30, Low 22
Wednesday – Overcast High 33, Low 24

AW: Tomorrow – Sun through high clouds High 32, Low 18
Wednesday – A couple of snow showers in the morning; otherwise, mostly cloudy High 35, Low 20

NWS: Tomorrow – Partly sunny, High 29, Low 19
Wednesday – Cloudy High 33, Low 24

WB: Tomorrow – Partly sunny, High 29, Low 22
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy, High 31,Low 24

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 29, Low 19
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy, High 33, Low 24

FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 31, Low 24
Wednesday – Overcast throughout the day. High 33, Low 26

Well, it’s going to come down to cloud cover, but it’s interesting that we are moving in different directions on those highs, right? Here are a few bands of lake effect snow in western Michigan

Tucson, Arizona to Owensboro, Kentucky

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Two days, two road trips. This one will be another three day trip, covering 1,654 miles at a pace of 66mph. We’ll collect 529 miles on the first two days, and drive 9 hours to finish off the trip. With a system bubbling up in the southern US, this could be a bit of an interesting foray on the open road.

DAY ONE (Thursday)

Tucson, Arizona

It’s certainly not something we would expect, but there could be torrential rain in Tucson as we get underway on Thursday morning. Low pressure is rising out of northwestern Mexico into the desert Southwest, and will bring Tucson some torrential rain. The feature will lose it’s identity and a bit of it’s available precipitation as it drives into the Rockies, which will mean lighter rain as we pass into New Mexico. That lighter precipitation will continue to be possible, however, until Corona, but we will be dry through Santa Rosa, our day one destination. Unfortunately clouds will obscure the southern high Plains sunset.

DAY TWO (Friday)
The low will shift into the High Plains and intensify overnight Thursday into Friday, but the cold front will be well to our east by the time we get moving in the morning. It will be fairly windy and unusually cool from Santa Rosa through eastern New Mexico, the Texas Panhandle and west Texas. We will be moving quickly enough that we may catch up to the back end of the system as we approach Tulsa, our destination for Friday night.

DAY THREE (Saturday)
Unfortunately, our system is going to be moving to the north, predominantly, instead of to the east, which makes it easier to catch. There is a decent chance that the first contact will be with snow showers in central Missouri, from Springfield onward. It will ultimately transition from snow over to rain in southern Illinois and continue as such into Owensboro. Make no mistake, we will be mostly within the storm’s dry slot, which means light precipitation, or perhaps none at all, throughout this route, but the possibility is going to be ever present.

Owensboro, Kentucky

Owensboro, Kentucky

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Owensboro on the Ohio, OK?

At 956PM, Owensboro was reporting clear skies and a temperature of 33 degrees. Most of the region was seeing clear skies, but to the north, a swath of mid layer clouds was cruising through the Great Lakes. In the southern part of Indiana and Illinois, a bit of fog was settling in.
A jet ridge is pushing into the area, which will encourage more stability in the Ohio Valley for the rest of the work week. Unfortunately, it portends an undulating jet structure, and a weekend that is likely to be less pleasant than the conclusion to this week.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 58, Low 32
Friday – Mostly sunny, High 61, Low 32

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 59, Low 33
Friday – A few passing clouds, otherwise generally sunny High 62, Low 33

AW: Tomorrow – Some clouds, then sunshine High 59, Low 33
Friday – Partly sunny High 59, Low 36

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny High 56, Low 32
Friday – Sunny High 61, Low 34

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny High 57, Low 33
Friday – Mostly sunny, High 59, Low 35

WN: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 56, Low 34
Friday – Mostly sunny, High 61, Low 34

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 59, Low 44
Friday – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 61, Low 33

Don’t get lulled into this pleasant weather for the end of the week, Owensboro. It’s going downhill this weekend. Here is KEVV out of Evansville with the regional forecast.

Tucson, Arizona

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

It’s been a very long time since we saw a forecast here, so I’m happy to be bringing this one to you, even if the Southwest doesn’t always have the most dynamic weather.

At 953PM, MT, Tucson was reporting clear skies and a temperature of 47 degrees. A cut off low sits over the southwestern US, allowing for the pocket of chilly air in the region, and evidenced by an elevated cold front visible on satellite over western Nevada.
The cut off low projects to be quite impactful for the middle of the country late next week, but for the remainder of the weekend into Monday, it will sag back over the ocean as it drifts to the south southwest. Moderately chilly temperatures with generally clear skies will continue in Tucson.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 73, Low 40
Monday – Fair skies, High 75, Low 40

TWC: Tomorrow – Mainly sunny. High 74, Low 42
Monday – Except for a few afternoon clouds, mainly sunny High 76, Low 45

AW: Tomorrow – Plenty of sun High 73, Low 42
Monday – Partly sunny and warm High 75, Low 45

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 73, Low 47
Monday – Mostly sunny, High 75, Low 41

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 72, Low 40
Monday – Partly cloudy, High 73, Low 44

WN: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 73, Low 37
Monday – Mostly sunny, High 75, Low 41

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 73, Low 38
Monday – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 76, Low 38

Here is the satellite of the southwest tonight. Note the wispy cold front in western Nevada.

Hanford, California

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

All right, everyone, let’s get back to work for the week, and start our November with an Election Day forecast in the Central Valley of California.

At 853PM, PT, Hanford was reporting a temperature of 55 degrees with clear skies, calm winds and haze. The haze is expected to linger overnight. There is an air quality alert of the Central Valley, in part because of the inversion and stillness leading to the aforementioned haze.
Broadly, the western US is under a ridge, but a weak area of upper level troughing exists, centered over California. This is helping to keep temperatures a bit cooler than they would be otherwise, but there isn’t really an impetus for precipitation. The undercutting trough will shift to the east over the next couple of days, allowing a little bit of heat to return and the haze to become less likely by Tuesday.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, haze in the morning High 81, Low 48
Tuesday – Clearer still, a bit warmer, High 84, Low 47

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 84, Low 46
Tuesday – Generally sunny despite a few afternoon clouds, High 83, Low 45

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny; air quality will be unhealthy for sensitive groups High 84, Low 47
Tuesday – Sunshine and very warm; air quality will be unhealthy for sensitive groups High 83, Low 46

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny High 80, Low 49
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, High 80, Low 50

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny High 82, Low 49
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, High 82, Low 47

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 81, Low 47
Tuesday – Partly cloudy, High 81, Low 48

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 84, Low 49
Tuesday – Clear throughout the day. High 83, Low 47

I’m the only one calling for a warm up, but the margins are so slim, I don’t think anyone will notice. Here is the satellite, in which you can see a few wispy clouds.

Wenatchee, Washington

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Western Washington is our destination for today’s forecast. Not Puget Sound though, but rather an entirely different climate on the east side of the Cascades.

At 1155AM, PT, Wenatchee was reporting fair skies with a temperature of 49 degrees. The jet was nearly directly overhead, and was bringing some striated high clouds to the Pacific Northwest in general, but specifically some fog and light precipitation at the higher terrain of the Cascades. This will dissipate, and aside from the continued high clouds, Wenatchee will remain in the clear through Thursday.
The next feature out of the Gulf of Alaska will arrive early on Friday and bring a swift bout of showers to the region, some of which will likely snake its way to Wenatchee, even as most gets wasted in the Cascades. Expect a gloomy end to the week, thanks to the persistent clouds on Friday.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 51, Low 31
Friday – Cloudy, chances of rain through the day, High 41, Low 32

TWC: Tomorrow – A few passing clouds, otherwise generally sunny. High 53, Low 33
Friday – Periods of rain and snow. High 40, Low 35

AW Tomorrow – Mostly sunny and chilly High 49, Low 31
Friday – Colder with snow beginning in the late morning, accumulating an inch or two, Low 33

NWS: Tomorrow – Widespread frost before 8am. Otherwise, sunny High 53, Low 33
Friday – A chance of snow before 8am, then rain and snow. Snow level 800 feet High 35, Low 33

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, Widespread frost in the morning. High 51, Low 35
Friday – Snow. Moderate snow acumulations possible. Colder. High 38, Low 35

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with widespread frost, High 53, Low 32
Friday -Mostly cloudy with light wintry mix, High 36, Low 31

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 54, Low 31
Friday – Rain throughout the day. High 43, Low 33

It looks like a pretty grim day on the eastern slope of the Cascades on Friday. Here is the satellite with clouds streaming across the PAcific Northwest associated with the jet.

Santa Rosa, California

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Wine country…. hopefully not whine country.

At 753PM, PT, Santa Rosa was still reporting a temperature of 80 degrees with clear skies. The west coast will continue to remain clear for the next couple of days, and unlike the eastern two thirds of the country, it will be hot. Santa Rosa is in a red flag warning, and a heat advisory.
High pressure centered in the eastern Pacific is bolstered onshore by a thermal ridge. Little change can be anticipated in Santa Rosa, and the heat and fire danger will be in place, particularly with a broad static trough east of the Rockies.
Tomorrow – Sunny, High 93, Low 53
Sunday – Sunny, High 87, Low 49

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy skies. High 92, Low 56
Sunday – Partly cloudy skies. High 85, Low 53

AW: Tomorrow – Hot with plenty of sunshine; caution advised if doing strenuous activities outside High 93, Low 56
Sunday – Plenty of sunshine High 85, Low 50

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 92, Low 61
Sunday – Sunny, High 86, Low 56

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 91, Low 56
Sunday – Sunny, High 84, Low 54

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 93, Low 60
Sunday – Mostly sunny, High 85, Low 55

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 92, Low 58
Sunday – Clear throughout the day. High 85, Low 51

It’s like we were foreasting for different Santa Rosa’s, judging by some of those highs. I am not sold on as steep a drop in temperatures, clearly, as the others. Now, please enjoy the forecast from another viewpoint, KTVU in northern California.

Kingston, New York

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

The Hudson River is home to so many important cities, many of which are overshadowed by Albany and New York. There are plenty of good ones though, not the least of which is Kingston, which is just north of another good one, Poughkeepsie.

At 453PM, ET, it was 56 degrees and overcast near Kingston. The remnants of weak circulation associated with Delta are in Southern New England and are contributing to the cloudy skies in the area, though rain seems to have departed from Kingston for the rest of the day. Drier conditions are on the way tomorrow as a strong jet trough organizes a well developed extratropical cyclone in the Great Lakes.
The low will shift to the north as the jet trough becomes more well developed. The jet trough development is indicative of cold air surging into the center of the country, and a cold front developing west of the Appalachians. Ahead of the developing cold front, warm southerly flow will make things unseasonably warm for at least a day in Kingston.
Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 69, Low 41
Thursday – Partly cloudy, breeze, High 75, Low 43

TWC: Tomorrow – A mainly sunny sky, High 68, Low 40
Thursday – Abundant sunshine, High 74, Low 42

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, pleasant and warmer High 69, Low 38
Thursday – Sunny to partly cloudy and warm; breezy in the afternoon High 74, Low 42

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 68 , Low 41
Thursday – Sunny, High 73, Low 44

WB: Tomorrow – Patchy fog in the morning. Sunny. High 67, Low 41
Thursday – Sunny, High 72, Low 43

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 58, Low 41
Thursday – Mostly sunny, High 73, Low 41

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 69, Low 40
Thursday – Clear throughout the day. High 73, Low 44

I’m on the warm end on Saturday. I believe in the power of sunny skies and south winds. Here is the radar, showing rain shifting out of town.

Atlanta, Georgia

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

All right, Weather Channel, we’re coming for your back yard.

At 852PM, ET, Atlanta was reporting a temperature of 66 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. Tropical Storm Gamma was interfacing with low pressure in the Gulfstream, with clouds streaming across the southeastern United States. Atlanta was at the northern end of of the band of clouds, but Atlanta was the only place that was reporting anything close to overcast conditions.
High pressure is building into the Plains, and that will build into north Georgia as well, rendering the next two days quite pleasant. As Gamma unfurls, there might be a band of showers over central Georgia on Tuesday morning, but nothing well organized or long lived will transpire. Over the long term, Tropical Depression 26 bears monitoring not only for the Gulf, but specifically for the Atlanta area by next week.
Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 78, Low 55
Tuesday – Sunny, High 79, Low 57

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny skies, High 76, Low 52
Tuesday – Partly cloudy, High 78, Low 55

AW: Tomorrow – Pleasant with plenty of sun, High 78, Low 53
Tuesday – Pleasant with plenty of sun, High 78, Low 57

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny High 77, Low 53
Tuesday – Sunny High 76, Low 55

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny High 75, Low 53
Tuesday – Sunny High 77, Low 56

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 77, Low 55
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, High 76, Low 54

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 79, Low 54
Tuesday – Clear throughout the day. High 78, Low 57

Atlanta looks ok today, but as I said, the Gulf bears monitoring.