Colorado Springs, Colorado

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

The Palmer Divide separates Denver from Colorado Springs, and though the topographies of the individual cities may appear similar, they often have very different weather fortunes. Let’s see what happens in Colorado Springs to round out the week.

At 854AM, MT, Colorado Springs was reporting a temperature of 45 degrees with a brisk west wind, gusting to 35mph with scattered clouds. An area of low pressure over the central Plains was leading to a wet day across the Northern Plains, with some light snow wrapping in from the north for Denver. South of the Palmer Divide, things were looking significantly drier, and the winds across the region were leading to red flag warnings for the Colorado High Plains.
Jet flow should remain fairly consistent across the region for the remainder of the week, southwest to northeast, though flow through the jet will continue to strengthen. A trough will begin to propagate along the jet stream in the western United States overnight Thursday to Friday, which will invigorate a warm front in the Plains, and will eventually lead to cyclogenesis in the southern High Plains. Skies will be fairly cloudy throughout the period, thanks to the flow aloft, but they will darken further late Friday, with a chance for a stray drizzle or flurry before midnight and a stormy weekend.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 45, Low 23
Friday – Increasing clouds, wintry mix late, High 40, Low 25

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy. High 45, Low 26
Friday – Partly cloudy skies during the morning hours will give way to cloudy skies with light rain and snow developing in the afternoon High 40, Low 26

AW: Tomorrow – A bit of morning snow with little or no accumulation followed by a little rain in the afternoon High 47, Low 24
Friday – Cloudy with a little snow with little or no accumulation, mixing with, then changing to rain High 44, Low 28

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny (Late snow) High 47, Low 24
Friday – A chance of snow before 3pm, then rain likely, possibly mixed with snow. Mostly cloudy, High 41, Low 26

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming mostly sunny, High 46, Low 28
Friday – Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow in the morning then chance of snow possibly mixed with rain in the afternoon, High 40, Low 29

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 47, Low 24
Friday – Motly cloudy with light wintry mix likely, High 42, Low 26

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 50, Low 28
Friday – Foggy overnight and in the evening. High 47, Low 30

Guidance is pretty reluctant to put much precipitation in Colorado Springs Friday night, but many outlets are going hard for a miserable end to the work week. Look at the radar below, with snow, deceptively heavy, up in Denver and nothing in Colorado Springs. That Palmer Divide sure lives up to it’s billing!

Topeka, Kansas

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

I really enjoy forecasting in Kansas. It’s right there, smack dab in the middle of the country, and it gets a little bit of influence from the Rockies, a little from the Gulf. It’s a lot of fun, I think.

At 253, PM, CT, Topeka was reporting a temperature of 62 degrees with clear skies and a brisk southwest wind. High pressure was dominating the picture in the middle of the country, leaving the entirety of Kansas in a pleasant warm air regime. Some brisk southerly winds were being drawn towards low pressure in the Canadian Prairies, but a feature along the Gulf Coast was intercepting moisture across the country, leading to the warm, dry situation in the Plains.
The clear skies and increasing warm weather will continue unabated through the middle of the week, however a fast moving wave presently over the Pacific, off the California coast will move swiftly on a line for Kansas. Rain should wait until after midnight, coming on Friday morning, but some warm south winds will take hold on Thursday afternoon.
Tomorrow – Sunny, High 69, Low 37
Thursday – Increasing clouds late, High 70, Low 34

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 71, Low 34
Thursday – Generally sunny despite a few afternoon clouds. High 70, Low 34

AW: Tomorrow – Mild with plenty of sun High 67, Low 35
Thursday – Mild with plenty of sun High 69, Low 34

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 66, Low 34
Thursday – Sunny, High 67, Low 34

WB: Tomorrow -Sunny, High 70, Low 35
Thursday – Sunny, High 69, Low 35

WN: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 66, Low 34
Thursday – Mostly sunny, High 67, Low 34

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 69 Low 35
Thursday – Clear throughout the day. High 69, Low 36

Look, you can see all of Kansas from space.

Cumberland, Maryland

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Let’s see what’s going on inland in Maryland tonight.

AT 955PM, ET, Cumberland was reporting a temperature of 35 degrees with light rain. That rain wasn’t likely to continue through the night. The back edge of this batch of rain, presently inundating the District of Columbia, was nearby. A more likely change, however, would be that the rain changes to snow before precipitation ceases. A trio of southwest to northeast jet streaks presently lies across the mid Atlantic, fostering an environment of instability, with light rain moving across the region.
Some jet coalescence will occur in the next 12 hours, offering guidance for the activity in the area right now. It will jet off towards New England, while additional cyclogenesis will begin at the base of the trough, over the high Plains. As it drifts into the Upper Midwest, a well developed warm front will track through the area on Sunday morning. Fortunately, the warm air will arrive before the precipitation, and only rain is expected. Unfortunately, the system is going to occlude quickly, and the cold front will also drag itself across western Maryland by Sunday afternoon. Sunday, as a result, will be rainy throughout the day.
Tomorrow – Wintry mix early, then clearing and mostly cloudy. High 56, Low 34
Sunday – Rain all day, High 51, Low 39

TWC: Tomorrow – Light rain early. A mix of sun and clouds in the afternoon. (early snow), High 58, Low 34
Sunday – Rain likely. Potential for heavy rainfall, High 49, Low 42

AW: Tomorrow – A passing morning shower; otherwise, mostly cloudy and not as cool (Early snow) High 58, Low 34
Sunday – Rain High 50, Low 40

NWS: Tomorrow – Rain, mainly before 1pm High 56, Low 38
Sunday – Rain, mainly after 7am. The rain could be heavy at times. High 53, Low 42

WB: Tomorrow – Patchy fog in the morning. Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and freezing rain likely in the morning, then partly sunny with isolated rain showers in the afternoon. High 54, Low 36
Sunday – Rain, High 48, Low 41

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with scattered showers, High 57, Low 34
Sunday – Mostly cloudy with rain, High 53, Low 40

FIO: Tomorrow – Light rain until afternoon. High 57, Low 34
Sunday – Rain throughout the day. High 53, Low 40

It looks pretty rainy in and around Cumberland this weekend. At least we are all used to being indoors by now, right? Here is the rain right now. Not showing much in Cumberland, but that is probably an effect of the mountains in western Maryland.

Ocean City, New Jersey

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Ocean City is in the southern part of the state of New Jersey, not far from Atlantic City. Sheesh, Ocean City, Atlantic City…. we get it, New Jersey, you are on an ocean.

At 854PM, ET, Ocean City was seeing a temperature of 29 degrees with clear skies. High pressure lay over the east coast, but the broad, nearly immobile trough over the country at the beginning of the month is no longer, replaced with a fast moving perturbation sliding presently across the Great Lakes. was expected to arrive on the east coast as early as tomorrow morning.
The line between rain and snow will be razor thin, but the southern Jersey Shore should be safe from snowfall, but heavy rain, perhaps embellished with a thunderstorm will move quickly through the Garden State. Clear skies will return on Monday evening, followed by a pleasant day on Tuesday.
Tomorrow – Rain, some thunder early, then clearing. High 45, Low 22
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, High 48, Low 32

TWC: Tomorrow – Rain likely, High 45, Low 30
Tuesday – Partly cloudy. High 46, Low 33

AW: Tomorrow – Breezy with periods of rain from late morning on High 44, Low 33
Tuesday – Intervals of clouds and sunshine; breezy in the afternoon High 45, Low 35

NWS: Tomorrow – A slight chance of rain and snow before 9am, then rain High 43, Low 29
Tuesday – Partly sunny High 45, Low 33

WB: Tomorrow – Rain, High 44, Low 28
Tuesday – Mostly sunny High 48, Low 35

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with a light wintry mix High 43, Low 28
Tuesday – Partly cloudy, High 45, Low 33

FIO: Tomorrow – Rain starting in the morning. High 45 Low 31
Tuesday – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 47, Low 32

Pretty unanimous across the board for this forecast, though several outlets are calling for some of the precipitation to mix. We’ll see!

Gulfport, Mississippi

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

You know all those times where I said that forecasts would soon be coming more quickly? Well, we are now at those times. Another forecast, and another for southern Mississippi.

AT 953PM, CT, Gulfport was reporting a temperature of 40 degrees with overcast skies. North winds continued to bring cold air to the region, behind a cold front that lay between Pensacola and Tallahassee. Sub freezing temperatures continued to the north, where ice, snow and cold have drastically impacted basic utilities.
The jet trough is restructuring the surface area of low pressure. Presently, there is an elongated surface trough, which is producing the rain and snow seen up and down the coast, but the base of the jet trough will interact with the low pressure channel along the Gulf Stream through the day tomorrow. As a more organization comes to the surface feature, low level moisture and clouds will pull away from Gulfport. It may not be warm, but Friday afternoon and Saturday will at least have sunshine.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy early, then clearing, High 52, Low 35
Saturday – Sunny, feeling warmer, High 58, Low 30

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy skies. High 51, Low 32
Saturday – A mainly sunny sky High 55, Low 30

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny and cold High 50, Low 32
Saturday – Plenty of sunshine, but cool High 56, Low 28

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing High 49, Low 31
Saturday – Sunny, High 56, Low 27

WB: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy in the morning, then clearing. High 49, Low 33
Saturday – Sunny, High 56, Low 28

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 49, Low 32
Saturday – Sunny, High 55, Low 29

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy throughout the day High 51, Low 33
Saturday – Clear throughout the day. High 56, Low 30

I am a little more optimistic for a warm up. Full sun in southern Mississippi should at least get a little closer to 60, right? The cool, moisture rich air of the southeast is leading to a lot of clouds tonight.

Utica, New York

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

It’s been a big weather week in the southern US, and all that activity is moving the north-northeast. At least Utica is accustomed to big snow, in case that is what is on the way.

At 153PM, ET, Utica was reporting a temperature of 25 degrees with overcast skies. The low pressure that has been bringing so much pain and heart break to the southern US has shifted predominantly off shore, but an inverted trough is pointed through New Jersey towards Binghamton. Light snow was falling across the Poconos and was headed towards Utica.
Snow will continue in the area as low pressure becomes distended perpendicularly across the Gulf Stream. The cold front will stall, and so too will the inverted trough across New York. Light snow showers are going to continue in Utica at least through the day tomorrow as reorganization begins in the southeastern US. Troughing will be tilted aloft, which will be conducive to further cyclogenesis. The reborn feature will get stronger tomorrow night into Saturday morning. The feature will shift into the North Atlantic and drag wet weather along with it. Late Saturday will be cool but dry.
Tomorrow – Snow likely all day, High 30, Low 19
Saturday – Some early snow, then clearing and cold, High 26, Low 17

TWC: Tomorrow – Variable clouds with snow showers High 32, Low 21
Saturday – Overcast. A few flurries or snow showers possible. High 27, Low 19

AW: Tomorrow – Periods of snow, accumulating 1-3 inches; storm total snowfall 3-6 inches High 33, Low 24
Saturday – Remaining cloudy and breezy with a couple of flurries High 30, Low 24

NWS: Tomorrow – Periods of snow, mainly before 1pm, then scattered snow showers after 2pm High 32, Low 20
Saturday – A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy High 27, Low 18

WB: Tomorrow – Snow. Total snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches. High 32, Low 22
Saturday – Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers. High 28, Low 22

WN: Tomorrow – Cloudy with light snow likely, High 32, Low 20
Saturday – Mostly cloudy with chance of light snow showers, High 27, Low 18

FIO: Tomorrow – Foggy throughout the day. High 35, Low 22
Saturday – Foggy overnight and in the morning. High 28, Low 18

It’s going to be a smattering of snow across the region, which will last for quite a while, and thankfully not a big storm like they saw in the south, or really like they can see with a lake effect feature. Here is the radar right now, with a lot of coverage, but not much heavy precipitation.

Dubuque, Iowa

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

We’re headed to the northern US tonight to see what catastrophe is happing up there. Catastrophes everywhere.

At 1153PM, ET, Dubuque was reporting clear skies and a temperature of -8. Dubuque was smack dab within the upper level trough responsible for the wild weather in the south, and the cold weather in the Plains. A feature tolling along the base of the trough is going to trigger change across the nation.
An inverted rough will be directed to the north from the advancing low in the Lower Mississippi Valley, and will pass over eastern Iowa through the day Wednesday. There won’t be a lot of moisture available to this disturbance, but with temperatures as cold as they are, big, dendritic flurries are more than possible. As the feature propagates, it will elongate, and circulation will become distorted. With less northerly flow, Thursday looks to be the first day of a true warming trajectory.
Tomorrow – Flurries, High 12, Low -10
Thursday – Warmer and partly cloudy, High 17, Low 2

TWC: Tomorrow- Partly cloudy skies during the morning hours will become overcast in the afternoon High 17, Low -9
Thursday – Partly cloudy skies. High 22, Low 1

AW: Tomorrow – Some sun, then turning cloudy and cold; a little snow this afternoon with little or no accumulation High 15, Low -5
Thursday – Cold with intervals of clouds and sunshine High 21, Low 2

NWS: Tomorrow – A 30 percent chance of snow, mainly after 2pm. Patchy fog before 8am High 14, Low -12
Thursday – Mostly sunny, High 21, Low 3

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning. A 40 percent chance of light snow in the afternoon, High 13, Low -6
Thursday – Mostly sunny, High 18, Low 2

WN: Mostly cloudy, High 14, Low -12
Thursday – Partly cloudy, High 21, Low 3

FIO: Tomorrow -Overcast throughout the day. High 17, Low -11
Thursday – Foggy until morning, starting again in the evening. High 23, Low 4

Clear night in Dubuque. Brr. But at least good news is on the way.

Hattiesburg, Mississippi

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Hattiesburg is among the many, many cities nation wide that is experiencing cold that they are wholly unaccustomed to. Particularly in the southern United States, record cold on top of a huge winter storm is working to exasperate the situation. Lets see if there is any hope for improvement for these next couple days.

At 653PM, CT, Hattiesburg was reporting cloud skies and a temperature of 23 degrees. The deep, strong, broad trough across the country is still holding firm to it’s place over the Plains. Another round of snow and ice is currently falling over the Red River Valley, getting ready to shift into a more moisture rich environment to the east.
The wet weather will arrive in Mississippi towards afternoon tomorrow. The freezing line right now looks to slice just to the north of town, while enough warm air is expected to be drawn north to keep Hattiesburg in the rain overnight Wednesday into Thursday morning, though an ice storm is anticipated across the rest of Mississippi. The wavelength of the jet trough will contract after the storm has pushed to the east, and cold air will be able to dig south, leading to a chilly end of the week in Hattiesburg, but with the promise of some warmth soon after.
Tomorrow – Rain, sometimes heavy and embedded with thunder late in the day. High 46, Low 20
Thursday – Rain early, then clearing and chilly, High 45, Low 33

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming cloudy with periods of rain later in the day. High 46, Low 21
Thursday – Showers in the morning, then cloudy in the afternoon. High 44, Low 37

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy and cold; a passing shower in the afternoon High 47, Low 19
Thursday – Occasional rain and drizzle in the morning; otherwise, mostly cloudy and cold High 42, Low 35

NWS: Tomorrow – Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, High 44, Low 23
Thursday – Rain and thunderstorms likely before 1pm, then a chance of rain. Cloudy, High 47, Low 36

WB: Tomorrow – Showers likely, and a chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mostly cloudy. High 45, Low 20
Thursday – Light rain and thunderstorms likely in the morning then a chance of light rain in the afternoon. Cloudy. High 42, Low 36

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with showers likely, High 44, Low 23
Thursday – Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely, High 47, Low 36

FIO: Tomorrow – Rain until night, starting again in the afternoon, High 46, Low 24
Thursday – Rain overnight and in the morning, High 49, Low 32

I’m not so sure about the threat for thunder. The system has a lot of juice, but I’m not sure there is enough instability in the region. Still, there is going to be a healthy dousing of rain, perhaps over a half inch. If that all freezes on contact to the north, it could be a scary situation from Jackson north towards Memphis and Tupelo. This is a big time system. Here is the next round of wet weather on satellite over the Red River Valley.

NOAA/NESDIS/STAR GOES ABI BAND 14 OR_ABI-L1b-RadC-M6C14_G16_s20210480131035_e20210480133407_c20210480133535.nc

Feature Forecaster Adam Claibon, from KING 5 in Seattle

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Adam Claibon with KING 5 in Seattle is our guest forecaster today. Adam has even taken the time to put together a full video run down of the pending weather in Seattle for this weekend, and to teach us all a little bit about himself and the city he calls home.

With extremely cold weather coming in east of the Rockies, rain actually sounds pretty good, doesn’t it?

Thanks to Adam Claibon for putting together this forecast! You can find him on Twitter @ACLAIBONWX and on TV on KING 5 in Seattle.

Dallas, Texas

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Honestly, is there anything better than referring to an entire region as “The Metroplex?” I’m not sure there is. It sounds so futuristic.

At 853PM, CT, Dallas was reporting a temperature of 50 degrees with fair skies. There was a strong cold front trailed along the Gulf Coast which was bringing quite a bit of rainfall east of Texas, but the real story for the week is the strong Arctic trough plunging into the eastern two thirds of the country.
A sharp perturbation at the nadir of the jet trough will make for some wintry weather through the southern Plains tomorrow morning, but all guidance seems to agree that Dallas will remain south of the jet stream over the weekend. A few scattered showers may crop up in the Piney Woods, but the Dallas appears to be looking for a dry, cool, windy weekend.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy early, clearing and breezy, High 60, Low 44
Sunday – Sunny and brisk, High 61, Low 33

TWC: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy early, then afternoon sunshine. High 58, Low 43
Sunday – Partly cloudy skies. High 62, Low 34

AW: Tomorrow – Plenty of Sun, High 56, Low 34
Sunday – Mostly sunny, High 62, Low 33

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, High 60, Low 40
Sunday – Sunny High 61, Low 34

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy in the morning, then clearing, High 55, Low 43
Sunday – Sunny, High 56, Low 36

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 60, Low 40
Sunday – Mostly sunny, High 61, Low 34

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 64, Low 41
Sunday – Clear throughout the day. High 61, Low 43

Here is the satellite imagery for Dallas tonight, with the bright clouds over east Texas thanks to the cold front, while the jet itself is represented by the lighter clouds to the north. Keep an eye in Oklahoma for a real mixed bag tomorrow morning!