Tag Archives: Palm Bay

Weather Wayback… The end of Hurricane season

Here we sit, approaching the busiest time of year in the Atlantic hurricane season, and we are going to turn back to look at the end of last year’s season on the Atlantic Coast of Florida.  Palm Bay in mid-November was at the tail end of what had been a tortuous Atlantic Season, but they were enjoying extremely pleasant weather, with only a few scattered showers and storms thanks to sea breezes. Not only was the hurricane threat nearly gone, but the weather was downright comfortable, probably for the first time in months on the Florida Peninsula. The top forecaster was Forecast,io.
Actuals: November 14th, .01 inches of rain, High 82, Low 71
November 15th, High 81, Low 69

Grade: C

Palm Bay, Florida

Today we head down to the Sunshine State as hurricane season looks to be winding down. Is something out on the horizon cause for concern or will this week be fairly quiet?

At 853pm EST, the temperature at Palm Bay, FL was 75 degrees under a few clouds. The good news is no tropical systems look to affect the FL Peninsula over the next couple of days, or really for a while at all as the only possible area of organization is waaay out over the Atlantic. A large area of high pressure is found over the Eastern US, keeping much of the country east of the Mississippi River dry. However, this area of high pressure is steering some shower activity that pops up over the Gulf Stream westward over the eastern shores of the FL Peninsula, which should be somewhat on the numerous side tomorrow. Wednesday will still see some activity, but more of the isolated to widely scattered variety. In any event, it should be a nice couple of days, but don’t be surprised if you have to dodge a couple of quick showers.

Tuesday: Few scattered showers possible. High 78, Low 70.
Wednesday: Isolated showers possible. High 77, Low 69.

TWC: Tuesday: Showers likely. High 78, Low 71.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy, couple of isolated showers possible. High 77, Low 69.

AW: Tuesday: A brief shower or two. High 78, Low 72.
Wednesday: Partly sunny with a shower. High 78, Low 70.

NWS: Tuesday: Chance of showers. High 78, Low 69.
Wednesday: Chance of showers. High 78, Low 67.

WB: Tuesday: 50% chance of rain showers. High 76, Low 71.
Wednesday: 40% chance of rain showers. High 77, Low 69.

WN: Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. High 79, Low 68.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy with scattered showers. High 78, Low 65.

FIO: Tuesday: Partly cloudy starting overnight, continuing until night, chance of afternoon showers. High 78, Low 70.
Wednesday: Breezy until morning and partly cloudy with isolated showers throughout the day. High 78, Low 69.

There’s a couple bands of showers pushing their way onshore currently, and are expected to become a little bit more widespread tomorrow during the day.

Stability in Florida

It’s not often people look at Florida and note that everything about it seems stable. You could have done that about the upper atmosphere around Palm Bay this week, though. Even with a slim chance for precipitation, that was almost too little. There was a trace on Tuesday, but the radar was dead as a doornail on Wednesday. In the end, it was Accweather who secured the top spot by a narrow margin.
Actuals: Tuesday – .01 inches of rain High 85, Low 76
Wednesday – High 84, Low 76

Grades: B-C

Palm Bay, Florida to Trenton, New Jersey

Well, hi there. Good evening. We’re going to be taking a two day return trip up the coast, right through the most well populated segment of the United States. Expect this trip to last two days, and for the last few hours to seem like a week. We’re expecting a travel speed of 69mph, thanks in large part to the part of the drive from Florida through South Carolina. We will see a bit more of the country on Wednesday than Thursday, expected to cover 552 miles on our first day of travel.

DAY ONE (Wednesday)
Palm Bay
This entire route of our day was heavily impacted by Hurricane Matthew, though things are in significantly better shape for our route on Wednesday. The weather will be dry from Palm Bay northward, with significantly warmer than normal temperatures. The most heavily impacted town, by most accounts, was Lumberton, North Carolina. we’ll pass through that ill fated town, and end up in St. Pauls after one night. Let’s hope it’s getting better in Lumberton.

DAY 2 (Friay)
Friday’s drive will be a tightrope. Don’t be surprised if there is heavy rain and the threat for a thunderstorm just west of our route, virtually the entire day. We won’t ever get clobbered by rain or thunderstorms, but there will be an ever increasing threat for rain from Richmond to Washington, making things for this part of the drive nearly excruciating. I-95 near the Beltway is bad enough! The threat won’t end from DC to Trenton, though there might be a bit of a reprieve around Philly, but it won’t last. The only difference from moving to afternoon is that the later round will technically be “tropical”. Here we are, Trenton!


Lancaster, Pennsylvania to Palm Bay, Florida

Hey! Another road trip! Let’s take a two day trip down to Florida. The trip will last a little more than 1000 miles. Our drive on Wednesday will be a little bit shorter, with the first covering 556 miles with a lightning quick speed of 69.5mph. Let’s see what’s going on along the east coast.

DAY ONE (Tuesday)
There is a monster area of low pressure moving through eastern Canada and dangling a cold front that will eventually clip the mid-Atlantic, but that won’t be until a full 24 hours after we leave the area. We will hit DC early in the day, which is good, becasue that will take a lot out of us, and is no place to drive when at the end of a long day. We will be in South Carolina by the time the day ends, with hardly a cloud in the sky for the entire, warm day. The day will end in the town of Sardinia, northeast of Florence and not far from the Turbeville Correctional Facility. Don’t pick up hitchhikers!

DAY TWO (Wednesday)
We’re in for mostly a dry day again on Wednesday, with temperatures in the low 80s for highs, and not much cooler early in the day. There will be a bit of northeasterly flow off the Gulf that will touch off some isolated thunderstorms in Florida, but we will reach Edgewater before I would worry about the threat for precipitation. Enjoy the beach!
Palm Bay

Palm Bay, Florida

It is a bit quieter this week than it was last week on Florida’s Space Coast. Palm Bay was spared a worst case scenario, when the eyewall of Matthew never made landfall. The storm was still significant, and there are still flood advisories in the area, as erosion and high water levels still haven’t receded. How is the weather looking in the near future?

At 853PM, ET, Palm Bay was reporting a temperature of 79 with mostly clear skies. The Florida Peninsula was presently benefiting from a tropical feature at this time, as there is a tropical disturbance east of the Bahamas acting as a focal point for showers and instability across the region.
As this area of instability continues to churn across the region, a northeasterly onshore flow will develop, blowing into the Palm Bay area and introducing the chance for some sea breeze storms. As Palm Bay, ironically, is set back from the coast, they will be more likely to see a shower, though Melbourne, the nearest reporting station, is less likely to see any thunderstorm activity.
Tomorrow – Isolated thunderstorms, High 83, Low 74
Wednesday – Isolated afternoon storms, High 82, Low 74

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly to mostly cloudy. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible. High 84, Low 73
Wednesday – Rain showers early with some sunshine later in the day. High 84, Low 72

AW: Tomorrow – A brief morning shower; there will be coastal flooding in flood-prone areas around high tide High 84, Low 75
Wednesday – Partly sunny with a shower High 83, Low 74

NWS: Tomorrow – A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly sunny High 84, Low ,73
Wednesday – A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly sunny High 83, Low, 73

WB: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers, High 83, Low 73
Wednesday –  Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers High 82, Low 72

WN Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with isolated showers, High 84, Low 73
Wednesday – Partly cloudy with isolated showers, High 82, Low 72

FIO: Tomorrow – Light rain in the morning. High 84, Low 74
Wednesday – Partly cloudy starting in the morning, continuing until evening. High 83, Low 73

Here is a look at that tropical feature east of the Bahamas. Kind of fun to look at these big guys on satellite, especially when you know they won’t do any damage.

The break doesn’t bring much change

There was to be some clearing in Palm Bay on Saturday after a drizzly day on Friday between deep digging systems that originated in the Gulf and the Lower Mississippi Valley. There wasn’t enough of a clearing on Saturday to lead to a warmup on Saturday morning, which meant temperatures languished in the mid 70s, only a degree warmer than the day before. The Weather Service collected a narrow victory.
Actuals : Friday – .21 inches of rain, High 76, Low 62
Saturday – .19 inches of rain, High 77, Low 60

Grade: Bhttp://victoria-weather.com/wp-admin/post-new.php

Terre Haute, Indiana to Palm Bay, Florida

Another road trip already? Didn’t we just get to Indiana?! I guess the hotel must have been pretty bad because we’re apparently high-tailing it to Florida. It’s just over 1,000 miles to Palm Bay and will take 2 days to cover. Back in the car everybody!



Rain showers will be over the region as we travel south out of Terre Haute, thanks to an area of low pressure shifting northeastward out of Missouri. Luckily, the worst of it should have moved through overnight, and it’ll just be light showers as we move into Kentucky. As we continue southward, the showers will continue to disperse and for the most part, things should be dry as we continue through Tennessee and eventually into Atlanta for the end of the day.


An area of low pressure is quickly intensifying over the Lower MS River Valley this morning as we start to head southwards out of Atlanta. By midday, showers and a few thunderstorms are going to spread into southern GA and portions of northern FL. We might have to dodge rain showes as we continue southward past Orlando and finally into Palm Bay for the night.

Palm Bay

Palm Bay, Florida

Today we head off to Florida. Usually a good place to go in the midst of January, since you’re typically assured warm temps and fairly pleasant weather. Will that be the case this weekend?

At 1053pm EST, the temperature was 62 degrees in fog. An area of low pressure is shifting through the Gulf of Mexico and while it’s expected to be ill-defined as it shifts through the region tomorrow, it’ll still bring plentiful rainfall to the FL Peninsula. It should clear out by tomorrow evening, bringing a bit of a lull for Saturday morning. However, an area of low pressure looks to intensify over the Lower MS River Valley and quickly shift into the OH/TN valley. While rain will spread throughout the Southeast US, additional rain showers will be possible over the area, mainly in the very late evening hours. So while Saturday midday should be pleasant, an evening stroll might need an umbrella.

Friday: Scattered showers. High 77, Low 60.
Saturday: Scattered shwoers late. High 80, Low 61.

TWC: Friday: Cloudy, isolated showers. High 76, Low 63.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy, isolated showers. High 81, Low 64.

AW: Friday: Couple of morning showers. High 78, Low 63.
Saturday: Couple of thunderstorms. High 78, Low 64.

NWS: Friday: Chance of showers. High 78, Low 61.
Saturday: More showers. High 79, Low 61.

WB: Friday: Chance of showers. High 79, Low 60.
Saturday: Chance of storms. High 80, Low 60.

WN: Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. High 79, Low 63.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. High 79, Low 61.

FIO: Friday: Light rain throughout the day. High 75, Low 62.
Saturday: Light rain until evening, starting again overnight. High 79, Low 65.

Here we see broad, light rain showers moving in over the Western FL coastline, and smaller more intense showers lingering well off the eastern coastline. More significant rain will sweep over the Peninsula over the weekend.

Palm Bay, Florida to Napa, California

This is a very long trip, taking us from the east coast of Florida all the way to the San Francisco Bay, but after trips too and from Anchorage last month, this is nothing. Since there is so much ground to cover, we will move at a relatively quick pace of 65.9mph, and the first 5 days will be through after 527 miles of driving with the final day being shorter than that. Let’s buckle up the kids and go tour the southern US of A.

DAY ONE (Thursday)
Palm Bay

We should get going before afternoon convection gets going in the Florida Peninsula, but there may be a stray rumble of thunder as we head north through Orlando, but much of north Florida will be dry. Muggy but dry. Ther ecould be an isolated storm along the coast again after we have turned west, but for the most part, I-10 will run well north of of the threat. Look out the driver’s side from Tallahassee westward and there could be a towering thunderhead. The better chance for rain will come as we approch Pensacola, where I-10 dips further to the south. We’ll make it into Alabama and the town of Robertsville by the end of the day, where they may be experiencing the last gasps of afternoon convection.

DAY TWO (Friday)
A combination of three things will make the Friday drive interesting. First is an area of instability over the western Gulf which will eject a good deal of moisture north into Louisiana. Second is a deep, digging trough full of cold air that is plunging all the way down into Texas as the weekend approaches, which will only enhance the thunderstorm threat over Louisiana and east Texas. Third is the fact that we will drive smack dab through the heart of Houston in a blinding rain storm complete with vivid lightning. YEEEEEEEHAW. Alabama and Mississippi will be fine, the rain will really pick up west of Lafayette and continue all the way to Brookshire, which is just west of Katy, one of the more notable Houston ‘burbs.

DAY THREE (Saturday)
The heavier showers and storms are going to continue to be pressed further south by the advancing mass of cool air, and as we head west, we will be entrenched in a cloudy, drizzly mess. This should last most of the day, though the threat for drizzle will really clear up after San Antonio. After San Antonio? Nothing. Not falling from the skies, not in terms of local population, nothing. West Texas is rather sparse. We will end the day in Balmorhea, which is west of Fort Stockton but still 200 some miles to New Mexico.

DAY FOUR (Sunday)
Model guidance suggests a lot of mooisture welling north into west TExas, thanks in large part to another tropical system in the Pacific, and the remnants of that thing in the Gulf. Expect some showers and storms to bubble up from Balmorhea to Van Horn, and then again around Las Cruces, New Mexico, but that activity will be confined to the higher terrain. The rest of the drive on Sunday will be through southern Arizona, which is not known for it’s rainfall. We will end in Marana, Arizona, which is just northwest of Tucson.

DAY FIVE (Monday)
Now is the easy forecasting part of the trip. I can say with confidence, even though we’re 5 days out, that I don’t think it will rain across the desert as we drive through it. The biggest issues will be traffic, as we clip Phoenix and Riverside. WE will begin the drive north by the end of Monday, and stop in Lebec, which is west of Lancaster, to end the day.

DAY 6 (Tuesday)
Nothing doing in the weather department again on Tuesday as we finish the trip to wine country. There was an earthquake in Napa last month. I would forecast for the earthquake outlook, but it’s impossible to predict those. Sorry. Besides, I’m a meteorologist, not a geologist.