Tag Archives: Minneapolis

Looking for spring

The winter in the Twin Cities has been torturous for folks who aren’t fans of cold weather. When we put together a forecast for Minneapolis at the beginning of the week, though, there was signs of an upturn. While morning lows on Monday were supposed to be below zero, the forecast high by Tuesday afternoon was in the mid to upper 20s, the first time it had been near normal for the entire month of February. What a relief! The forecast was tightly contested, with Weatherbug collecting a narrow victory. The good news continued for Minneapolis, as high temperatures on Wednesday were in the low 40s. Never mind that it was below zero again on Friday morning.
Actuals: Monday – High 10, Low -2
Tuesday – High 28, Low 6

Grade: A-B

Carson City, Nevada to Minneapolis, Minnesota

Classic road trips need to head through South Dakota. That’s just the rule. This three day trip will do just that, so you know it’s a good one. We’re going to cover 3 days, with the third day lasting a little bit longer than the first two. Our drive will be 1,778 miles, done at a pace of 68.4mph, so our first two days will allow us coverage of 547 miles. The Rockies can be sketchy this time of year, but perhaps the rest of the drive will be a bit more manageable.


DAY ONE (Monday)

My fears of sketchiness in the higher terrain of the intermountain West will be confirmed on Monday. A sharp trough angled from the Canadian Prairies towards the Mojave will slice right across the Great Basin. The angle won’t allow the absorption of much moisture into the feature, and high pressure will prevent it from moving terribly quickly. Instead, expect gusty winds with some light flurries, particularly around the Elko area in northeastern Nevada. Accumulations won’t stack up, but in this part of the world, the breeze will make it difficult to see. There is a chance that the flurry activity will continue into the Bonneville Flats which provides an interesting conundrum. How can you tell if the snow is accumulating. or if it’s just the salt? We’ll make it to a slightly snowy Salt Lake City to call it a day.

DAY TWO (Tuesday)
Our trough will attempt to bring moisture in from the chilly eastern Pacific over the Wasatch, and it will largely be unsuccessful. There might be a few snow showers at the beginning of our day as we travel through the far northern end of the Wasatch range in northeastern Utah, but after that, the day will be pretty easy. Wyoming is going to stay clear of the snowy conditions, and we will end the day in the least populous county in the least populous state, north of Lusk at the Mule Creek junction in Niobara County.

DAY THREE (Wednesday)
Chilly upper level troughing is going to recede from the Upper Midwest on Wednesday, just in time for us to arrive. The sun will be out in full force, which is going to be great, because it will make a long day tolerable. IF the day wasn’t already 10 hours long, I would say stop at Mount Rushmore, but instead, I will just say get to Minneapolis, where you will actually get to experience a comfortable day.

Minneapolis, Minnesota

In case I haven’t made it abundantly clear, Victoria-Weather comes to you from the Twin Cities area. A forecast for Minneapolis is very exciting.

At 1053PM, CT, Minneapolis-St. Paul was reporting a temperature of 9 degrees with clear skies. The region was being smothered by surface high pressure, and that coupled with the snow on the ground already was going to lead to more bitter cold overnight and to begin the work week.
The surface high will diminish through the day tomorrow, and eventually, the extended sunlight and a bit of strength to an exiting jet through the Upper Midwest will lead to some warmer conditions on Tuesday.
Tomorrow – Cold but with clear skies, High 12, Low -4
Tuesday – Partly cloudy, High 27, Low 7

TWC: Intervals of clouds and sunshine. HIgh 13, Low -4
Tuesday – Cloudy early, becoming mostly sunny in the afternoon High 27, Low 3

AW: Tomorrow – Cold with clouds and sun, High 11, Low -4
Tuesday – Not as cold with a blend of sun and clouds High 26, Low 2

NWS: Tomorrow – Increasing clouds, High 12, Low -4
Tuesday – Partly sunny (early snow) High 27, Low 4

WB: Tomorrow – Colder, Partly cloudy, High 11, Low -2
Tuesday – Not as cold, clearing (early snow) High 26, Low 5

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 12, Low -4
Tuesday – Partly cloudy, High 27, Low 4

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy starting in the morning. High 9, Low -2
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy until afternoon. High 25, Low 8

Brr! At least it looks like we are on the upswing in the Twin Cities. Check out the satellite. Most of the white from Iowa northward is actually a reflection of the snow on the ground. Iowa has been dumped on this past week, but southern Minnesota caught a big storm about 2 weeks ago that it hasn’t cleared from yet either.

NOAA/NESDIS/STAR GOES-16 ABI BAND 01 OR_ABI-L1b-RadC-M3C01_G16_s20180422232204_e20180422234577_c20180422235023.nc

Weather Wayback…A different time

Right now in Minneapolis, the Vikings are playing the Saints in an NFC playoff game, with the snow falling outside and winter firmly in place. Naturally, we’re going to look at the weather in late July.  Anthony put together a forecast just ahead of a line of thunderstorms moving into the Twin Cities. Temperatures were only (only!) in the low to mid 80s when there were some outlets (Forecast.io specifically) went all the way up to 90 with their forecast. Victoria-Weather, with home field advantage, were able to secure the victory back in late July. Not unlike the Vikings, who are also in the lead with home field advantage.
Actuals: July 25th – .06 inches of rain, High 84, Low 68
July 26th – .13 inches of rain in thunderstorms, High 84, Low 66

Grade: B-C

Minneapolis, Minnesota to Gulfport, Mississippi

Today we embark on a long 2-day road trip from Minneapolis to the Gulf Coast. It’s nearly 1200 miles, so we have 2 full days ahead of us. Will the weather make it feel even longer? Let’s take a look!

DAY ONE

High pressure sitting over the Great Lakes is keeping the area dry this morning, but there’s some areas of fog expected to last into the mid-morning hours thanks to the increased humidity. It shouldn’t be too much of a problem as we head southward into Iowa. Mostly sunny skies are expected as we push through Cedar Rapids and Iowa City and eventually into Eastern Missouri. Our quiet day will end in the southern outskirts of St. Louis.

DAY TWO

As low pressure continues to push out into the Plains, some spotty activity is expected to develop out ahead of it over the MS River Valley, with some isolated showers possible as we continue into southeast MO on I-55. We’re going to be following this interstate for most of the day, so directions will be fairly easy to follow as we sneak into northeast AR and eventually by Memphis. Some widely scattered thunderstorms are possible from Memphis and continues southward to Jackson, where we veer onto I-49 which will take us the rest of the way. We could run into a couple of stronger afternoon/evening thunderstorms as we push through MS, but most of the activity by this point should already be dissipating and dry weather is expected for the rest of the ride into Gulfport!

Couer d’Alene, Idaho to Minneapolis, Minnesota

We’re on the go again tonight! From far northern Idaho here to VW headquarters, it’ll take 1,346 miles to cover the journey. What kind of weather will we see from the Rockies through the Plains? Let’s explore!

DAY ONE

High pressure is found over southern Alberta building down over portions of the Northern Rockies and ND, keeping the bulk of shower and thunderstorm activity over far southern Montana and into Wyoming. A fairly quiet start to the day is expected as we head eastward out of Couer d’Alene and past Missoula and Butte. Some spotty shower activity is possible once we get to Bozeman, but anything of substance should remain off to the south as we finish the day in Billings.

DAY TWO

High pressure continues to build down over the far northern US, encompassing eastern Montana and North Dakota. This should make for a pretty quiet and sun-filled drive along I-94 as we trek from Billings past Miles city and into ND. We eventually finish our day in Bismarck.

DAY THREE

It’s going to sound like a broken record, but that’s a good thing in this case! Our friendly high pressure system continues keeping us shielded as we finish our tour of I-94 today. Sunny skies will continue to greet us as we push through Jamestown and Fargo into Minnesota. Alexandria and St. Cloud make for good afternoon pit stop locations before we pull into Minneapolis!

Minneapolis, Minnesota

Alright, a forecast for Victoria Weather’s backyard! Certainly we have home-field advantage for this challenge, right? Right?!

At 753pm CDT, the temperature at Minneapolis, MN was 75 degrees under mostly cloudy skies. A vort max is swinging through the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest tonight, which is kicking up an area of rain and embedded thunderstorms over eastern SD into western MN. This area could bring us some rain showers during the morning hours as it pushes on through, but the main focus will be during the evening. A cold front pushing into the Dakotas currently will stall out a bit over Central MN into SD tomorrow evening, becoming the focus of another round of possible strong overnight thunderstorms (we’ve had a lot of them recently). Activity continues into Wednesday as a weak low pressure area found along the tail end of this front saunters through the Upper Midwest, keeping the region unstable. The rest of the week looks pretty quiet around here, but unfortunately we have to get through a couple volatile days first.

Tuesday: chance of morning showers, better chance of late evening thunderstorms. High 83, Low 65.
Wednesday: Thunderstorms persist from overnight, regenerate during morning, clears out by late evening. High 82, Low 70.

TWC: Tuesday: AM thunderstorms. High 88, Low 66.
Wednesday: Thundershowers. High 83, Low 73.

AW: Tuesday: Partly sunny and humid, spotty morning thunderstorm. High 86, Low 65.
Wednesday: A couple of thunderstorms. High 78, Low 71.

NWS: Tuesday: Showers likely, then sunny. High 87, Low 71.
Wednesday: Thunderstorms likely. High 81, Low 70.

WB: Tuesday: Partly cloudy, 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms in morning. High 87, Low 65.
Wednesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely in the morning then partly cloudy with chance of storms in afternoon. High 77, Low 71.

WN: Tuesday: Partly cloudy with numerous light showers. High 84, Low 64.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely. High 81, Low 70.

FIO: Tuesday: Light rain in the morning and evening. High 90, Low 69.
Wednesday: Heavy rain until evening. High 82, Low 72.

Here we see some rain with some embedded thunderstorms shifting in from the west. There will be a lot more where that came from over the next 36 hours before things get quiet afterwards.

Home Court

We had a forecast for Minneapolis towards the end of the week last week. This was good, it seems like we get way more forecasts for State College than anywhere else, meaning Accuweather gets to forecast for their home turf, and the rest of us are always looking at locations well away from our homeland. Victoria-Weather wasn’t going to let anyone beat us at home, and indeed, we played up our Minnesota pessimism and earned a victory by having the coolest temperatures of any major outlet. There were 90 degree temperatures in parts of the Twin Cities, but not at Crystal Airport, which is closest to Minneapolis’ City limits. Not to toot our own horn, but we were actually going to leave the threat of rain out of the forecast on Friday, which would only have led to a greater victory. We won regardless (tied with the other locals, the Weather Service), so I guess I can let it go.
Actuals: Friday – High 89, Low 48
Saturday -Thunderstorms reported, not measured, High 87, Low 66

Grade: B-C

Minneapolis, Minnesota

It’s a home game for Victoria-Weather, as we are looking at Minneapolis. We will be forecasting for Minneapolis rather than the Twin Cities’ airport, like we usually do.  Let’s see if it matters.

At 653PM, CT, Minneapolis was reporting a temperature of 78 degrees with clear skies. Dew points were around 30, meaning very pleasant conditions for outdoor activities. High pressure over the center of the country is the result of a short waved ridge, so while things look very nice right now, the pattern is going to be rapidly changing.
A trough at the vanguard of an advancing jet streak  will help develop a lee trough in the Canadian Prairies. There is quite a bit of disturbed air over the western Gulf of Mexico, so there will not be open flow to the system as the associated cold front moves through Minnesota.  There may be an isolated thunderstorm late Friday ahead of the feature, and again as the associated boundary moves through early on Saturday morning, bringing a few more clouds.
Tomorrow – Sunny and warm, late showers and storms High 85, Low 55
Saturday – Isolated early showers and storms, High 84, Low 66.

TWC: Tomorrow – Intervals of clouds and sunshine. A stray severe thunderstorm is possible High 86, Low 56
Saturday – Partly cloudy. A stray severe thunderstorm is possible High 89, Low 68

AW: Tomorrow – Partly sunny and very warm; a strong thunderstorm in spots in the afternoon High 86, Low 56
Saturday – Intervals of clouds and sunshine with a shower or thunderstorm around High 85, Low 68

NWS: Tomorrow – Isolated showers between 2pm and 5pm, then isolated showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Mostly sunny, High 86, Low56
Saturday – A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 8am. Partly sunny, High 88, Low 68

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny in the morning then partly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon, High 87, Low 58
Saturday – Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, High 85, Low 69

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with isolated showers, High 86, Low 55
Saturday – Partly cloudy with scattered storms, High 88, Low 68

FIO: Tomorrow – Light rain in the evening.High 89, Low 57
Saturday – Light rain until morning, starting again in the afternoon. High 89, Low 70

Look at how empty the satellite is!