It’s important to remember as we finally seem to be departing the summer, that sometimes, temperatures end up colder than we expect. That was the case in Glens Falls towards the end of September. Temperatures were a few degrees colder than every outlet’s high temperature forecast on the 24th and 25th, respectively, and the low was on the cold end of the low temperature forecasts as well. This is something to remember as we approach fall. It’s not summer all the time. The Weather Channel had the top forecast for the day. Actuals: September 24th, High 68, Low 43 September 25th, .42″ of rain, High 58, Low 51
We’re going to return to Upstate New York for our forecast today. It’s been a little bit active, and even though we are looking at New York, we would still be advised to take a look at the Tropics.
At 353PM, ET, Glens Falls was reporting a temperature of 66 degrees with overcast skies. Low pressure in the Gulf Stream and low pressure moving into the Great Lakes were connected by an undulating boundary running through the Mid-Atlantic. A smattering of rain showers was moving along the northern periphery of the boundary, and was likely to clip Glens Falls as this afternoon continues. A narrow ridge will build into the region tomorrow as the boundary stretching between the two systems will break down. While Tuesday will be dry, the low will organize in the Great Lakes during that same stretch. Though the system will begin occluding fairly quickly before it arrives, a healthy shot of rain is expected starting on Wednesday morning. Because the feature will be breaking down on Wednesday, expect difficulties in clearing it out. Heavy rain is possible Wednesday morning, with more scattered and lighter rain through the afternoon and evening. Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, morning haze, High 71, Low 51 Wednesday – Rain arrives early, lingering through the day, High 62, Low 51
TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy skies High 70, Low 45 Wednesday – Cloudy with showers High 62, Low 49
AW: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy High 70, Low 44 Wednesday – Cloudy with a couple of showers High 63, Low 48
NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 71, Low 49, Wednesday – A chance of showers, mainly after 8am. Cloudy, High 64, Low 52
WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 79, Low 53 Wednesday – Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain, High 62, Low 51
WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 71, Low 49 Wednesday – Mostly cloudy with scattered showers, High 63, Low 53
CLI: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 70, Low 52 Wednesday – Light rain showers, High 65, Low 47
Let’s take a look at the local take on the situation, from ABC 10 in Albany.
Unlike yesterday’s verification in Evansville, Glens Falls got exactly what they expected – a healthy smack in the chin from a rainy system that ultimately changed up the air mass in eastern New York. A cold front arrived in town around mid-afternoon on Saturday (thanks for that, Mother Nature) and immediately sank temperatures, before they could get too sweltering. Ultimately, it was a pretty good soaker as well, with over 3/4ths of an inch falling. Victoria-Weather was the top dog in the Empire State. Actuals: Friday, High 80, Low 50 Saturday, .79″ of rain, High 71, Low 54
We are headed to beautiful Upstate New York. This is the time of year for the residents to enjoy, before the autumn colors, and after kids are back to school.
At 653PM, ET, Glens Falls was reporting clear skies and a temperature of 70 degrees. Dew points in the 60s and clear skies in the evening suggest some overnight fog or haze, especially over the various lakes of the region. Much of the day tomorrow will continue on with mostly clear skies, though increasing clouds and a congested pattern are certainly inbound. A tropical feature lying northwest of Bermuda is projected to organize a bit and move towards Nova Scotia over the next 2 1/2 days. This is impactful, as for the time being, it is progged to pull in the latent Atlantic Coastal moisture, redirecting it away from a subtropical trough in the northern Tier that is increasing in strength and intensity as well. As the boundary approaches, the tropical feature will move into the Canadian Maritimes, opening up Atlantic moisture for the trough. Rain and some embedded thunderstorms will blossom across the mid-Atlantic, and move into eastern New York by Saturday, in the late afternoon. Rain and storms are possible through the evening, and into the night. By the time the feature reaches New York, it will be occluded, and the chance of overnight stratiform rain is higher as a result. Tomorrow – Morning haze, High 76, Low 50 Saturday – Increasing clouds with rain, and a chance of thunder in the afternoon, High 70, Low 53
TWC: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny skies. High 78, Low 48 Saturday – Cloudy with rain developing later in the day. Thunder possible.
AW: Tomorrow – Pleasant with times of clouds and sun High 78, Low 47 Saturday – Cloudy and not as warm; a little afternoon rain High 71, Low 58
NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 78, Low 52 Saturday – A slight chance of showers before 2pm, then rain, mainly after 2pm. High 73, Low 59
WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 76, Low 54 Saturday – Mostly cloudy. Rain likely in the afternoon. High 69, Low 57
WN: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy, High 78, Low 52 Saturday – Mostly cloudy with light showers, High 71, Low 60
CLI: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 77, Low 48 Saturday – Rain Showers, High 75, Low 56
Satellite shows clear skies on the East Coast, and the storm spiraling between Bermuda and New England, but not yet the wave getting ready to exit the Great Lakes.
