Brunswick can’t cool down

There was one big issue with forecasts for Brunswick last week: the overnight lows were all too warm, and more than just a little bit. It didn’t dip below 50 degrees on Thursday, which was at least 6 degrees warmer than anyone had in the forecast. It was generally warmer than forecasts called for, but those lows really stood out. Accuweather had the best overnight temperatures, and narrowly surpassed the other forecasters (especially since there was a trace of rain reported on Thursday afternoon — AW was the only outlet with rain) to achieve victory.
Actuals: Wednesday – High 70, Low 45
Thursday – Trace of rain, High 69, Low 50

Grade: C-D

Brunswick, Georgia

We have spent a lot of time in the western United States lately, so I find it refreshing to return to the east coast. What kind of weather will we see in an entirely different time one than I’ve become accustomed to?

At 155PM, ET, Brunswick was reporting a temperature of 61 degrees with clear skies. Strong winds aloft have produced inland clouds, but they were scoured along the coast, where things are a few degrees cooler. The jet, just to the north of the Brunswick area is helping to facilitate high pressure across the region.
The strong jet will merge with a more northerly jet streak, which will set up an upper level convergence point, where showers and isolated embedded rumbles of thunder can develop. That activity will be to the west if Brunswick through most of the period, however increasing clouds will be likely on Thursday, with rain sneaking into the picture by early Friday morning.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 68, Low 41
Thursday – Increasing clouds, High 66, Low 43

TWC: Tomorrow – Plentiful Sunshine, High 66, Low 41
Thursday – Mostly cloudy, High 65, Low 42

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 67, Low 42
Thursday – Pleasant with intervals of clouds and sun (PM Showers) High 67, Low 44

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 65, Low 43
Thursday – Partly sunny, High 64, Low 43

WB: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy in the morning, then clearing. High 67, Low 43
Thursday – Partly cloudy, High 64, Low 42

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 65, Low 43
Thursday – Mostly cloudy, High 65, Low 43

FIO: Tomorrow – Clear throughout the day. High 67, Low 42
Thursday – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 68, Low 42

The website I have used for model guidance has been taken down. This was a long forecast to write, but not terribly difficult! Here is satellite imagery showing off some clouds resulting from the local jet streak.

Brunswick, Georgia

As much of the nations’ focus will be on brackets tomorrow, let’s look at what’s happening down south in Brunswick!

At 1153pm EDT, the temperature at Brunswick, GA’s McKinnon Airport (SSI) is 52 degrees with a few clouds. An area of low pressure along the SC coastline is lifting northward, and expected to bring plenty of rain to the Mid-Atlantic region over the next day or so. Behind it, high pressure is extending its way from the Northern Plains down to the Gulf Coast and will expand eastward over the next couple of days. This means plenty of sunny skies and warm temps for the Georgia coastline! A beautiful couple of days are in store to… stay inside and watch over 2 dozen basketball games.

Thursday: Sunny. High 71, Low 46.
Friday: Continued clear and sunny. High 70, Low 49.

TWC: Thursday: Mostly sunny. High 73, Low 44.
Friday: Sunny. High 72, Low 47.

AW: Thursday: Mostly sunny. High 72, Low 45.
Friday: Plenty of sunshine. High 71, Low 48.

NWS: Thursday: Sunny. High 70, Low 45.
Friday: Sunny. High 69, Low 48.

WB: Thursday: Sunny. High 71, Low 46.
Friday: Sunny. High 71, Low 49.

WN: Thursday: Sunny. High 70, Low 48.
Friday: Sunny. High 69, Low 47.

FIO: Thursday: Partly cloudy in the evening. High 71, Low 42.
Friday: Clear throughout the day. High 72, Low 48.

The Brunswick area is clear tonight, while an area of low pressure near Myrtle Beach will swirl northward over the Carolinas tomorrow.