Updates 12/4

9:45PM: Lake effect snow is possible on either side of the Great Lakes, we just here about it more frequently to the east of the lakes, because that is the the prevailing direction of air flow in the Northern Hemisphere. Every once in a while, you get a northeasterly wind off of Lake Superior, and you suddenly have heavy lake effect in the Minnesota Arrowhead. The area is bound by a little bit of terrain, so the snow isn’t even showing on radar, and it is seeing some orographic forcing as well. This could be a pretty good dumping.

11:21PM The next system to batter the East Coast is, well, starting to batter! Look at the coverage on this rain!

Updates 12/2

12:03AM I know this is absolutely at the top of everyone’s mind, but the precipitation has not reached Raleigh before midnight, and I am just now realizing that it hasn’t reached there by 1AM, either. Raleigh is in the eastern time zone. Maybe I should go to bed?

10:10PM The troublemaking system at the end of the holiday weekend is still causing problems. There are winter storm warnings across New England, right up to the coast in New Hampshire and Maine. No waiting around for winter this year.

Updates 12/1

5:39PM: We await the next system in North Carolina. This one is a very interesting storm, as it is working into a region where the air is already cool, and bringing even colder air further south. It’s only 41 in Raleigh right now. It’s 32 in Little Rock, where sleet is falling at this hour. Is anyone ready?

Updates 11/26

4:26PM: Thanksgiving is tomorrow! I hope you aren’t just learning that from me. The country mostly looks like it will in Springfield, Missouri. Mostly clear, and with the first dose of chilly air for the season. It will continue snowing in the Great Lakes, and be warm out west, but it’s a big country and this is only one blog. Happy Thanksgiving!

9:48PM It has been a very windy at Victoria-Weather headquarters today behind the system bringing snow to the Great Lakes and rain in New England, but the post-frontal howling wind is nothing compared to what they are looking for in the Upper Ohio Valley.

Updates 11/25

2:52PM: There is a tornado watch out in Alabama right now. SPC has issued the below Mesoscale Discussion. Things are just starting to erupt in the region, but the severe weather is already past Tuscaloosa and nearly out of Birmingham. The area to keep a keen eye on for the next few hours is from Selma to Montgomery.

Updates 11/24

10:32PM: We focused on snow that will come this week, and there will be some disruptive shower activity through the middle of the week. I didn’t do a good enough job of conveying the possibility of thunderstorms. Look at all this lightning in Mississippi and Louisiana! Fortunately, only a flash flood warning for severe alerts right now.

Updates 11/17

1:48PM: We discussed in our recent road trip forecast the threat for snow in the Sierras, and potential treachery around Truckee for unsuspecting drivers. Well, by the look of the current forecast from the WPC, there should no longer be unsuspecting drivers.

That’s a 70% chance of more than 4″ of snow through tomorrow morning in the high terrain along the California/Nevada border. Get the chains ready!