The Atlantic Basin is also home to TD Nine, which should become a tropical storm, and ultimately a hurricane before landfalling, likely in the Florida Panhandle, later this week.

UPDATE: The NHC now has a page with a track cone, which does indeed place it’s landfall in the Florida Panhandle, around Apalachicola. As seems to be the case pretty often now, it will likely be a Category 3 storm upon the storm’s arrival late this week. It will be a strong storm, battering a part of the coast that has seen a few storms lately, but it will arrive, as presently forecast, in about as sparsely populated a stretch of the coast as you’ll find.

Vacation season is right around the corner, and there is a Tropical Storm getting ready to make it’s way ashore near Acapulco. Tropical Storm John is going to landfall in Oaxaca State today, and will pose a significant flash flooding threat thanks to the terrain and infrastructure of the region. Fortunately, the storm isn’t terribly strong and won’t last long, but this part of the world doesn’t see landfalls terribly often, and it’s particularly poorly set up for the heavy rain.

Please note, dlvr.it, the software I have used to publish directly to social media is going to a different structure. Going forward, please check the site itself for updates like these, and I will try to post full posts manually on Twitter and Facebook.

The radar, showing the band of heavy rain reaching the Hudson alley, is one thing, but don’t sleep on those post frontal winds. It’s howling over the eastern Great Lakes, which is leading to some small craft advisory, beach hazard warnings and even the threat of some lake effect rain later today.

A bunch of Gulf moisture has led to some of New Orleans western suburbs received up to 4 inches of rain, leading to some flash flooding in the area. Of course, the radar in the area is out, which really throws a wrench in things. Fthe flash flooding was reported on the ground though, and not necessarily by radar indications. Fortunately, Lake Charles and Mobile are up and running, providing coverage for NOLA.

The meteorological seasons don’t quite line up with the seasons of the astronomical calendar, which means that instead of waiting until the 21st, we can say that autumn begins today. This does not, however, mean that I condone the Aberdeen WFO making their weather story pumpkin spiced,

I know Alaska is the furthest north of all of our 50 US states, so one would imagine that it is usually also the coldest of our 50 states. So what is so unusual, warranting this quick update? Alaska is the only spot for essentially the rest of the month that the CPC has tagged as “below normal” for their temperature outlook.

We have reached the most doldrum-y day of summer. Friday July 5th is a vacation day for a lot of people, and it is a pause for a lot of the national outlets as well (except for the NHC). It is going to be storming for a good part of the country, but strong activity should be few and far betwen.

It will continue like this for a few days, but Sunday, be on the lookout for Hurricane Beryl to landfall along the Mexican Border near Brownsville. The days of Cat-5 Beryl are long past, so perhaps many North Americans can focus on the Caribbean as it rebounds from the storm’s impact.

There was an enhanced risk for severe weather in southeast Iowa today, and sure enough, there were a couple of tornado reports near Iowa City, but aside from one cell, it was pretty quiet in the Hawkeye State. Further south, storms were more widespread, and there were several straight line wind reports in northwest Missouri. Fortunately, as the evening winds down, it is looking much quieter for residents of Missouri, with one severe line still roiling east of Kansas City.

You may be think I am talking about hurricane season, but nowadays, that begins in late May. Hurricane Beryl isn’t something that starts right at the beginning of the season — the beginning of the season is now earlier than it used to be.

No, I’m talking about something else: Monsoon season. We know it is here when we start getting WPC discussions that include the Gadsden Purchase.

Rain has been a destructive force for the Upper Midwest this early summer season. The heavy rain has swamped a particular swath from the Sioux City area to the high profile overwhelming of the Rapidan dam in southern Minnesota. There is more rain on the way in what should be another busy week, but this time, it is shifted about half a state to the east.

This kind of rain isn’t going to help anything, as much of the precipitation will be flowing towards those same, overwhelmed locations. For good measure, more rain is coming for southwest Florida as well, a place that flooded earlier this year.

Quite literally, when it rains, it pours.