For those that may not recall, this past week in the mid-Atlantic has been a fairly miserable one by May standards. Temperatures were cool, it has been rainy and there was the looming specter of severe weather. Before all that got underway, there was a forecast for Vineland, New Jersey. It was a warm end to the weekend, with the beginning of the week preparing south Jersey for the looming gloom. The top spot belonged to Victoria-Weather, despite being the only outlet to have rain in the forecast, only to have it not materialize Actuals: May 11th, High 81, Low 48 May 12th, High 78, Low 51
After our forecast in south Texas, we are going to south Jersey, which are approximately the same place, culturally and climatologically, I think.
At 1053PM, ET, Vineland was reporting a temperature of 50 degrees with clear skies. Upper level flow was split, with an elongated, main flow running just north of the Canadian border, and an isolated, cut off trough base along the Gulf Coast. Both were generating low pressure, with high pressure over the Mid-Atlantic in between. The southern trough, being isolated, will have a tougher time sustaining itself, though that is the feature moving towards New Jersey. High pressure will hold it at bay until late in the day on Monday, but the blob of increasingly disorganized moisture in the southeast will introduce a little bit of light shower activity after sunset. Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 82, Low 48 Monday – Increasing clouds, a chance of showers late, High 76, Low 51
TWC: Tomorrow – Intervals of clouds and sunshine High 83. Low 52 Monday – Partly cloudy skies during the morning hours will become overcast in the afternoon. High 80, Low 55
AW: Tomorrow = Warmer with sunshine and a few clouds; dry for outdoor plans on Mother’s Day High 81, Low 50 Monday – Pleasant; brilliant sunshine in the morning followed by sun and areas of high clouds High 74, Low 53
WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny. High 79, Low 51 Monday – Partly sunny. High 74, Low 58
WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 80, Low 52 Monday – Partly cloudy with showers, High 77, Low 53
CLI: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 78, Low 52 Monday – Mostly cloudy, High 73, Low 52
Two camps, clearly, on the timing of clouds and precipitation, and it is really going to affect the Monday high temperatures. Below is a look at the satellite, with clouds southwest of Vineland that will lazily move in. Happy Mother’s Day!
