Tag Archives: Joplin

Persistent overcast gives rise to inconsistent drizzle

After a cold front moved through the Joplin area late last week, clouds hung around well beyond their welcome. There was never any clearing, which was somewhat unexpected. We all knew that Friday was probably a lost cause, but the continued cloudiness on Saturday was a real downer. Temperatures were at least 5 degrees off the most conservative estimates, and some of those clouds even led to a bit of drizzle mid-day on Saturday, which was almost entirely unexpected. Accuweather wasn’t quite as on their heels as other outlets, and picked up on that precipitation forecast, but their temperatures were far enough off, that the best they could do was a tie with The Weather Channel for the title in Joplin.
Actuals: Friday – High 62, Low 50
Saturday – Trace of rain, High 67, Low 49

Grade: C-D

Joplin, Missouri to Chico, California

Let’s take a nice little trip out west. And by nice, I mean one in which we will almost certainly have to head through freshly snow covered mountain passes. The drive is going to take 3 days, with a pretty long day to wrap things up. The drive will cover 1887 miles at a pace of nearly 70mph, which will allow us to net 559 miles a day on those first two days of travel. I think we can handle this, snow and all!

 

DAY ONE (Sunday)

A cold front sneaking south through the Plains will bring some early morning drizzle and rain to eastern Kansas and western Missouri, which will be an auspicious start to what already promises to be a challenging journey. Fortunately, we will be north and west of the front by the time we hit I-70 at Salina. It will be cool and cloudy the rest of the way as high pressure settles in for a little while. We will make it into Colorado and the small town of Vona in the Plains as we prepare for the more scenic drives through the mountains.

DAY TWO (Monday)
The last day before we really lay it all on the table with a 700+ mile journey, we will contend with difficult enough weather. The city travel, in Denver and Cheyenne, will be just fine. We will pass through with little to no bother, save for the ever present risk of a traffic jam. When we reach the Elk Mountain area of Wyoming, however, we will start seeing delays of a different sort. Especially in the high terrain, don’t be surprised to see some light snow the rest of the way to Evanston, the stop for the day, with more significant bursts of snow in the mountain passes.

DAY THREE (Tuesday)
Fortunately, the snow that we see in Wyoming will be part of the last of a multi speared assault on the west coast. We will see a clear path forged ahead of us through Utah and Nevada, which have ducked any significant weather so far this season. The trek through the Sierras might still be slow as the area digs out from the first major rounds of snow in that part of the world, but we will arrive in a clearer, drier Chico than the one it has been the last couple of days.

Joplin, Missouri

Joplin is one of those cities what will always echo in the memories of meteorologists. It was the home of one of the largest tornadoes in history, and always seems to be in the crosshairs of something ominous. Let’s hope that’s not the case tonight!

At 953PM, CT, Joplin was reporting a temperature of 55 degrees with overcast skies. A cold front has moved through this evening and lies south of Branson and Rolla, but isn’t yet to West Plains or Harrison, Arkansas, and there are a few  thunderstorms remaining along the line. Chilly high pressure is on its way south into the Plains to ensure the rest of the evening will be dry.
An undercutting jet streak in the central Rockies will help stir up more trouble sooner rather than later. The pattern in the central US will be muddled, but a strong area of low pressure will be developing in the northern Rockies and northern High Plains. A resultant return flow will bring overcast and some light precipitation to the region tomorrow evening into early Saturday morning. A warmer high pressure will return to Joplin just in time for the weekend.
Tomorrow – Cloudy with some late showers, High 61, Low 48
Saturday – Sunny, High 72, Low 49

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible. High 63, Low 50
Saturday – Cloudy skies early, followed by partial clearing. High 72, Low 49

AW: Tomorrow – Rather cloudy and cooler; an afternoon shower in places High 65, Low 51
Saturday – Mostly cloudy and warmer with a passing shower High 74, Low 49

NWS: Tomorrow – A slight chance of drizzle before 4pm, then a slight chance of showers or drizzle after 4pm. Patchy fog before 1pm. Otherwise, cloudy, High 61, Low 52
Saturday – Partly sunny, High 78, Low 53

WB: Tomorrow – Cooler.Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog in the morrning. Slight chance of drizzle through the day. High 62, Low 52
Saturday – Warmer. Partly sunny. High 71, Low 50

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with slight chance of light drizzle, High 61, Low 52
Partly cloudy, Hgh 78, Low 53

FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy throughout the day and breezy starting overnight, continuing until morning. High 64, Low 53
Saturday – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 71, Low 53

We’re all over the map on this forecast. The placement of clouds and how much sun can actually peak through will really affect the reliability of this forecast! Here is the radar, with showers already through town.

Forecast.io wins by a trace

Temperature forecasting didn’t work out perfectly for our winner in Joplin. They ended up behind 4 other competitors based solely on temperature forecasting alone. They ended up nosing ahed of everyone else, however, when Joplin saw a few drops of rain, that launched Forecast.io to the top spot, thanks to being one of only 2 outlets to correctly foresee rain. It was only a little bit, but the spritz of shower activity was perfect for FIO.
Actuals: Sunday – High 82, Low 63
Monday – Trace of rain, High 87, Low 62

Grade: A=C

Cedar Rapids, Iowa to Joplin, Missouri

Today we have a short road trip between neighboring Midwestern states. There shouldn’t be many weather delays on this 1-day trip, right?

Cedar Rapids

There could be some clouds lingering over eastern Iowa as low pressure pushes into the Ohio Valley, but rain showers should be long gone and the clouds should dissipate not long into the day. With high pressure moving over the region, conditions should be sunny and dry for the duration of the trip as we cruise through Des Moines and head south on I-35 past Kansas City and then on I-49 the rest of the way. Easy peasy!

Joplin

Joplin, Missouri

Tonight we head off to Joplin, I can only imagine the weather for this coming weekend is better than what we all think about when we hear their name.

At 1153pm CDT, the temperature at Joplin, MO was 67 degrees under fair skies. An area of low pressure is shifting out of the Mid-Mississippi River Valley and through the Ohio Valley on its’ way into the Northeast. Behind it, a weak area of high pressure is shifting over western Missouri which should clear things out for Saturday. Sunday should start off pretty nice as well as the high shifts south. Clouds will increase in the evening, however, as a summertime Alberta Clipper drops down into the Upper Midwest, spreading some showers and storms. This system will continue southward into IL Sunday evening, extending the threat of a few rain showers all the way into the Joplin area. Odds are the activity should stay north until early Monday morning, but can’t completely rule out the chance of a rain shower impacting the area.

Saturday: Morning clouds, sunny for afternoon. High 81, Low 64.
Sunday: Mostly sunny, chance of a late evening rain shower. High 85, Low 60.

TWC: Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 82, Low 64.
Sunday: Sunny. High 87, Low 61.

AW: Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 81, Low 63.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. High 86, Low 61.

NWS: Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 80, Low 63.
Sunday: Sunny. High 85, Low 62.

WB: Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 80, Low 63.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. High 85, Low 62.

WN: Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 81, Low 64.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. High 84, Low 63.

FIO: Saturday: Partly cloudy until afternoon. High 80, Low 64.
Sunday: Evening rain shower possible. High 86, Low 63.

A couple light showers were in the area earlier this evening, but have since dissipated. Meanwhile, clusters of thunderstorms continue rolling through AR and TX.

southplainsRAD

Joplin stays snow free

With a deep upper level trough and strong surface high pressure digging into the center of the country, speculation was rampant that there would be some flurry activity at the leading edge of that feature. There was, but the snow was intermittent (it was reported just across the border in Arkansas) and managed to steer clear of Joplin for the past two days. Only one outlet managed to get the correct precipitation forecast, but The Weather Channel dominated the temperature forecast, and ended up winning the day.
Actuals: Wednesday – High 48, Low 22
Thursday – Hgih 29, Low 15

Grade: A-C

Joplin, Missouri

Apologies for the lack of the post yesterday, Joplin deserves better than my inferior calendar reading skills. I blame my trip to the dentist this morning. Anyways, you get 2 forecasts for the price of 1 today!

At 253pm CST, the temperature at Joplin, MO was 40 degrees under fair skies. A dissipating area of high pressure is keeping conditions relatively pleasant at this time over southwest Missouri, but things will drastically change over the next couple of days. An area of low pressure will develop over the northwest Gulf by midday tomorrow, kicking up precip over most of the Lower MS River Valley. Also, a disturbance is sliding southward over the Dakotas right now and looks to make its way into the Mid-MS River Valley by late tomorrow. While the Gulf low should stay far enough to the south of Joplin to keep its effects at bay, the same can’t be said for the northern disturbance. It should deflect some off to the east as it swings into the region, but looks to bring some light snow showers to the area on Thursday morning before it moves on. They shouldn’t accumulate to more than an inch, but still could make things tricky on the roads for those heading off to work.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, clouds increase in the late evening. High 47, Low 23.
Thursday: Some light early morning snow showers possible, then cloudy and dry for the remainder of the day. Temperature dropping throughout much of the day. High 29, Low 12

TWC: Wednesday: Mostly sunny. High 48, Low 23.
Thursday: A few morning flurries or snow showers possible, then cloudy. High 30, Low 15.

AW: Wednesday: Partly sunny. High 47, Low 20.
Thursday: Early morning snow showers, then mainly cloudy and much colder. High 29, Low 14.

NWS: Wednesday: Mostly sunny, slight chance of rain/snow late evening. High 45, Low 22.
Thursday: Slight chance of snow in early morning hours. High 33, Low 17.

WB: Wednesday: Partly cloudy. High 45, Low 21.
Thursday: chance of early morning snow. High 27, Low 15.

WN: Wednesday: Partly cloudy. Evening rain changing to wintry mix. High 45, Low 23.
Thursday: Windy with isolated snow showers in early morning. High 34, Low 18.

FIO: Wednesday: Mostly sunny, clouds increasing in evening. High 46, Low 24.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy throughout the day, breezy in morning. High 30, Low 16.

The Joplin area is pretty quiet right now, but that developing system over TX/OK is what will give us our brush with precip tomorrow night.
JPNsat

Almost perfect

You could say the weather, which featured highs in the low 70s and sunny skies for two days in Joplin, was almost perfect (I would prefer an extra degree or two.) Or, you could say that The Weather Channel was almost perfect, missing by only one degree on the Tuesday high, but nailing it everywhere else.
Actuals: Tuesday, High 73, Low 52
Wednesday, High 72, Low 48

Grade: A

Joplin, Missouri

Joplin is famous in the meteorology world for the disaster that afflicted the city last year. An F5 tornado killed 160 people in the town last summer, and residents are still trying to put the pieces back together. This will be a good couple of days to do that.

At 153AM, Joplin was reporting a temperature of 55 degrees with clear skies. A push of cold air had finally found it’s way into the center of the country, and high pressure was beginning to build into the south central portion of the country.
A sharp trough has been cut off over the center of the country, which is preventing the ridge from developing strongly. That said, moisture will be shunted south, focused along a surface low over northeastern Texas. Joplin should enjoy sunny skies and seasonable temperatures through Wednesday.
Tomorrow – Sunny, High 74, Low 51
Wednesday – Sunny, High 73, Low 50

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy High 72, Low 52
Wednesday – Sunny High 72, Low 48

AW: Tomorrow – Less humid with times of sun and clouds High 73, Low 50
Wednesday – Mostly sunny High 72, Low 49

NWS: Tomorrow – Partly sunny, High 71, Low 56
Wednesday – Sunny High 72, Low 49

WB: Tomorrow – Partly sunny. High 71, Low 55
Wednesday – Sunny. High 72, Low 49

Pretty nice for Joplin. Hope it stays that way for a while. Satellite shows the moisture off to the south causing it’s problems.