Colorado Springs, Colorado

Ryan Henning Leave a comment

We’ve been out east for quite some time, so to conclude January, we are going to the Front Range to see what is going on in the Mountain Time Zone.

At 1254PM, MT, Colorado Springs was reporting a temperature of 47 degrees with clear skies. Flow was scattered throughout the region, but upsloping a bit near Colorado Springs, making it the cold spot in the area. The pattern right now is rather outsized, with a deep area of low pressure in the mid-Atlantic, and another large feature moving into the Pacific Northwest. Expect some dampening to the pattern over the weekend, however.
The feature in the northwest will start pressing into the northern Rockies, putting eastern Colorado into a warm sector, though more upsloping may prevent Colorado Springs from getting as warm as the atmosphere would otherwise allow. By Sunday, a westerly flow will arrive, thanks to jet support flattening out. Warm air already in place will remain in southeastern Colorado, while precipitation will be stowed in Big Sky Country, leaving Colorado Springs a nice weekend.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 51, Low 28
Sunday – Partly cloudy, High 57, Low 30

TWC: Tomorrow – Intervals of clouds and sunshine. High 55, Low 35
Tomorrow – Partly cloudy skies. High 60, Low 36

AW: Tomorrow – Mild with times of clouds and sun High 61, Low 33
Sunday – Mild with sun through high clouds High 66, Low 38

NWS: Tomorrow – Partly sunny, High 55, Low 28
Sunday – Mostly sunny, High 58, Low 33

WB: Tomorrow – Partly sunny, High 49, Low 26
Sunday – Partly sunny, High 57, Low 31

WN: tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 55, Low 28
Sunday – Partly cloudy, High 57, Low 36

CLI: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 54, Low 31
Sunday – Partly cloudy, High 60, Low 36

Man, temperatures are all over the map, aren’t they? I’m feeling a little bit uneasy about going any higher tomorrow, but temperatures today are having such a tough time getting any warmer, so I’m going to live with it. Here is the satellite, with some low clouds north of the Palmer Divide, and some higher stuff back in the western Colorado Rockies.

New Orleans, Louisiana

Ryan Henning Leave a comment

2025 is off to a hell of a start in the Big Easy, where it seems that nothing is easy anymore. 2025 also marks 20 years since Katrina changed the city forever, but more recently, we saw 10 inches of snow in parts of the city. We also know now that in 2 weeks the Eagles, Chiefs and fans of the NFL are going to be in town, praying that the weather isn’t among the headlines.

At 1053PM, CT, New Orleans was reporting mostly cloudy skies with a temperature of 60 degrees. A light southeasterly flow was feeding into a developing boundary running roughly from Brookhaven, Mississippi to Deridder. Showers were running astride of the boundary, but there was a heavier thunderstorm north of Lake Charles, approaching Kinder. The boundary is just that, a boundary and isn’t truly tied to an organized area of low pressure, but a perturbation taking advantage of a little bit of dissonance in the jet aloft. The rainfall in central Louisiana will reach New Orleans shortly after sunrise, but won’t be terribly threatening, beyond some scattered showers through the morning, and overcast in the evening.
A long wave, low amplitude ridge is building back into the western Gulf Coast. This will likely mean a bit of a meandering surface flow and some coastal fog south of New Orleans, but quiet weather in town.
Tomorrow – Showers early, then becoming mostly cloudy. High 65, Low 57
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy, High 63, Low 48

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy. Slight chance of a rain shower.  High 63, Low 56
Tuesday – Considerable cloudiness. High 62, Low 49

AW: Tomorrow – A thick cloud cover with a couple of showers High 64, Low 55
Tuesday – Low clouds, High 62, Low 48

NWS: Tomorrow – A 40 percent chance of showers before 9am. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, High 64, Low 54
Tuesday -Mostly cloudy, 62, Low 48

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers in the morning then partly sunny in the afternoon, High 63, Low 56
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly sunny, High 61, Low 54

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with showers, High 63 Low 55
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy, High 61, Low 48

CLI: Tomorrow – Light rain showers, High 65, Low 56
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy, High 63, Low 48

Liquid precipitation is something most folks in Louisiana can understand. Here comes some now!

Holland, Michigan

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Finally, we are getting a forecast at a site that one actually expects to see winter weather in. Does that mean we will see winter weather in the forecast? That remains to be seen.

At 453PM, ET, Holland was reporting mostly sunny skies with a temperature of 35 degrees. A trough moving through James Bay was producing a bit of snowfall in Ontario, but more significantly in lower Michigan, it had snapped a cold spell and brought temperatures that are sneaking above freezing this afternoon. The fetch off Lake Michigan is weak, and as the trough passes through this evening, snow is not expected for Holland’s portion of Western Michigan.
On a larger scale, a strong jet trough extended from the Great Lakes westward to California. A strak running from Yukon to western Ontario threatened to crosscut an elongated stream from the Baja Peninsula to Louisiana and northeast to the Mid-Atlantic. A strong area of low pressure will slide from the Northwest Territories to the Northern Great Lakes through the period, initially increasing winds generally for Michigan, and then ultimately setting up a westerly fetch off of Lake Michigan as a cold front approaches from the north. This will unfold on Monday afternoon and evening, leading to a messy afternoon commute, and the chance for some accumulation Monday night.
Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, breezy, High 29, Low 21
Monday – Increasing clouds with snow possible late, up to an inch possible, High 34, Low 22

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy early with partial sunshine expected late. High 29, Low 22
Monday – Windy. Snow showers developing in the afternoon. High 36, Low 23

AW: Tomorrow – Breezy and colder with clouds giving way to some sun High 27, Low 21
Monday – Very windy; cloudy and not as cold with a flurry in the afternoon; expect travel delays and power outages; secure loose objects and prepare for ice shoves High 36, Low 24

NWS: Tomorrow – Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, High 27, Low 21
Monday – A 30 percent chance of snow showers after 1pm. Increasing clouds High 35, Low 25

WB: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 28, Low 24
Monday – Windy. Sunny until midday then partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of snow showers in the afternoon, High 35, Low 23

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 27, Low 22
Monday – Windy with snow showers possible, High 35, Low 23

CLI: Tomorrow – Overcast, High 32, Low 22
Monday – Heavy Snow showers, High 36, Low 23

Clearly, Clime sees something stronger (and warmer) than the rest of us. There is precipitation showing up on radar in lower Michigan, but it isn’t being noted in any observations.

Chattanooga, Tennessee

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

It’s been a full week since I’ve been around (sorry, Christmas celebrations are still ongoing for me!) and things look very similar. Fires are still a threat in southern California, and very cold conditions remain in the eastern part of the country. One interesting wrinkle is the record breaking snow on the Gulf Coast and east to the Carolinas. Chattanooga was too far north to get clipped by that blizzard.

At 139PM, ET, Chattanooga was reporting a brisk west wind and a temperature of 48 degrees. Warmer air was returning to this part of the country, where snow did not fall, but chilly conditions were still in place in nearly every other direction. Some atmospheric turbulence reported by pilots indicates a strong, contorted jet in the area is indicative of a narrow trough over Appalachia. All that said, surface conditions were dominated by high pressure.
The strong jet over the southeastern US is beginning to split into parallel streams. This will help things get a bit warmer in Chattanooga, though not terribly warm, and keep things pretty stable through the weekend. Eventually, return flow will start to draw moisture into the Texas/Louisiana border area, which will start building east at the upper levels, following the course of the jet, increasing cloud cover as the work week approaches.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 49, Low 26
Sunday – Increasing clouds late, high 45, Low 29

TWC: Tomorrow – Generally sunny despite a few afternoon clouds. High 49, Low 22
Sunday – Mostly cloudy skies.  High 45, Low 31

AW: Tomorrow – Sun and some clouds High 51, Low 20
Sunday – Mainly cloudy High 47 low 29

NWS: Tomorrow – Increasing clouds, High 48, Low 23
Sunday – Mostly cloudy, High 46, Low 30

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 46, low 24
Sunday – Partly sunny, High 48, Low 31

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 47, Low 26
Sunday – Mostly cloudy with light wintry mix, High 45, low 32

CLI: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 49, Low 23
Sunday – Overcast, High 44, Low 29

WeatherNation is swinging for the fences with their wintry mix on Sunday, aren’t they? What do the locals say about it?

Gulfport, Mississippi

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

This is it, friends, the first individual forecast of the year. Off to the Gulf Coast, and hopefully some warm temperatures.

At 1253PM, CT, Gulfport was reporting a temperature of 48 degrees with clear skies. This will not last, however. Scattered showers are moving through Louisiana, the vanguard of a system developing off the Texas coast near Corpus Christi. A sharp upper level trough is going to aid the development of this feature, which will temporarily slow it down, but will ultimately give the storm a bit of a jolt. Fortunately, Gulfport looks to be far enough south to evade the snow and ice this storm will bring, but still chilly enough to avoid severe weather.
Warm air will lift north at the leading edge of the system, and the onshore flow will almost certainly led to a stray shower overnight in Gulfport. The heavy rain associated with the core of the area of low pressure will arrive in Gulfport around mid-morning, and may feature a thunderstorm or two. By the time it passes southern Mississippi, the feature will have some momentum, and will make a hard charge through th region, exiting later in the evening on Friday, and leading to an even cooler Saturday. Fortunately, with a little bit of sunshine, Gulfport should bounce back to something closer to comfortable.
Tomorrow – Rain, heavy at times with some thunder in the morning. Wrapping up in the evening, getting chilly late, High 60, Low 40
Saturday – Increasing sun, cooler, High 51, Low 37

TWC: Tomorrow – Windy with a steady rain in the morning. Showers continuing in the afternoon. Potential for heavy rainfall.  High 57, low 41
Saturday – Intervals of clouds and sunshine. High 51, low 35

AW: Tomorrow – Turning colder in the morning; windy with rain High 58, Low 43
Saturday – Partial sunshine, High 52, Low 36

NWS: Tomorrow – Showers High 62, low 40
Saturday – Partly sunny High 48, Low 35

WB: Tomorrow – Showers, mainly in the morning. Locally heavy rainfall possible in the morning. High 55, Low 38
Saturday – Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming mostly sunny, High 50, Low 36

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with showers, High 61, Low 39
Saturday – Partly cloudy, High 46, low 36

CLI: Tomorrow – Rain Showers, High 61, Low 44
Saturday – Sunny, High 51, Low 36

Believe it or not, not all of our forecasters put Tomorrow’s low at midnight headed into Friday. Temperatures should plateau there for a bit, and perhaps not necessarily any cooler than they will be tomorrow morning, ahead of the surge of warmer air before the rain. Did someone say rain? Here is some rain arriving in Louisiana.

Logan, Utah

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

It’s the grand finale of 2024, which means our forecast will provide a first look at 2025. What do we have in store for northern Utah?

At 951AM, MT, Logan was reporting overcast skies with a temperature of 25 degrees. Snow was falling in the higher terrain, and near the northern part of the Great Salt Lake. The persistent, wind driven snow has lead to an increased threat for avalanches in the higher, steeper terrain, and could make for treacherous travel, particularly east of Logan. A sharp jet trough will shift out of Utah today and help tamp down some of the winds, but this disturbance is being chased out by a strong jet, albeit laminar. This will lead to more moisture, if less gusty wind.
The threat for snow in the northernmost reaches of the Beehive State will return around midday on New Years Day. Not much is expected at the lower terrain of Logan, but more accumulation will be coming for the peaks of the Wasatch. The strong jet will ultimately be translating perpendicular to the flow within the jet, which means an upper ridge is coming for Thursday evening, finally ending the snow for the moment.
Tomorrow – Starting calm, with snow possible in the afternoon, High 31, Low 14
Thursday – Snow early, clearing late, High 37, Low 25

TWC: Tomorrow – Variable clouds with snow showers. High 33, Low 18
Thursday – Cloudy with snow showers mainly during the morning. High 39, Low 29

AW: Tomorrow – Considerable cloudiness with a bit of snow in the afternoon with little or no accumulation High 32, Low 19
Thursday – Times of clouds and sun with a rain or snow shower in spots High 39, Low 27

NWS: Tomorrow – Snow likely, mainly after 8am. Cloudy, High 32, Low 15
Thursday – A chance of snow before 2pm, then a chance of rain and snow. Cloudy, High 38, Low 23

WB: Tomorrow – A chance of snow in the in the morning then snow in the afternoon. Mostly cloudy, High 24, Low 15
Thursday – Mostly cloudy with snow likely, High 32, Low 25

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with light snow, High 32, Low 16
Thursday – Mostly cloudy with chance of a light wintry mix, High 37, Low 25

CLI: Tomorrow – Heavy snow showers. High 33, Low 13
Thursday – Light sleet High 39, Low 25

The last forecast of the year calls for light sleet?! I’ll be. There is a splash of precipitation on radar as of this morning.

Monroe, Louisiana

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Merry Christmas, one and all! The kids are in bed and I’m up waiting for St. Nick, so might as well forecast.

At 853PM, CT, Monroe was reporting a temperature of 64 degrees, with overcast skies. A line of strong storms was sweeping through east Texas, with severe weather even ongoing around Bryan and College Station, but further to the north, a shield of regular old Christmas rain was approaching.
This severe weather is burning bright, but will do so briefly. This area of wet weather is part of a short waved trough butting against a large ridge in the east. Organized strong storms won’t last into Christmas, however the region will still be disturbed. and on the back side of a ridge, keeping a return flow and the threat of showers in the forecast for Christmas Day. An even shorter wave on Boxing Day will draw moisture away from Monroe, leading to a clear afternoon on Thursday, ahead of the next batch of wet weather.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, with scattered showers, especially early. High 66, Low 55
Thursday – Isolated showers in the morning, then clearing, followed by a late chance for rain, High 68, Low 56

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy with occasional rain showers High 64, Low 55
Thursday – Cloudy in the morning with scattered thunderstorms developing later in the day. High 69, Low 57

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with a couple of showers and a thunderstorm; wet roads and lower visibility may lead to travel disruptions High 66, Low 54
Thursday – Low clouds, then perhaps some sun and mild High 67, Low 59

NWS: Tomorrow – A chance of showers before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between noon and 3pm, then showers likely after 3pm. Mostly cloudy High 66, Low 56
Thursday – A 40 percent chance of showers, mainly after noon. High 70, Low 57

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the morning and a chance of showers with a thunderstorm in the afternoon. High 65, Low 58
Thursday – Cloudy. A slight chance of showers in the morning, a chance of showers in the afternoon, High 68, Low 60

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with light showers and isolated thunderstorms, High 66, Low 54
Thursday – Mostly cloudy with showers and Isolated thunderstorms, High 69, Low 58

CLI: Tomorrow – Rain showers, High 66, Low 55
Thursday – Thunderstorm, High 69, Low 57

Hey, Clime’s back! And the radar from the ArkLaTex is full of festive greens and reds.

Jacksonville, North Carolina

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Not quite as renowned as the two Portlands, there are also two Jacksonvilles, and both of them are on an intercoastal water way in the southeast, so there is a bit more in common with these co-named towns.

At 156PM, ET, Jacksonville was reporting a temperature of 69 degrees with mostly sunny skies. A boundary had shifted off shore in relation to low pressure in the central Appalachians, and clouds and rain were recently observed as nearby as Cherry Point. North Carolina finds itself within the warm sector of this feature, and looks to enjoy a warm afternoon.
The parent low to the feature in the Appalachians is a deeply occluded cyclone in Ontario. The jet structure is becoming more laminar, making the occlusion even more stark, and weakening the cold front. The boundary will track through Jacksonville fairly uneventfully tomorrow afternoon. This unaltered environment will be in place as another low organized and moves swiftly, starting in southern Missouri and transporting through the Carolinas by Wednesday evening. Expect a surge in warmth and moisture in the afternoon, followed by an increasing threat of showers, with a few embedded thunderstorms.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 72, Low 43
Wednesday – Increasingly cloudy, some rain late, High 72, low 56

TWC: Tomorrow – Areas of fog (and rain) early, then partly cloudy in the afternoon High 73, Low 53
Wednesday – Areas of fog early, then partly cloudy in the afternoon high 72, low 54

AW: Tomorrow – Areas of fog in the morning; otherwise, very warm with clouds and sunshine High 74, Low 51
Wednesday – Areas of morning fog; otherwise, partly sunny and warm with a couple of showers and a thunderstorm in the afternoon High 72, Low 53

NWS: Tomorrow – Areas of fog before 10am. Otherwise, cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, High 73, Low 52
Wednesday – A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, High 70, Low 54

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming mostly sunny, High 69, Low 53
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. A 40% chance of showers, with thunderstorms in the evening, High 69, Low 53

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with showers, High 72, Low 53
Wednesday – Partly cloudy with scattered showers, High 70, Low 54

CLI: I think Clime is done? Their forecasts just keep bringing out 404’s

Here is the radar for the Carolinas with some showers over the Outer Banks.

Lancaster, Pennsylvania

Ryan Henning Leave a comment

Welcome to mid-December. A cold front is pressing towards the eastern Seaboard this evening, so it appears as this forecast will have the FEEL of a mid-December forecast. As it should.

At 1253AM, ET, Lancaster was reporting a temperature of 52 degrees with overcast skies. Rain was not presently being reported in the area, but it was certainly all around. The next batch of precipitation will be moving in from the southwest, were showers are being reported in York. A sharp trough in the eastern third of the country is the culprit behind a still evolving area of surface low pressure centered in the western Carolinas. It was pumping moisture northward, and will continue to until the low itself moves through midday tomorrow. After this point, cold air will start rushing in in earnest.
The coldest air and the precipitation don’t quite overlap, so snow in southeastern Pennsylvania, while not impossible, is unlikely. The brisk upper level flow will lead to Lake effect snow in the eastern Great Lakes and still gloomy conditions in Lancaster for Thursday.
Tomorrow – Rain through the morning, ending with a wintry mix in the afternoon, High 59, Low 33
Thursday – Cloudy, windy and colder, High 38, Low 26

TWC: Tomorrow – Periods of rain High 62, Low 35
Thursday – Some clouds in the morning will give way to mainly sunny skies for the afternoon. High 37, Low 26

AW: Tomorrow – Mild with heavy rain and a t-storm; windy this afternoon; worsening travel conditions throughout the day; flooding, damaging winds and power outages possible High 61, Low 36
Thursday – Windy and much colder with partial sunshine High 37, Low 27

NWS: Tomorrow – Rain. High 61, Low 34
Thursday – Sunny, High 35, Low 25

WB: Tomorrow – Rain, Unseasonably warm, High 57, Low 35
Thursday – Sunny, Much cooler, High 35, Low 27

WN: Tomorrow – Cloudy with Rain, High 61, Low 34
Thursday – Mostly sunny, High 34, Low 25

CLI: Uh oh

Two forecasts in a row where Clime is not working. Uh oh indeed.

It’s a rainy one out east! All forecasts, every day, are non standard.

Corvallis, Oregon

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Thanksgiving is behind us, and now Christmas awaits, and in between a busy few weeks. Travel can get sticky in the Northeast around the holidays, and everyone knows it, but what about the Northwest?

At 615PM, PT, Corvallis was reporting low clouds and fog, as well as a temperature of 32 degrees. Temperatures are undoubtedly suppressed by the low clouds, as near the coast it was 10 degrees warmer. The low blanket was seen inland, as flow was wrapping westward from an upper level ridge, and burying any moisture near the surface.
The ridge aloft is going to be reinforced by an off shore jet ridge over the next couple of days which will help fog and low clouds begin to burn off a little more efficiently, however the ridge started settling in earlier today, and if anything, the low level moisture has become even more pernicious. Still, expect the area to remain precipitation free, and eventually some sunshine will break through before the weekend arrives.
Tomorrow – Overcast, with a few breaks of sun, High 40, Low 30
Friday – Mostly cloudy, High 45, Low 30

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy skies early, followed by partial clearing. High 44, Low 30
Friday – Mainly cloudy. High 46, Low 32

AW: Tomorrow – Low clouds and fog, then perhaps some sun with a shower in spots in the afternoon High 44, Low 27
Friday – Low clouds High 46, Low 31

NWS: Tomorrow – Widespread dense fog, mainly before 10am. Areas of freezing fog before 7am. Otherwise, cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing, high 47, Low 29
Friday – Areas of fog before 10am. High 48, Low 33

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy in the morning, becoming partly cloudy. Widespread fog in the morning, High 41, Low 31
Friday – Areas of fog in the morning. Partly sunny, High 44, Low 33

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with a light wintry mix, High 44, Low 32
Friday – Partly cloudy with a light wintry mix, High 46, Low 33

CLI: 404, not found

It’s been a while since a forecast didn’t show up. It looks like Clime is fully on the fritz, as I punched in a bunch of sits, and nothing appeared for me. Nothing is appearing for anyone in parts of Oregon this week, given the clouds and fog in the area, visible on satellite below.