Providence, Rhode Island

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Tonight’s forecast will take us to New England through the Thanksgiving holiday. How will Rhode Islanders enjoy the day?

At 451PM, ET, Providence was reporting a temperature of 50 degrees with overcast skies. Rain was approaching, already sneaking into the southwestern corner of Rhode Island, at the leading edge of a warm front. The system is deeply occluded, and the cold front will pass through overnight as well. Southerly flow will follow the secondary cold front on Wednesday, which may drag a bit of moisture into the region, leading to a cloudy, at times drizzly day before Thanksgiving.
There is one last wave of moisture expected to slide through New England on Thanksgiving, but it is unlikely that there will be lingering effects. The day will be increasingly sunny, and quite pleasant by dinner time. Happy Thanksgiving!
Tomorrow – Rain, particularly early, with lingering showers throughout, High 59, Low 48
Thanksgiving – Some drizzle early then clearing and colder, High 55, Low 33

TWC: Tomorrow – Chance of a morning shower. Overcast. High 59, Low 48
Thanksgiving – Sunny along with a few clouds. High 55, Low 36

AW: Tomorrow – Rather cloudy with a couple of showers; wet weather can make for slow holiday travel High 61, Low 48
Thanksgiving – Sunny to partly cloudy, windy and cooler High 55, Low 34

NWS: Tomorrow – A slight chance of rain between 9am and 3pm. Patchy fog.  High 61, Low 47
Thanksgiving – Mostly sunny, (AM Rain) High 56, Low 36

WB: Tomorrow – Cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Patchy fog High 59, Lo 50
Thanksgiving – Sunny High 55, Low 36

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with isolated showers, High 61, Low 47
Thanksgiving – Mostly sunny (early showers), High 54, Low 35

CLI: Tomorrow – Overcast High 60, Low 50
Thanksgiving – Partly cloudy, High 56, Low 35

Rain will be light, regardless of what happens, for a lot of the forecast period. And temperatures will be on their way down, so the Turkey Day Touch Football game looks to be a good way to warm up. Radar showing rain moving in is below, and if you are looking to get really involved, here is a live camera from Providence.

Birmingham, Alabama

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Between the early start to tornado season and the exposure to hurricane season, Alabama is one of the more interesting places to forecast the weather. Undoubtedly, this is why James Spann, one of the more famous TV weatherpeople has built such a respected reputation, working in Birmingham. Perhaps we have an interesting forecast in our future?

At 1053PM, CT, Birmingham was reporting a temperature of 61 degrees with overcast skies. There was weak ridging in the area tonight, helping to provide some stability, however a weakening disturbance over the Southern Plains is advancing to the east, and the attendant warm front runs through Tennessee. The rest of the energy will arrive in the late morning tomorrow, with light rain and an isolated rumble of thunder.
The back end of the energy lies well west of the precipitation that will begin tomorrow morning. Expect the coverage and intensity to pick up late tomorrow evening into Saturday morning. The tailing cold front will stall across central Alabama, leading to an ongoing threat of light rain to start the weekend. Fortunately, there is an area of surface high pressure behind the wave moving in overnight tonight, and the latter half of the weekend will be clearer.
Tomorrow – Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, High 72, Low 58
Saturday – Mostly cloudy with a smattering of light rain, High 75, Low 57

TWC: Tomorrow – Rain showers in the morning with thunderstorms developing in the afternoon. High 70, Low 58
Saturday – Showers in the morning, then partly cloudy in the afternoon. Thunder possible. High 77, Low 58

AW: Tomorrow – Rather cloudy with a heavy thunderstorm in the afternoon; thunderstorms can bring hail and damaging winds High 72, Low 60
Saturday – Mostly cloudy and warm High 75, Low 53

NWS: Tomorrow – Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 3pm. Mostly cloudy, High 72, Low 59
Saturday – A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before noon. Cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing, High 72, Low 58

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the morning then showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 70, Low 63
Saturday – Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning then sunny in the afternoon. High 74, Low 60

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with light showers and a chance of storms, High 72, Low 59
Saturday – Partly cloudy with isolated storms, High 76, Low 60

CLI: Tomorrow – Thunderstorm, High 72, Low 58
Saturday – Light rain showers, High 77, Low 55

I think the response to the boundaries and clouds associated with this fairly quick moving system could really play havoc with this forecast. I should note that the low temperatures on Saturday are expected to occur at midnight leading to Sunday. The radar is showing off some showers, but few are reaching the ground….. yet.

Santa Cruz, California

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

We are dangerously close to the weekend. It’s been a soggy week on the West Coast. Will that trend continue?

At 1253PM, PT, Santa Cruz was seeing fair skies with a temperature of 68 degrees. Strong low pressure extended a cool front as far south as about Eureka. There is a lingering marine layer along the coast, but which hasn’t stuck within the bays of the California coast, including Monterey Bay, however an uncharacteristically high dew point suggests that some fog will return overnight.
The boundary won’t ever reach Santa Cruz before high pressure begins to build back in. This means that if there is leftover low clouds and fog in the area, it won’t be scrubbed out. Afternoons should still be sunny and mild, even with some haze in the morning.
Tomorrow – Cloudy early, then clearing, High 69, Low 53
Saturday – Mostly sunny, High 73, Low 54

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunshine along with some cloudy intervals. High 70, Low 52
Saturday – Intervals of clouds and sunshine. High 74, low 52

AW: Tomorrow – Areas of low clouds early; otherwise, sunny and pleasant High 71, Low 51
Saturday – Pleasant with times of clouds and sun High 74, Low 53

NWS: Tomorrow – Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, High 71, Low 51
Saturday – Sunny, High 74, Low 52

WB: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming sunny. Patchy fog in the morning.  High 67, Low 54
Saturday – Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming sunny. High 69, Low 55

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 71, Low 51
Saturday – Mostly sunny, High 74, low 52

CLI: Tomorrow – Sunny High 71, Low 51
Saturday – Sunny High 73, Low 50

Clouds are lurking off shore. Will they cause problems? No, probably not, but maybe a bit of fog in the morning.

Greeley, Colorado

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

With the newly advertised atmospheric river coming for the Pacific Northwest, there stands to be a bit more interesting weather eventually trickling into the High Plains of Colorado. But how soon?

At 856PM, MT, Greeley was reporting clear skies and a temperature of 43 degrees. Greeley was a pit on the temperature map, as Fort Collins to the west and Fort Morgan to the east were both still in the 50s, while Greeley aligned more with Cheyenne and Laramie, where it had tarted to cool down. Flow is fairly calm, however there is a stream of high clouds showing up south of Denver.
The jet fostering low pressure will eventually emerge in the central Rockies, and dig into the high pressure in the Plains. Low pressure will begin to organize in Montana, drawing more warm, dry air through Greeley. With low pressure organizing so far north, there is no threat for rain in the Greeley area.
Tomorrow – Fair skies, High 67, Low 30
Thursday – Partly cloudy, High 70, Low 28

TWC: Tomorrow – A mainly sunny sky. High 66, Low 31
Thursday – A few passing clouds, otherwise generally sunny. High 68, Low 31

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny and not as warm but pleasant High 66, Low 31
Thursday – Mostly sunny and windy High 69, Low 29

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 65, Low 32
Thursday – Mostly sunny, High 67, Low 34

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny. High 65, Low 38
Thursday – Partly cloudy. High 65, Low 36

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 65, Low 35
Thursday – Partly cloudy, High 67, Low 36

CLI: Tomorrow – Sunny High 65, Low 31
Thursday – Partly cloudy High 68, Low 30

It’s such a wildcard this time of year in the High Plains and Front Range. The forecasts are all pretty similar, which means we are all going to be wrong in the same way. Satellite shows a few clouds tonight, generally to the south.

Burlington, North Carolina

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Burlington started its life called “Company Shops” because the railroads started the town as a spot to service trains in North Carolina. As railroads merged and the trains that used Company Shops put their work elsewhere, residents decided to rename the town. They picked the name “Burlington”…. naming the town after a passing train.

At 1059PM, ET, Burlington was reporting rain and low overcast. The temperature was 52 degrees. In the wake of a coastal feature that brought the region rain yesterday, another rain maker is moving out of the Tennessee Valley tonight. In this case, the area of low pressure is starting to move to the north, and an occluded cold front will be responsible for the rain overnight tonight.
Because of the occlusion, the post-frontal cooldown will not be dramatic. The rain will end through the late morning, with drier air and a bit of sunshine then filtering back into the picture. High pressure will build in, giving the region a much needed break from the rain.
Tomorrow – Rain early, then clearing, High 62, Low 48
Friday – Sunny, High 58, low 43

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy early, becoming mostly sunny in the afternoon (AM Rain) High 62, Low 49
Friday – Sunny skies. High 62, Low 43

AW: Tomorrow – Breezy in the morning; otherwise, clouds breaking for some sun (AM Rain) High 62, Low 49
Friday – Breezy in the morning; otherwise, plenty of sun; cool for trick-or-treating High 60, Low 41

NWS: Tomorrow – Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, (AM rain) High 62, Low 49
Friday – Sunny, High 62, Low 42

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the morning.  High 62, Low 49
Friday – Sunny.  High 59, Low 45

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy (early rain) High 62, Low 49
Friday – Sunny, High 62, Low 42

CLI: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 62, low 48
Friday – Sunny, High 61, Low 42

Well, if the high tomorrow isn’t 62 degrees, I think I’m going to have to talk to someone. Pretty rainy tonight, but I did forget that Friday is Halloween, and that looks like a good night for Trick or Treating.

Durham, North Carolina

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Durham is one of the three members of the “Research Triangle” in eastern North Carolina, and is famous also for being the home of Duke University, who have historically had a strong basketball program.

At 815PM, ET, Durham was reporting a temperature of 52 degrees with rain. There was an area of low pressure off the coast of South Carolina, and to say the least, it has been a robust rain producer, and almost the entire state east of the mountains was experiencing rain this evening. The feature is associated with a robust seasonal jet stream, and will shift into the north Atlantic, where it will help to establish a steering mechanism to keep Hurricane Melissa away from the US mainland.
The pattern across the US is quite active this week. While rain will diminish by late on Tuesday, but a deeper digging trough with it’s own area of surface low pressure will be sliding through the southern US. By Wednesday, the stalled boundary associated with the low in the Atlantic will link with the rising warm front, bringing rain back into the forecast for the morning. Wednesday will see temperatures pop a bit, with some thunderstorms coming in after sunset.
Tomorrow – Showers through the day, High 50, Low 47
Wednesday – Rain early, then some thunder late, High 58, Low 48

TWC: Tomorrow – Rain, High 51, Low 48
Wednesday – Considerable cloudiness with occasional rain showers. High 56, Low 46

AW: Tomorrow – Breezy and cool with rain High 51, Low 46
Wednesday – Occasional rain and drizzle in the morning followed by periods of rain and a thunderstorm in the afternoon High 57, Low 47

NWS: Tomorrow – Rain. High 52, Low 47
Wednesday – Rain likely before 8am, then showers likely, mainly after 2pm. Cloudy, High 58, Low 47

WB: Tomorrow – Rain. High 53, Low 48
Wednesday – Rain likely with areas of drizzle in the morning then showers likely in the afternoon High 55, Low 47

WN: Tomorrow – Cloudy with showers, High 52, Low 47
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy with rain likely, High 58, Low 47

CLI: Tomorrow – Rain showers, High 51, Low 47
Wednesday – Rain Showers, High 55, Low 47

Sorry, Durham. Wish I had better news for you. Look at all this rain!

Elkhart, Indiana

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

There are several medium sized towns in northern Indiana, even as you get east of Chicagoland. We have four along the I-80/90 corridor in our forecast pool, Michigan City, South Bend, Goshen and today’s site, Elkhart.

-At 1215PM, ET, Elkhart was reporting a temperature of 45 degrees with light rain. Rain was more widespread in Michigan, and just nosing into northern Indiana, with showers reported in South Bend, but not Goshen. This is associated with a broad area of low pressure in western Quebec, drifting to the north. The lingering shower activity will continue through the day as the system breaks down, and it will remain cool through the day.
A narrow ridge is going to be pushing the light rain out of the region, and will anchor in place for the remainder of the work week. The ridge will provide a bit of a warm up, but not dramatic. The jet associated with the upper level ridge will be local, which will lead to some clouds at the mid and upper levels, along with some persistent low clouds associated with todays event. It will be a bit warmer, with a little bit of sun on Friday.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 49, Low 44
Friday – Mostly cloudy, High 51, Low 38

TWC: Tomorrow – Showers in the morning, then cloudy in the afternoon. High 49, Low 42
Friday – Cloudy skies early, followed by partial clearing. High 52, Low 39

AW: Tomorrow – Sun and some clouds with a couple of showers; breezy and chilly High 48, low 43
Friday – Mostly sunny High 51, Low 39

NWS: Tomorrow – A 50 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy High 51, low 43
Friday – Mostly sunny (Rain through 2am), High 54, Low 38

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy through 4 pm then becoming partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. High 46, Low 42
Friday – Partly cloudy through 4 pm then clearing (Rain through 2am). High 51, Low 38

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with light showers likely, High 50, Low 43
Friday – Partly cloudy with showers, High 54, Low 38

CLI: Tomorrow – Rain Showers, High 47, Low 40
Friday – Light rain showers, High 50, low 37

I’m not sure why so many of my compatriots are calling for rain in Elkhart. I would be surprised if it lasts the day, let alone the week. Here, take a look.

Dover, Delaware

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

There isn’t a lot too Delaware, but given the location along the coast, it can sure serve up some interesting times.

At 315PM, ET, Dover was reporting a temperature of 60 degrees with overcast skies. High pressure remains in control this afternoon in the Delmarva, however a deep cutting trough swinging out of the Great lakes towards an already unsettled region in the Bight of Georgia is going to bring about some significant changes for the weekend.
The developing low, which may ultimately get a name from the NHC, but even if it doesn’t, it should be a very early season Nor’Easter for the coast. The initial spots of rain will arrive in Dover tomorrow morning, with the threat steadily increasing through the day. The strongest band of heavy rain projects to arrive on Sunday morning. This will likely be accompanied by some blustery winds and make for a wholly uncomfortable morning. The heavy rain will begin to taper in the early afternoon, but more light rain will continue through the remainder of the day.
Tomorrow – Scattered showers, High 72, Low 58
Sunday – Rain with wind, tapering a bit in the evening, High 67, Low 60

TWC: Tomorrow – Overcast. Slight chance of a rain shower. High 71, Low 55
Sunday – Rain and wind. High 66, Low 64

AW: Tomorrow – Breezy with occasional rain and drizzle high 70, Low 57
Sunday – Rain and wind from tropical rainstorm; flooding in poor drainage areas; stronger wind and worse flooding at the beaches High 65, Low 60

NWS: Tomorrow – A chance of rain, mainly after 9am. Mostly cloudy, High 70, Low 55
Sunday – Rain, High 66, Low 60

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. High 69, Low 56
Sunday – Rain windy .High 67, Low 61

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with showers, High 70, Low 54
Sunday – Mostly cloudy with showers, High 67, low 61

CLI: Tomorrow – Rain showers High 69, low 58
Sunday – Light rain showers High 67, Low 60

Yuck. That’s going to be particularly nasty on Sunday. Don’t be surprised if there is a rumble or two with the heavy rain on Sunday. Looks good right now in the interior east!

Portland, Oregon

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Ooh boy, need to be careful with my keywords on this one. You haven’t heard about Portland in the news lately, have you?

At 353PM, PT, Portland was reporting a temperature of 78 degrees with clear skies. The Pacific Northwest was enjoying a nice, warm and clear stretch to begin the week, which was allowing temperatures to be warm, though not unbearable.
A jet trough is sliding southeasterly along the British Columbian coast, which may bring about a few more upper level clouds as well as a refreshing ocean flow. Eventually, there will be some clouds and drizzle as a result, but not before our forecast period expires.
Tomorrow – Isolated clouds, High 77, Low 50
Wednesday – Increasingly cloudy and cooler, High 63, Low 52

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny. High 79, Low 52
Wednesday – Mostly sunny skies. High 64, Low 49

AW: Tomorrow – Sunny, nice and warm High 78, Low 50
Wednesday – Partly sunny and cooler High 64, Low 50

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 77, Low 53
Wednesday – Mostly sunny, High 63, Low 49

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny. High 77, Low 54
Wednesday – Mostly sunny. High 62, Low 51

WN: Tomorrow – Sunny. High 76, Low 53
Wednesday – Partly sunny with showers. High 62, Low 49

CLI: Tomorrow- Sunny, High 78, Low 54
Wednesday – Partly cloudy High 65, Low 48

Nice weather out there on the West Coast.

Gulfport, Mississippi

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Unlike Davenport, Gulfport IS a port, and that is how it got its name.

At 453PM, Central Time, Gulfport was reporting clear skies and a temperature of 88 degrees. With multiple tropical features in the western Atlantic, the tropical energy was redirected away from the Gulf, and the Gulf Coast was in the midst of a nice, clear stretch of autumn weather.
With nothing driving traffic in the immediate region, eyes turn to Humberto and Imelda, which are going to dance together before merging through the middle of the week. As the pair of storms move off to the Atlantic, a bit of a sea breeze will return, with some afternoon storms coming back on Tuesday.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 91, Low 69
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, isolated storms late, High 90, Low 69

TWC: Tomorrow – A mainly sunny sky. High 90, Low 71
Tuesday- Sunshine and some clouds. High 90, Lo 70

AW: Tomorrow – Warm with plenty of sunshine High 91. Low 70
Tuesday – Mostly sunny and remaining warm High 91, Low 70

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 88, Low 71
Tuesday – Sunny, High 88, Low 71

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny. High 86, Low 72
Tuesday – Sunny.  High 88, Low 71

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 88, Low 71
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, High 88, Low 71

CLI: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 91, Low 71
Tuesday – Sunny, High 89, Low 70

It’s not often that I am on the island with precipitation in the forecast. Also, The Weather Channel got a little bit of a refresh, which is almost as clean as this satellite image.