Janesville, Wisconsin

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Janesville is on the Illinois border, just north of Beloit. I know it best as a constant source of road construction, seemingly every time I attempted to drive between my parents’ in Minnesota and school in Indiana.

At 245PM, CT, Janesville was reporting a temperature of 34 degrees with overcast skies. An undercutting boundary beneath strong low pressure in western Ontario was found at the back edge of the local overcast, and at the leading edge of advancing warm air. That boundary was over central Iowa, however, and the warmest push of air is not expected to make it to Janesville before nightfall, and a weak cold front will arrive to chase it out by sunrise tomorrow.
The boundary will be quick moving, and bring just a dusting of snow through the morning, with clearing skies coming by afternoon. The clearing trend will continue with high pressure developing in the western Great Lakes. The clear skies will still feature some brisk northwest winds, but warmer weather is not far behind this forecast period.
Tomorrow – Early snow flurries, then clearing, High 36, Low 12
Saturday – Mostly sunny, High 20, Low 5

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy early then partly cloudy and windy later in the day. A few flurries or snow showers possible High 36, Low 16
Saturday – Mostly sunny early then increasing cloudiness later in the day High 25, Low 7

AW: Tomorrow – A couple of flurries early in the morning; otherwise, mostly cloudy and breezy; watch for slippery spots early High 36, Low 14
Saturday – Turning cloudy and cold High 22, Low 4

NWS: Tomorrow – A 50 percent chance of snow, mainly before 8am. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, High 34, Low 14
Saturday-Increasing clouds, High 21, Low 5

WB: Tomorrow – Cloudy with chance of light snow in the morning then mostly cloudy with scattered flurries in the late morning and early afternoon. Partly sunny late in the afternoon High 36, Low 14
Saturday – Colder. Sunny in the morning then becoming partly sunny. High 22, Low 6

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers, High 35, Low 14
Saturday – Partly cloudy with snow showers, High 21, Low 5

CLI: Tomorrow – Heavy Snow showers, High 37, Low 10
Saturday – Mostly cloudy, High 21, Low 4

Hang in there, Janesville! The snow is a set back, but warmer weather is coming next week!

Ames, Iowa

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We’ve spent a great deal of our time and energy focused on the southeastern US, so we get to get a taste of something different this evening.

At 453PM, CT, Ames was reporting a temperature of 32 degrees with overcast skies. This is following a band of light snow that was related to a clipper moving through the Upper Midwest. An area of high pressure is moving through the Canadian Prairies, with a bit warmer air flowing under the upper level feature.
The Canadian ridge will sink back to the south tomorrow, and there is a chance for a band of flurries Late tomorrow, but the advancing area of high pressure will ensure that the day won’t be completely snobound.
Tomorrow – Increasing clouds with late flurries, High 31, Low 16
Tuesday – Mostly sunny,High 25, Low 14

TWC: Tomorrow – A mix of clouds and sun early, then becoming cloudy later High 31, Low 20
Tuesday – Partly cloudy. High 28, Low 18

AW: Tomorrow – Intervals of clouds and sun High 30, Low 18
Tuesday – Periods of clouds and sunshine High 26, Low 17

NWS: Tomorrow – Partly sunny, High 30. Low 17
Tuesday – Partly sunny, High 28, Low 17

WB: Tomorrow – Partly sunny. High 31, Low 22
Tuesday – Partly sunny. High 26, Low 18

WN: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy, High 29, Low 17
Tuesday – Partly Cloudy, High 28, Low 16

CLI: Tomorrow – Overcast, High 33, Low 17
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy, High 28, Low 10

Here’s the radar imagery for Iowa, with our warm front already through town. Well, through the Hawkeye State, actually.

Rome, Georgia

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

We are sadly only going to be spending our time in Rome, Georgia, and not Rome, Italy. It would be a bit warmer in Italy.

At 1053PM, ET, Rome was reporting an unusually brisk 28 degrees with clear skies. Throughout the region, skies were clear and temperatures were below freezing as a jet trough dove deep into the Southeast. An occluded area of low pressure sat over the Great Lakes, with a cold front emanating from a secondary (but as is usually the case, stronger) area of low pressure off the southeast coast of Nova Scotia dangled a surface cold front that had already cleared the Florida Peninsula. There were frost and freeze warnings as far south as Orlando.
The upper level structure that is bringing the cold air to the southeast looks to be pretty entrenched, and a surface area of high pressure is unlikely to move. Calm winds and clear nights suggest that frost is something that residents of Rome should get accustomed to for the next couple of days, at least.
Tomorrow – Sunny, High 47, Low 25
Tuesday – Sunny, High 45, Low 21

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny. High 50, Low 26
Tuesday – Sunny.  High 47, Low 22

AW: Tomorrow – Sunny High 50, Low 26
Tuesday – Plenty of sunshine High 46, Low 22

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 46, Low 25
Tuesday – Sunny, High 43, Low 20

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 43, Low 28
Tuesday – Sunny, High 42, Low 25

WN: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 46, Low 25
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, High 43, Low 20

CLI: Tomorrow – Clear, High 47, Low 25
Tuesday – Sunny, High 46, Low 21

This is dangerously cold for this part of the world, where heating systems aren’t as robust as they are further to the north. Brr! At least the sun will be out in the day time, right?

Florence, Alabama

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

We are going to northern Alabama on this fine Tuesday evening. It’s pretty quiet out there at this moment, but this time of year, if anywhere is going to see interesting weather, Florence would be a good bet.

At 753PM, CT, Florence was reporting a temperature of 49 degrees with clear skies. Despite the clear skies, the region was active. A cold front was digging into central Missouri, and ahead of the boundary, there was a bit of convection showing on satellite in the Lower Mississippi Valley. The boundary was associated with a deep digging trough, and is going to move quickly. Moisture from the Gulf and the boundary itself will arrive in Florence by lunch time tomorrow.
Tomorrow afternoon will be rainy, with a bit of thunder at the outset. Cold air will follow close behind, but not near enough to allow for any flurries in Florence. The cold air will settle in through Thursday, however, leading to some uncharacteristically brisk conditions.
Tomorrow – A little bit of thunder in the late morning, then showers through the afternoon, Getting colder, High 48, Low 28
Thursday – Partly cloudy, chilly, High 39, Low 23

TWC: Tomorrow – Rain early…then remaining cloudy with showers in the afternoon. High 49, Low 34
Thursday – A mainly sunny sky. Colder. High 39, Low 23

AW: Tomorrow – Cloudy and cooler with a touch of rain High 48, Low 32
Thursday – Mostly sunny and cold High 39, Low 22

NWS: Tomorrow – Showers, mainly between 9am and 1pm. High near 49. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north northwest in the afternoon. High 49, Low 31
Thursday – Sunny, High 38, Low 22

WB: Tomorrow – Showers, High 49, Low 30
Thursday – Cooler sunny. High 36, Low 22

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with light showers, High 49, Low 30
Thursday – Sunny, High 38, Low 22

CLI: Tomorrow – Rain Showers, High 50, Low 30
Thursday – Sunny, High 38, Low 23

This is a day that isn’t particularly chilly for the part of the country I’m in, but in Alabama, this is a winter parka scenario. Take a look at the satellite, with the cold front to the north, and moisture arising from the south.

Atlantic City, New Jersey

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Is is a good sign that the first forecast of the year is from a city notable for it’s gambling?

At 454PM, ET, Atlantic City was reporting a temperature of 29 degrees with clear skies. The region is between two jet streak troughs, which is continuing to lead to a deep area of low pressure over Nunavut that continues to instigate Lake effect snow in the eastern Great Lakes. The southern flank of the trough is going to provide a nurturing environment for cyclogenesis in the Lower Mississippi Valley initially, moving east towards the Carolinas.
Low pressure will continue to move eastward today from its present home in Arkansas, eventually reaching the Gulf Stream by tomorrow evening. The feature will subsequently continue to deepen and move north along the oceanic current. The pattern aloft will keep the unsettled weather offshore, and the welling from the south may lead to a bit of a warm up for Sunday. Not significant, but every degree this time of year helps.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 37, Low 22
Sunday – Mostly cloudy, High 40, Low 27

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy skies High 33, Low 22
Sunday – Partly cloudy. High 37, Low 26

AW: Tomorrow – Breezy with some sunshine giving way to clouds High 34, Low 25
Sunday – Mostly sunny and breezy High 38, Low 30

NWS: Tomorrow – Increasing clouds High 33, Low 22
Sunday – Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny High 38, Low 27

WB: Tomorrow – Partly sunny in the morning then becoming cloudy High 31, Low 25
Sunday – Mostly sunny. High 36, Low 29

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy 33, Low 23
Sunday – Mostly sunny, High 38, Low 28

CLI: Tomorrow – Overcast High 34, Low 23
Sunday – Sunny, High 38, Low 28

There is going to be a bit of a range inland where the airport lies and the city center. so we will see how the forecast plays out. Here is the Accuweather regional forecast, via ABC news in Philadelphia.

Reno, Nevada

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Happy Holidays, everyone! This forecast for Reno will take us across Christmases Eve and Day. Christmas in Reno, sounds like it should be airing on Hallmark Channel.

At 1055AM, PT, Reno was reporting a temperature of 57 degrees with clear skies and a brisk south wind. This is in response to a strong trough along the West Coast. A center of circulation lies off the California shore, with southerly flow rushing through the Golden State. The Sierras are beset by heavy snow, and are also keeping Reno clear for now. Most of the region is covered by clouds, however there is a donut hole over western Nevada.
The low itself will be moving northeast before arriving on the coast on the Oregon coast. The robustness of this feature and the paired advance of the jet structure will allow for a fully realized cold front to be dragged along with it. Expect some substantial rainfall, particularly for Reno, on Christmas Eve. The surface feature and leading edge of the jet will continue east of the region by Christmas. The base of the trough will still foster cyclonicity in the Pacific, which will mean more southerly flow in the west. While Reno will see less precipitation for Christmas, the Sierras will not, and travel into California from Reno will remain treacherous.
Tomorrow – Rain likely, High 43, Low 37
Christmas – Partly cloudy, with some passing showers, High 37, Low 31

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy. Periods of rain early High 46, low 39
Christmas – Rain showers, with winds diminishing later in the day. High 44, Low 38

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy and cooler with a bit of rain; breezy in the afternoon Hgh 46, Low 39
Christmas – Mostly cloudy, becoming windier and chilly with a couple of showers High 44, Low 36

NWS: Tomorrow – Rain. Snow level 6700 feet lowering to 6100 feet High 50, Low 40
Christmas – Rain. Snow level 5700 feet High 46, Low 35

WB: Tomorrow – Rain and snow. Snow level lowering to 6500 feet. Snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches. High 46, Low 39
Christmas – Snow and rain. Snow level 5500 to 6000 feet.  High 43, Low 39

WN: Tomorrow – Cloudy with rain, High 49, Low 39
Christmas – Cloudy with rain, High 46, Low 35

CLI: Tomorrow – Rain showers High 51, Low 41
Christmas – Rain showers High 47, Low 39

Nevadans aren’t often beset with soggy days, so getting it on Christmas is particularly bad luck. they have a pretty nice window of sunshine right now, however!

Redding, California

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Northern California tonight, to a part of the state that can be just as hot as the southern part of the state, especially inland, like Redding is.

At 753PM, PT, Redding was reporting cloudy skies with a temperature of 46 degrees. There was a little bit of haze at the surface, as there appeared to be throughout the area. Low pressure in the Gulf of Alaska has banded a cold front moving into the west coast, with a few showers seen from Yreka to Eureka. As is often the case, the first attempt at translating through the area will be unsuccessful, however the strong jet will move inland, and low pressure will reconstitute north of Vancouver Island by tomorrow.
Rain will move into Redding in the afternoon, which will be heavy at times. Because of the terrain on the coast, the center of low pressure will appear to hop from north of Vancouver Island to the southern part of British Columbia. The phasing of the low is indicative of this system being particularly strong for the west coast. The trough is strong and short waved enough to continue moving eastward into the Prairies. Rain will continue in northern California through Wednesday morning, but will start to clear out through the afternoon. Unfortunately, there will likely be some low clouds and fog leftover as a parting gift, particularly after night fall.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with rain becoming heavier in the afternoon, High 50, Low 41
Wednesday – A bit more sun in the afternoon, but rain early, High 56, Low 44

TWC: Tomorrow -Showers early, becoming a steady rain later in the day. High 47, Low 45
Wednesday – Cloudy skies early will become partly cloudy later in the day (early rain). High 52, Low 45

AW: Tomorrow – Cloudy and cool with a little rain High 51, Low 44
Wednesday – A couple of morning showers; otherwise, mostly cloudy High 58, Low 43

NWS: Tomorrow – Showers, mainly after 8am. Widespread dense fog, mainly before 10am High 55, Low 46
Wednesday – Showers. High 58, Low 46

WB: Tomorrow – Cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Widespread fog. . . Locally dense in the morning. High 46, Low 46
Wednesday – Rain showers. High 48, Low 42

WN: Tomorrow – Cloudy with showers, High 55, Low 46
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy with light showers, High 58, Low 46

CLI: Tomorrow – Rain showers, High 53, Low 37
Wednesday – Rain showers, High 52, Low 44

Oh my goodness, this forecast is haunted. I have reviewed the numbers, and there are no typos. Weatherbug has the same high as the low tomorrow. Clime really is 9 degrees colder than the what most others think. The rain timelines are all different. This verification is going to be something else. Here is the radar, with showers northwest of Redding.

Hot Springs, Arkansas

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

There are only two more shopping weekends before Christmas (including this one) so I recommend you get out there ASAP!

At 1153AM, CT, Hot Springs was reporting a temperature of 47 degrees with overcast skies. A trough is sinking from the north, with a band of snow scooting through Iowa and Missouri, with a blob of clouds pressing south into Arkansas. The clouds are layered at the lower levels, and aren’t likely to scatter out through the day today.
Tomorrow will be a very cold day for western Arkansas as cold air continues to cycle into the area. Relief will be on the way during the work week, with a thermal ridge starting to build back in late on Monday.
Tomorrow – Sunny and cold, High 37, Low 23
Monday – A hair warmer in the afternoon, High 46, Low 17

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny. Turning colder. High 34, Low 26
Monday – A mainly sunny sky. High 43, Low 20

AW: Tomorrow – Colder with plenty of sun High 38, Low 25
Monday – Not as cold with plenty of sun High 45, Low 20

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 26, Low 24
Monday – Sunny, High 41, Low 18

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny. Much cooler High 34, Low 30
Monday – Sunny. Not as coo High 40, Low 20

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 31, Low 24
Monday – Mostly sunny, High 41, Low 18

CLI: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 40, Low 22
Monday – Sunny, High 45, Low 18

“Hot” Springs, am I right? There was a much greater diversity to the spread of forecast temperatures from model to model today for a clear sky forecast than what I like to see. The clouds are low enough that they aren’t really showing up on the satellite.

Sherman, Texas

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

The forecast for the day will come from north Texas. Given the pattern right now, this might be one of the colder forecasts you see from Texas.

At 115PM, CT, Sherman was reporting a temperature of 68 degrees. Skies were clear behind a trough sweeping a band of clouds through the Piney Woods. Dew points in north Texas have already dropped off, but the lag in temperature gradient goes back to Kansas, where temperatures have dropped into the 30s. A succession of clippers have moved through the Upper Midwest, riding a strong jet streak through the Plains. The jet streak is expected to start oscillating through the weekend, with high pressure then building in the south central US.
High pressure building in the Plains will do so on the back of cold weather from Canada. With a deep trough at the upper levels, there is enough cyclonic flow to continue reinforcing cold air in North Texas. The thermal ridge will wait until the middle of next week to start taking temperatures back up. Before then, don’t be surprised to see some sub-freezing air arrive in Sherman
Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 58, Low 39
Sunday – Sunny and a bit warmer, High 42, Low 26

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy. High 61, low 38
Sunday – Sunny. High 42, Low 27

AW: Tomorrow – Times of clouds and sun; best day of the weekend High 65, low 37
Sunday – Mostly sunny; breezy in the morning, then turning much colder high 47, Low 26

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, high 63, Low 38
Sunday – Sunny, high 46, Low 28

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny. High 60, Low 38
Sunday – Sunny. Much cooler High 44, low 33

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 63, Low 38
Sunday – Sunny, High 46, Low 28

CLI: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 60, Low 38
Sunday – Sunny, High 42, low 27

It’s going to be interesting to see how quickly temperatures fall off on Saturday night. There is a good chance that is a midnight high. It’s clear right now, but don’t let that fool you!

La Crosse, Wisconsin

Ryan Henning 1 Comment

Hello, forecast friends. We are taking our forecast express to the upper Mississippi Valley for our first forecast in December.

At 1053AM, CT LaCrosse was reporting a temperature of 22 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. There was a sharp trough angled to the southwest that divided the country in half. The ferocity of the trough was leading to overcast through the region, and a little bit of light snow throughout the north central US, however the severe angle it is taking towards the Four Corners is preventing the feature from bringing much moisture to the region. There will probably be a few flakes around LaCrosse this afternoon, but the real story is the cold high pressure behind the boundary.
The tilt of the trough aloft will make it disinclined to move off its spot. The high pressure at the surface, therefore, will be similarly rooted to its location. With the ridge holding firm, the cold air associated with it will remain in place as well. Unfortunately, this time of year, sunshine can only do so much, and despite mostly sunny skies, it will remain fairly chilly through the middle of the week.
Tomorrow – Some early flakes, then dropping temperatures, High 28, Low 3
Thursday – Clear and cold, High 15, Low -4

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy skies early, then partly cloudy in the afternoon. A few flurries or snow showers possible.  High 29, Low 7
Thursday -Mostly sunny skies.  High 16, Low -3

AW: Tomorrow – A morning flurry; otherwise, mostly cloudy, breezy and chilly, High28, Low 1
Thursday – A morning flurry; otherwise, mostly cloudy, breezy and chilly, High 13, Low -12

NWS: Tomorrow – A slight chance of snow before 10am, then a chance of flurries between 10am and noon. Cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing High 26, Low 4
Thursday – Sunny, High 13, Low -6

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with a chance of flurries in the morning then mostly sunny in the afternoon High 28, Low 9
Thursday – Mostly sunny. High 13, Low 4

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with light snow showers, High 27, Low 4
Thursday – Mostly sunny, High 13, Low -6

CLI: Tomorrow – Overcast, High 27, Low 4
Thursday – Sunny, High 15, Low -1

Here is a look at the afternoon satellite picture, with a few clouds smothering Wisconsin, thanks to that strong upper level jet. And yes, Accuweather is going -12 on Thursday, while Weatherbug is going 4 above. Attribute this to the GFS, which is saying -20 (!) on Thursday morning. Yikes!